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Tortoise & Hare Investing

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Yesterday I had the pleasure to speak with a man named Didi Taihuttu who has just sold his house, three cars, and a motorcycle and bought cryptocurrencies.

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A daring step for sure but what really struck me is that Didi mentioned, he doesn’t see what all the fuss is about or even understand all the media attention. He’s simply trying to show his kids that material possessions aren’t everything in life and that they’re happy with whatever the outcome will be.

You can follow Didi and the Yolo family on Twitter where they are documenting their new world adventure @yolofamtravel

We wish them all the best!

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@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 19th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

All stocks seem positive over the past 24 hours but the Dow Jones is really flying. After crossing the 23,000 mark on Tuesday, it’s come up another 160 points on Wednesday, outperforming the rest of the stock markets by far.

Not that 160 points is such a big move mind you, it’s only 0.7%. The more impressive thing is that stocks just never seem to go down as they have adopted the famous fabled Tortoise’s attitude, “slow but steady wins the race.”

It’s now been almost two years since the last time the market has seen a correction of 10% (orange) and the Dow hasn’t even seen a 3% correction since April (yellow).

The Hare

If stocks are the Tortoise than bitcoin is the Hare.

Volatility on cryptocurrencies has been a marking theme of 2017 but in the last 2 weeks, it has been raised to a new level.

The following chart is a weekly candlestick chart. So just take a look at the last two candles. You can see last week’s gain was a total of $1300 from the low to the high. This week the action has been less one sided but not any less volatile, creating excellent opportunities for day traders.

There’s such a huge divide between bitcoin supporters and naysayers too. Yesterday, I read a 20 page report from UBS who was saying that they don’t see it as likely that Bitcoin will be majorly adopted in the future. Of course, they failed to mention that Japan is already well on the road to adoption.

This morning, I came accross this quote, which I found a bit extreme as well.


Tim Draper on Bloomberg Television

Certainly, if the financial revolution came that quickly it would have devastating effects. The world would probably benefit from some kind of middle ground between the two above opinions.

Something happening in New Zealand

I must admit that I hadn’t been paying that much attention to New Zealand’s recent elections but seeing the NZD tumble this morning is extremely exciting. The move seems to be based on the news of a new Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern.

You can see the huge move on the NZDUSD, which just fell below 0.7050 for the first time since May….

The reason that this dip is so excitng is that New Zealand currently pays one of the highest interest rates in the world. So entering a buy position in eToro you actually get paid to hold the position.

Against the USD, it’s not so much, just 15 cents on a 10,000 unit position. However, against the Yen or the Swiss Franc, you have a nice daily rollover…

For example, and of course, this is not trading advice, if you have a buy position on the NZDCHF of $10,000 on 25 times leverage you earn $18.79 per day regardless of what happens to your profit and loss.

This type of trading can be useful whether you are a tortoise or a hare or anyone in between. Wishing you an amazing day ahead!!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 88 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Bitcoin

John McAfee Just Made Some Bold Predictions for Bitcoin, Bitcoin Private

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Technologist and crypto bull John McAfee has made a series of eyebrow-raising predictions concerning bitcoin and bitcoin private. While McAfee is no stranger to gutsy calls, his new forecast sees bitcoin prices doubling in a matter of weeks. And yes, the forecast came after the Wednesday price collapse.

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McAfee Raises the Stakes on Bullish Bets

In a Thursday tweet, McAfee predicted the market will “turn” before June 12, which was the original date of the planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un of North Korea. McAfee’s algorithm expects a Korea deal to get signed on that day even as Trump signaled on Thursday for the cancellation of the meeting.

According to the post, McAfee expects bitcoin to surpass $15,000 in June before dipping again in July. Bitcoin bottomed below $7,300 on Thursday. It was last seen trading at $7,563.

Bitcoin private, the so-called meta currency that ‘merge-forked’ from bitcoin and Zclassic, is expected to hit $200  by the end of July. At the time of writing, BTCP was trading at $25.61, having gained more than 33% over the past 24 hours.

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BTCP entered circulation in early March as a fork from Zclassic, which itself forked from bitcoin. Bitcoin private is therefore seen as a ‘fork of a fork of a fork.’

McAfee also expects EOS to jump to $32 by the end of July from its current level of $12.48. EOS has skyrocketed to the No. 5 spot on the market cap rankings with a total value of $11 billion.

Institutional Demand

Earlier this week, McAfee heralded the arrival of institutional money to the cryptocurrency market, arguing that it will spark the next leg of the rally.

“Institutional investors are preparing to enter the cryptocurrency market with a vengeance” he tweeted Monday. “They are generally long term investors and will be pumping billions into the market. Expect the top ten coins to go through the roof fairly quickly. The bulk of alt coins will soon follow.”

Digital currency exchange Coinbase has expressed the same opinion and has launched a suite of products to ease institutional money’s transition to crypto.

Crypto analyst Tom Lee has also appealed to institutional demand to justify his bullish outlook on bitcoin in the face of multiple declines. In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee said institutional interest in crypto has only just begun and that demand will continue to grow once regulatory uncertainties are ironed out.

Lee maintains a price target of $25,000 for bitcoin.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 413 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Plunge Has Not Shaken Tom Lee

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Bitcoin’s latest technical breakdown hasn’t affected Tom Lee’s bullish outlook on the digital currency. The head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors is standing by his target of $25,000 by year’s end.

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Typical Volatility

In an email conversation with CNBC, Lee said the latest drop in market prices can be attributed to “typical market volatility” rather than any new underlying risks facing digital assets. He also identified three factors that will lead bitcoin to $25,000.

The first factor is cost of production, which Lee identified as anywhere between $6,000 and $8,000 during the most recent slide. This means bitcoin is still worth more than its cost of production.

In Lee’s view, growing institutional interest will also keep the market trekking higher in the intermediate term.

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Growing interest from institutional traders will also keep the market rallying for the foreseeable future. Banks and other financial institutions are still feeling their way into the crypto market and are looking for regulatory guidance on how to move forward.

In a Tuesday interview with CNBC’s “Futures Now,” Lee issued the following statement:

“I think institutional investors have gained a lot of interest, and they haven’t really come into crypto yet because there is still some regulatory uncertainty. But that sort of ultimate allocation into crypto as an asset class is going to be a powerful reason why bitcoin rallies.”

Lee also reminded investors just how quickly the crypto market can change. A historical analysis reveals that the entirety of bitcoin’s gains in any given year can be attributed to ten days. Without those days, bitcoin values are down 25% annually.

“So as miserable as it feels holding bitcoin at $8,000, the move from $8,000 to $25,000 will happen in a handful of days,” he said.

BTC/USD Price Levels

Bitcoin prices bottomed at $7,289.35 on Thursday, their lowest in about six weeks. The cryptocurrency has declined nearly 10% over the past week.

At last check, BTC/USD had recovered around $7,508 for a total market cap of $128.3 billion. Selling pressure brought more volume to the market, with total turnover in bitcoin approaching $7 billion.

With the latest skid, bitcoin is down more than 40% this year.

The market cap for all cryptocurrencies bottomed at $318.8 billion on Thursday but has since recovered to around $333 billion. The market is down nearly $60 billion from its Sunday high.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 413 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Spike Lower amid Regulatory Woes, Technical Breakdown

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Following a period of directionless range trading in the segment, cryptocurrencies got hit hard yesterday, on a very busy day in financial markets. The largest coins and small caps are down by 20% in two days on average, with the total value of the market declining by around $70 billion. The Indian tax plan, and the continued rise of the Dollar were among the triggers of the losses, and the move accelerated when key initial support levels were broken in the majors. The current selloff could be the last phase of the correction of the April run-up, as sentiment volume patterns and sentiment point to an approaching durable bottom.

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While the market managed to bounce in late trading, which extended to the Asian session today, now the coins are generally trading on new short-term lows after another wave of selling hit them. Correlations are very high, with only a few coins, Ethereum, Ripple, EOS, Tron, and Stellar showing some signs of resilience amid the rout.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin plunged lower together with the broader market despite showing some relative strength in the beginning of the week, and it violated the key support zone between $7650 and $7800 in the process, Now, BTC is trading just above the $7300 support, with the short-term momentum indicators in oversold territory.

The coin is still not a buy from a short-term perspective, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions yet. Further resistance is ahead in the key $8400-$8600 zone and between $9000 and $9200, while support is found at $7000 and $6750.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to be in a better technical position than BTC and the coin is trading in the strong support zone between $555 and $575 after falling below the $625-$645 zone. We still expect the uptrend to resume, and as the daily momentum indicators are also headed towards oversold territory, a long-term buy signal is close. Further support is found near $500 while above $625 the next main zone is between $735 and $780.

Ripple Holds $0.575, as Altcoins Trying to Find Footing

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

XRP is showing the most short-term promise among the top coins, holding up above yesterday’s low, while showing a positive divergence with regards to the 4-Hour MACD indicator. The recently rallying Tron is also relatively strong today, although it fell back into its previous trading range, while the other leaders of the April surge, IOTA and EOS are also stuck in declining patterns.

There are still no cons on a short-term buy signal and Bitcoin Cash, Monero, Litecoin, NEO, and Dash are among the laggards, but for now, the long-term picture remains promising for the whole segment.

Stay tuned for our long-term technical analysis coming out later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 256 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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