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What Will Atomic Swaps Do to Utility Tokens?

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Atomic swaps are the talk of the crypto technology world right now, because what they may mean for the future of the entire sector. Their ability to disrupt the industry and nullify the need for many exchanges could be the next step in blockchain technology’s evolution.

Quick Explainer

First thing’s first – what is an atomic swap? In its most basic sense, an atomic swap is the exchange of one cryptocurrency for another cryptocurrency. These days, this would normally be executed on a trading platform (third-party), but with the implementation of atomic swaps, you would be able to cut out the third-party and trade directly with your counterparty.

In the traditional finance world, a swap is a derivative contract through which two parties exchange financial instruments. Usually the instruments command different types of cash flows (an interest rate swap involves a fixed rate cash flow and a floating rate cash flow). An atomic swap is the crypto-version of this.

One of the main functions of cryptocurrencies is to create a trustless, and therefore more scalable, financial system. Until now, it has been necessary to use third-parties to perform cross-chain trading, because there was no dependable way to perform the transaction securely.

However, with the invention and implementation of the lightning network, an atomic swap became possible. They use something called a hash time-locked contract (HTLC) to ensure the fulfillment of both party’s requirements in the trade. Both parties must acknowledge receipt of their funds by generating a proof of payment, otherwise the funds are returned back to the senders.

The Effects of Atomic Swaps on the Market

At the most basic level, atomic swaps seem to be good for the entire cryptocurrency community. They reduce friction by cutting down on transaction costs, and make it possible to seamlessly transfer money between cryptocurrencies.

On a security level, technologists are still trying to assess whether this would compromise any protocols. People are just getting comfortable with the lightning network, so it may take time before the trust is there for HTLCs.

Thinking about things more philosophically, atomic swaps help to unify cryptocurrencies and create an interconnected set of networks. This network of networks has endless possibilities and a real chance at attaining continual evolution.

Somewhat more controversially, it helps cut out third parties and enables cross-chain transactions. This can be said to be in the spirit of blockchain, since it was originally designed as a way of combating the deficiencies of the global banking and financial network.

Second-Order Effects

The next level of effects is where the difficulty comes in. First of all, by cutting out the exchanges, the amount of liquidity on the market decreases. This means that cryptocurrency isn’t as available to new buyers, and it slows down the speed that money can flow to cryptocurrencies from fiat.

But far more importantly, it creates a world where utility tokens no longer need to be held. If you can quickly transfer your crypto into another cryptocurrency before making a purchase, why would you risk holding it in anything but the currencies you trust?

For one, this makes stablecoins a far more appealing offer. Generally, stablecoins are for the non-speculative investor who believes in crypto but are not keen on the high level of risk.

Cryptoeconomics dictates that the market capitalization of a cryptocurrency is equal to the goods transacted in  a day multiplied by the average holding period. So with a low holding period, it is possible atomic swaps could kill utility tokens by destroying their market capitalizations.

However, there are some cryptocurrencies which are designed to withstand this problem. Coins that depend on proof-of-stake reward the holders of currencies for their investment. In the future, we will probably see a lot more information flowing around the best ways to inoculate utility tokens from being wiped out by atomic swaps.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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  1. febrocas

    August 1, 2018 at 8:22 pm

    Isn’t market capitalization the price multiplied by the circulating supply?

    “market capitalization of a cryptocurrency is equal to the goods transacted in a day multiplied by the average holding period”

    Apart from that, really nice to read!

    If any token, given a certain volume and liquidity, could potentially always be traded for every other token instantaneously, assuming there are incentives at place so that users are rewarded somehow, this new feature could potentially connect token systems between different platforms.

    Not sure if this makes sense, but love your piece anyhow!

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Altcoins

IOTA Price Analysis: Bulls on the Loose as IOTA Foundation Announces New Collaboration with Nova to Fund Start-ups

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  • The IOTA Foundation has entered into a partnership with Nova to provide funded support for start-ups.
  • IOT/USD is currently enjoying a decent push north, following a breakout of a bullish pennant pattern structure.

IOT/USD: Recent Price Behaviour

IOT/USD has been on a decent run of gains over the five sessions, having jumped around 18% at the time of writing. The price has been on a path to the north since 7th February, after hitting a low for 2019 around $0.2400. A chunky amount of buying pressure was observed down at these depressed levels.

The bulls enjoyed an initial jump between 7-8th February, gaining around 18% on the fast two-day rally. IOT/USD then consolidated trading within a range-bound nature to then have formed a bullish pennant pattern formation. On 17th February, an explosive amount of upside came into play following this technical breakout.

IOTA Announces New Collaboration with Nova

The IOTA Foundation has announced a new partnership with Nova, a start-up incubator, according to an official press release from the organization. As part of the collaboration, its goal is to begin funding start-ups employing the platform of IOTA. The program will be called IOTA Cofoundery on Nova’s website; it will be focusing on early stages of development and seed funding.

Start-ups will be able to leverage through the program a mentoring and tech start-up service to consist of over 20 consultants that specialize in technology. There will be much nurturing and guidance as part of this offering. To-date Nova has already co-founded over 80 technology start-ups, with over half of those still being active after three years. It is further noted within the official release that the three-year start-up survival rate is 10%.

Nova will invest in ideas that can prove user problem-fit. IOTA via their grant program will match the investment. It will provide a comforting amount of support and the foundations for viable businesses to develop within the ecosystem of IOTA.

The program will allow entrepreneurial tech start-ups to build new innovative business models by leveraging IOTA technology. Nova has noted that this new offering is now already open for applications and can apply directly on the Nova website.

Technical Review – IOT/USD

IOT/USD daily chart.

Given the noted move north from a bullish pennant pattern structure, the doors to further upside potential have opened. Near-term supply is observed heading into the $0.3400 territory, IOT/USD last traded here in January and dealt a rejection blow. Should the bulls manage to maintain current upside momentum and break above this zone, eyes will then be on the 2019 high area. At the start of the year, the price managed to hit $0.4088 on 2nd January.

In terms of support, this should be noted back down at the broken pennant pattern. A retest just on top could be seen which currently tracks at around $0.2750-40. Failure of this holding could then see the February gains wholly reversed.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Tron Price Analysis: TRX/USD Bulls Hunting for a Potential Charge Back Above Broken Critical Trend Line

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  • Tron bulls continue to push the price north maintaining a firmer path of recovery.
  • TRX/USD has gained a significant 10% over the past four sessions, moving to its highest level in five days.

TRX/USD: Recent Price Behavior

The TRX/USD bulls have been enjoying some upside relief over the past few sessions now, picking up much pace in the session on Monday. The price managed to move to its highest level  in over seven sessions. Over the past four days, Tron has gained just shy of 10% as the price looks set for recovery following a breach last week of critical support.

An ascending trend line initially supported TRX/USD to the upside, providing exceptional comfort in its move north. The running support had been in play since the back-end of December 2018; however, after a decent run, the bears managed to force a breach. Sellers were able to regain control after the move below, to then see four consecutive days of selling, dropping around 10% in total.

Between 14-15th February, TRX/USD managed to find its feet after what could have very much been a free-fall to the deep south. Daily support came into play around $0.023550, which has provided needed comfort on several occasions already this side of the year. The recovery has been in play since this decent bounce occurred.

Tron Crypto Card

TRON recently detailed more information about its upcoming crypto card. The date of pre-order for the GRID X BitTorrent crypto card is going to be live on 18th February 18 2019 at 8 PM UTC. The GRID crypto card will be a prepaid card that can be topped with TRX in three amounts of 15,000, 50,000 and 100,000. Holders of the cards will be rewarded with BitTorrent (BTT) tokens as part of monthly BTT airdrops.

GRID will be one of two crypto cards built via the Tron network. The first, TronCard, was introduced as a tangible TRX wallet. Both TRX and TRC10 tokens can be stored on the TronCard similarly to a virtual wallet. These mentioned tokens are tokenized assets which would be leveraged via decentralized applications (dApps) via the Tron Network. A QR code feature can also be scanned by users for access to the public key. A physical card will then be able to integrate with the virtual wallet.

Technical Review – TRX/USD

TRX/USD daily chart.

The major challenge for the bulls as detailed above is seen underneath the breached ascending trend line; this is tracking at around $0.027500. Should the bulls manage to break back above this prior acting support, then expect a strong wave of buying pressure to come into play. Further to the north, eyes will be on the $0.03000 area. TRX/USD has not comfortably traded above this price region since August 2018. Once broken down, there isn’t too much in the way of a return back up to $0.04000 territory.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

USD/JPY Price Prediction: Trade Talks and FOMC Minutes are Huge Downside Risks; 110.25 Key Daily Support Eyed

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  • Focus shifts to a possible FOMC hiking halt confirmation following the dovish rate decision from January.
  • Trade talks continue in Washington, with USD pumped up on much optimism.

The USD/JPY bulls have been pushing the pair higher at quite some pace, as it completed its second consecutive trading week in the green. It has gained around 160 pips to the upside, moving from 109.50 up to a high last week of 111.13 before running into sellers. The pair managed to jump to its highest level seen since the back-end of December 2018. There are encouraging signs of a full reversal, following the steep losses that came into play from mid-December.

As a recap, a significant drop was observed from the week commencing 17th December last year; this followed the FOMC rate decision that was out during that week. The FOMC did increase rates back then; however, it was very much a dovish hike. The Fed’s accompanying statement at the time appeared to signal FOMC members are anticipating two rate hikes in 2019, down from their previous dot-plot projection of three rate hikes. The indications of a slowdown from this meeting were enough to see the markets start pricing in a downturn in moves north with interest rates from the Fed.

FOMC Minutes on Wednesday

Back in January, the FOMC made a complete U-turn on its monetary policy stance. FOMC members effectively noted that the balance sheet could be adjusted if need be. Furthermore, the FOMC called for ‘patience’ with future rate hikes. At the time, this generated a large amount of weakness for the greenback. Eyes are on a potential dovish statement from the central bank, with close attention to the language used.

Market participants will be looking for further confirmation that the bank’s hiking cycle is over. As a result, this could potentially force pressure to the downside on the USD, should the market interpret such a tone from the FOMC.

Trade Talks Progress

Another big influencer for the greenback this week will be the developments between the U.S. and China with their ongoing trade talks. They remain very much complicated; however, optimism is still seen following their willingness to continue negotiating in Washington. There was little in terms of anything conclusive during the discussions in Beijing last week; clocks are ticking ahead of the deadline.

Markets will be looking for this possible extension announcement in the deadline from Trump, should the talks go as well as he noted. Should nothing conclusive come out of these talks, then the market could grow tiresome and start selling USD. Risks remain tilted to the downside, given that USD has been pumping on hope and optimism.

Technical Review – USD/JPY

USD/JPY daily chart.

In terms of upside targets, the bulls will be eyeing a retest of the psychological 111.00 level. The price managed to move into this territory last week between 13-14th February. Last week’s jump came before running into significant sellers, forcing USD/JPY to retreat down at a critical daily support level. Longs are attractive above 110.25 (daily support), which is in proximity to the 61.8% Fibonacci.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 124 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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