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Long Term Bitcoin Analysis

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Bitcoin (BTC) extended upside movement against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday to a weekly high of 1229, rallying the price of BTC/USD to more than 1200, the psychological number, as Japan legalized the cryptocurrency as online payment method while Russia is also mulling over to authorize the cryptocurrency. The technical bias however remains bearish in near term.

Russia Intercedes into the Crypto World

Russia is mulling over to regulate the digital currency. Russian Deputy Finance Minister Alexey Moiseev told Bloomberg in an interview this week that the authorities hope to recognize bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as a legal financial instrument in 2018 in a bid to tackle money laundering.

“The state needs to know who at every moment of time stands on both sides of the financial chain,” Moiseev told Bloomberg.

If there’s a transaction, the people who facilitate it should understand from whom they bought and to whom they were selling, just like with bank operations.”

Increasing state regulations around bitcoin could make the cryptocurrency an attractive investment for investors who previously remained cautious due to the high risk and price swings.

Technical Analysis

As of this writing, BTC/USD is being traded around 1170. A 4-Hourly support may be seen around 1135. A major support however still holds around 1060 which is 50% Fibonacci level as demonstrated in the given below 4-hour chart with green color.

EMA 200 is pushing upward on a short-term bias after a test at 1135. Trendline in red color is still major and effective as sellers gain momentum. A break and 4-Hourly closing below the 1135 support shall incite renewed selling pressure, validating a move towards 1060, the 50% fibonacci retracement and then a retest of the trendline around 950.

On the upside, bitcoin is expected to face a hurdle near 1230, a key horizontal resistance area ahead of 1300, the psychological number which is also the high of April 2017. The technical bias shall remain bullish as long as the 1135 support area is intact as mentioned before.

What to expect in Long-Term?

In long-term, a pull back to retest the trendline around 950 is very much expected. RSI (25) provides an extra conformation as it is heading lower sharply.

How to Trade BTC/USD in near future?

Selling BTC/USD below the 1135 support level can be a good strategy with stops being placed above 1180.

Similarly, buying BTC/USD above 1200 level can be a good idea with stops being placed right below the 1135 support.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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  1. Parentesi

    April 16, 2017 at 1:46 am

    question: Selling BTC/USD .. does that mean selling Selling USD for Bitcoins? Reads the other way for me, but then you would just lose investment?

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Technical Setup Unchanged Despite Encouraging Rally

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Cryptocurrency bulls could breathe a sigh of relief on Monday as the secular uptrend in the most valuable coin got saved yet again, as BTC rallied above $6500 for the first time in a week after a low-volume consolidation period just above the $6000 level. All of the majors joined the rally as correlations remain very high in the segment, and the market recovered 10% on average with the total market cap of the coins getting back to $275 billion.

Despite the rally, the top coins are still stuck under key resistance levels, as the recent swing highs are still above the current prices and from a short-term standpoint, the downtrend is still intact. Until a move above the crucial levels, traders should still stay away from opening new positions, as odds continue to favor another test of the June lows.

That said, given the still intact long-term bullish setups in the most important digital currencies and the very negative sentiment that developed thanks to the long declining trend, a short-term trend change could be ahead. A bullish leadership is still yet to form, although Bitcoin’s short-term relative strength is a positive sign.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

In BTC’s market, all eyes are once again on the $6750-$7000 zone that has capped the really attempts for a month now, and below that zone, the largest coin remains on a short-term sell signal. As the coin didn’t hit a lower low, a bullish pattern could form in the coming weeks, but until it remains in the current trading range, traders shouldn’t enter the market. Support above the long-term $5850 level is found at $6500, $6275, and $6000 while further resistance is ahead at $7350.

Altcoins Slightly Lagging Behind Amid Broad Rally

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The major altcoins are in very similar short-term technical setups, thanks to the strong correlation between the coins, and the most bearish coins, like Litecoin, NEO, Monero, and Dash are still below the key support levels that they violated in June. While the previous lows held up this weekend, investors should still remain defensive with regards to the relatively weak currencies.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

That still points to a dangerous long-term setup in the segment, and further technical progress is needed to switch the segment-wide trend. Ethereum remains below the key $500 level, although the coin managed to rally above the $475 level yet again, despite being relatively weak from a short-term perspective compared to BTC.

A rally above $500 would be a very positive short-term sign for ETH, and it could trigger a move to the $555-$575 zone. Primary support is at $450, with further levels at $420, $400, $380, and $360, and below $500 the short-term sell signal is intact.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 292 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Market Hits One-Week High as Volumes Spike 38%; Bitcoin Cash Jumps 10%

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The cryptocurrency market booked solid gains on Monday, as coin values and trading volume reached their highest levels in a week.

Market Update

With the exception of Tether’s USDT stablecoin, all major cryptocurrencies in the top-ten reported gains. In percentage terms, bitcoin cash was the strongest performer, rising more than 10% to a high of $804. That was BCH’s highest reading in nearly a month, according to CoinMarketCap.

The value of bitcoin reached a high of $6,691 Monday for a gain of nearly 5%. At press time, BTC/USD was trading at $6,674 on daily trade volumes of $4.6 billion. As Hacked previously reported, the $4 billion volume mark is closely associated with uptrends for the bitcoin price. Bitcoin is now eyeing resistance between $6,800 and $6,900, which is the upper end of last weekend’s rally.

Ethereum also notched one-week highs with gains of more than 5%. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap was last seen trading just above $476. The clean break above $450 is an encouraging sign for the bulls, who continue to target$500 as a critical inflection point for ETH/USD.

Ripple XRP showed positive momentum Monday as prices rose to fresh one-week highs. The so-called “banker’s cryptocurrency” is up 6.1% at $0.474. Ripple has been in the spotlight for all the wrong reasons lately as the San Francisco-company fends off another lawsuit claiming XRP is a security.

Market Sentiment Improves

A sudden shift in investor sentiment underpinned the market’s $20 billion gain on Monday. That shift was fueled by reports that BlackRock, the $6.3 trillion asset manager, is exploring entry into the cryptocurrency market.

Sometime over the past 12 months or so, the company has gone from vilifying crypto to treating it as a potential value driver. According to CNBC, BlackRock has been researching cryptocurrency since at least 2015.

At the time of writing, the total cryptocurrency market was valued at $270.5 billion. It notched $271 billion earlier in the day, the highest in seven days.

Trading volumes shot up 38% to $14.2 billion, with Binance and Huobi each processing more than $1 billion in transactions.

Coinbase – a company betting big on firms like BlackRock entering crypto – has also been a source of optimism after it announced Friday that it has short-listed five coins for future consideration. The five coins in question are Stellar (XLM), Cardano (ADA), Zcash (ZEC), Basic Attention Token (BAT) and ox (ZRX).

Coinbase remains non-committal about whether it will eventually add these cryptocurrencies to its exchange listing. However, their mention was enough to spur double-digit percentage gains early Saturday.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 497 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Gains Momentum as BlackRock Gets Serious About Crypto

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After a week of lateral moves, the bitcoin price rose Monday on reports that one of Wall Street’s biggest asset managers was assembling a team to explore cryptocurrency adoption.

Bitcoin Price Update

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization peaked near $6,620 at 08:49 UTC, the highest in six days. At the time of writing, bitcoin was trading near the intraday high of $6,620 for a gain of 4%, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin held relatively steady over the weekend, with prices hovering between $6,300 and $6,400. The coin’s successful defense of $6,000 – a key technical and psychological threshold – has encouraged bids after trading volumes plunged to their lowest levels of the year.

As Hacked reported Sunday, turnover in the cryptocurrency market fell to $8.8 billion over the weekend. Bitcoin accounted for roughly a third of that total. On Monday, bitcoin’s trading volumes were back up to around $4.9 billion, the highest in two weeks.

Bitcoin is likely to run into resistance north of $6,800 – a region that capped last weekend’s rally. BTC/USD peaked at $6,866 on July 8.

Institutional Bull Run?

Bitcoin’s gains were fueled by speculation that BlackRock, one of the world’s largest asset managers, is planning an entry into the cryptocurrency market.

London’s Financial News, citing unnamed sources, said BlackRock has assembled a working group to investigate blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. Sources also indicated that the team of exports is looking at what other asset managers are doing with cryptocurrencies and how it can impact BlackRock’s underlying business. The findings of the research will be presented to senior management.

“Like most financial institutions, BlackRock has a working group that meets periodically to exchange information on blockchain and consists of employees from various parts of the business,” a spokesperson for the company said in a statement, according to CNBC.

“We have been looking at blockchain technology for several years, recognizing potential for shared processes and data across market participants, clearing, settlement and reconciliation and simplified securities issuance.”

CNBC believes the working group was first assembled in 2015.

While cryptocurrencies continue to polarize Wall Street, major financial institutions are slowly changing their tack. It was only last year that BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said that bitcoin was merely a “speculative” instrument used for anonymity and money laundering. Now, his company may be on the cusp of entering the market.

Exchanges like Coinbase are betting big on institutional adoption and have created a suite of custodial services aimed at luring this segment of the market. Industry experts believe that the next major bull market for cryptocurrencies will be driven mainly by institutions, marking a significant departure from the retail-dominated surge of 2017.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 497 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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