The potential of the cryptocurrency markets for intraday trading has seen yet another huge leap forward last night.
I mean, every trader knows by now that these markets have the ability to move fast but moves we’ve seen on Ripple are just ridiculous. Ripple tokens, known as XRP, have gone from less than 1 cent per coin on March 29th to more than 43 cents this morning!
Ripple is seen by alternative investors as being backed by the traditional financial institutions. The service is designed to replace the current Swfit system, which is slow and expensive and will soon be obsolete.
Last night, the founders of Ripple announced that they will lock up 55 Billion XRP in an escrow account in order to create price stability. However, since this represents more than half of the 100 Billion XRP total supply of the market, traders have increased the demand.
There’s no doubt in my mind that this is an extremely speculative market. The major banks have yet to embrace ripple and why should they?
Many of the largest banks in the world are working on something else at the moment, the Hyperledger. The Hyperledger project already has 110 of the world’s biggest financial institutions on board including American Express, IBM, JP Morgan, and the Bank of England.
Of course, we can’t really predict where this high-speed train will stop. It may continue on to $1 a coin or further, but what I can tell you is that financial institutions are not known to share their wealth. When they do decide on a blockchain they’re almost certain to ensure the money stays local and the public gets left holding the bag.
As we’ve seen many times before, all the headlines this morning are about President Trump but this time somehow seems different.
The controversies surrounding his Russian connection are almost too much for the broad markets to ignore. For now, the stock markets seem fine. Many analysts are calling this a “distraction” and all we’ve really seen is a slowdown of an extremely bullish market.
The currencies and commodities, on the other hand, are showing clear signs of safe haven trading.
After bouncing off support at $1216 a week ago, gold has continued to climb. Peter Fredy Burri has called the price beyond $1300 in this post on his wall.
As far as currencies go, when we’re thinking about safe havens, we need to talk about the Yen.
Here we can see the USDJPY falling about 200 pips over the last week, indicating that Asian investors are indeed looking for a safe place to stick their money.
The situation with Oil is a bit more sticky. Here, it’s not as clear if it’s leading the sentiment or following. I tend to think of it as the former.
After again failing to break the psychological resistance of $50 a barrel, we are seeing a bit of a pullback at the moment. The crude oil inventories out today could give some indication.
What is clear is that all investors are watching oil very closely at the moment. The Oil page on eToro is one of the most active market walls right now, aside from Bitcoin & Ethereum of course.
UK Labor & Earnings
With three weeks left to the general elections, the Labour party led by Jeremy Corbyn has finally released their mission statement.
It does seem like a lost cause for Labour at the moment as they are only showing about 30% of the total vote according to recent polls. As we get closer to the voting, this charade is looking a lot more like a walk in the park for Theresa May.
So far, and ever since May’s ‘clean Brexit’ speech on January 17th (blue circle), a stronger May and a stronger conservative party have led to a stronger Pound Sterling.
On the technical side, the GBPUSD is still trying hard to break above 1.3000…
Many thanks to everyone reading these daily updates. I really appreciate all of your support. Your questions and comments are what keep me writing.
This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation.
Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.
Asian Market Update – Wednesday: Asian shares trading higher as Communist Party Congress convenes in China
The Big Question: How will markets react to news out of the congress?
Major Asian equity markets were trading higher during Wednesday morning’s trading session, as markets in China and across the Asia Pacific watched the once-in-five-years meeting of the Communist Party of China in Beijing.
Wednesday morning, President Xi Jinping is delivering a hours-long speech, which can be compared to the US President’s State of the Union speech to Congress, addressing issues ranging from social and economic to military, and so on.
In China, the Shanghai Composite Index was up 0.27 percent to about 3,381 before midday on Wednesday. The CSI 300 Index, which tracks the 300 largest companies listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen, was up 0.48 percent to 3,931 before midday.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index edged up 0.01 percent to around 28,700 before midday.
In Japan, the Nikkei 225 was up 0.09 percent to around 21,354. The Nikkei remained in an uptrend on Wednesday, following recent record highs.
In South Korea, the Kospi was down a slight 0.15 percent to around 2,480 shortly before midday. Korean Peninsula tensions are rising again after a North Korean ambassador to the UN warned that a nuclear war “could break out any moment.”
Down Under, the ASX 200 also added 0.08 percent to around 5,894.
The economic data front remain relatively quite on Wednesday, with the biggest market driver today likely to be the Communist Party Congress in China.
President Xi, in his speech, repeated largely familiar themes in terms of economic policy, which included calls for continued implementation of opening and reforms of the Chinese economy.
Main Market Movers – Mid-day Asian Trading Session
|Indexes||Value at Midday||Daily Change|
|Japan- Nikkei 225||21,354||0.09%|
|China-Shanghai Composite Index||3,381||0.27%|
|Hong Kong –Hang Seng||28,700||0.01%|
Prices of cryptocurrencies pointed lower overnight during the Asian trading session on Wednesday.
As of midday in Asia, bitcoin was down 1.67 percent to $5,503, that’s about $60 lower than the same time on Tuesday. However, the overall pattern is still showing a healthy consolidation in bitcoin above the support level at $5,500.
Ethereum lost 2.74 percent to about $307 before midday. Ethereum is now near the $300 level after recent surges to as high as $340.
Litecoin was down 3.28 percent to about $57 at midday. Litecoin has now dropped below $60 after several days above that level.
The Japanese yen lost 0.07 percent the US dollar at midday Thursday to 112.25 per dollar.
The Chinese yuan gained 0.2 percent against the US dollar, trading at 6.609 per dollar.
The Australian dollar gained 0.03 percent on the dollar, changing hands at 1.2742 per dollar at midday.
WTI Oil was flat for the day, trading at $51.90 per barrel.
Brent Crude gained a slight 0.28 percent to $58.21 per barrel.
Gold was up 0.11 percent to $1,286 an ounce.
Business News across Asia
In China, of course, the focus of not only Chinese state media but foreign media outlets is on the speech by President Xi Jinping. As mentioned above, the speech covers a wide range of topics. But if you only take one thing out of it, here it is:
Take away: President Xi reaffirmed earlier calls for opening and reform plans, trying to reassure foreign companies about market conditions and access. Though that’s just talk now, but a talk like that in a such a big meeting, carries a lot of weight.
Featured image from Wikimedia Commons.
Dow Jones Hits New Record After Brief Stint at 23,000
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to New records Tuesday, powered by stronger than expected earnings for major health blue chips.
Dow Touches 23,000 In Intraday Trade
The blue-chip index briefly traded above 23,000 before paring gains to settle a mere three points shy of the milestone. The index rose 0.2% to 22,997.44 for a new all-time record.
Sixteen of the Dow’s 30 index members contributed to the rally. UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and Johnson & Johnson were the best performers after each reported earnings that beat forecasts.
On the opposite side of the ledger, Goldman Sachs (GS) shed 2.6% despite posting better than expected Q3 results.
With the gain, the Dow has now finished in positive territory in 12 of the past 15 sessions. Over that period, it has added 3.2%.
The broader S&P 500 Index also climbed to new highs Tuesday, adding 0.1% to finish at 2,559.36. Health stocks led the gains, climbing 1.3% as a sector.
Meanwhile, the tech-driven Nasdaq Composite Index pared losses to settle flat at 6,623.66.
However, the gains on Tuesday were accompanied by a mild increase in volatility, with the CBOE VIX settling in the double digits for the first time in a week.
Economic Data Largely Positive
The latest batches of industrial production and housing data painted a favorable picture of the U.S. economy. Industrial production – the broadest measure of factory output – rose 0.3% in September, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. Analysts had forecast an increase of 0.2%.
A closely watched measure of housing market conditions also strengthened more than expected this month. The National Association of Home Builders’ housing market index climbed four points to 68 for October. That was the highest level in five months.
Upbeat data helped the U.S. dollar notched its fourth consecutive gain on Tuesday. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) climbed 0.2% to 93.51.
The dollar strengthened against the pound and euro, while paring gains versus the yen and loonie.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Daily Analysis: Dollar Rally Continues amid Fed Chair Confusion
Tuesday Market Recap
|Asset||Current Value||Daily Change|
|WTI Crude Oil||51.53||-0.66%|
Yesterday’s trends are mostly continued in financial markets, such as the low-volatility levitation in stocks and the slightly more active trading in currencies with the apparent Dollar strength. The Great British Pound continued to be under pressure amid the amplified Brexit-related worries, but most of the other majors also lost ground to the Greenback.
The Dollar rally has been fueled by the rise in the odds of some of the hawkish Fed Chair candidates, while overall, the “race” for the positions looks more chaotic than ever. Interestingly, the long-end of the yield curve is refusing to follow the short-term moves, and without the effects of the Fed’s QE program, the yield curve would probably be inverted by now, signaling strong recession risks.
Dollar Index (DXY), 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The major stock indices are virtually unchanged yet again and even the previously surging Nikkei entered a consolidation, adding to the unusual October lull. Commodities have been quite active thanks to the Dollar’s vigor, with crude oil and gold both turning lower. Oil gave back most of yesterday’s gains as the Iraqi-Kurdish conflict turned out to be less violent than previously feared, and the brief rally fizzled.
WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The major coins are having a mixed session at best, as yesterday’s rebound wasn’t durable, and most of the coins turned back lower again. That said, despite the recent choppy price action, the total market cap of the segment is close to its all-time high, even as only Bitcoin is trading near its own record price level.
The optimism regarding Ethereum major Byzantium upgrade wasn’t enough to lift the second most valuable coin today, and the price of the ETH token retreated below the key $330 level after touching $350 yesterday after the upgrade’s lock-in. Ripple and NEO have been among the most active majors today, but with opposing performances, as Ripple fell significantly after yesterday’s break-out attempt, while NEO defied gravity and jumped above the $30 level after a corrective period.
BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The S&P 500 is grinding higher despite the overbought short-term momentum readings, and the benchmark is trading very close to its all-time high. The 2550 level is still in focus, but until volatility remains near record lows, the minuscule moves are unlikely to change the technical setup. While a sudden drop in prices could quickly negate the recent break-out, the consolidation could very well lead to further upside, as bulls remain firmly in control, despite the lofty valuation levels.
S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Economic Releases on Tuesday
|02:30||AUSTRALIA||RBA Meeting Minutes||–||–||–|
|15:15||US||Capacity Utilization Rate||76.00%||76.20%||76.10%|
Featured image from Shutterstock
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