Connect with us

Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: All Majors Stretched as Ripple Finally Breaks-Out

Published

on

Although the previous leaders of the rally started to correct or at least consolidate in the wake of the overbought long-term setups, another batch of coins turned exponential, with Litecoin, Ripple, and Ethereum all registering lofty gains this week. Bitcoin, Monero, and Dash have been holding up well, and even drifted to new marginal highs during the period, while Ethereum Classic had a more volatile week, before moving to new highs today.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

XRP left the broad trading range that has dominated its market since May, and surged to new all-time highs while almost quadrupling in the process. As the coin was the only major on a long-term buy signal according to our trend model, and the move triggered a sell signal on Thursday, now all of our tracked coins are on sell signals.

Ripple could be in for further short-term gains but long-term investors should reduce their positions after this week’s spike. Support levels are found Major at the prior high near $0.4250 and in the $0.30-$0.32 range.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

XRP/USDT, Daily Chart Analysis

IOTA, which has been leading the market higher before is down by more than 30% off its all-time high, but given the exponential move before, an even deeper correction is likely in the coming weeks, and investors should wait until a more favorable setup to add to their positions. Strong support is only found at $3 and $1.5, but potential Fibonacci support is at $2.35.

IOT/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Let’s see how the long-term charts of the other majors look this weekend.

Bitcoin

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

BTC is trading on fresh new highs today, but compared to the previous momentum of the rally, the coin is only inching higher, and the long-term indicators are sill flashing red. We still expect a deep correction in the coming period, and we advise investors to wait until oversold readings to enter new positions after the stellar autumn. Primary support is still found near $13,000, with further levels at $11,300, $10,000, $9000, and stronger levels at $8200 and $7700.

Ethereum

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum was helped by the persistent bullish sentiment in the segment and continued its break-out, reaching, and even surpassing the range projection target for the move near $680. The total value of the market climbed above $500 billion thanks in part to the surge in the coin, but now the token joined the ranks of the severely stretched coins, and investors should only keep their core holdings. While short-term gains are still possible, a deeper correction is likely around the corner, with key support levels now found at $575, between $480 and $500, and near the prior all-time high at $400.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Litecoin turned parabolic this week, defying the already stretched momentum readings, and it far surpassed our targets, reaching above the $300 level. We expect a deep correction in LTC, not unlike the one in IOTA after the exponential move, but the short-term uptrend is still intact, and the exact top could still be ahead of us. That said, investors should take a step back and wait for a correction before adding to their holdings, with key support levels found at $125 and $100, and weaker levels at $260 and $170.

Dash

DASH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Dash held up very strongly amid the volatile correction, proving its apparent relative strength once again. That said, the coin is clearly overbought, and although we expect it to remain strong in the coming months, a deep correction is likely. Key support levels are still found at just above $600, at $500, $470, and near $410.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic broke above the prior all-time high today, and it is testing the lower end of the prior trend channel today, despite the extremely overbought long-term momentum readings. While short-term gains are still possible we would stay away from entering new positions here, given the state of the segment and the currency’s market. Key levels are found below the current price at $32, $30, $23, and $18.

Monero

XMR/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Monero has been hitting marginal new all-time highs this week, but the momentum of the move is suspicious and a bull-trap could be forming as we speak. The steep short-term uptrend is still, but the long-term momentum indicators are off the charts, and a deep correction is very likely in the coming weeks.  Key support levels are still found at $240, $200, $180, and $150.

How to Use These Charts?

As we stressed in our article on Bitcoin: “…not all strategies are binary (either holding an asset or not).There are many long- and short-term investment and trading strategies that can be successful in a roaring bull market like the one that the crypto-coin segment is experiencing, but mixing the time-frames and mixing trading and investing (see our article on the topic) could lead to troubles.”

Here is a reminder of some of the possible strategies once again:

  • Buy and hold, without caring about day-to-day (or even month-month) fluctuations
  • Buy and hold a core position and add on the major dips; a very powerful strategy
  • Buy a certain amount every week or month, and even-out your entry price, without the hassle of timing the market
  • Try to catch major turning points to reduce and “re-boost” your position
  • Trade short-term movements with stop-losses, targets, and strict risk management (this is trading not investing)”

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is concidered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...



Feedback or Requests?

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. mullinsmcd

    December 16, 2017 at 5:30 pm

    Not sure how to react to your analysis as the sentiment always seems to be ‘overbought’ and ‘wait for correction’. I would advise having multiple analyses to consider what the new norms for crypto long term analysis that considers macro trends and the influx of new money and the whole new set of retail investors after this holiday.

    • MinerMatt17

      December 16, 2017 at 9:14 pm

      Couldn’t agree more. Their analysis is consistently “correction, correction, overbought” , with no input from the market as a whole, and they keep getting it wrong.

      • Mate Cser

        December 19, 2017 at 5:35 pm

        Hi MinerMAtt, and mullinsmcd, the past two weeks have been like that admittedly, but I would point out that the last major low-risk buying opportunity was in September, with another shorter one in November in the case of some of the majors. Instead of “correction, correction, correction” I kept on saying, “long-term investors could still add to their positions here” and got some harsh words for it 🙂 At that point in the cycle, a lot of people were convinced that altcoins will be worthless soon. Before that it was, the “Ethereum will catch up with Bitcoin” trend. They all ended.
        The timing of the exit, in this case, was off, I will be the first to agree, but I wouldn’t count on “new norm” investing, market cycles are not going anywhere and there will be great buying opportunities ahead. At this point, protecting your portfolio is the most important IMHO.
        Those who bought when the trend signal list was all green and sold on the sell signals have multiplied their investments even if they missed a large chunk of the rally in IOTA, BTC, or LTC for example. Ripple was on a buy signal until its break-out and the 4x rally. This method (and no other method), is not perfect and it will miss extreme situations like this, but it will also protect you from huge drawdowns, which can destroy your portfolio, especially when using leverage.

        Have a great day guys

        • MinerMatt17

          December 19, 2017 at 5:45 pm

          To be fair, you have been recommending closing many positions for roughly 3.5 weeks right after the thanksgiving explosion. But I understand what you mean.

          Would you recommend closing out 50% of positions then this week? It’s just real shitty timing since I can wait 2 weeks and save a bunch on taxes….

          • Mate Cser

            December 20, 2017 at 1:30 am

            Yes, you are right, I didn’t see BTC reaching these levels in this cycle… or IOTA for that matter. Those trends are definitely beyond the reach of my approach, but I will be happy to buy back what I sold even on higher levels if I see promising technical setups. I would scale back here without caring about taxes or maybe hedging with tether pairs could be helpful. I will write an article about this in the coming days.

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Broad Correction Enters Next Phase

Published

on

The overbought BTC-led correction that has been the dominating technical process in the cryptocurrency segment in the last month or so continued in earnest today, amid the intensifying regulatory steps concerning the sector. The three-week-long consolidation that followed the initial mini-crash concluded with a sharp sell-off overnight rearranging the long-term charts, while likely kicking off another volatile period.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

While most of the crash lows held up today in early trading in the majors, especially in the case of the late leaders like Ethereum and NEO, some of the relatively weaker coins are already trading below the December minimums. We expect most of the majors to follow Dash and LTC, the weakest of the largest coins, lower and trade below the previous lows, as sentiment will likely swing to a bearish extreme.

The $11,300 level has been in the center of attention throughout the session today and the most valuable coin experienced heavy trading around the level as expected. As the daily MACD is still in neutral territory, the coin could be in for another leg lower, but after the 40% correction and the rather lengthy consolidation, investors could be looking for entry points during the move near the key support levels at $10,000, $9000, and the stronger levels at $8200 and $7700.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

As Ethereum is in a different part of its cycle the long-term momentum readings are still overbought, and that could mean a more protracted correction for the second largest coin. That said, following a multi-month consolidation like the one in Ethereum before, we still expect the token to outperform BTC from a long-term technical standpoint. ETH is now below the short-term trendline, and it’s likely to dip below $1000, and the prior top at $850. Further key levels are found at $740, $625, $575, and near $500.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Let’s see the outlook for the other major altcoins after today’s bloodbath.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is concidered a failure either way.
10 votes, average: 4.70 out of 510 votes, average: 4.70 out of 510 votes, average: 4.70 out of 510 votes, average: 4.70 out of 510 votes, average: 4.70 out of 5 (10 votes, average: 4.70 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...



Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Chinese Crackdown Triggers Next Leg of Correction

Published

on

The cryptocurrency segment is crashing again, with double-digit losses across the board, and with several coins shedding around 30% in one day amid the widespread and heavy selling. The sell-off was triggered by reports on a new set of measures by the Chinese authorities limiting crypto trading, which added to the still looming South Korea related regulation worries. Bitcoin tested the mini-crash lows at $11,300 today in early trading, dipping slightly below that level before a strong bounce started.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

The most valuable coin is now between two crucial support/resistance lines, with the other ahead at $13,000, and as the downtrend is entering its more mature phase the $10,000 and $9,200 levels could come in play, with a possible dip to the support zone near $7,650.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Interestingly, the coin is still hovering within the daily range of the crash of December 22nd, and that points to a very active and volatile period ahead near the low at $11,300, as automatic orders will likely get triggered on both sides of the market.

The short-term setup is bearish, and although it’s possible that the primary support level will hold, odds still favor another leg lower, following the exponential run-up at the end of last year that pushed sentiment into bullish extremes.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Altcoins

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is concidered a failure either way.
19 votes, average: 4.79 out of 519 votes, average: 4.79 out of 519 votes, average: 4.79 out of 519 votes, average: 4.79 out of 519 votes, average: 4.79 out of 5 (19 votes, average: 4.79 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...



Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Music: One Overlooked Use Case

Published

on

So far in this year, Ethereum has been the crypto star appreciating over 80% to a recent record of $1402. All this suggests that more and more applications are being created. We know this by the demand for Ether, the gas that drives the Ethereum network.

// -- Discuss and ask questions in our community on Workplace.

The reason behind the explosion of Ether demand was confirmed by Ethereum co founder Steven Nerayoff in a CNBC interview where he claimed the number of Ethereum projects today is more than 10 times year ago levels.

One of those areas is the music business and there are several names appearing on the ICO list to add to your research agenda.

Why The Music Business Needs Help

Music may live forever but the business side has been in trouble for a long while. Over the last decade there have been only three years when the global value of music sales increased. The combination of digital music and outright pirating through peer-to-peer sharing has much to do with the long-term trend.

// -- Become a yearly Platinum Member and save 69 USD and get access to our secret group on Workplace. Click here to change your current membership -- //

Throughout the world there are 69 copyright and royalty societies given the responsibility of documenting, collecting and distributing music royalties. That means collecting a few pennies whenever a song is played on the radio, Internet or anywhere else. Four of the largest of these is in the US, followed by Japan, Germany and Britain. Their operations are truly byzantine.

Experts in the music-publishing field confirm the time between music usage and royalty payment can run close to 24 months. Even then not all royalties are distributed. According to my sources, there are often millions of dollars collected by royalty authorities everywhere that never make it to the entitled recipients. That sort of practice borders on criminal behavior but copyright and royalty societies operate in a sub-rosa manner making it difficult to understand their policies.

In the past just 4 major record labels controlled over 80% of the industry. These giants could afford a full time legal department to pursue royalty issues dominated the music industry. Today, however, independent labels represent almost one-third of the market. This means less democracy in the business with the young independent artist at a particular disadvantage.

Of course, musicians aren’t the only group of artists loosing out on their pay. There are writers, poets and painters that go largely unprotected.

The music business is just easier to track because it has more data. Yet in spite of all the information, the music industry is widely recognized for its lack of transparency. Blockchain technology has the ability to disrupt long-standing industry practices.

ICOs To The Rescue

The number of Ethereum based white knights is starting to appear on the horizon promising to rattle the industry and hopefully restore some democracy on behalf of the independent artist.

One simple business model comes from a startup SingularDTV who is attempting to build their ecosystem on top of Ethereum. Here is the basic value added proposal.

SingularDTV tokenizes the artist work. In doing so the artist is turning their music into a financial asset. Anyone who buys into an artist’s token owns a share of the creation and its income stream. The more people consume an artist creation, the higher goes the token price.

Only time will show if SingularDTV succeeds with this model. The consequence of this model is how it eliminates many of the middlemen and nefarious influences in the industry. Instead of singing on a street corner for bread, an artist could raise money upfront without relying on an advance from a record label.

According to SingularDTV, distributing content via blockchain would allow artists to skirt streaming platforms like Spotify to earn royalties on their own terms. Now that is true democracy.

SingularDTV may stand out a bit in the news due its recent ICO success in raising $8 million but they aren’t the only player in the music game. Names like Voise recently raised $1 million as well as Soundchain, Blokur and Opus to name a few.

I am no longer a registered investment advisor, which means I don’t go around making investment recommendations. So I will only suggest this group to put on your list of late night reading. Next time, I will take a closer look at more of these names.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is concidered a failure either way.
3 votes, average: 4.67 out of 53 votes, average: 4.67 out of 53 votes, average: 4.67 out of 53 votes, average: 4.67 out of 53 votes, average: 4.67 out of 5 (3 votes, average: 4.67 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...



Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending