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Trade Recommendation: Bitcoin

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By looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see a pennant pattern. If the price breaks the resistance line of this pattern, we’ll get a signal confirming further upward movement. The pennant will be realized as a continuation chart pattern and we we should expect for price movement to the target zone between the 6700.00-6900.00 levels.

Pending orders for buy can be placed at the 5750.00 level. Stop orders must be placed below the pennant pattern at 5400.00 level. The main profit target is 6500.00 level. This trade looks rather risky, because the MACD lines and ADX line have climbed too high, which means we can face a short term retracement. If you don’t want to take part in such risky trades, you should skip this signal or open long trades with less volume.

Alternative variant: if the price breaks the support line of pennant and drops below the 5500.00 support level, we should expect for further downward movement to the support zone. It will give us a new trading opportunity. If you don’t use leverage, the recommended trading volume for this trade is up to 10% from your deposit.

Market: BTCUSD
Buy: 5750.00
Stop: 5400.00
Profit Targets: 6500.00

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The trading signal is based on the Poloniex chart.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.2 stars on average, based on 44 rated postsDmitriy Lavrov is a professional trader, technical analyst and money manager with 10 years trading experience. The main covered markets are Forex, Commodity, Cryptocurrency. Provides personal education for those who are interested in profitable trading. Entries in TOP 10 among TradingView authors.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. guillaumeff

    October 14, 2017 at 9:30 pm

    Is it really reasonable to think that BTC will jump to 6500 now before a correction happens?

    • Dmitriy Lavrov

      October 14, 2017 at 11:13 pm

      Based on a pennant chart pattern, the market can reach 6500.00 without correction. But there are no 100% confirmed signals, don’t forget about it.

  2. mJay88

    October 15, 2017 at 10:00 am

    Don’t you think we would face massive resistance at the 6000 level and possibly start a downtrend?

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Altcoins

Crypto Critics: Fractured Facts

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I have another confession.  As a long time investor, I believed in the theory of efficient markets. This basically means that every participant in the market has immediate and complete access to all information facts like price, earnings and other data.  

I made the mistake in applying this theory to cryptocurrencies. Lately, this has been a mistake.  Yes it is true that anyone with the time and interest can go about gathering all the facts. But are all facts telling the truth or are they really fractured facts?  Either way they are dictating investor thinking and that is a key to this market.

According to reports on MarketWatch, crypto prices slumped on the release of a 24 page report from the Bank of International Settlements. BIS stated that cryptocurrencies suffered from “a range of shortcomings that would prevent cryptocurrencies from ever fulfilling the lofty expectations that prompted an explosion of interest — and investment — in the would-be asset class”.

The BIS is no small town organization. They serve as a central bank for other banks and they have been doing this since 1930.  When the BIS talks, people take things they say very seriously.

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The doomsday article released Sunday paints an accurate picture of the state of cryptocurrencies today. But what about tomorrow?  Most everyone is familiar with the issues of speed, security and energy consumption, not to mention regulation. But for the BIS to conclude that none of this problems will ever be solved is down right nieve.  It is the equivalent of declaring in 2001 that the Internet was doomed because 90% of users were connect on dial up modems.

Rotten Research

The BIS report is not the first fracturing of facts presented by well regarded organizations that is scaring investors. Remember back in May? We were treated to the research headline: Bitcoin Futures Caused The Crypto Market Crash according to Federal Papers.

Both the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and a Stanford University professor released a report concluding the launch of bitcoin futures last December contributed to the ensuing price collapse. Pretty far fetched stuff, and here is why.

Bitcoin futures trading began on December 10. BarChart.com shows the CME traded a measly 932 contracts while the CBOE handled 3,887.  Of that total some 2,828 contracts were still “Open Contracts” on December 29th leaving just 1991 coins to do all the harm. During that final week of December over 1.4 million coins were traded. The findings were simply flawed.

Much like the BIS, when the Federal Reserve speaks, people believe they have done their homework carefully.  Throw in Stanford and that adds further weight to this conclusion.

And Then There Are Those Other Facts

And then there was the revelation last week that, much of bitcoin’s 2017 boom was market manipulation, research says.  In a huge 66 page report it was claimed that at least half of the 2017 rise in bitcoin prices was due to coordinated price manipulation using tether.

The author, University of Texas at Austin finance professor John Griffin, argues that Tether was used to buy bitcoin at key moments when it was declining, which helped “stabilize and manipulate” the cryptocurrency price. BTW: this is the job of the specialist on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Professor Griffin appears to have done an excellent job correlating events without much consideration for the economics involved.  According to Bloomberg’s Aaron Brown, for Professor Griffin to be correct in his assertion that tether pushed up bitcoin prices four basis points per 100 bitcoin, Bitfinex would have needed to spend a boatload to inflate the cryptocurrency.  With Bitcoin at $10,000, for example, that means Bitfinex spends $1 million to push the price up to $10,004.

When you look at things from this perspective, Griffin’s findings look pretty absurd.

Look Closely At The Facts

These days with crypto psychology the worst since Mt. Gox in 2014, it seems like a good time for investors to capitalize on the fractured facts.  Technical analysis shows that cryptocurrencies bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple and others are hovering around key support levels. It would not be shocking at anytime to find some academic study linking crypto to the common cold.  By the way, it is a fact that last years dramatic crypto price spike came right at the start of the flu season.

A far more relevant fact was last week’s announcement by the Securities and Exchange Commission that neither bitcoin or Ethereum were securities. Perhaps equally important is the conclusion that when ICO do not convey an equity ownership position, they too are considered in the same non-security category as bitcoin and Etherrun.  This is a fact.

What we do know is that crypto prices are as low as they have been since well before the spike last December.  Just as the markets recovered from Mt. Gox, the mindset of investors will recover and that is the key.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Stalled Recovery Keeps the Bulls in Check

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The bitcoin recovery engine stalled on Monday, setting the stage for a possible price reversal that mirrors last week’s 70-day low. With the total market cap so low, a decline in bitcoin would almost assuredly lead to a similar correction for other cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin Price Levels

Bitcoin prices reached a low of $6,335.77 on Monday, as bearish pressure continued to undermine last week’s modest recovery. Bitcoin rallied to a high around $6,700 last Thursday shortly after bottoming near $6,100.

The cryptocurrency later recovered around $6,660A7 but remains in a bearish pattern going all the way back to June 9. BTC/USD is down roughly $1,000 over that stretch. Price action over the past 24 hours suggests that a further breakdown is probable.

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The cryptocurrency market cap reached a high of $284 billion on Monday. Bitcoin and altcoins exhibited price stability over the weekend as trading volumes continued to plummet.

Depressed Market

As we reported this weekend, cryptocurrencies have witnessed a steady decline in trading volume that could make the market more prone to volatility. Daily trade volumes bottomed near $9.5 billion Sunday, the lowest in over two months. Volumes are down a staggering 80% since the market peaked in early January.

The absence of new money paints the picture of a depressed market in need of direction. With organic searches for “bitcoin” and “cryptocurrency” the lowest in around nine months, a large influx of new retail traders is highly unlikely.

Exchanges such as Coinbase are betting big that the next major catalyst will come not from retail traders, but large institutions. To help make that a reality, Coinbase has launched a new crypto-custody service targeting bitcoin whales. According to crypto hedge fund manager Kyle Samani, regulated custody services are the game changer that will attract institutional-scale capital.

“There are a lot of investors where custodianship was the final barrier,” Samani told Bloomberg in a phone interview. “Over the next year, the market will come to recognize that custodianship is a solved problem. This will unlock a big wave of capital.”

Coinbase isn’t the only organization vying to become a qualified custodian. Goldman-backed Circle and BiGo have also been in negotiation with regulators on the matter. Earlier this year, investment bank Nomura Holdings joined forces with two cryptocurrency firms to create a custody consortium. Bloomberg reports that at least three Wall Street custodians – Bank of New York Mellon Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Northern Trust Corp. – are exploring cryptocurrency custody services.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 455 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Altcoins

All Sports’ SOC Token Dips Amid Poor World Cup Showing

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The All Sports SOC token has sunk 11% over the past 24 hours, falling to a three month low of $0.107. This takes All Sports back to a late April valuation, right before its market cap trebled over the course of a week in early May.

AllSports Market Analysis

The SOC token’s poor performance against the dollar today coincides with the failure of a member of its advisory board to secure a win in the World Cup game played last night in Russia.

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Sergio Aguero is listed as a consultant on the All Sports website, and even though he managed to grab a goal last night, his Argentina team ultimately failed to get a win against Iceland.

In all objectivity, the price of SOC tokens had been falling for the last few days, so while the football match may have had something to do with it, it seems unlikely to have had a major impact.

Indeed, the value of the SOC token has crashed 30% in the last three days, after a fairly strong week which saw it trade for $0.15 against the dollar. Its 24 hour volume at that time peaked at $54 million. Today it’s back down to $12 million.

Argentina is the team which Lionel Messi represents, and they were hailed as early favourites for the tournament earlier in the week. Their draw against Iceland was all the more embarrassing for the fact that many of the Icelandic players are amateurs who have full-time jobs in addition to playing football.

Trades against Tether (USDT) have made up more than 60% of SOC’s entire trading volume, with Huobi and OKEx being the main centers of activity. The next most traded pair is SOC/BTC, the majority of which can also be found on Huobi and OKEx.

A Sports Hub

All Sports advertises itself as a future hub for the entire sports industry. Their roadmap details plans to turn their platform into a media, betting and market site; an ambitious aim in an industry that’s worth an untold number of billions or even trillions each year. In the UK alone, the football industry is worth an estimated $5.5 billion a year, and that’s without factoring in the billions spent in bookmakers or on gambling sites.

Footballer Advisory Boards

Grabbing a high-profile footballer to help launch your ICO is becoming all the more common, and All Sports are continuing that trend by listing not just one, but two world-renowned football players on their advisory board page.

Alongside Sergio Aguero is the Chelsea and Belgium superstar Eden Hazard, and their presence on the All Sports website is all the more startling for the fact that they are the only team members listed on the site.

Belgium play their first game of the tournament tomorrow against lowly Panama – a team they will be expected to beat. Here’s hoping that his company’s market performance doesn’t affect his own performance in the game tomorrow.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 10 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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