Connect with us

Analysis

Trading Analysis: Bitcoin, Litecoin, Dash, Ripple, Ethereum, Stellar Lumens & Zcash

Published

on

Bitcoin

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

Bitcoin continues it’s epic run toward $2100.  I note that there is an energy point on the daily chart tomorrow, and that a 5th arc is in plain sight at $2100.  Traders might want to take some profits there.

DASH

In our last update we identified the top of the square (highlighted) as likely support, and indeed it was.  Target of $96 seems reasonable at this juncture.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Ethereum Classic

In our last update we identified the area highlighted in yellow as a likely turning point.  Note that this coin entered a long-term arc pair a couple weeks ago, moved sideways, and just exited the pair.  This is pretty bullish, IMHO.

Ethereum

In the recent past we pointed out that the 2×1 Gann angle (red) has provided pretty good support for some time now.  It has done so again. A target of $104 now seems reasonable.

Litecoin

In our last column we highlighted Litecoin as one of our favorite trades.  We tweeted that the area highlighted in yellow was a buy. At this point it seems likely that the 1st arc pair will yield in short order.  The next energy point  in a few days suggests a $40 target is reasonable.

Stellar Lumens

Stellar Lumens remains a favorite trade, despite the fact that it has been overshadowed by its XRP sibling. As you can see, it is on the cusp of exiting an arc that has been holding it back for a few days. Mind you, it has not yet closed above the arc yet! If it gets through the arc, it could go to .08-.1 from here.

Ripple

I’m sure everyone here knows that Ripple had a great week.  The fact that it has re-penetrated the arc that knocked it down is mildly bullish, though the top of square is resistance.  However, it could conceivably take a few days get through the arcs before it can mount a serious advance again.

Zcash

ZEC has been traversing a long term arc pair, sideways, for a couple weeks. An energy point is at hand, and the end of the arc pair is also close by.  When it touches the arc it will make a choice – while my guess is it will break upwards, I suggest waiting for confirmation.

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgment.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

5 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsJim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail.




Feedback or Requests?

8 Comments

8 Comments

  1. MSNP05

    May 19, 2017 at 3:40 pm

    Ethereum is at 112 …do you recommend holding or selling ? Your analysis have been so valuable to our family. Thank you so much.

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 19, 2017 at 11:00 pm

      Long term it is still a great hold. Short-term traders should take profits here.

  2. Joshnj82

    May 19, 2017 at 10:21 pm

    Jim, are you still expecting LTC to surge or does the last session give reason for hesitation? I only ask b/c most majors did well while LTC was flat and left behind.

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 19, 2017 at 11:03 pm

      Yes LTC has been mildly disappointing. I still expect it to do well in the not-distant future, but wish some of my TC holdings had been in ETH the past 2 days instead. Oh well, there will always be another trade tomorrow.

  3. Joshnj82

    May 20, 2017 at 12:16 am

    I appreciate the response Jim and hope LTC got the memo that she’s supposed to move up not down. Let’s hope she’s just a bit slower than her friends. I also wish to receive a mulligan for the day and join in on the ETH party I completely missed. Unfortunately, I used up all my mulligans on last round on the course and don’t think exchanges offer them anyway 🙁 Let’s hope this time tomorrow I’m writing a celebratory response and a salud of cold ones. Enjoy the weekend good sir.

  4. xrolo24x

    May 20, 2017 at 6:38 am

    Thank you Jim. Wondering if your team can do an analysis on the Bancor ICO. We curious about it

  5. jacobss

    May 20, 2017 at 9:23 pm

    hi Jim,
    You are fantastic and I have been investing a lot based on your analyses.
    Very, very, very favourable for me.
    Where do you get these diagrams from, can I get life updates. Now I print them out and put lines in them myself.
    I wish I had access of them any time of the day.
    Thanks for all you great analyses and please keep on doing this.
    Jack

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 11:21 pm

      Follow me on twitter (@jimfred1276). I often tweet if i see something happening in real-time. I will be launching a new service in the near future.

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum Break-Out of Declining Trends

Published

on

The altcoin-led rally continued since our previous look at the long-term charts, and the major coins all confirmed a new short-term uptrend. Most of the largest digital currencies also broke out from their broad declining trends, as the total value of the segment is now more than 50% above the level around the correction low.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

The overall picture remained positive, with only Bitcoin’s weakness causing headaches for crypto bulls, as the most valuable coin is hovering close to declining trendline that dominated trading throughout the first quarter of the year.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Despite the short-term weakness, BTC is still among the stronger majors from a long-term perspective, and with the secular uptrend clearly being intact, long-term investors should hold on to their coins and add to their holdings on the short-term pullbacks.

Crucial resistance is still just ahead between $9000-$9200, with further levels at $10,000 and $11,300, while support is found near $8400, $7650, and in the $6150-$6250 zone.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum built upon its recent relative strength, and the coin broke out convincingly above the declining trendline, and reached the next key resistance zone between $625 and $640 before the momentum of the move stalled.

While there are still several strong zones ahead, with the closest ones near $725 and $845, barring a quick move back below the declining trendline, the coin should continue the advance. With the long-term MACD still just in neutral territory, long-term investors could add to their holdings during short-term corrections, with key support levels at $500, $450, and $400.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.5 stars on average, based on 229 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recommendations

Trade Recommendation: Micron Technology

Published

on

Technical Overview

  • Micron Technology has experienced a 6.5-fold increase since May 2016. During this 2-year period, the stock found support at its intermediate-term trendline on numerous occasions (green trendline and arrows in Figure 1).
  • From the last retest of the intermediate-term support (last green arrow), the stock moved sharply higher, carried by a steeper support (violet trendline). The same trendline served as a resistance for two weeks in March 2018, when it was retested from below (last two violet arrows).
  • Today (April 23), the stock is breaking below its short-term support (orange trendline), after failing to remain above its 50 SMA on Friday (not shown).

Figure 1. MU Daily Chart

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

Implications

  • By the time its correction is over, the stock is expected to have retested the intermediate-term support (green trendline). If the decline is severe and swift, the stock may bounce off the $40 level (i.e. target is the higher of $40 and the green trendline).
  • The stock’s 2018 Resistance (the trendline connecting the March 21 and April 18 highs) is expected to serve as a resistance (red trendline).

Outlook

  • Bearish as long as the stock is trading below its 2018 Resistance.
  • Neutral if the stock moves above the 2018 Resistance.

Trade Recommendation

  • Short at current levels ($48.75 – $49.25)
  • Target: Higher of $40 and green trendline
  • Stop: A close above the red trendline (currently at approximately $53.35, falling by roughly 40 cents/day).

 Benefits of Recommended Trade

  • A favourable risk-reward profile (roughly 1 : 2.25).
  • A sloping-down resistance used as a stop, resulting in an improving risk-reward profile of the trade as time goes by. The steep negative slope of the 2018 Resistance may potentially lead to a situation where the trade is “unsuccessful” (i.e. the stop is hit first before the target), however, still profitable. This is so as the 2018 Resistance will already be below current prices by mid-May (i.e. may get stopped out at a lower price than when the short was initiated).

Disclosure: No position

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 10 rated posts




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Bitcoin Cash: Suddenly A Star Performer

Published

on

Just look at what has been happening in the prices of bitcoin and bitcoin cash.  Between December, the king of crypto fell some 65%. Since the April 1 low, bitcoin has partially recovered, gaining 31%.  Bitcoin cash really took it on the chin losing 80% in the December-April period. However, since then, BCH has been a digital darling, gaining 80%.  This ranks among the top crypto performers so far in the month of April. What’s behind the move?

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

What We Have Been Missing

I have a confession to make.  For the past year bitcoin cash has pretty much flown under my radar. Here is a best efforts excuse.  Bitcoin cash has only been in existence since last August. During this time there have been so many ICOs flying around that keeping up with something which sounded like just another name for the original king of crypto didn’t seem all that important.

That was a mistake because there is quite a difference between the original and bitcoin cash.  And if it continues, someday bitcoin cash will be king. Here is what I am getting at.

All cryptocurrencies face certain limits when it comes to scaling. It is a more complex issue than simply adding more transactions to the blockchain.  A whole lot of the Gen III companies are attempting to come up with a solution to minimize the time required to confirm a block of transactions without blowing up fees.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Bitcoin has the distinction of suffering the worst of both slow speed and bloated fees.  Back at the price peak last December transactions were limited to fewer than 10 per second while fees shot up to more than $30.  

Anyone buying bitcoin during that period for investment purposes probably didn’t care. After all, by last December, bitcoin had appreciated over 7,000%.  But if you wanted to use Bitcoin to buy a $4.50 Latte or a $75 Cuisinart coffee maker from Overstock.com, logic told you to forget about it.

Small Transaction R Us

This is where bitcoin cash came into being.  BCH became a hard fork of bitcoin, meaning that it uses the bitcoin protocols except for one important difference.  Each BCH block initially contained 8 megabits compared with just one for BTC. The whole point of BCH is to create a currency that in a medium of exchange rather than simply an investment device.

Back around August, the average transaction fee for BTC was about $0.70 (BCH was $0.08) so fees were completely overshadowed by the fixation in bitcoin’s skyrocketing price.

The Lessons From December

Long before the explosion in bitcoin fees last December work was underway on the Lightning Network.  When fully implemented by the Bitcoin community, it will reduce the gap between itself and bitcoin cash.  But that could be completely illusory based on last weeks announcement.

Around May 15 bitcoin cash plans to create a hard fork that will increase block size four fold to 32 bits.  Word of this has to be one big reason for the bitcoin cash price outperforming many of its peers. At least for the time being, BCH will have a considerable advantage both in terms of confirmation speed and fees.  

According to Bitinfocharts, current bitcoin fees are 0.199 compared with 0.0035 for bitcoin cash, while mining profits are about equal. This is a data point that is most impressive because the BCH maximize block size has yet to be increased.  BCH is attracting smaller average transaction size. In other words, their plan is working.

The Unpaved Road

The rapid price appreciation and the hard fork announcement will draw attention to BCH.  This is enough to make it more attractive than BTC. One thing to remember. If bitcoin cash developers intend to become a medium of exchange, a currency for the masses, they have a long way to go.  

All digital currencies face the same challenge.  Bitcoin claims acceptance by more than 10,000 merchants including 14 large retailers like Overstocked and Microsoft.  Bitcoin cash lays claim to just 429. Either way, fewer than 5% of all retailers accept cryptocurrencies and we suspect that less the 2% of all retail transactions are represented by any of these currencies.

Even so, bitcoin cash is suddenly taking on a far more exciting role in the crypto game so don’t be surprised to see this continue for a while.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
4 votes, average: 5.00 out of 54 votes, average: 5.00 out of 54 votes, average: 5.00 out of 54 votes, average: 5.00 out of 54 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (4 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.3 stars on average, based on 61 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending