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Top 3 Price Prediction for Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum: Good Things Happen to Those Who Wait

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  • Signs of weakness appear while playing on the edge.
  • ETH/USD must lead now or suffer for months.
  • BTC/USD does not work for either side of the market.

The most rising value right now is patience. In a world where everything goes faster than our mind is capable of handling, patience is today a value that is not taught and even less praised.

However, in professional trading, being patient is an asset as valuable as money. They are directly correlated, the less patience, the less performance, and vice versa.

As one of our contributors, known as Colibri Trader, wrote:

Some traders fail to realize that to be successful will take time. They often fall prey to their own impatience in the hope of earning fast money. It could be a rough environment, and charts might be hard to read, so it is wise at times to step back in order to avoid costly mistakes. Don’t rush things out, or try to enter in a trade at all costs by just following your gut. The market could be quite tricky and often does send out the wrong signs. Wait patiently for the best opportunities to align themselves and then act mercilessly.

ETH/BTC Daily Chart

The ETH/BTC pair insists on testing analysts’ patience with their dangerous game on the edge of the bearish landscape. The setup says with clarity, perhaps excessive, that this point will not be passed and that this is the best point to enter long into the Ethereum.

The MACD in the daily range is turning bullish just above the line dividing the upside of the bearish side of the indicator. The DMI shows the bears with a slight advantage, but the fact that the bulls stay above level 20 adds bullish potential.

Perhaps too evident, although sometimes the market gifts money.

BTC/USD 240 Minute Chart

BTC/USD is currently trading at the $3,505 price level, moving away from the $3,530 price congestion resistance line.

Below the current price, the next support level is $3,460 (price congestion support). This price level separates the current, lateral scenario with the openly bearish scenario that the BTC/USD pair has already visited the first week of December. The loss of this level of support would mean moving quickly to the third level of support at $3,300 (price congestion support).

Above the current price, the first target is at $3.530 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $3,600 (price congestion resistance) and only a few dollars above the EMA50 at $3,609. The third resistance level is at $3,690 (price congestion resistance). If BTC/USD can conquer this price level, the strength of the bullish trend would quickly be tested with the SMA100 at $3,708 and then the SMA200 at $3,772.

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a flat profile that projects an imperfect trajectory towards an upward cut. This pattern usually produces bearish rejects.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart shows bears picking up inertia and increasing their trend strength. The bulls lose power and move below level 20, confirming the weakness of the buying side. The ADX begins to react to the bear’s dominance and confirms the increase in bearish trend strength.

ETH/USD 240 Minute Chart

ETH/USD is currently trading at the $117 price level, just below the $118resistance level (price congestion resistance).

Below the current price, the first support level is at $109.50 (price congestion support). Should the Ethereum lose this first support, the next support is at $105 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $97 (price congestion support).

Above the current price, the first level of resistance is at $118 (price congestion resistance). Above this first resistance the most critical area of the graph is presented immediately, with a second dynamic resistance at $122 (EMA50) that would give way to a rock wall at the price level of $130 (price congestion resistance) and reinforced by the SMA100 at $131 and the SMA200 at $133.

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a profile similar to that of the BTC/USD pair although in this case with a little more bullish inclination and therefore, more chances of success on the bullish cross.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart also shows differences from the BTC/USD. Here the bears follow a downward trend while the bulls remain at the same level in the last few days.

XRP/USD 240 Minute Chart

XRP/USD is currently trading at the $0.317 price level, above the $0.31 support level. Of the TOP 3 components of the crypto market, XRP is the one with the best technical aspect.

Below the current price, the first level of support is $0.31 (price congestion support), followed a little lower by the second level of support at $0.308 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $0.296 (price congestion support), a level that would already indicate a return of the XRP to the fully bearish scenario of early December.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is dynamic at $0.327(EMA50). The second resistance level is at $0.335 (price congestion resistance), followed by an obstacle race for the SMA100 at $0.34, a price congestion resistance at $0.345 and another dynamic resistance at $0.365(SMA200).

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows that there was a small bearish reversal yesterday. A second bullish cross attempt may occur today.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart shows the bears in an apparent decline. The bulls copy and withdraw as well, which shows a lack of confidence on both sides of the market.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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The “Accessibility Premium”: How Coinbase’s Overseas Expansion Could Affect Crypto Prices

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The accessibility premium refers to the affect on a cryptocurrency’s price when it is added to Coinbase. The $8 billion valued exchange is now looking to expand beyond its U.S-based institutional trading business to offer institutional services worldwide. Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, and Litecoin may end up being the greatest beneficiaries. These cryptocurrencies could gain from increased accessibility; the new “Coinbase Effect”.

In 2018, as the exchange added more cryptocurrencies, some writers wrote about a perceived “Coinbase Effect”, like Ari Paul. They theorize about an “accessibility premium”, in which those crypto-assets that are more accessible rise in price. With Coinbase bringing crypto to worldwide investors, it could bolster demand for those coins that are listed on the San Francisco-based “Goldman Sachs of Crypto”. They would be more accessible. When a new cryptocurrency or token hit the exchange, traders might expect a bump in price. 

On May 3, 2017 Coinbase integrated Litecoin, resulting in a 30% increase in the price. When Coinbase listed Bitcoin Cash on December 19, 2017, trading on global exchanges skyrocketed. Bitcoin cash closed at $4,000. Two days prior, its price had been $2,200. Volume increased from $2.5 billion on December 18 to nearly $12 billion on December 20 for a 380% increase.

Coinbase added Ethereum on July 21, 2016, resulting in a modest 14% rally. Things changed when Brave browser’s token, BAT, launched on Coinbase. It declined in price. Further data is needed to know the truthful dynamics. By the time BAT was listed, the price of crypto had long since started a consolidation, leaving sentiment low.

Fast forward Q1 2019, and Coinbase is expanding overseas. It is laying down infrastructure for the long-term as it looks towards Asian markets, amid moves to attract international institutional money to cryptocurrency trading. (Coinbase’s product GDAX offers US-based institutional trading) New traders might find Coinbase’s familiarity welcoming. Higher volumes would be to expected for the cryptocurrencies offered by the Silicon Valley giant. 

So, the popular exchange is undergoing an extensive expansion. Coinbase customers residing outside of the U.S. can now trade without a domestic bank account. This could be a boon to the prices of cryptos offered by Coinbase, led by Bitcoin.

There has been discussion about the correlation between simplicity and demand. Opinions on the effect ease of use has on demand are not entirely aligned. As Donald Norman says in his book “Living with Complexity”:

… the so-called demand for simplicity is a myth whose time has passed, if it ever existed.

Make it simple and people won’t buy. Given a choice, they will take the item that does more.

Features win over simplicity, even when people realize that features mean more complexity. You do too, I’ll bet. Haven’t you ever compared two products side by side, feature by feature, and preferred the one that did more? …

Would you pay more money for a washing machine with fewer controls? In the abstract, maybe. At the store, probably not.

Ultimately, Norman argues for managed complexity. But, the demand for simplicity – or at least clarity – seems logical in a chaotic, complex world. In a blog on their website called “The Customer Demand for Pervasive Simplicity”, Cisco writes of this perception, and how it tailors its products towards this end.

A bastion of crypto-simplicity, Coinbase has long courted institutional investors in the U.S., but now its targets are clearly set on a global institutional book. The stage is set for crypto’s first truly global exchange, though Coinbase will need to first successfully assimilate into new countries, with their unique business practices languages, laws, and regulations. Currently, differing regulations in different countries keep crypto’s exchange ecosystem quite regional.

Coinbase holds 5 percent of all bitcoin, 8 percent of all ethereum, and 25 percent of all litecoin in circulation in cold storage. Its success overseas would likely underpin their prices if the “accessibility premium” holds true.

Marcus Hughes, recently appointed as lead counsel for Coinbase in the United Kingdom, has been tasked with overseeing cross-border expansion: “Coinbase takes the long view on bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency prices,” Hughes said, “We need to move beyond the speculation phase of bitcoin and cryptocurrency to the utility phase.”

He added: “The utility phase will mean bitcoin and crypto becomes more widely accepted and understood.”

This solidifies bullish sentiment from the exchange which will be strengthened should it be successful in its bid to attract ‘big money’, not just from a core user base in the U.S. but also from thriving crypto markets in countries such as Japan.

Coinbase reports that, “In the past twelve months, hundreds of crypto-first hedge funds have launched around the world, and many hundreds more traditional institutions have begun [actively trading digital assets]. High-volume clients across Asia will now have access to Coinbase’s flagship trading platforms for institutions. As part of this rollout, we now support inbound and outbound international (SWIFT) wire transfers, allowing Coinbase clients in Asia to fund their accounts from non-US bank holdings.”

Coinbase predicts a bright future for digital currency in Asia, it says, and looks to enter into a market that could help it to cement a role as one of the global leaders in crypto trading. But there remains a big question mark over cryptocurrencies, prominently over how regulation is going to play a role.

Marcus Hughes opines that this year will see a “massive change” for global bitcoin regulation. He says that Europe will gradually lead the way out of a “crypto winter” into regulated digital currency markets with more potential for long-term stability. But, in the short term, irrational trading might paint an entirely different picture. 

As we see Coinbase invest in the long-term it bolsters confidence in a currently inhospitable climate for bitcoin. Should prices continue to fluctuate market sentiment may dip, but it is the notion of institutional money that may serve to give cryptocurrency markets much-needed price stability. 

Image: David McBee, Pexels

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsJustin O'Connell is the founder of financial technology focused CryptographicAsset.com. Justin organized the launch of the largest Bitcoin ATM hardware and software provider in the world at the historical Hotel del Coronado in southern California. His works appear in the U.S.'s third largest weekly, the San Diego Reader, VICE and elsewhere.




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Bitcoin Price Sees Renewed Stability as Average Block Size Reaches All-Time High

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Bitcoin’s price drifted slightly higher on Friday, as the potential for further downside continued to erode following a week-long drop in volatility. In terms of fundamentals, bitcoin’s average block size has reached a new record high, reigniting a long-standing debate over full blocks and the so-called capacity cliff.

BTC/USD Update

The bitcoin price is currently trading at $3,684 on Bitfinex, a figure is much higher than comparable exchanges and well above the average price quoted by CoinMarketCap. In terms of averages, bitcoin is presently trading at $3,637.69, having gained 0.7%.

Trade volumes have declined steadily in the latter half of the week. On Friday, 24-hour volumes dropped below $6 billion for the first time since Sunday. Market activity tends to decline heading into the weekend, which is understandable given the continuous 24-hour cycle of cryptocurrency trading.

BitMEX continues to be the single-largest virtual exchange market for BTC trades, though its share of total volume has fallen below 8%. Spot trading accounts for the remaining 92%. As Hacked reported earlier this week, derivatives trading has witnessed a substantial boost over the past six months, with “private bilateral” contracts valued anywhere between $125 million and $500 million per month. Read more: Bitcoin and Derivatives: Why $4,200 is So Critical.

Bitcoin’s modest upside has resonated with the broader market. Most of the top 20 cryptocurrencies reported gains Friday, dragging the total market capitalization back above $121 billion.

Average Block Size Climbs

Bitcoin’s average block size has surged through the first half of February, reaching the highest level on record, according to data from blockchain.com. The average block size peaked at 1.305 MB on Feb. 11, up from 0.899 MB the week before. The following chart illustrates fluctuations in the average block size going back 60 days.

At the time of writing, the average block size was 1.08 MB. This figure is updated continuously every 10 minutes.

In any case, the recent surge in block size has exceeded the previous limit of 1 MB established by the Bitcoin network. It has also reignited the debate over full blocks and their impact on the network. For some, “full blocks” essentially mean a backlog of transactions waiting to be incorporated into future blocks. This not only clogs up the network if blocks are consistently full, it raises the risk of long transaction delays and even outright rejection. This is a painful tradeoff for a network that is promoting bitcoin for everyday use.

Some members of the bitcoin community still advocate for smaller block sizes. They argue that large block sizes could increase centralization because it would mean that full nodes could only be run in large data centers.The debate over how to alleviate these concerns is still ongoing.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 769 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Morgan Chase’s JPM Coin: A Banker’s Intranet, or the First Major Attack on Bitcoin?

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JP Morgan Chase unveiled plans for its JPM Coin on Thursday, sending the cryptocurrency universe into equal fits of both rancour and rapture.

While some see institutional adoption of cryptocurrency as the most bullish news of 2019, many are not quite sold on the concept; and some are already fearing the emergence of a ‘Ripple Killer’ or even a ‘Bitcoin Killer’.

As ever, the truth is probably more subtle, and more interesting than the sensational headlines suggest.

JPM Coin ‘Would Have Pumped BTC’ In Bull Market

At the most extreme end of the enthusiasm spectrum we have the assertion by one ‘crypto influencer’ on crypto-twitter that JPM Coin would have have positive effects on Bitcoin in a bull market scenario.

“This JP Morgan news would have pumped $BTC $1000+ in a bull market…”

Of course, a $1,000 increase when BTC’s priced at $20,000 is very different from when BTC’s priced at $3,000. One would equal a 5% increase, and the other a 33.3% increase – but let’s not deprive influencers of their fun and games.

One thing that influencers are good for is that the following they attract (43k in this case) can be put to good use. The poll below, taken from a relatively large sample size, shows that opinion is split on what JPM means for the broader crypto market.

Poll results showing response to JPM Coin.

But let’s bear in mind that all that really happened was a new stablecoin was announced. The concept of it having a bullish or bearish effect on the cryptocurrency sphere is a loose one.

Bitcoin and Ripple Killer?

Any notion of JPM Coin being a Bitcoin killer was put to bed pretty quickly in this takedown by CCN’s P.H. Madore: Why JP Morgan’s ‘Bitcoin Killer’ Isn’t Even a Real Cryptocurrency – but that didn’t stop panic from spreading initially.

Where panic might be more readily directed however is in the vicinity of Ripple and XRP. Not to underplay some of Ripple’s payment solutions – which have already been massively adopted – but if major institutions now have the choice of doing business with JP Morgan Chase, or the often controversial, and relatively unknown Ripple Labs, which one are they more likely to choose?

A Banker’s Intranet?

Cypherpunk and maintenance man for one of the internet’s prime hubs of blockchain info, Jameson Lopp compared JP Morgan Chase’s stablecoin to private bankers intranets of the early 90s. He said:

“Banker stablecoins are a step forward, just as banker intranets were in the 1990s. Adoption of this technology will make the transition smoother when they are forced to capitulate and adopt the Internet of Money.”

This is probably a fairer assessment of the situation, and one that gives room for nuance – although the nuance is shattered by the cock-sure assertion that Bitcoin will become the internet of money.

Speaking of bankers intranets – one can imagine internet diehards complaining in the early 90s that the bankers were taking over their thing – their apparatus for freedom, from censorship and surveillance by corporations and the state – and that soon the internet would be taken over by the very people they had hoped to escape.

But that didn’t happen… did it?

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 144 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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