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Top 10 Cryptocurrencies are Tanking – Prediction of the Bitcoin Price in 2017 and 2018

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The major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin and Ripple are down by more than one to eight percent today:

Source: coinmarketcap.com

I want to let you know what I think of the cryptocurrency market we are facing, as I’ve experienced what is happening previously (2014-2015).

Source: coinmarketcap.com

Cryptocurrencies tend to operate in a triangle, where something sparks interest, media coverage, prices are rising, and everyone is “making money.” One could argue that the latest surge in bitcoin and ethereum price is driven by ICO-enthusiasm. The prices tend to drive sharply upwards until deposits are matched by withdrawals and “take profits”. I believe bitcoin hit that crucial target at $3000 per bitcoin, and I hate to say it, but if history will repeat itself, the bitcoin price, including other cryptocurrencies, might fall by 70 to 80 percent in the coming years (2017 and 2018). The hype seems to be over. ICO-scams are appearing, and you can expect negative media coverage going forward, demanding regulation.

Cryptocurrency investors are impatient, so when they do not see that the price is rising but standing still, they tend to get bored and anxious. This might lead to a selloff which creates more panic in the market, and then prices go down.

I want to prepare our Gold Members of such a scenario. Of course, I might be wrong, that in this case the price will keep rising to 1 million USD per bitcoin (lol), but my gut feeling tells me we are continuing down to at least $1000 per bitcoin within the coming years (let’s hope I’m wrong).

What does this mean for you?

You should not hold more funds in cryptocurrencies than you can afford to lose and still be happy. Do not bet everything on the magical cryptocurrency economy. Put more funds into ordinary assets like Gold, Silver, and even corporate bond funds as I have.

Next week, I’ll let you in on a little investment secret that I believe will be a killer in the coming years. And I’m going to buy more and more shares of the X in order to take a bigger part of X. I’m excited.

Have a good weekend all.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.2 stars on average, based on 55 rated postsFounder of Hacked.com and CryptoCoinsNews




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23 Comments

23 Comments

  1. Roberto

    July 1, 2017 at 2:30 pm

    70 to 80 percent drop. This is an unrealistic article and I can’t believe it actually got published.

    • gullyfoyle

      July 1, 2017 at 3:51 pm

      Have you measured the bear from the last bubble?

      • Roberto

        July 1, 2017 at 4:12 pm

        I just think 70 to 80 percent is unrealistic. Maby 50.to.60. Wouldn’t you agree?

        • gullyfoyle

          July 1, 2017 at 4:27 pm

          I measured it @ approx 65% sometime ago, value lost so I suppose I agree- as 50% retracement is my personal target. I was just surprised by your reaction to the article, it seems entirely plausible.

          • Roberto

            July 1, 2017 at 4:47 pm

            Let’s just hope we are both wrong. Thank you for quick honest response. Have a great day. Any thoughts on max coin?

        • gullyfoyle

          July 1, 2017 at 5:46 pm

          Dunno about maxcoin, unless there is something special about it (AFAIK there is not and it’s a Max Keiser P&D, which he subsequently dumped himself, so I’m guessing there is still a strong or some community behind it) I’d trade it but not hold. Just my opinion, but I know next to nothing about it since 2014.

  2. juliengro

    July 1, 2017 at 2:32 pm

    I believe you are 100 just.!!!
    I party is over until beginning middle 2018

  3. flogy4031

    July 1, 2017 at 2:55 pm

    well, beside trading crypto-coins do not seolve yet any real world problem. So you might be right, but I believe the hype will go on a little longer (3000 USD/BTC is not a vey powerfull psichological level). I think we will se at least one more wave up, though I believe two waves up to the “magic” 10.000 USD/BTC are likely. If by then we can not use coins to actually do something they might take a BIG fall. And who knows, we might see large sacale adoption as currency by that time, or we will se another blockchain becoming dominant and with real world applications (ETH,LSK,maybe XRP)

  4. alphadreams

    July 1, 2017 at 3:17 pm

    Even in Fibonacci pullbacks, 38.2%, 61.8% is standard, but 70.7% and 88.6% are common too. So it can happen with bitcoin too. Cryptos have be regularly pulling back 50% of just their bull runs, so as wild as “70-80” sounds, it is quite possible. This article is just asking people to use care as with any investment portfolio to diversify.

    Gold, for instance, was thought to continue to grow, and it may, but there are always pullbacks. As the asset grows… so too do the corrections. The percentages remain, but the dollar amount increases and you should use care. Especially if 70+ percent puts the price lower than your current average entry into the asset.

    I’ve attached a chart, where gold pulled back after breaking $1000 and was as high as $1035! Everyone was excited, there was still fear in the economy and gold was the safety. Then it pulled back 70% to $688 before a huge rally to $1920 range. It later pulled back 70% again to almost the previous high of $1035. I hope this illustrates how large these moves can be in assets that are not stocks/equities.

    https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/lFXnCM8Z-Gold-70-7-pullback/

  5. cryptopalevu

    July 1, 2017 at 3:19 pm

    Jonas thanks for publishing this. As you know with the exchanges being backlogged for verification and such a new space, it is not so easy to make the conversion from Altcoins to Fiat… strategies on how to do that as well would be welcomed.

  6. cryptopalevu

    July 1, 2017 at 3:44 pm

    Remember: the internet boom reached 3 trillion before crashing hard, and cryptocurrency market is at 100 billion.

    Also, as opposed to the stock market where stocks are sold to fiat, a lot of crypto is *reinvested* into more successful cryptos.

    Having said that, I realize that Bitcoin and Ethereum hold the vast majority of the $$ where as the internet stocks were much more spread out in wealth.

    My effort here is to consider all factors and make the right decision.

  7. visiondream3

    July 1, 2017 at 4:07 pm

    I think during this bull run, many people got in at around $2000, so I think that figure may be a watershed moment. If they are frightened to hold on when the negative news kills bitcoin again, it will be worse.

  8. pradz

    July 1, 2017 at 4:14 pm

    Thanks Jonas,
    For the article. Little bummed out by your views, but as with every problem I’m sure a buying opportunity is around the corner and I’m sure you and the Chartbusters will figure out where.

    “there something strange….

  9. Tommy

    July 1, 2017 at 9:52 pm

    There’s the time to panic and screaming ;P guess all my alt’s just went in for a loong ride now. better just hold, then panic sell at 30% down. idk if they go 90% down, until the day i actually have to sell . (or loose them)

  10. wolfye82

    July 2, 2017 at 8:43 am

    Hi Jonas, all. Interesting point of view and yes also a plausible scenario. One thing that should be taken in consideration is the investments that big companies like Microsoft, IBM, Accenture and also big Banks are making in blockchain technlogy (mostly ETH and XRP driven), investments that were not so common in the past…. So, my feeling is that the drop could be not so dramatic.

  11. Chris G

    July 2, 2017 at 11:12 pm

    Thus far, Mate Cser has been spot on in terms of trading predictions. And this recent bubble is def. reminiscent of the 2014/2015 surge that brought so much attention to BTC. That said, obviously I wish I had held long-term positions in BTC when the price was around $400. The general consensus at this point seems to be 1. hold a long-term position, while 2. profit taking during the bubble. In terms of Ethereum, I’m dug in with about a $20k investment in mining equipment that I view as part of a long-term position. But big thanks to hacked.com and particularly Mate, whose advice has me at +$10k on cryptocurrencies at the moment … only risk what you can lose on this one!

  12. birmas

    July 5, 2017 at 4:39 pm

    I went long on a bunch of alt coins that are currently stored with poloniex. What are your suggestions in a case like mine? Should I withdraw my coins to local wallets or leave them and wait for the bounce? Advice appreciated 🙂

    • eriore

      July 5, 2017 at 7:57 pm

      I would personally advise against leaving crypto you aren’t trading in an exchange. There is always the possibility they can get hacked and someone steal a ton of crypto, only store what you are trading on the exchanges and anything else you would like to hold on a local or hardware wallet.

  13. Mr. Anderson

    July 6, 2017 at 3:32 am

    I strongly doubt this will happen especially in that time span. Perhaps when coin distribution runs out however I still think that is a reach because the price will be far too high by then. This month seems to have the best chance at seeing 1k with the proposals looming however many other positive influences are occurring across the globe simultaneously.

    Bitcoin is just now picking up steam and being regulated into normalcy by many governments. Let’s not forget that blockchain technology is secure by default (on the chain – primary vulns are endpoints and centralized infrastructure and gaps are closing), globally fault tolerant, enabling financial freedom from banks and gov corruption, disabling fraud and so much more. Currency was just the first application to be put on top of blockchain. Most of the FUD being flung is from those who stand to lose their way of life WHEN this becomes mainstream IMHO.

  14. godishere

    August 18, 2017 at 3:15 am

    Lol gut feeling. You’ll miss out big time, the chart says it’s crossing $10,000 by the end of this year. Haha.

  15. duberz

    December 7, 2017 at 9:51 pm

    and now 15k lol

  16. scottolson

    December 15, 2017 at 4:11 am

    Hello from the future , 17k $ at the moment, the party is getting hotter. It’s seems like no one could predict bitcoins next spike. So you’d better invest and put ur money around the bitcoin’s mania. That’s exactly what Benjamin books teach us, don’t follow the crowd, thx for your valuable thoughts

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Plunges Below $6500 as Heavy Selling Resumes

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The cryptocurrency segment is having another very negative day after a calmer period, as selling pressure intensified yet again. All of the major coins turned sharply lower, with the laggards of the recent period, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash confirming their downtrend and the relatively stronger coins also taking a beating.

The total capitalization of the segment dropped below $270 billion, and from a long-term technical standpoint, several currencies are in precarious positions. With no clear news catalyst behind the move, technicals are playing a very important role, and last week’s lows will likely be in focus in the coming days.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is still relatively weak both on the short- and long-term time-frames, and it dropped back to the $6275-$6500 zone that has been acting as primary support during the recent leg lower. Given the importance of the long-term zone between $5850 and $6000, a break below $6275 could set up a crucial test in the coming days. For now, traders still shouldn’t enter new positions, while investors should hold on to their coins as the bullish secular trend is still intact.

No Hiding From the Selloff as Altcoins Broadly Lower

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the weakest coins leading the way lower again, new swing lows are likely in the majority of the coins, although there is still hope for bulls that a major long-term breakdown can be avoided. Ethereum fell below $500 after touching the declining short-term trendline, and it remains in a bearish trend, even as it’s still in a much better technical position compared to BTC, holding up well above the April lows, and being further away from last week’s swing low as well.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

 That said, we remain negative regarding the short-term outlook for the second largest coin, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.  Above the $500 level, strong resistance is ahead between $555 and $575, while primary support is found at $450, with further zones near $400 and $480.

BNB/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

There are no real hiding places for crypto investors from the current selloff even as Binance Coin is still holding up relatively well, within a clear uptrend and above crucial technical support.  That said, as we warned before, given the broad downtrend in the segment, traders should be cautious with new short-term positions.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 280 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Italy Spooks markets Again as Stocks Remain Under Pressure

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European stocks Led the way lower today despite a bullish start in Asia, as equities gave back their gains when Daimler published a surprising profit warning, which was deeply affected by the recent trade war developments, reigniting fears of a tariff-driven downturn in global trade.

DAX, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Old Continent got into more trouble later on, when two anti-EU officials were named in Italy, resurrecting fears of a clash between the systematically crucial country and the core of the Eurozone. Italian yields rose in European trading, and although they are still shy of the levels hit during the May scare, the periphery could be in trouble as the ECB pledged to exit the market by the end of the year.

Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The main European indices were smashed lower during the session, with the DAX hitting a two month low, still being very weak relatively speaking compared to its US peers. US stocks sold off heavily following the opening bell and they failed to recover, unlike two days ago, and the major benchmarks traded well below yesterday’s levels just before the close.

The Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 lost some of their recent mojo, pulling back heavily of the all-time highs during the day. All in all, the risk off shift continues to dominate across the board, as we expected and we remain negative on risk assets here, especially regarding emerging markets, even as the Dollar’s rally could be over for a while.

Dollar Pulls back as Pound Surges

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar took a beating as the Philly Fed Index came in much worse than expected, and as the Bank of England sent hawkish signals, pushing the Pound and the Euro higher. The central bank left its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.5%, but a rate hike this year got much closer, with a key member of the bank voicing inflationary concerns.

The Greenback fell more than what the events would imply, so a larger scale consolidation could have already started in the currency following the recent gains and the marginal new high yesterday. With the EUR/USD pair nearing the 1.1450-1.15 support zone, the USD/CAD hitting 1.33 and the AUD/USD touching 0.7350, a meaningful counter-trend move would be timely in the surging reserve currency.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold continued to drift lower before the Dollar’s reversal and it hit $1262 for the first time since lat December before bouncing back above the $1270 level in late trading. Crude oil also fell sharply in early trading, and the WTI contract traded with a $64 handle before rallying back to $66 per barrel.

The OPEC meeting, which is expected to result in a supply increase by the cartel made the crucial commodity very volatile in recent days, but we expect the bearish trend to continue, with a likely dip to the $60 level in the coming weeks.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Drift Sideways as Trading Activity Plunges

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Liquidity dried up in the cryptocurrency segment in recent days, as trading volumes have been declining progressively, while the major coins got stuck in tight ranges. Only a few coins show signs of activity, and the bearish short-term patterns continue to dominate the market. With a group of currencies, namely Litecoin, Monero, Dash, and Bitcoin itself clearly dragging the segment down, the short-term trend will likely continue, as the previous leaders are now showing strength either.

While all of the top digital currencies are showing some gains today, and the total value of the market edged close to $290 billion, major resistance levels are still towering above. The fact that the effect of the Bithumb hack faded away quickly is a positive here, but until signs of bullish momentum and a clear leadership forming, the short-term outlook remains bearish.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin continues to trade near the $6750 level, edging ever closer to the declining short-term trendline, in a bearish consolidation pattern. Bulls would need a sustained move above $7000 to negate the declining trend, but for now at least a test of last week’s lows is likely with a possible move towards the key long-term zone between $5850 and $6000.  The short-term zone around $6350 level provides support, while further resistance is ahead near $7350.

Ethereum Nears Trendline as ETC Attempts Breakout

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum has been among the strongest coins in the last few days again, and coupled with its long-term relative strength, the second largest coin is still the best candidate to lead a recovery. That said, the coin still faces strong resistance between $555 and $575, and bullish momentum is suspiciously weak. Primary support is found at $500 with further zones near $450 and $400.

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic has been positively diverging compared to the rest of the market, together with Binance Coin, and to a lesser extent Tron ever since its inclusion to Coinbase, and the coin moved above the key $16 resistance yesterday in late trading.

While ETC is slightly overbought from a short-term perspective, a consolidation above $16 and a subsequent move higher could confirm a trend change. For now, the short-term trend signal is only neutral, and traders should remain cautious given the broad downtrend in the segment

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 280 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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