Connect with us

Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bear Market Continues With Major Technical Breakdown

Published

on

After months of choppy consolidation, yesterday, we saw the largest move in the cryptocurrency segment since April, which took the majors below key technical levels. Bitcoin’s drop is the most important event, since the most valuable coin violated a structurally important base support for the first time since its historic bull run to $20,000 started.

As we warned repeatedly, the market didn’t show signs of healing during the sideways drift, since no leadership developed, and the coins failed to show follow-through following the, sometimes explosive rally attempts, so our trend model remained overwhelmingly bearish throughout the consolidation.

The top altcoins completed their structural breakdowns well ahead of BTC, and the stability of Bitcoin was the most encouraging sign for crypto-bulls, so now, the broad selloff confirmed the next lower in the bear market.

BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

After violating the primary support at $6275, Bitcoin’s selloff accelerated below the weaker $6000 level and the key zone near $5850 wasn’t enough to support the coin. The structural breakdown will likely lead to a test of the $5000-$5100 zone, while an unlikely recovery would be a very positive development. Primary resistance is now ahead near $5850, while further major support zones are found near $4500 and $3600, and traders and investors still shouldn’t enter new positions here.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum fell to a marginal new bear market low, outperforming Bitcoin from a short-term technical perspective, but that’s not enough to warrant optimism with regards to the long-term setup. ETH is still in a clear long-term downtrend despite the lengthy consolidation phase, and a test of the $160 level is likely in the coming period.

The coin is still on sell signals on both time-frames in our trend model, and traders and investors should stay away from new positions, with further support found near $130 and with resistance levels ahead near $200 and $235.

Ripple

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While Ripple is still the most bullish top coin from a technical perspective, it also got dragged lower by the broad selloff. XRP break the rising short-term trendline but it managed to hold the crucial long-term support zone between $0.42-$0.46, avoiding a long-term sell signal in our trend model.

That said, given the segment-wide trend caution is still warranted, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here. Below the key long-term zone, strong support is now found at $0.355, $0.32, and $0.26, while resistance is ahead at $0.51 and $0.64.

Litecoin

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin continues to be among the weakest majors from a long-term perspective, and it fell clearly below its previous bear market low near $47, as expected. The coin also violated the next major support zone near $44, likely setting up a test of the $38 support.

LTC is still on sells signals on all time-frames, with the steep declining trendline clearly being intact, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here.

Dash

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Dash is currently testing its previous bear market low, showing some relative strength to the bearish leaders of the market, but the long-term picture remains clearly negative and new lows are very likely in the coming days.

The coin is on sell signals on both time frames in our trend model, and traders and investors should stay away from entering positions here. Below $130, further support levels are found near $115 and $105, while resistance is ahead near $150 and $170.

Ethereum Classic

ETC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum Classic continues to lead the way lower, together with Litecoin, and it fell to a new bear market low yesterday. The coin is now testing the $7.5 support, after spiking below it yesterday, and the long-term picture continues to be bearish, so traders and investors should still not enter positions here. The next major support zone is found near $5.5, while resistance is head near $9.30 and $11.

Monero

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Monero is among the strongest coins from a short-term perspective, clearly trading above its bear market low despite yesterday’s broad breakdown. That said, the bearish move triggered a downgrade in our trend model, and although the coin will likely be a leader in the coming rallies, traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here.

The long-term downtrend is clearly intact in the coin, with resistance levels ahead at $100, $108, and $125, while key support is found near $80.

NEO

NEO/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Despite the brief periods of relative strength, NEO continues to be among the weakest majors, and the coin fell to a new bear market low below the key support zone in the $13-$13.75 area. The coin is on clear sell signals on all time-frames in our trend model, and further new lows are likely in the coming period. Strong resistance levels are ahead near $16.50, and between $21 and $22, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions in the coin.

IOTA

IOTA/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

IOTA also hit new bear market lows during yesterday’s plunge, briefly falling back to the key $0.35 level. Now, the coin is hovering around the $0.40 level, and the sell signals are intact on both time-frames in our trend model.

IOTA is relatively weak compared to the broader market, especially from a long-term perspective, and traders and investors should wait until, at least, a short-term trend change before considering new positions in the coin, with strong resistance now ahead in the $0.45-$0.48 and near $0.57.

EOS

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS confirmed its recent weakness yesterday as it plunged lower together with the broader market, and it traded below the key $4.5 level for the first time since August. That said, the coin is still above its bear market low, and bulls can still hope for a successful test, although odds favor a breakdown to new lows. The next major support level is found at $3.5, while resistance is ahead at $5 and near $5.35.

Stellar

Stellar/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stellar has been one of the strongest coins in recent months, and it is still trading well above its bear market low, similarly to its close peer Ripple. Stellar breached the key support/resistance zone surrounding the $0.24 level again, and the possible failed break-out above the declining long-term trendline is threatening with a test of the structurally important $0.1775-$0.195 zone. For now, the long-term picture is neutral, but traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
3 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 53 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (3 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 469 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Altcoins

Binance Coin Price Analysis: BNB Bulls Maintain Elevation Following Testnet Launch for Binance DEX

Published

on

  • Binance Coin on Friday is holding healthy gains of around 3% in the early part of the session.
  • The decentralized exchange Binance DEX testnet was launched earlier this week. Binance will be looking to gather user feedback before an official roll-out of the platform.

Binance’s BNB price continues to somewhat outperform several of its peers. BNB/USDT is trading up over 3% in the early part of the session on Friday. Since the start of February, the BNB bulls have enjoyed a strong move north, having gained around 80%. The price is currently trading in proximity to its highest levels since October 2018, entering a zone that is known for sellers. The next significant technical barrier for the bulls is within reach; for greater upside it must be broken down.

Binance DEX Testnet Running

Earlier this week, Binance, the world largest cryptocurrency exchange by traded volume, launched the testnet for its decentralized trading platform. Binance DEX has been made available for public testing; users can create crypto wallets and start familiarizing themselves with the platform’s interface. The platform is running on the Binance Chain, which is their proprietary blockchain.

Furthermore, the company released a blockchain explorer for the testnet; this allows users to search by an individual block, transaction, asset, address and order ID via the blockchain. The community will be able to participate as individual nodes, in addition to holding their private keys.

Binance has noted it will need to start gathering much feedback from its community on this current testnet. The company can then look at the timeline for a major final step of rolling out the decentralized exchange.

The CEO and co-founder Changpeng Zhao commented following the announcement:

“With Binance DEX, we provide a different balance of security, freedom, and ease-of-use, where you take more responsibility and are in more control of personal assets.”

Technical Review – BNB/USDT

BNB/USDT daily chart.

Given current upside momentum, the areas of resistance must be noted as potential barriers to disrupt this bull run. Firstly, a supply area can be observed just ahead tracking from $10.90 up to $11.63. The BNB/USDT bulls faltered here on several occasions in August, September and October 2018. The damage occurred after the rejection in October, which gradually went on to lead to a steep bearish trend that commenced in November. The price went on to drop around 50%, throughout November up to early December.

Another chunky wave of buying pressure would likely come into play, should the bulls break the mentioned supply. Furthermore, eyes will then be on a return back towards the $14-$15 price range. BNB/USDT last traded up at these heights back in August 2018, just before the bear market kicked in again with intense selling pressure.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 126 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Altcoins

Monero Price Analysis: The Choice of Cyber Criminals, XMR/USD is Vulnerable to Full Reversal

Published

on

  • Monero price on Thursday was hit with steep losses, dropping as much as 5% in the session.
  • Trend Micro, a security intelligence firm, finds a Monero hacking tool for installing mining malware.

XMR/USD: Recent Price Behavior

Monero’s XMR price has been cooling over the last day, having dropped around 5% at the time of writing on Thursday. The move south comes after a decent run higher over the past couple of weeks. XMR/USD jumped almost 30% from 7th February up to 19th February, before easing away from the high print. The price did manage to hit its highest level seen since 10th January.

Security Intelligence Identifies Monero Hacking Tool

Researchers at Trend Micro, a security intelligence firm, have detailed that there is a notable surge in a Monero hack-tool installation. It reportedly attempts to exploit a vulnerability seen on Windows SMB, which has been patched up since 2017. Organizations in mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Italy are said to be the ones targeted, according to the researchers.

The blog published via Trend Micro details that the tool seems to be a merger of existing threats. In particular, it has targeted Microsoft Windows users – MIMIKATZ and RADMIN. As per Trend Micro:

“Between the last week of January to February, we noticed an increase in hack tool installation attempts. That dropped seemingly random files into the Windows directory. Initially appearing unrelated, the analysis showed the final payload to be a Monero cryptocurrency-mining malware variant. It scans for open port 445 and exploits a Windows SMB Server Vulnerability MS17-010 (patched in 2017) for its infection and propagation routines.”

The research does not come as much of a surprise, given the raft of Monero mining malware threats seen over the past year. Cyber criminals have strong favor for the altcoin given its privacy and anonymity, in addition to the ease of mining it on devices as simple as laptops and smartphones.

Technical Review – XMR/USD

XMR/USD daily chart.

Given the current edging south, eyes are now on the next area of support, which can be seen below at the prior acting range-block formation. XMR/USD between 11th Jan to 8th February was moving within a narrowing daily range. The area above this is now acting as support, as seen between 10-17th February. This came into play after a breakout and retest of the breached block. In terms of the comfort area, it is seen tracking from $47.50 down to $42.00. The bear pressure may prove to be too much for the support and force a breach. Another potential retest of the low down at $38.80 could be called into action.

Lastly, resistance to the upside is observed from the $53-$60 price range, which is the near-term supply and high area from 24th December to early January 2019. Further north, there can also be a chunky barrier seen ahead of the psychological $100 mark, tracking from $75-$95 range.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 126 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Litecoin Leads Pullback in Majors

Published

on

The major cryptocurrencies are all lower today following the test of the recent swing highs. Yesterday, the early leader of the current short-term uptrend, Litecoin hit the key $51 resistance, and today the coin pulled back sharply, triggering a broad correction in the segment. The leaders of the rally are all notably lower, but they are still holding on to the bulk of their recent gains, and the rising short-term trendlines are all intact.

From a short-term technical perspective, the current pullback is orderly, and as the coins clear the overbought momentum readings, traders could re-enter smaller, speculative positions with strict risk management rules. The long-term technical picture continues to warrant caution, and bear market rules still apply despite the consolidation of the recent months.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin’s performance continues to be an important tell for the whole segment, and after yesterday’s downgrade in our trend model, the coin’s pullback is weighing on the whole market today. That said, volume patterns and price action in general, are still in line with a short-term uptrend, and traders could be looking for re-entry points and the overbought momentum readings get cleared.

The key $51 resistance level, which halted yesterday’s move, could be in focus again in the coming days, while a deeper correction could see the test of the $44 level. For now, our trend model remains on a neutral short-term signal, while the long-term signal is still clearly negative, with further support levels found near $44 and $38, and with strong resistance also ahead near the $56 level.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin remained within its short-term consolidation pattern, as the $3850 level provided support, so far, during the broad pullback in the segment. The MACD indicator is now pointing to an ongoing short-term correction, but the relatively weak short-term uptrend is still clearly intact.

Traders could hold on to their positions here despite the pullback, as the momentum indicators haven’t reached extreme overbought levels, leaving our trend model on a short-term buy signal, but we would with entering new positions until the pullback runs its course. While the long-term technical outlook is clearly negative for BTC here, a move above the key $4000-$4050 zone could lead to a test of the next major zone near $4450, while support below $3850 is still found near $3600 and just above $3450.

Ethereum and EOS Remain Stable as Ripple Fails to Show Strength

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to trade in a bullish short-term correction pattern near the $145 resistance level. The uptrend is clearly intact in the coin, and although the short-term momentum indicators continue to show overbought readings the rally could soon continue, with the $160 price level still being in sight. Support levels are still found near $130 and $112, while the next major resistance zone is found near $180, and the long-term downtrend is still in no danger here.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS, which has also been among the leaders of the rally, continue to show stability amid today’s pullback, but as it got severely overbought during the recent upswing, our tend model is on a neutral signal. Traders should wait for the correction to run its course before re-entering their positions, since the long-term setup in EOS still warrants caution. Support is found near the current price level at $3.80, at $350 and near $3, while resistance is now ahead near $4 and $4.50.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple remains the primary concern for bulls here, as the relatively weak coin failed to show signs of stability falling back to the vicinity of the $0.32 level. The coin got stuck below the dominant bearish short-term trendline, and our trend model is now on a short-term sell signal, despite the broad rally in the segment.

With the long-term technicals still being hostile even in the case of a new swing low in the coming week, traders should remain cautious with XRP and focus on the stronger currencies with regards to trading positions. Below $0.32, further support zones are found near $0.30, $0.28, and $0.26, while short-term targets are still ahead near $0.3550, and $$0.3750.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 469 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending