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Technical Analysis: Crypto-Surge Continues with ETC, Monero, and Ripple Leading the Charge

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The historic rally in the cryptocurrency reached even higher today, with Bitcoin getting even closer to the $10,000 mark and some altcoins experiencing another day of lofty gains. Although today’s rise is not as broad as the rally of the recent days, the segment hit another all-time high regarding capitalization above the $310 billion mark, with BTC adding the most in market value again.

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The last major coin on a short- and long-term buy signal, Ripple, finally joined the party, as it surged past the $0.26 resistance and it’s now headed towards $0.30 after a lengthy period of relative weakness. The coin is still yet to turn overbought, and a rally past the long-standing resistance zone between $0.30 and $0.32 is now possible in the coming days, although the majority of the market is now ripe for a deep correction.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ethereum Classic scored the largest percentage gains today, and that triggered a short-term sell signal, so now we advise investors and traders to only keep their core holdings and wait for the next deeper correction to open new positions. Trailing stops are ideal for exiting trades during such break-outs, with the first major support zone only found at $23.

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin and Monero also gained further ground today, as the positive short-term signals remain active, while Ethereum continued to consolidate near our primary target at $475. IOTA hit a record high above the $1.1 level, despite its already overbought state, while Dash and NEO drifted slightly lower. Let’s see how the short-term setups of the majors.

Bitcoin

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is grinding higher today, with all eyes on the historic $10,000 mark, as public interest is at an unprecedented level towards the cryptocurrency. We expect a deep correction soon in the coin, as it remains severely overbought on all-time frames, with key support levels are still found at $7700, $7000, and $6700. That said, a short-term move above $10,000 is likely, as the uptrend is still intact.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to trade right at the $475 level, but it failed to launch an advance above the $500 mark so far, despite the broad rally in the segment. The short-term momentum is almost in neutral territory thanks to the consolidation, and another leg higher above the historic price level, towards the target at $545 is likely in the current cycle. Key support levels are still found at $400, $380, and $350.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Litecoin got even closer to its all-time high and the $100 level today, and the coin is likely to test both in the coming period, although a broad correction could drag LTC lower as well. Long-term investors should already be reducing their positions here, but traders should still play the rising trend, with support levels at $82.50, $75, and $64.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash remained relatively weak regarding the short-term picture after hitting out our final target for its break-out, with the $600-$625 zone still being in the center of attention. As the coin remains severely overbought regarding the long-term momentum, investors shouldn’t open new positions here. That said, with the short-term MACD almost back in neutral territory, and the uptrend still being intact, another push to new highs is possible.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero hit our next target at $180 today, with double-digit gains, and although the short-term trend remains intact, investors should continue to reduce their positions on the way up. We still expect a move to the $200 level, with strong support found at $150 and $125.

NEO

NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

NEO showed relative weakness today after yesterday’s bounce, but the long-term picture remains encouraging, as the coin is still not overbought. We still expect a move towards the $50 level, although the risk of a broad correction in the segment is rising, while strong support is found at $34 and $30.

IOTA

IOTA/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

IOTA surged past the previous all-time high at $1.1 amid the euphoric sentiment, but the coin remains extremely stretched regarding the long-term momentum, and now the short-term risk/reward ratio is also unfavorable. Investors and traders should now wait for the next deeper correction before entering new positions. Support below $1.1 is found at $1, $0.75, $0.64, and $0.56.

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Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 101 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Brentc

    November 28, 2017 at 10:17 pm

    Where can I get these alt coins in USA rather than Coinbase?
    Thanks

  2. Chris G

    November 28, 2017 at 11:16 pm

    thanks Mate – your perspective is always appreciated …

  3. akshayable

    November 29, 2017 at 8:34 am

    i entered etc at $33. Should i sell at a loss and buy again at a lower level or should i wait and price should come to 33$ again.

  4. Chris G

    November 29, 2017 at 4:59 pm

    this is starting to get crazy – good call on ETH, yet again

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Analysis

Daily Analysis: Stock Rally Fades as Walmart Weighs on Sentiment

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Monday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2715 -0.73%
DAX 12,487 0.81%
WTI Crude Oil 61.56 0.02%
GOLD 1331.00 -1.84%
Bitcoin 11720 6.24%
EUR/USD 1.2336 0.61%

It’s been another very hectic session in US equities, with the main indices diverging substantially, as it has been the case ever since the market made it back to the key break-down levels of the crash two weeks ago. The rally through those key levels was not an easy feat, as we expected, and although the Nasdaq cleared the hurdle last week, and even added a bit to its gains today in early trading, the S&P 500 and the Dow failed to follow the tech benchmark.

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S&P 500, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dow has been pushed lower by Wal-Mart (WMT) throughout the day, as the retail giant (now officially named Walmart) disappointed with its earnings report, with especially the crucial on-line segment missing the growth estimates, putting WMT’s quest against Amazon into doubt. Jeff Bezos’s crown jewel popped higher after the release and that helped to widen the gap between the Dow and the Nasdaq.

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WMT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

A monster-sized Treasury issuance was the other main event of the day, as bond markets are still nervous because of the rapid rise in yields, but the market absorbed the bonds without any major issues and yields finished the day little changed.

We maintain our bearish short-term view on stocks, despite the strength in the Nasdaq, and a test of the correction lows still seems likely in the coming weeks, but as the long-term uptrend is still intact short positions should still be treated as counter-trend trades, with strict risk management.

Forex Markets and Commodities

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar, which rallied strongly in early trading, remained stable compared to its main peers amid the Treasury issuance and the stock sell-off, with even the safe-haven Yen failing to rally against the Greenback. The reserve currency gained significant ground against commodity-related Aussie and Loonie too, and we expect that trend to continue, should the re-test in the stock indices materialize.

Oil had a mixed session, with an early rally and a late sell-off, similarly to stocks, as the further escalation of the Syrian conflict remains a gloomy option for the Middle East, while the broader market trends and the US supply surge are pushing the price of crude lower.

Gold also pulled back yet again of its rally highs, continuing its correction, as the Dollar strength hurt precious metals despite the late-day risk-off shift.

Cryptocurrencies

The segment had a mixed day, with Bitcoin gaining and most altcoins losing ground, in the wake of the bullish news flow surrounding the largest coin. The slight increase in volatility in US stocks “spilled over” to the crypto market in late trading, with most coins finishing the US session on a negative note.

While the losses were relatively small in most valuable digital currencies like Ethereum, Ripple, NEO, Bitcoin Cash, and Cardano, the real outlier was Litecoin, which pushed above $250 after breaking-out from its short-term correction, while also weathering the late-session sell-off.

Stellar/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stellar and IOTA were the weakest majors, losing more than 5% on the day. Stellar now gave back most of its post-crash relative strength, as it remains stuck in a broad declining trend, although it is still well above the crash lows, and a break-out remains likely in the coming week, similarly to the other slightly lagging coins.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Still Pushing Higher as Altcoins Mixed

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The day that kicked off in a bullish fashion for cryptocurrencies turned slightly negative for the majority of the coins in the second half of the session, as US stock markets re-opened after the long weekend. Bitcoin, Ethereum Classic, and Litecoin were the early leaders of the segment, but only the most valuable coin stayed bullish throughout the session, as both LTC and ETC ran into resistance in the second half of the day.

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BTC, which was boosted by the positive news regarding the Bitcoin Core Wallet’s SegWit introduction, topped $11,700 for the first time in more than a month, and the coin is getting close to the $200 billion mark in market value yet again.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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As the currency hasn’t completed the previous short-term correction, with the MACD indicator still showing overbought readings, another pullback in the coming days wouldn’t be a surprise, but the short-term uptrend is clearly intact.

The $13,000 and $14,250 levels are ahead as the next major targets, with a weaker level near $12,000, while support is now at $11,300, $10,000 and between $9000 and $9200.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As we mentioned, Litecoin and Ethereum Classic both pulled back in late trading, while the largest altcoins, Ripple and Ethereum failed to rally in the first place, as the majors are diverging considerably. XRP and ETH drifted sideways throughout the session, while turning slightly lower later on and Ethereum is still struggling with the strong resistance ahead.

The declining trendline is just above the current price level, and the short-term relative weakness reinforced our view that further correction is likely before a clear break-out, with key support levels found at $845, $740, $625, and $575, and resistance above the trendline at $1000 and $1175.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Pre-Market: US Stocks Return on a Bearish Note after Long Weekend as Dollar Rallies

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After the hectic session on Friday, US equities took a long break thanks to the Presidents’ Day yesterday, but the technical setup that we have been monitoring remained intact. The major indices formed a short-term top exactly in the Line-In-The-Sand area that seemed likely to stop the post-crash rally at least temporarily.

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S&P 500, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The key levels to watch during today’s session will likely be 2735 and 2700 in the S&P 500 (25350 and 24800 in the Dow), but below 2735 the benefit of the doubt is on the bears’ side.

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So short-term, we continue to lean on the bearish side here, at least short-term and we expect the market to head for a test of the correction lows in the coming period. European and Asian markets continue to underperform their US peers, despite the strength in the Dollar, and that doesn’t bode well for bulls, as Europe has been spearheading the decline so far.

Dollar Still in the Center of Attention

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Europe bounced higher today following the release of the better than expected (but worse than the latest) German ZEW Economic Report but that didn’t stop the drift lower in the common currency. The EUR/USD pair fell back below 1.2350 after the fake-out on Friday that indeed proved to be a bull trap as we speculated, and a test of the rising trendline is now possible in the coming days.

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

On a positive note, the main safe-haven assets, the Japanese Yen and Gold, are also losing ground to the Greenback today, and that could point to a less significant shift in the risk appetite of investors.

That said, commodity currencies are still under pressure, and they have been a good proxy so far for judging the risk-on/risk-off divide, and with oil and copper turning lower this morning, another round of selling could be underway.

WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Looking at the bond markets, rates are edging higher across the yield curve and the Volatility Index (VIX) is also on the rise again, and all looks set for another active day in US markets, with plenty of trading opportunities in equities and currencies alike.

We expect Wednesday to be the most interesting day of the week, as the arguably most important release, the FOMC meeting minutes will come out in late trading. Until then, the volatile, technicals-led trading could continue.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 101 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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