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Market Update: Volatility Makes a Stunning Return as Trade Risks Sink Global Stocks

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Wall Street and international stocks declined sharply Monday amid rumors the Trump administration was planning to widen its trade war with China.

Volatility Spikes

All of Wall Street’s major indexes fell hard in the first session of the week. The large-cap S&P 500 Index declined 1.7% to 2,717.07, with nine of 11 primary sectors finishing lower. Shares of information technology fell the hardest, declining 2.3% as a sector. Materals, energy and discretionary shares each fell more than 1.5%.

Dow industrials plunged more than 400 points in intraday trading before paring losses in the final hour. The blue-chip index closed down 328.09 points, or 1.3%, at 24,252.80.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index posted the biggest losses percentage-wise, falling 2.1% to close at 7,532.01.

The stock-market selloff triggered a sharp rise in implied volatility, with the CBOE VIX hitting its highest level in three-and-a-half months. Wall Street’s preferred measure of investor anxiety reached a session high of 19.61, which is not far from the historic average. The index would later settle at 17.33, having gained more than 25%.

Implied volatility tracks inversely with the S&P 500 Index roughly three-quarters of the time. Volatility has been ebbing back into the market since early February as investors began to anticipate faster interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

Global equity prices also fell hard on Monday. All of Europe’s benchmark indexes finished lower, with Euro Stoxx 50 Pr shedding 2.1% to 3,369.21.

In Asia, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 fell 0.8% to 22,338.15. Mainland China’s CSI 300 Index declined 1.3% to 3,560.48.

Trade War Escalates

Underpinning the latest tumult on Wall Street was a report that President Donald Trump is planning to restrict Chinese access to U.S. technology through a comprehensive ban on investments and exports.

The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that Washington seeks to bar Chinese companies from investing in U.S. technology. The report also said the White House wants to block additional technology exports to the world’s second-largest economy. According to WSJ, the new measures will be announced by the end of the week.

However, the report was later dismissed by Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who issued the following tweet:

“On behalf of @realDonaldTrump, the stories on investment restrictions in Bloomberg & WSJ are false, fake news. The leaker either doesn’t exist or know the subject very well. Statement will be out not specific to China, but to all countries that are trying to steal our technology.”

President Trump earlier this month slapped a 25% levy on up to $50 billion worth of Chinese imports and threatened more tariffs if China retaliates.

Cryptocurrencies Come Off Year-to-Date Lows

The cryptocurrency market staged a modest relief rally Monday, as bitcoin successfully defended a key inflection point and the major altcoins stabilized over a 24-hour period.

Cryptocurrencies as a whole saw their market capitalization rise to $259.1 billion after hitting a low of around $235 billion over the weekend. Bitcoin rose a modest 1% compared with Sunday, with prices hovering around $6,262. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap fell below $5,800 Sunday afternoon, reaching its lowest level so far this year.

Ethereum, Ripple XRP and bitcoin cash all recorded modest gains compared with 24 hours earlier.

Trading volumes have picked up in recent days. Daily turnover on Monday approached $18 billion for the first time in two weeks, with bitcoin’s share of total transactions falling below 30%.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 498 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Market Overview

Market Update: U.S. Stocks Rise After Fed Chairman Testimony; Earnings in Focus

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U.S. stocks rebounded Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress that economic growth and inflation should keep the central bank on track to raise interest rates later this year.

Stocks Rise

All of Wall Street’s major indexes reported gains on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq Composite Index returning to record territory. The technology-focused average climbed 0.6% to 7,855.12.

The broader S&P 500 Index rose 0.4% to close at 2,809.55, with seven of 11 primary sectors finishing in positive territory. Materials stocks were the biggest gainers, rising 1.3% as a cluster. Technology, consumer staples and healthcare stocks also outperformed the broader market.

Dow industrials gained 55.53 points, or 0.2%, to close at 25,119.89.

Expectations of 30-day volatility drifted toward six-month lows on Tuesday in a sign of prevailing calm on Wall Street. The CBOE VIX Volatility Index declined 6% to 12.06.on a scale where 20 represents the historic average.

Powell Testifies

Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Congressional hearings began Tuesday in a session chaired by the Senate Banking Committee. Though not appearing overly hawkish, the Fed leader indicated that short-term interest rates are likely headed higher in the coming months.

“Overall, we see the risk of the economy unexpectedly weakening as roughly balanced with the possibility of the economy growing faster than we currently anticipate,” Powell said.

He added: “The unemployment rate is low and expected to fall further. Americans who want jobs have a good chance of finding them.”

The Fed’s policy-setting board is scheduled to meet July 31 but is not expected to raise interest rates again until the September gathering. Policymakers and investors have priced in two more upward adjustments this year to the federal funds rate.

Powell will resume his testimony on Wednesday.

Earnings in the Spotlight

With corporate earnings season in full swing, investors are closely monitoring top- and bottom-line results of S&P 500 companies.

Netflix (NFLX) reported weaker than expected subscriber growth late Monday, sending share prices sharply lower. According to The Wall Street Journal, the stock was poised for its single-worst session in two years.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) posted bottom-line results that were higher than expected, but rising legal costs weighed on share prices. The Wall Street giant reported per-share earnings of $5.98, crushing forecasts for $4.66. Organization-wide revenue jumped 19% to $9.40 billion, compared with estimates for $8.74 billion.

The earnings season is off to a positive start with roughly nine of ten S&P 500 companies posting stronger than expected profit results. However, as of Friday, only 5% of the S&P 500’s constituents had reported.

Despite the robust results, half of the S&P 500 companies that reported as of Friday said currency swings had a negative impact on their business. After a disastrous start to the year, the U.S. dollar index has returned more than 6% over the past three months. DXY rose half a percent on Tuesday.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 498 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Market Overview

The King is a Fink

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Hi Everyone,

It’s true, I’ve always enjoyed reading the paper. When I was younger I used to track the price of gold daily in my grandfather’s copy of the Wall Street Journal. Before that though, I was drawn to the funnies.

The Wizard of ID is a classic. For those of you who aren’t familiar, it’s about a tyrannous but stout dictator, who hated it when people would call him a “fink,” even though the term has many meanings.

Speaking on Bloomberg yesterday, Blackrock’s CEO Larry Fink weighed in on many important issues including the ongoing trade wars as well as shooting down recent rumors that Blackrock is about to get into crypto.

The full video can be found here:

With $6.28 trillion under management, Blackrock is one of the largest financial institutions in the world and Fink is definitely the king. So it pays to listen to what he sees from this unique point of view.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Trumputin Turning Heads
  • Earnings Season (New Tool)
  • 75 Lambo Traffic Jam (New Research Paper on ADA)

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of July 17th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

Shock and awe were witnessed on the global main stage yesterday at the Helsinki Imperial Palace, where President Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump made jaws drop by aligning themselves on more than a half dozen hot button issues.

Picking up the most headlines was this statement, where Trump seemed to side with Putin over his own Intelligence Agency. Yet, despite the calls of “treasonous trump” from both Democrats and Republicans, the best the American people can hope for are some fair and compelling conclusions from special investigator Robert Mueller.

Meanwhile, stock markets are firmly in the red in Asia and Europe this morning as talk of a trade war and Fed tightening overshadow bullish investor sentiment.

Later today, about 30 minutes after the opening bell on Wall Street, we’ll get a special spectacle. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be in front of the US Senate Banking Committee, in addition to his prepared statement, there’ll also be a Q&A session. Should be fun to watch.

Earnings Season Underway (New Tool)

For those of you holding individual stocks, which I hope is most of you, earnings reports are important. Yesterday, some sour earnings sent Netflix down by nearly 15% after hours.

In order to help you keep better track of these opportunities, we’ve put together a nifty tool to help you keep track of which companies are about to publish their results.

Please bookmark this page: https://www.etoro.com/investing/earnings-reports/

Simply scroll down to see the schedule, as well as the forecasted EPS. If you’re interested in a specific stock, you can click the “+” button to add it directly to your watchlist. As well, you can search directly for upcoming announcements by company or by a future date.

Ether Spammer

Five million green teas, 75 Lambos, 25 Coinbase seed rounds, or 0.9% of the Telegram ICO.

According to Vitalik Buterin, that’s what it’s costing someone to spam the Ethereum network. On Sunday, the Ethereum network was clogged pretty much the entire day reaching a peak of 62,715 unconfirmed transactions at one point.

The miners were able to get that number down to under 10,000 this morning but the two nasty spikes last night along with Vitalik’s tweet indicate that some malicious player may be intentionally creating activity on the network in order to slow it down.

While Ethereum is by far the most popular platform for dApps at the moment, it’s clear that if they don’t scale quickly it may not stay that way forever.

New Research Paper (ADA)

Several blockchain 3.0 competitors are already under construction and after looking at all the top contenders, we’ve found that one of the most promising ones is Cardano.

For your convenience, we’ve put together the following research paper in order to assist you to make the best possible investment decisions when considering this unique and exciting token for your portfolio.

Please find the new research paper at: eToro.tw/Research-ADA

As with all emerging technologies investing in this project may be risky. Because the network is still in its infancy, we really have no way of pinpointing exactly what each ADA token should be worth and so should only be used as a small part of a well-diversified portfolio.

Let’s have an awesome day ahead!

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.

The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

Best regards,
Mati Greenspan
Senior Market Analyst

Connect with me on….

eToro: @MatiGreenspan | Twitter: @MatiGreenspan | LinkedIn: MatiGreenspan | Facebook:MatiGreenspan

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 114 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Market Overview

Market Update: U.S. Stocks Under Pressure Following Trump-Putin Summit as Oil Prices Hit Three-Month Low

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U.S. stocks finished mixed to lower on Monday, with sectors tied to commodities shouldering the majority of the losses following a major rout in oil prices.

Stocks Mostly Lower

The large-cap S&P 500 Index fell 0.1% to close at 2,798.43, with eight of 11 primary sectors finishing in the red.

Energy stocks were the worst performers, falling 1.2% as a cluster, as oil prices plunged to their lowest levels in three months. Materials and industrials followed suit.

Declining technology shares bumped the Nasdaq Composite Index from all-time highs. The index closed down 0.3% at 7,805.72.

Dow industrials bucked the downtrend, gaining 44.95 points, or 0.2%, to 25,064.36.

The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the VIX, jumped more than 5% on Monday to close at 12.83. The so-called “fear index” briefly traded at six-month lows on Friday.

Trump-Putin Summit a “Good Start”

U.S. President Donald Trump says his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in Helsinki was a “good start” in normalizing strained relations between the two superpowers.

Prior to the meeting, President Trump blamed previous administrations for the worsening relationship between both countries. Trump doubled-down on that message in a joint session following the meeting.

“I hold both countries responsible. I think that the United States has been foolish. I think that we’ve all been foolish. We should have had this dialogue a long time ago, a long time, frankly, before I got to office,” Trump said.

Although it’s not entirely clear what the two leaders talked about, various news sources have confirmed that talks went into a working lunch after two hours of closed-door talks. U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton confirmed that the meeting had no set agenda.

Many within the Washington camp wanted the meeting to be cancelled after 12 Russian military agents were charged with hacking the presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton.

Cryptocurrency Market Recovers

Bitcoin and other crypto-assets swung back into positive territory Monday amid reports that BlackRock, one of the world’s largest asset managers, has assembled a working group to explore digital currency adoption.

Cryptocurrencies added $15 billion in market capitalization over 24 hours, with the bulk of the gains occurring shortly after the BlackRock report hit the airwaves. The total market peaked near $271 billion, according to CoinMarketCap, as trade volumes spiked 34% to $13.8 billion.

The bitcoin price reached a high near $6,690 as trade volumes topped $4.9 billion. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is closing in on last weekend’s swing high near $6,900. Prices have failed to breakout of the $7,000 ceiling in well over a month.

In terms of percentage growth, bitcoin cash was the best performer in the top-ten, rising 9.5% to $795.

Ethereum prices jumped 5.6% to $477 while EOS gained 8% to $8.02.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

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4.6 stars on average, based on 498 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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