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The Harder You Try

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Watching the images come in from Spain over the weekend it’s difficult to get over the shock. Government forces in black riot gear firing rubber bullets and beating the crowds back with batons. Men in masks forcefully entering polling stations and violently confiscating ballot boxes.

These are not the scenes we’re used to, not in Western Europe. The Prime Minister of Spain was quick to defend the actions of his Police force but by doing so he has played right into the hands of the Catalonian separatists. Every time he uses the term “illegal” to describe the referendum people are reminded about who makes the laws.

Polls from one week ago showed the chances of this referendum voting against independence. However, seeing an elderly citizen beaten with a stick has a way of swaying public opinion.

The separatists are now prepared to declare their own independence in the coming days. After all, now that the world has just seen a clear demonstration of their reason for wanting independence they have the upper hand and would be foolish not to press the advantage.

Sometimes the harder you try to stop something the likelier it is to happen.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

Muted Reaction

Gold as a Hedge

Crypto Dash

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 2nd. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

All things considered, the stock markets are doing quite well. Most major indices surged into the closing bell on Friday and are even opening the weeks with some gaps higher.

The only exception is the ESP35 in Spain, which did open with a gap down and though it did go down in the first few moments of trading has largely recovered already.

As we’ve discussed in the past, the stock markets used to be a good barometer for risk and an event like we saw over the weekend would have a tendency to push things down. However, due to central bank interference in the markets, this risk metric is now broken and European stocks will keep going up as long as they are supported by the ECB.

Gold has dropped almost $10 an ounce since opening last night. The world’s favorite precious metal has also ceased to be a barometer of market sentiment and is simply reacting to the strength in the US Dollar.

In this short-term graph, we can see that each sharp move down in gold is matched with a surge in the USDOLLAR (green line).

Many portfolio managers are still advising to store a percentage of your assets in gold on low leverage as a hedge against the USD weakness that we’ve been seeing since Trump took office. So the lower prices may provide a few excellent entry points for this strategy over the coming days or possibly weeks.

Crypto’s make another dash

Bitcoin and the crypto market is having a good start to the week. After a long weekend of mostly nothing, BTC has busted through $4300 a coin early during the Asian session this morning with volumes coming mainly from Japan and South Korea.

The next point of resistance on the chart is $4,500 (dotted yellow line). If we get beyond that it’s clear skies to the all time high of $5,000.

Going the other way we can see the rising support (green) line has already passed the $3000 mark.

eToro is very proud to announce that we have recently added the option to trade Dash!

This unique cryptocurrency is currently the sixth most valuable network with a total market cap of $2.4 Billion. Dash is a champion of online payments and even allows for small amounts to be sent completely anonymously.

Looking at the chart, we can see the trend is clearly up. However, there is some room for it to fall on in the near term.

Let’s have an amazing week ahead!!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 128 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Settle Down After End-Of-The-Day Bitcoin Madness

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While the short-term technical setup has been little changed in the cryptocurrency segment in the past 24 hours, a volatile dump&pump period made headlines in Bitcoin. The most valuable coin got smashed lower right before the futures market close, violating the $6275 support and plunging as low as $6100, triggering a downgrade in our trend model to neutral. BTC than surged higher a few minutes later and shot up to the $6500 resistance before settling down near $6400, where it stands today in European trading as well.

The possible manipulation event (or simply a closing imbalance in the futures market) dragged the rest of the market with it, although the moves were less pronounced in altcoins, and today, the market has been calm across the board, with most of the majors sporting modest gains amid the improving sentiment. On a positive note, Ripple is holding on to its gains from Tuesday, and today’s new swing high triggered a buy signal, which is a much-needed positive sign for the still generally bearish segment.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin’s long-term outlook is unchanged but the quick recovery from yesterday’s spike lower is a plus for bulls, even as the $6275 level is still in focus and the coin still haven’t shown strong bullish momentum.

With that in mind, traders should still be cautious with new positions, since the short-term outlook for the segment remains mixed, and BTC continues to trade dangerously close to the key long-term zone near $5850. Below $6275 further support is found at $6000, while resistance is ahead at $6500, $6750, and $7000.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to trade at a very important technical juncture, trying to establish a short-term uptrend after last week’s rally and avoid a re-test of the bear market lows. The fact that Ethereum remained stable amid yesterday’s Bitcoin move, and recovered to its short-term trading range is positive, but the coin has to show bullish momentum soon to remain on a short-term buy signal.

A sustained move below $200 would warn of a re-test of the lows but a new swing high could open up the way towards $235 and $260, with further strong resistance ahead between $275 and $280. Traders could still enter new short-term positions, but full positions are still not recommended given the bearish long-term trend.

Ripple Hits 1-Month High Above $0.35

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple is rallying again today, scoring a new high above the key resistance zone near $0.35 and triggering a buy signal in our trend model with the bullish swing. The next major resistance zone is found near the $0.42 price level, close to the dominant broad declining trendline, with a weaker short-term resistance level at $0.3750, the August spike high, and found at $0.32, $0.313, and $0.30. The coin is still on a long-term sell signal, despite the current move, and traders shouldn’t enter full positions here.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin is trading in a very narrow range today, and volatility declined progressively in since the selloff two weeks ago, which will likely lead to a strong momentum move as early as the coming days. A bullish move would be important for the whole segment, as it could point to a developing leadership, with Monero, Stellar, and Dash also being in possibly bullish setups. Primary resistance is ahead at $56, while support is found near $51.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 348 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Electroneum Coin Price Surges 31% On Launch of Instant Crypto Payment App

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The newly launched beta-version of the Electroneum mobile payment app went live this week. And as successful reports filter in from testers from around the globe, the good news is translating into positive sentiment on the exchanges for the ETN coin.

ETN Price On the Up

In the twenty-four hour period leading up to the morning of September 20th, ETN gained 31% on its value. The coin price climbed from the daily low of $0.005203, up to the latest peak of $0.006827.

New volume continues to pour in at time of writing, after climbing throughout the day from around $180,000 to $570,000 – just over a 216% increase. Weekly gains stand at 34%, but only really heated up in the last two days as news of Electroneum’s app came to be known.

ETN/BTC trades are the most dominant, with over 80% coming from Cryptopia and Kucoin alone. The coin had long been lingering outside the market cap top one-hundred after 85% losses from Q2 into Q3.

All-time lows were reached as early as April for ETN, and the coin continued to notch up new lows right through the year. Sentiment had perhaps soured on the coin after the company website suffered a DDoS attack in April of 2018, prompting them to lock user accounts and deny access to funds while they attempted to address the problem.

Electroneum App Rolls Out

The beta-version of the app was released this week, and Electroneum’s twitter feed was inundated with accounts from individual and business users who had successfully tested the product.

One video showed a merchant in Egypt demonstrate setting up the app to transact with the existing retail API most prevalent among retailers in the nation. Another batch of tests were carried out by users on Reddit, who successfully transacted some ETN between Japan and the U.S in a matter of seconds.

Last night, founder and CEO Richard Ells released this blog post celebrating what appears to be a successful beta-launch, saying:

“Easy access for users was the first step and we’ve now had over 1m app installs and we’re proud to say the Electroneum app has the same retention level as Instagram (®)!”

According to Electroneum, they currently have over 1.6 million registered users. If true, that would make it one of the most adopted crypto apps to date. The blockchain-based social media site, Steemit, has been around for over two years, and has just over 1.1 million registered users.

It’s worth noting that the app requires some level of centralization. Essentially it is running a centralized app on top of a decentralized blockchain. The company say this is required since waiting for block confirmations would make merchant payments impractical.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 58 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Altcoins

Five Bullish Coins That Have Bucked 2018’s Bear Market

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This year marked the third bear market in the history of Bitcoin; a year in which BTC lost 70% of its value, and the second biggest cryptocurrency, Ethereum, lost 85%.

Looking down the list of altcoins those numbers don’t get any better. At least not for the majority. However, there are a small handful of cryptocurrencies that have quietly bucked the 2018 trend, and have carved their own successful path through the crypto landscape.

Some simply weathered the storm better than others, while several diverged completely from the surrounding market. Here are five of the most bullish coins and tokens of 2018 so far.

Chainlink (LINK)

There was hesitance to include this token in the list since it followed the rest of the altcoin market in a 37% decline between the dips of April and June. But ever since then it has been nothing but upward trajectory for LINK as it maintained higher lows even throughout the dips of August and September.

Recent news that Bithumb is to add Chainlink resulted in another pump for the token in mid-September, and could help snare another higher low when the next dip comes.

DigiByte (DGB)

Lowers lows have been common throughout every dip of 2018, yet DigiByte has managed to achieve just the opposite. The DGB/USD valuation has been sustained by higher lows through every dip of the year.

From early April’s low of $0.016689, DGB went on to $0.018986 by the dip of late June – a 13.8% rise. For some perspective, Bitcoin lost around 10.7% in the same timeframe.

From there DGB kept on rising despite fluctuations, and by August’s dip had gained another 10.8% as it hit another higher low of $0.021042.

In fact, the dip of September 12th is the only time this year that the DGB valuation has recorded a lower low. The price of $0.020744 recorded on that date marked a 1.4% loss for DGB since the previous low, although it has since recovered 25% of that figure and returned to the $0.025 range.

Metaverse ETP (ETP)

Metaverse ETP sunk throughout the summer months like most, but from the end of June has grown 484% in value, rising from a valuation in the $0.50 range, up to the latest coin price of $3.14.

The rise of Metaverse throughout Q3 came as a surprise to many, and few have been able to pinpoint a clear catalyst. However, the coin is heavily traded against the Chinese yen, and is finds itself heavily wash-traded and used for transaction mining on the TOPBTC exchange.

Binance Coin (BNB)

Q3 of 2018 has been less kind to Binance Coin than the preceding quarters, but the fact that BNB has recorded net gains for the year makes it worthy of a mention.

BNB’s actual token price on January 1st was $7.96, meaning Binance Coin has grown 21% over the last nine months up to the current price in the $9.70 range.

At one point BNB had surged 119% for 2018 when it reached a valuation of $17.44 on June 7th, but that momentum couldn’t be sustained.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

Unlike some of the coins mentioned above, DOGE did fall to consecutive lower lows throughout most of 2018, but Q3 saw a brash reversal of fortunes as it was added to Yahoo Finance, and Elon Musk began to take an interest.

From August’s low in the $0.00214 range, DOGE climbed 161% to the currently traded price in the $0.00561 range, completely subverting the majority of the market in its ascendance from joke coin to trend setter.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 58 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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