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ICO Analysis: Tezos

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A spate of new blockchain-based technologies are getting support from bigger names. Tezos is among them, having received vocal and financial backing from Tim Draper, the famed billionaire who bought a massive stack of coins from the federal government at auction following the Silk Road seizures. A Hacked reader asked us to take a look at this new venture, which will be Tim Draper’s first ICO – having previously been skiddish about such things due to their high likelihood of failure. Of course it makes sense that traditional financial people will be weary of ICOs, for they are even less likely to become unicorns than are the most crackpot ideas thrown at venture capital firms.

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There is but one true unicorn in cryptocurrency to date, and it had to grow into such. It goes by the name of Bitcoin and you may have heard of it. There are those who believe it has over-leveraged its first-mover advantage, and those who believe its growth has only just begun. It is, though, a good thought experiment to wonder what happens when real money gets behind something from the very beginning. Unfortunately, we’ve seen this before, and before we dig too deeply into the ideals, technology, and purpose of Tezos, we must go through a short history lesson on something called Maxcoin.

Max Keiser is a legendary advisor, veteran trader, and in some respects a financial guru. He was an early supporter of Bitcoin and frequently talks about it on his television show, The Keiser Report. During the first real altcoin rush (~2014), Keiser backed a coin called Maxcoin. Keiser leveraged his audience to promote the coin, claimed that the coin would see a $20 million market capitalization, and then, one day, after a serious pump, stopped talking about Maxcoin altogether. Today, Maxcoin enjoys just under half a million dollars in market capitalization, almost no community, and probably no actual liquidity in that figure. In essence, despite the backing of a rich guru who has a large crypto and traditional financial audience, Maxcoin went precisely nowhere. Keiser once said:

I’ve said all along that my mission, if you will, is to put the tools of free markets into the hands of people, so they can empower themselves.

This was an interview with the Daily Dot, during which he put most of the responsibility for MaxCoin on the heads of the developers. However, they developed the coin with an eye toward Max Keiser from the beginning.

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Contrast this with Tim Draper’s recent interview with Reuters, in which he said:

Over time, I actually feel that some of these tokens are going to improve the world, and I want to make sure those tokens get promoted as well. I think Tezos is one of those tokens.

All of this is to say: simply because a smart financial magnate and/or legendary trader supports something, it is not a guaranteed success. Satoshi Nakamoto was anonymous, after all, and one bitcoin is worth many million Maxcoins.

Tezos

Tezos is a decentralized blockchain that governs itself by establishing a true digital commonwealth.

Reading their overview document, it seems that part of the problem they aim to solve is that of politically-charged debates like are currently ongoing in the Bitcoin world. On a daily basis, people on both “sides” of the argument make vitriolic and often inane statements about people on the other. While people may interpret the recent price spikes in Bitcoin as some sort of reward for “holding the line” or what have you, a longer view would suggest that big money is really waking up to the realities of cryptocurrency.

According to the same document, the base idea for Tezos was originally floated in December of 2013, and work began early the following year. It also rightly points out that the current situation amounts to “core” development teams being charged with too much power and responsibility over the future of potentially large scale economic systems. It is arguably the one drawback of the cryptocurrency world: whereas central bankers are ultimately accountable to their subordinates as well as powerful governments, “core” developers are essentially answerable to none, and when rifts occur, they can go on for a long time.

In the case of pioneers like Bitcoin and Ethereum, those challenges have manifested themselves in situations that put too much power in the hands of core development teams or miners.

As Ryan X. Charles sarcastically says, the fourth commandment of Bitcoin Core is:

We have consensus that consensus should be on the list somewhere, but we do not have consensus about where. #4 is the least contentious positioning.

The Tezos team spent a lot of time assessing and addressing the problems of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and beyond. Novelty is important when it comes to releasing new technology, especially financial technology. People will tend to stick with the known and tested unless there is something radically different about the newly offered alternative. So what is novel about Tezos? Well, in their own words, self-governance. But how does that work?

Tezos is earning huge points with the author for the following:

[…] first generation blockchains tend to empower, de facto, centralized core development teams or miners to formulate design choices. Tezos takes a fundamentally different approach by creating governance rules for stakeholders to approve of protocol upgrades that are then automatically deployed on the network.

Ethereum and others sought to address this problem by allowing anyone to create a token with its own rules of distribution and usage. Tezos is even more open than that because 1) it can do that too and 2) further expansion can be added later with a suggestion and a vote by the stakeholders.

Tezos also takes lessons from failed initiatives that have tried to do some of what it is doing. Its Smart Contract language focuses on “correctness” and its initial version avoids some of the problems already experienced by smart contract languages in the past.

At a technical level, Tezos’ design intends to thwart networking problems such as denial-of-service attacks through a resilient approach to peer-to-peer connectivity. From the whitepaper:

To protect against certain denial of service attacks, the protocol provides the shell with context dependent bounds on the size of blocks and transactions.

There are other notable differentiations with Tezos. One is that inactive addresses will not be able to stake coins. It appears in the original rendition of the whitepaper, inactive addresses would simply be destroyed along with their coins – an interesting if extreme way to limit supply. Eybrow-raising at first, the concept makes a lot of sense by comparison to more traditional staking coins, which continually reward older addresses in perpetuity. Although some proof-of-stake systems have mechanisms to deal with inactive older addresses, limiting of supply has never been a priority for PoS systems and does not, either, appear to be such for Tezos. This is not necessarily a negative factor.

Who Is Behind Tezos

While mass media credit the husband-wife team of Arthur and Kathleen Breitman, both with backgrounds in institutional finance, they are not solely to credit for the work being done. In the overview document, Gordon Mohr and L. M. Goodman are credited with the spearheading of the thought leadership. (Mohr once worked for Archive.org and Goodman comes from good, legitimate crypto-anarchist stock).

The launch of Bitcoin XT is also credited with fomenting the governance aspects of the project. This is a de facto nod to former Bitcoin developer, thought leader, and founder of the first Bitcoin faucet, Gavin Andresen, who with Mike Hearn founded the alternative implementation of Bitcoin in an effort to sidestep the “blocksize debate” which remains ongoing and has now devolved into a disgusting politicized mess of competing solutions.

As for Kathleen and Arthur Breitman, both actively identify as crypto-anarchists, a long-standing tradition of people who believe that technology should set people free and that cryptography is the best way to ensure this (to overly simplify the philosophy). They actually met at a gathering of such in New York City and fell in love shortly thereafter. They own and have to date funded the company which is primarily developing the technology for Tezos at present, Dynamic Ledger Solutions. This means they bear more than a short mention, but it is worth reiterating that part and parcel to the concept of Tezos is that they can easily be replaced by competitor development firms and others with a simple vote of the stakeholding class in the Tezos economy.

Kathleen appears to be less technical in nature, more financial, which is not a liability in any sense, for despite all the over-glorification of Bitcoin developers, it is the users, investors, and miners who have kept the thing going over the years despite attacks by world governments and traditionalist financiers. Arthur, on the other hand, has some interesting stuff on Github. One of the things he has there is a Python script called Vectornet which “introduces vector valued neurons of symbolic length n, and a dot product in an attempt to learn efficient gradient descent algorithm for small problems that will generalize well when used on very large problems.” High-level problem-solving like this is the kind of work you want to see in a leader of a project such as Tezos. To be blunt: it’s really neat.

Also working on the project are a number of experienced developers, including Guillem Rieu, who wrote his own wiki software and has worked on parts of the Ripple project.

Most successful businessmen will tell you: finding the right people for the right jobs is one of the most important parts of leading. The Breitmans seem to be doing this in good style, and the open nature of the platform will only attract even more potent and useful talent in the future.

The Verdict

The author came into this with a very, very skeptical view. Hype bubbles are the worst and often the most damaging cautionary tales in investing happen as a result. Yet, having reviewed the whitepaper and other requisite documents, it’s hard to disagree with Tim Draper: Tezos could definitely make the world a better place. The Breitmans, who have openly credited those who deserve credit and identify with a philosophy of absolute freedom as well as aiming at a democratic platform which will never experience the road blocks to expansion and scaling we are seeing in Bitcoin and will eventually see in similar platforms, not only have their hearts in the right place, but they’ve put their money where their mouth is and have designed a platform which solves far more problems than it could potentially create.

One drawback is that they do not intend to cap the coin supply. Limited supply is part of the high value of Bitcoin and gold alike, but it is not the only value-creator out there. (Ethereum also did not limit the number of ether initially introduced into the ecosystem, and they are currently valued near $100.) The actual initial supply of coins will be based on public interest, rather than a set figure. This is in contrast to other ICOs, where often part of the remainder of the initial offering are returned to the development team and second rounds are offered and such. Instead, initial supply will be based on demand (awesome) and future coins will be created through staking. Later changes to the ecosystem can be made with the governance protocols of Tezos, so nothing is set in stone – perhaps the truest implementation of a decentralized vision to date.

As such, the author is prepared to give his highest safety rating yet: a solid 8.7 on a scale of 0 to 10. Much of the reduction from 10 here is based on the private presale that took place last year as well as the above noted potential problems. The recipe is there, a failed execution can be recovered by outside parties with interest in doing so (perhaps funded by Tim Draper, if need be), and the spirit of Satoshi is alive and well within the founders.

Investment Details

The initial cost of each Tez, the base token, is intended to be around one cent each. It seems the initial funding goal, therefore, was 10 billion cents, or $100 million. Instead, there will be no specific goal, and development will continue regardless of the amount raised. Coins will subsequently be distributed to the world through the sale of them at exchanges, one assumes, because in order to recoup at least their initial investment, investors will need to sell coins. Every “cycle,” which is defined as “about three months” and is based on a mathematical formula, interest of ꜩ512 will be awarded to staking stakeholders who have the requisite amount of coins to mint blocks (ꜩ1536). This will happen every minute or so, and any staker has a chance of minting the next block.

The Tezos Foundation, which is separate from Dynamic Ledger Solutions and is based in Switzerland, will oversee the actual crowdsale which begins on May 22nd, 2017. While the original idea was to raise a penny per ꜩ, the crowdsale price will actually be ꜩ5000 per Bitcoin – today that means a price of about 36 cents each. You can buy as much as you want. If you want to stake, you’ll need at least 1536 of them, as mentioned above. That would cost you about $560 or .3 bitcoins. You can currently sign up for e-mail alerts, but the open sale will be conducted by Bitcoin Suisse AG and information on the specifics will become available on the 22nd.

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. [email protected]

    May 12, 2017 at 11:23 am

    Any feedback/opinion on Etherbits ICO ending tomorrow?

  2. roobroo

    May 12, 2017 at 2:58 pm

    is this going to be a direct competitor to ripple? quickly read thru the thread.

  3. karthikg82

    May 30, 2017 at 11:42 pm

    $100 million ICO . Also,the founders get 8.5% of the fiat proceeds in cash in addition to 10% of the tokens. Wondering what your thoughts are on that.

  4. embersburnbrightly

    June 6, 2017 at 11:51 pm

    Incredibly thorough article. It appears that the launch of this coin has been delayed. I suppose it is better to push it back and do it right, rather than move forward and just hope for the best. I have provided my email address on their site in order to be updated on further developments, as this does appear to be a coin worth watching and perhaps investing in; at such time that the coin is indeed available for investing.

  5. [email protected]

    June 13, 2017 at 7:56 pm

    Good day great article but question. The tezos is delayed until june but can i but tezos afther the fundraising ?

  6. csinkey

    June 20, 2017 at 12:39 am

    The Tezos fundraiser is back on, in 11 days actually. Are there any meaningful updates to mention since you wrote this article?

  7. seadog

    July 7, 2017 at 10:37 am

    No limit ICO seems not good, which will affect investors’s profits

  8. Michael_Ross

    October 23, 2017 at 4:36 pm

    Could you please review this analyst? Some days ago some bad news about the structure of the project appears.

    Thank you.

    • DiabloDave

      October 27, 2017 at 5:13 pm

      agreed please update this ico

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ICO

ICO Analysis: Deepbrain Chain

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Deepbrain Chain will provide a low-cost, private, flexible, secure, and decentralized artificial intelligence computing platform for artificial intelligence products.

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Coming out of China, based on NEO,  Deepbrain Chain is an incredibly difficult whitepaper to read. Many concepts are both lost in translation on paper, and in my simple brain.

I came across a Reddit post from a man named crypto_oxford, who does a great job summarizing.

“It is a data computation platform and a Data trading platform that uses distributed spare computing ressources, makes AI computational demands cheaper, protects against data leakage via hacking, secures the seperation of data ownership and usage rights, and secures intellectual property for the data and for the products.”

They figure to reduce the cost of AI by 70% by making it minable on the blockchain. I cannot verify these claims, I am no expert in this field. Here’s a good example possible investors face when trying to learn about this project.  It sounds great, but what does it really mean?

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“The founding team believes that DeepBrain Chain is a project that has been verified by the market, has huge market scale and significant application value, lets the process and economic value associated, and is gradually issued with the core business sharing storage and the mechanism of computation capacity of mining. Each token corresponds to the computational value of the service provided during its issue, and is a truly valuable asset and digital currency that has already landed. Due to the difficulty of issuing, the value of the flow needed by every new token will increase. The earlier one holds, the more the expected value of the market will be.”

The Token

  • NEO platform (nep 5 token)
  • A max hard cap of $15 million,
  • There’s a total supply of 10 billion Deepbrain Chain (DBT) tokens. 50% of these will be mined over time.
  • 1.5 billion tokens will be for sale
  • 600 million sold during the Presale, which ended 10 days ago, and was almost impossible to get in.
  • Token sale stars Dec 15th. You must fill out a KYC form to be eligible. No USA or China allowed

Only 1.5 billion of the total 10 billion tokens will be for sale.

600 million in the presale, and 900 million in the public sale

Use of funds. 55% R&D, 25% marketing, 10% daily operations, 8 % incentives, 2% patent fees

The Team

Based in China? The team is doing things. They recently won 1st and 2nd place prizes in Academic Sector  & Enterprise of SMP, at the Chinese Man-Machine Dialogue Field Authority Evaluation Contest. This contest had over 30 of Chinas best competing.

Their resume’s check out pretty well. And just look at these faces… JACKPOT!

The Verdict

When it comes to the technical side of this project, I am out of my element. They have a hard cap of $15 million, $6 million of that already came from private investors, one of which being NEO, who funded them $1 million.This gives them serious street cred.

AI  data computation, neuro networks, machine learning, all these concepts are no doubt where our world is going. On Deepbrain Chains platform, one can compute and trade data. They have a working platform with more than 1,000 semantic skills.

Risk

  • This being a Chinese project, on NEO, makes it more susceptible to regulations than other projects. It doesn’t seem likely, but is a risk nonetheless -1
  • The token metrics are funny. Only 15% for sale. They have a whitelist for the presale (which may be filled up by the time readers see this.) They didn’t limit the amount people bought during the presale, and won’t for the public sale either. This could lead to whales owning most of the supply. -2
  • They are having KYC implementation difficulties with their sale. It has been a huge issue in their telegram the last 24 hours. What looks like is happening, is there is no way to verify what customer is connected to what KYC. This could be an in for investors who currently aren’t signed up for the KYC to buy these tokens. These issues could be a bad sign of things to come.-2

Growth Potential

  • The Deepbrain whitepaper states; there have been over 5k startups since 2012, collecting over $22 billion. This is without counting the money large existing companies put into ai, which makes the total amount of money over $100 billion. It is certain that this is just the beginning.+4
  • NEO partnership. NEO alone has an endless amount of growth potential. They have a large community that gets exdcited and involved with the projects NEO backs. This partnership is worth a lot. +3
  • The ICO has a strict KYC rule. This is going to create a tremendous amount of demand for this once it hits exchanges.+2
  • This is a $20 billion industry, that is only growing from here on out.+2

Disposition

The 10 billion supply with only 1.5 billion being sold is scary. However, the rest of the ICO seems to make up for this.  5.8 out of 10

Investment Details

Sale starts Dec 15th, however, you need to fill out the whitelist/KYC app in order to get in. This application is having technical issues which may allow anyone to buy in without previously being KYC whitelisted. It’s worth a shot, but need to hurry!

Sign up here  https://www.deepbrainchain.org/pc/kycEnglish.html

Cover image courtesy of Shutterstock.com.

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ICO

ICO Analysis: The Game Machine

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In recent years passionate gamers have been exploited by huge game development companies that hold a monopoly over the industry. The recent EA Star Wars Battlefront catastrophe brought a lot of attention to an issue that gamers are all too familiar with.

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Gamers have to dig deeper and deeper into their pockets to pay for the expansion packs, DLC, and additional features that are excluded from the main game. And these games aren’t cheap.

It’s increasingly becoming apparent that there are fundamental issues with how the gaming industry works today. Fortunately for gamers, the blockchain is already beginning to form a new paradigm in the way games are funded, developed and purchased.

The Game Machine is an open source platform that seeks to decentralize the gaming industry. It aims to provide sleek software that will empower gamers and game developers alike.

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How are they planning on doing this?

The platform has four foundational layers that are stepping stones for this innovative new project. The first layer is the game machine client. It will work as a wallet to store and send Gamefuel tokens and will come with a built in mining interface so that all users can participate in securing the Game Machine’s blockchain.

The second step is to develop their “Rise Machine” that will allow members of the Game Machine community to invest funds into games they see promise in – funds that go directly to the developers so they can create their game independent of the EAs and other oligarchies.

This is perhaps the most powerful innovation suggested by the platform. It gives everyone from the small game studios, with a only a few developers, to the prominent developer, who wants to deviate from the script, the chance to create and sell great games to the community at a fair price when they otherwise could not.

The third layer of the platform is the “Ads Machine” a decentralized advertising market that will live inside the Game Machine client so that game publishers or advertisers can market their products to a gamer specific demographic. Advertisers have been experimenting for years with in-game, native advertising, and it’s a powerful use case for the game machine, just as a stand alone feature. Expect this element of their platform to bring in huge revenue if they can build up their user base.

The last layer of development in their platform is the “Exchange Machine”. This will simplify the process of buying and selling tokens for gamers who use or hold multiple ingame currencies. This way, gamers can sell their Gamefuel and easily move a variety of coins in and out of the game machine.

Token

The Game Machine team is using an Erc20 token called GMIT, which stands for Game Machine Initial Token. Each token is currently valued at 2,500 GMIT per ETH, or $0.32 USD. The token will be tradeable for actual Gamefuel at a ratio where 1 Gamefuel= 0.5 GMIT. Thiswill occur once the platform officially launches in May or June of next year.

The GMIT token is issued by Game Machine OÜ, incorporated in Estonia. A total of 140 million tokens will be created during the various stages of the token sale. The pre-sale has already been conducted and an equivalent of 751 Ethereum were invested, which means roughly 1,870,000 GMIT have already been bought. There are bonuses for early investors during the crowdsale where day 1=+15%, day 2=+10% and day3 =+5%.

There is also another coin that can be mined called GMC or Game Machine Client token, which will be exchangeable for GMIT tokens before the official platform launch at a ratio where 1 GMC = 0.0002 GMIT. The GMC token is given to miners who are being rewarded for securing the network during the Game Machine’s beta testing stage so they can earn Gamefuel. The official Gamefuel token will have its own blockchain that runs on two key components, Limited Proof of Work, and Proof of Authority. Limited proof of work is an energy friendly implementation of the traditional proof of work protocol that bitcoin uses.

Proof of Authority is used to enable faster confirmations of crowdfunding transactions where the authority level of a user confirming transactions is determined through analyzing metrics such as time of use, the amount of purchases and sales of games on the platform made and how positive or negative the feedback of other users were about their contributions to the platform. This can also include how long they have been mining for and how fast. One can imagine this is useful for fending off bad actors that might just try to crowdsource Gamefuel and then commit an exit scam without contributing anything. This blockchain is inspired by the Scorex 2 framework devised by the Scorex foundation, which was also implemented by the Waves decentralized exchange platform.

Team

The three co-founders of Game Machine have over 17 years of combined experience in project development, IT consulting,  video game marketing and development.

The entire team consists of 19 full time employees who are busy working on many different parts of the Game Machine platform. If that’s not impressive enough then look at the history of two of the co-founders Taras Dogval and Alexandr Isaev who were both previous board members of Hakk, which is an interactive agency that has done marketing for huge European companies such as Volvo, Tallink Silja Line and Neste. The other co-founder Maria Suvorina has six years of experience in marketing and promoting games on computers and phones. She’s worked for companies such as Suricate Games, TMA and AminiLab.

Although these companies aren’t that well known, most of their work is out of the public’s eye, and they have actually made contributions to famous games. Aminilab for example has participated in development for games such as Alone in the Dark, FIFA, Dragon Age, Mass Effect, Doodle God and Doodle Devil.

Verdict

The Game Machine is an extremely ambitious project that, if successful, will truly revolutionize the industry. The team behind the platform is experienced, has a great track record and is big enough to polish and refine the Game Machine into a fantastic platform for gamers and developers. However, the existing industry players already have huge advantages when it comes to funding, marketing, development and most importantly building a big reputation and brand awareness. It’s difficult to predict if a community driven effort from gamers and developers combined on an open source platform, will be enough to break into the existing market and convince everyday gamers to switch to an entirely new platform.

Risks

  • One risk for this project is the quality of its design in terms of how friendly the user interface will be. If the platform is too difficult for technically illiterate people to use then it will not have wheels to get going anywhere. -1
  • Another threat to the game machine is the plethora of other competitors that are already working on blockchain innovations in the gaming industry. For example, Enjincoin is an existing game development company founded in 2009 that recently completed its ICO, raising $20 million to kick start a platform that boasts features very similar to the ones offered on Game Machine. -2
  • Besides the long list of other game-based ICOs that have been launched this year, there is also stiff competition from massive conventional gaming markets. In addition, newer platforms such as Steam have already attractive hundreds of millions of users. -2.5

Growth potential

  • The Game Machine has a lot of potential for quickly stacking up a big user base, and one reason is due to the strong alignment of incentives between gamers and game creators. The traditional game development giants on the other hand are ignoring what their consumers and even some of their own developers have had to say about how games should be created, distributed or sold. Instead of focusing on quality and a fair deal for customers, these development companies have opted to lined their pockets instead. This is why gamers and developers would flock to the Game Machine overnight if the platform works well. +3
  • The project’s potential for increasing the value of the underlying gamefuel token is actually quite immense in scope. Just the crowdsourcing and kickstarting mechanism built into the platform would induce a scenario where a large sum of people would continually purchase gamefuel tokens to lock into smart contracts. Once enough gamers are participating in this process the money locked in gamefuel tokens at any given time will only rise, thus reducing the supply of tokens in circulation and consequently increasing gamefuel’s value.+3
  • With the plans to integrate a digital advertising market directly into the platform, gamefuel has a secondary source of revenue because advertising slots on the game machine platform can only be purchased with gamefuel.+3
  • The “Exchange machine” that’s built into the Game Machine client is a nice approach to sourcing liquidity that will allow many other game based cryptocurrency holders to sell their tokens to purchase gamefuel. Attracting a wide range of gamers who are interested in different blockchain based gaming platforms is a unique approach to marketing that many readers may not have considered as a form of advertising. +2

Disposition

The Game Machine is a solid project overall; the team is large, has experience and will have raised additional funds to expand their efforts once their crowdsale is completed. That being said, stiff competition from new and existing gaming avenues, not to mention luring a dedicated gaming community to an entirely new platform. These risks must be weighed carefully before entering into Game Machine. As such, this ICO has been granted a score of 5.5 out of 10.

Investment Details

Unfortunately, the presale period of the Game Machine ended a few days ago; however, the final crowdsale period will open for everyone to participate from Dec. 14 through Jan. 31, 2018..

There will only ever be 140 million gamefuel tokens created in the ICO, and 70% of them will be available for token sale participants. The rest of the tokens will be divided into portions and used to fund various parts of the project:

  • 14.2% token storage for starting in-game items withdrawals.
  • 1.4% for bounty program.
  • 1.4% for advisors.
  • 4.5% for referral program.
  • 7.1% for team.

The team’s portion of tokens is utilized to pay for development and split in the following arrangement below.

  • 10% Legal maintenance.
  • 5% Operating expenses.
  • 35% Marketing and PR.
  • 50% Development of a product.

You can learn more about their token and ICO here.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

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ICO Analysis: Gimmer Token

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The impeccable rise of algorithmic trading has ushered in a new wave of do-it-yourself (DIY) algorithmic trading bots. With the success of these DIY bots in traditional financial markets, it was only a matter of time until they entered the cryptocurrency market.

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For algorithmic trading, volatility creates opportunity sets. And with cryptocurrencies still trading in an inefficient market, volatility runs rampant. This level of volatility creates an ideal environment for even the most rudimentary algorithmic trading strategies. However, there is a lack of DIY automated trading bots that are available for use by amatuer cryptocurrency traders. With this in mind, Gimmer is looking to take advantage of this need.

According to the company’s website, “Gimmer offers easy-to-use advanced algorithmic trading bots that require no programming skills, no previous trading experience and no in-depth knowledge of cryptocurrencies.”  

Essentially, Gimmer is hoping to position itself as the leading DIY algorithmic trading bots for individual cryptocurrency traders. While the company may never be the “Quantopian” of the cryptocurrency space, Gimmer does provide a novel solution for amateur traders.  

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Token

The Gimmer token (GMR) will be implemented using the Ethereum ERC20. While GMR tokens will be visible in participants’ ERC20 wallet, the tokens will not be tradable until the close of the public sale on January 31, 2018. GMR tokens will issued starting from January 3, 2018. GMR holders generate value from the token as a form of payment for the rental cost of Gimmer’s trading bots. For users, the rental cost scales proportionately to the level of sophistication desired – more sophistication equals higher return (at least in theory).

According to the whitepaper, 45% of the funds raised will go towards development and operations, 35% towards marketing and acquisition, 15% towards the founders and team, with the remainder of the pot (5%) going to legal and compliance.

Gimmer Tokens are valued at 1 Ether (ETH) per 1,000 GMR (plus applicable bonuses). The total amount of tokens to be sold is capped at 100,000,000 GMR. However, an additional 6,000,000 GMR will be created for advisors, reserves, and the team, with another 4,000,000 GMR created for bounties.

The company has not yet stated its intention to list the GMR tokens on any major crypto exchanges.

Team

Gimmer’s core team consists of two senior developers, a global macro hedge fund manager, and a creative design veteran. As compared with the majority of ICOs, Gimmer’s team is in-line with the relative standard – the quality of team meets basic expectations.  

The company’s CEO, Philipe Comini, is a senior-level UX/UI designer who is also balancing two other jobs (according to LinkedIn) – typically, not a good sign. The company’s CTO, Persio Flexa, is also a senior developer who recently launched 2 other start-ups – again, not a good sign. The company’s COO, Paul Lindsell, is a creative design veteran with over 12 years experience that is seemingly committed to his role – not balancing multiple jobs. The company’s CIO, Masaichi Hasegawa, is currently a global macro hedge fund manager and an executive of a shoe manufacturing company – the third C-suite executive of Gimmer to balance two other jobs.

The rest of Gimmer’s team consists of a marketing director, a user experience director, two developers, a customer researcher, a commercial director, and a journalist.

Verdict

Gimmer presents a highly speculative buying opportunity for investors interested in short-term capital appreciation.

Creating profitable algorithmic trading strategies is incredibly difficult. Hedge funds typically employ a large staff of mathematicians, experienced machine learning engineers, data scientists, and the like – Wall Street refers to them as “quants.” Quants typically hold a PhD in finance or quantitative mathematics and have years of hands-on experience with both statistical analysis and engineering (Python and C++). Does Gimmer employ any quants? No, not even by the slightest measure.

Overall, Gimmer’s DIY algorithmic trading bots are likely just a novel tool-kit for amatuer cryptocurrency traders, nothing more, nothing less.

Risks

Gimmer provides no data on slippage modeling, meaning users have no idea of all the transaction costs that are associated with a higher frequency of trading (including: fees, commission, and slippage). These costs can be significant and add up quickly. -1

Gimmer’s core team does not seem to be dedicated (balancing multiple jobs) or qualified in any sense. With Gimmer’s team lacking any real trading platform experience, unforeseen issues with their algorithms may lead to sizable losses for users. -1.5

Gimmer provides no data on latency, meaning users do not know if the company’s algorithms are deployed to proximity-based execution servers in attempt to achieve low-latency performance no matter where the user is located. For all trading strategies, latency must be measured and managed in order to maximize the probability of success. -1

Growth Opportunity

Provided that Gimmer’s trading bots run successfully without any technical glitches, users could benefit from enhanced risk management protocols, thereby insuring their principal investment through more downside protection. +2

Copy trading techniques could benefit novice traders, as they can publicly see high level information such as start date, running period, currency pairs and percent gained. Based on the public information, users can copy seemingly successful trading strategies and rent the same bots. +3

Automated trading strategies will allow a larger pool of traders to invest in cryptocurrencies. Since the market is still subject to large, volatile price swings, more passive traders could use Gimmer’s platform to execute automated trades (based on pre-set parameters) without having to monitor the market on a day-to-day basis. +2.5

Disposition

While algorithmic trading in the cryptocurrency space is a smart strategy, Gimmer lacks the sophistication of even the most basic trading platforms. The biggest concern beyond Gimmer’s lack of sophistication, is the pedigree of the core team. With no quants on staff and a couple UI/UX designers creating the algorithms, technical issues are likely to occur. And with that in mind, faulty algorithms or platform glitches could easily lead to the loss of principal investment for users.

For amateur traders interested in novel tool to play around with, Gimmer is a great choice. For veteran traders with solid programming and statistical skills, move on to a better platform.

Against this backdrop, we believe that a score of 4.0 out of 10 is warranted.

Investment Details

  • Type: Crowdsale
  • Symbol: GMR
  • Pre-ICO Sale: November 24, 2017
  • Public Sale: January 3, 2018
  • Payments Accepted: ETH

Disclaimer: no position in Gimmer at the time of writing.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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