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How Many Blockchains Does The Future Hold?

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We’ve seen the successful execution of dozens upon dozens of ICOs on the Ethereum platform. In too many cases, these ICOs just wind up being a useless token of thanks and their value tends toward zero. In plenty of cases, the token is a valuable part of a system. In either case, one ecosystem can only facilitate so many tokens at a given time. If too much traffic develops on one chain, it becomes increasingly expensive to transact upon that chain, and so other chains are sought.

This is the question to explore, then: what other chains will become necessary? We’ve seen the news of the Red Pulse ICO, both positive and negative, and news of Chinese interference in the ICO market as a whole, have a severe impact on NEO, which itself launched from an ICO basis. Other alternatives include the more obvious Ethereum Classic, whose primary difference from Ethereum is that its token holds less base value. Platforms like NXT gave rise to IOTA, one of the highest-performing ICOs of all time.

While every chain must have a base token with some value, how many chains, really, does the world of the future need? Are there even enough currently in existence?

Others are sure to follow. The author thinks: the more, the merrier. But this has long been counter-logical. Instead, we’ve been taught that the so-called “network effect” of each chain would eventually dissipate toward a dominant master chain. While this hasn’t turned out to be true, one wonders how much room there is at present time and in the future for all the tokenized chains. Let’s have a look at the price of the tokenized chain base coins, in ascending order:

  • NXT – $0.08
  • Waves – $4.40
  • Counterparty – $11.29
  • Ethereum Classic – $14.89
  • NEO – $23.61
  • Ethereum – $291.76

Collectively, these networks add up to a market capitalization of around $30 billion. If they each were to continue to grow independently of each other, instead of follow the old theory of them eventually merging into one (in their case, Ethereum since it is presently in the lead in both metrics, and users, and tokens), then this figure alone could broach $100 billion within the next two or three years, given the growth that they’ve seen in the same time to date. Many of these chains are relatively new and still retain network gross values that would lead oen to believe otherwise. The main thing holding the non-Ethereum chains back (Counterparty excluded, since it is Bitcoin-based and its future remains uncertain as regards the capacity of the Bitcoin network for regular transfers) is a lack of utility provided by tokens.

NEO has seen more activity than others in this regard, but we think that all of them have the potential to explode once they have demonstrative successful use-cases which have the potential to enter people’s daily lives. The ideal chain, after all, is the one that no one sees unless they need to. Simply allowing consumers to interact with revolutionary blockchain tools without having to know what they’re doing, in the same way that banks have previously allowed people to interact with the financial system, will in the end lead to great mass adoption.

The author concludes that we probably don’t yet have enough blockchains to facilitate the widespread and decentralized revolution of tokens that society will be undergoing in the coming months and years. We also learn, from the example of NXT, that the value of the chain’s base token does not need to be high in order to produce results for tokens built on them – the example of IOTA, which retains a price of 54 cents to NXT’s 8 cents, but was built on the NXT platform, tells that story.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsP. H. Madore has covered the cryptocurrency beat over the course of hundreds of articles for Hacked's sister site, CryptoCoinsNews, as well as some of her competitors. He is a major contributing developer to the Woodcoin project, and has made technical contributions on a number of other cryptocurrency projects. In spare time, he recently began a more personalized, weekly newsletter at http://ico.phm.link




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Altcoins

Lisk (LSK) Pushing for Momentum as Marketing Chief Responds to Over-Hyped Claims

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Lisk (LSK) trailed on the edges of Tuesday’s altcoin surge which saw more than a dozen alts increase by between 7% and 40% in value.

One day previously, the project’s head of marketing, Thomas Schouten, took to Reddit to respond to the recent assessment by William Mougayar that Lisk was among multiple blockchain projects which he regarded as ‘over-marketed’.

Mougayar is a venture investor and advisor, and author of The Business Blockchain, which boasts a foreword by Vitalik Buterin. Shouten’s regard for Mougayar’s opinion was such that he felt compelled to respond to the criticism.

Is Lisk Over-Marketed?

As you can see from Mougayar’s graphic, Lisk joins the likes of EOS, Tron and XRP (here referred to as Ripple) in the over-marketed category. Mougayar stated:

“I’ve classified some projects in 3 buckets: Right, Under & Over Marketed. It is based on their own or community-driven activity. I understand some will push back, but this is how I view the market today.”

The tweet followed the author’s post from the previous day titled ‘Marketing Strategies and Practices for Blockchain Projects and Startups’. The post makes a nifty read for those interested in the marketing side of blockchain; why more money doesn’t always breed more success (he’s looking at you, EOS); and the difference between branding and visual identity.

“Over-marketed means the claims are ahead of delivery or being hyped. Under-marketed means the potential of the product is not well messaged into the market.”

Many of the tweet’s 130 comments came from disgruntled coin holders intent on defending their respective projects – in response to which Mougayar added:

“…the classification has nothing to do with the products/services of these companies… I didn’t include all blockchain projects, but selected ones that I was familiar with and that were significant enough to use as a representative sample.”

Lisk Head of Marketing Responds

The response by Lisk’s Thomas Schouten was less hostile than you might expect. He conceded that Lisk had indeed been over-marketed to an extent:

“William’s definition of over-marketed is “claims are ahead of delivery or being hyped”. To a certain degree, I agree with his judgement… I feel that too often our team has predicted progress that could not be delivered in the end. We have learned from this the hard way.”

However, Schouten also pointed out that many of the so-called ‘right-marketed’ projects happened to be exchanges, while most ‘over-marketed’ projects happened to be platforms.

“Coincidence? No. To me, comparing an exchange (for-profit) with a working product and profitable business model, to open-source blockchain platforms in development (non-profit) is comparing apples with pears.”

Lisk Price

While LSK did record 3.3% gains against the dollar, and over 4.4% against BTC on Tuesday, momentum was hard to come by. LSK/BTC on Binance moved from $0.0003368 up to $0.0003518, while the dollar valuation rose from $1.19 to $1.23.

The daily trade volume of $3.6 million was a $400,000 increase from the previous day – not insignificant, but nowhere near the trade influx seen by some of the day’s major movers.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 125 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Cryptocurrencies

Can EOS Overcome the Bear Market?

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Since concluding its year-long crowdsale, EOS has quickly emerged as one of the world’s leading cryptocurrencies. This was highlighted not only by its rapid growth during the bear market, but by its ability to attract hundreds of developers and enterprises to its protocol. As the bear market drags on, there are several compelling reasons why EOS could have staying power in an industry facing constant pressure and change. (Note: the author has no investment stake in EOS or its parent company, Block.one).

EOS: A Look at the Benefits

Block.one, the company behind EOS, recently published four reasons why developers are migrating to the EOSIO protocol. They include scalability (15-20 transactions per second), speed (very low latency compared to other blockchains), practically zero fees (eliminates the need for transaction costs) and environmental sustainability (66,000 times more efficient than bitcoin).

Against this backdrop, there are at least 260 projects being built on top of the EOS platform, a strong sign that the Delegated Proof of Stake (DPoS) model was appealing to a wider range of developers. Although the company didn’t elaborate on the types of projects being deployed, the general view among industry is that EOS allows users with very little technical background to leverage blockchain technology.

At the same time, EOS’ strong development capacity has been well documented by industry observers and even government entities. A widely consumed blockchain index developed by the Chinese government has routinely ranked EOS as the world’s top cryptocurrency based on technology, application and innovation. As of December, EOS had once again dominated the ranking with a total index score that was nearly 20 points higher than Ethereum, the second-best cryptocurrency based on the same value metrics.

EOS was designed with scalability in mind. As such, it is a direct competitor to Ethereum, whose shaky position may have pushed developers toward EOS and other protocols. In fact, decentralized application volumes on Tron and EOS have already overtaken Ethereum by a considerable margin. (The author would argue that EOS has a much stronger value proposition than Tron for reasons too numerous to name here.) According to Dapp Radar, the largest Ethereum dapp by volume is ranked 37th, with EOS and Tron accounting for the first 36 spots.

The EOS blockchain is also well funded, with the network paying for development through a maximum 5% inflation. A portion of that is earmarked for block producers but token holders get to decide on how the rest is allocated. Options include burning tokens to reduce overall inflation or allocating funds to pay for popular projects.

A Look at the Risks

While no blockchain project is without risk, EOS faces several unique challenges that have been well documented by the cryptocurrency community. Concerns about voting cartels, block-producer incentives and even regulatory scrutiny have weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Those fears have been exacerbated by the second-longest bear market in crypto history.

EOS creator Dan Larimer has more or less admitted that he botched the protocol’s constitution by giving the network arbitrator too much power. In proposing a new constitution last summer, Larimer said, “I have learned a lot about human nature by watching the disputes, the witch hunts, the ‘bring everything before the ECAF mindset.” ECAF is the EOS Core Arbitration Forum.

The platform recently launched the EOSGO referendum tool, which some analysts speculate may result in constitutional changes. In the meantime, a group of EOS developers have already joined hands to create a new alliance for collaborative decision making. According to the official EOS Alliance website, the group “will be held accountable to the community under the EOS Constitution.”

Read: Spiral of Bad Incentives: EOS Block Producers No Longer In Profit.

EOS has also faced controversy over allegations of irregular block producer voting, which critics say undermine the network’s “free and democratic election process.” Evidence purporting to show voter collusion involving Huobi, a Singapore-based cryptocurrency exchange, and other block producers surfaced last fall, forcing Block.one to take decisive measures to end the so-called voting cartel.

Then there’s the issue of EOS’ original funding mechanism, which managed to raise $4 billion in a highly irregular, year-long crowdsale. EOS may have skirted federal scrutiny during its token sale, but that could change if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) chooses to re-evaluate the ICO. That’s the view of Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano.

Speaking at a press conference in Edinburgh, Scotland in November, Hoskinson predicted that the SEC will bring punitive measures against Block.One for its “egregious” token sale.

Market Update

EOS has not been immune to the bear market inflicting all cryptocurrencies. Despite demonstrating inverse trading patterns during the early stage of the bear market – namely, after the cryptocurrency was launched – EOS has more or less traded in the general direction of its peers.

The EOS price has declined nearly 50% since mid-November. The total cryptocurrency market cap has declined by roughly the same over that period.

At the time of writing, EOS/USD was valued at $2.43, having gained 3.3% compared with Tuesday. At current prices, EOS has a total market cap of $2.2 billion, placing it fourth among active blockchain projects.

Daily trade volumes amounted to $666 million, which is fairly consistent over the past week. Bibox is the largest market for EOS, with trades against Ethereum accounting for 12% of total market volumes.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Bitcoin

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum: Good Things Happen to Those Who Wait

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  • Signs of weakness appear while playing on the edge.
  • ETH/USD must lead now or suffer for months.
  • BTC/USD does not work for either side of the market.

The most rising value right now is patience. In a world where everything goes faster than our mind is capable of handling, patience is today a value that is not taught and even less praised.

However, in professional trading, being patient is an asset as valuable as money. They are directly correlated, the less patience, the less performance, and vice versa.

As one of our contributors, known as Colibri Trader, wrote:

Some traders fail to realize that to be successful will take time. They often fall prey to their own impatience in the hope of earning fast money. It could be a rough environment, and charts might be hard to read, so it is wise at times to step back in order to avoid costly mistakes. Don’t rush things out, or try to enter in a trade at all costs by just following your gut. The market could be quite tricky and often does send out the wrong signs. Wait patiently for the best opportunities to align themselves and then act mercilessly.

ETH/BTC Daily Chart

The ETH/BTC pair insists on testing analysts’ patience with their dangerous game on the edge of the bearish landscape. The setup says with clarity, perhaps excessive, that this point will not be passed and that this is the best point to enter long into the Ethereum.

The MACD in the daily range is turning bullish just above the line dividing the upside of the bearish side of the indicator. The DMI shows the bears with a slight advantage, but the fact that the bulls stay above level 20 adds bullish potential.

Perhaps too evident, although sometimes the market gifts money.

BTC/USD 240 Minute Chart

BTC/USD is currently trading at the $3,505 price level, moving away from the $3,530 price congestion resistance line.

Below the current price, the next support level is $3,460 (price congestion support). This price level separates the current, lateral scenario with the openly bearish scenario that the BTC/USD pair has already visited the first week of December. The loss of this level of support would mean moving quickly to the third level of support at $3,300 (price congestion support).

Above the current price, the first target is at $3.530 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $3,600 (price congestion resistance) and only a few dollars above the EMA50 at $3,609. The third resistance level is at $3,690 (price congestion resistance). If BTC/USD can conquer this price level, the strength of the bullish trend would quickly be tested with the SMA100 at $3,708 and then the SMA200 at $3,772.

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a flat profile that projects an imperfect trajectory towards an upward cut. This pattern usually produces bearish rejects.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart shows bears picking up inertia and increasing their trend strength. The bulls lose power and move below level 20, confirming the weakness of the buying side. The ADX begins to react to the bear’s dominance and confirms the increase in bearish trend strength.

ETH/USD 240 Minute Chart

ETH/USD is currently trading at the $117 price level, just below the $118resistance level (price congestion resistance).

Below the current price, the first support level is at $109.50 (price congestion support). Should the Ethereum lose this first support, the next support is at $105 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $97 (price congestion support).

Above the current price, the first level of resistance is at $118 (price congestion resistance). Above this first resistance the most critical area of the graph is presented immediately, with a second dynamic resistance at $122 (EMA50) that would give way to a rock wall at the price level of $130 (price congestion resistance) and reinforced by the SMA100 at $131 and the SMA200 at $133.

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows a profile similar to that of the BTC/USD pair although in this case with a little more bullish inclination and therefore, more chances of success on the bullish cross.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart also shows differences from the BTC/USD. Here the bears follow a downward trend while the bulls remain at the same level in the last few days.

XRP/USD 240 Minute Chart

XRP/USD is currently trading at the $0.317 price level, above the $0.31 support level. Of the TOP 3 components of the crypto market, XRP is the one with the best technical aspect.

Below the current price, the first level of support is $0.31 (price congestion support), followed a little lower by the second level of support at $0.308 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $0.296 (price congestion support), a level that would already indicate a return of the XRP to the fully bearish scenario of early December.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is dynamic at $0.327(EMA50). The second resistance level is at $0.335 (price congestion resistance), followed by an obstacle race for the SMA100 at $0.34, a price congestion resistance at $0.345 and another dynamic resistance at $0.365(SMA200).

The MACD on the 4-hour chart shows that there was a small bearish reversal yesterday. A second bullish cross attempt may occur today.

The DMI on the 4-hour chart shows the bears in an apparent decline. The bulls copy and withdraw as well, which shows a lack of confidence on both sides of the market.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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