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ICO Analysis: Grid+

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Let’s get one thing straight, Grid+ and Power Ledger are NOT offering the exact same product. The reason why I started with this disclaimer is that this is most prominent question being asked wherever Grid+ is being discussed. For our readers not familiar with Power Ledger, you can check out our review here.

While both Grid+ and Power Ledger are designed to shake up the energy market, the difference lies in their approach towards solving the problem. Power Ledger’s core product revolves around creating marketplaces where people will be able to sell their excess energy to those who need it. Power Ledger focuses on peer-to-peer energy trading as their main value proposition. On the other hand, the long-term vision of Grid+ involves creating a marketplace for energy trading, they are more focused on reducing the costs of retail electricity.

So, what does Grid+ plan to do?

Grid+ focuses on disrupting the existing utilities, where they aim to remove the intermediaries and sell electricity at wholesale rates to the end users.
The 4 major elements of electricity supply chain are energy generators, transmitters, distributors and the utilities. Utilities are responsible for administering and billing customers, and their associated costs are a significant overhead to the end user’s electricity bill as discussed in the whitepaper:

An energy utility buys electricity in the wholesale markets, pays the distribution system operator a fee for getting the electricity to the customer, and then bills the customer for the service at a large markup over their cost of goods sold. Typically only about 50% of the cost of retail electricity is used to pay for the electrical energy itself. The other half is tied up in administrative burden, marketing, and risk management associated with bad debts.

By operating as a utility itself or licensing its technology to electricity generators, Grid+ will be able to bring down the cost of retail electricity significantly. Grid+ will automate the processes of billing and settlement which are largely manual and a significant portion of the overhead costs. By using the Ethereum-based smart contracts, payments will get recorded automatically without any payment processors. For the Texas market, Grid+ will bring the cost of $0.115/kWh down to $0.068/kWh, which translates to a customer saving ~38% on electricity.

Smart Agent

At the core of Grid+ technology is the Smart Agent. The Smart Agent is an internet enabled proprietary hardware, which users will have to buy to participate in the Grid+ ecosystem. The Smart Agent will read from the household smart meter and pay for the electricity usage in real-time. The users do not need to have any understanding of the blockchain technology, the Smart Agent takes care of that.

Longer Term Vision

As the costs of storage/batteries drop it will be in the economic interest of the consumer to buy batteries to store excess electricity. Once this occurs there will be situations where customers will not want to interact with wholesale markets directly, but rather trade energy locally. The Smart Agents will calculate the user’s energy requirements and sell excess energy in a peer-to-peer manner. Also since the middlemen aka the utilities are removed, users can directly view prices shown by the wholesale distributors, which vary according to the supply and demand. This will enable users to perform price arbitrage of electricity i.e. buy low and sell high!

The Token and Crowraise

Grid+ will operate with a two-token model, with each token being ERC-20 compliant. The BOLT token will be treated by Grid+ as a stable-coin, redeemable by Grid+ customers for $1 worth of energy from Grid+ and backed by USD deposits. The GRID token will allow Grid+ customers to purchase electricity from Grid+ at wholesale price. In particular, each GRID token may be redeemed by a Grid+ customer for 500 kWh of electricity from Grid+ at the wholesale price available to Grid+ in the jurisdiction in which the customer is located at the time such electricity is actually purchased.

The GRID token will be distributed during the ICO, with a fixed number of 300 million tokens scheduled to be minted. As mentioned above, the GRID token will be a credit on the GRID+ platform, redeemable for the right to purchase 500 kWh of electricity at wholesale price available to GRID+. Once redeemed, the tokens will be burned thus increasing value for the existing token holders. The price pegged BOLT tokens will be used to carry out transactions on the platform.

The crowdsale begins on October 30th. Of the total 300 million tokens, 90 million are available for sale. Each GRID token is priced at $1.15 for the ICO with a hardcap of $75 million USD.

The Team

Grid+ is a part of Consensys, which is a “hub” for similar blockchain based projects. Along with Grid+, Consensys is behind many other well known projects like BTC Relay and BlockApps.

ConsenSys has spent two years working with some of the brightest minds in the energy space, which has culminated in the formation of Grid+. The Grid+ team leverages experience from other ConsenSys teams, Ethereum startups, and massive Fortune Global 50 energy companies to design a system that will fundamentally change the way consumers interact with their energy providers.

The cofounders and the team have been selected to lead the Grid+ project after proper vetting by ConsenSys. There are 8 team members and 9 advisors listed. Ethereum cofounder Joseph Lubin is one of the advisors.

Verdict

Grid+ does not necessarily focus on clean energy or for that matter any “type” of energy. The core product is focused on disrupting the energy grid and providing cheap electricity to the end users, no matter where the electricity comes from. Grid+ might turn out to be a big boon for hydrocarbon power companies, as they would be able to sell electricity at rates cheaper than renewables. But then Grid+ is just a utility which is simply billing the customers and doing the administrative works. The benefits coming in for customers are also great. The project is actually improving an inefficient system and claims to lower electricity bills by almost 35-40%. Around $40 million USD have already been raised in the presale, which shows there is a considerable interest for the project.

The only point of concern is some ambiguity around the GRID token. The token has no other value apart from being a sort of coupon for getting 500 kWh electricity at wholesale prices. But since the same condition applies for GRID tokens all over the world, and electricity prices show a wide variation based on geographies; how would the token be valued by the markets? There would always be an upper cap to the value of the tokens, from a “trader” view, this coin will never be actually worth more than 20-30% of 500kWh of electricity at retail value. Currently the token is valued at $1.15 for the ICO, and it will immediately start trading at a price which is equal to the delta of the wholesale and retail price of 500 kWh electricity, which according to many estimates could vary from $4-7 making the ICO price a bargain.

Risks

  • The GRID tokens are nothing more than coupons for cheap electricity and will always have an upper cap. -1.5
  • The project can only operate in deregulated markets. At present there are only 2 states with deregulated electricity markets in the US. -2
  • There is some initial investment for users in the form of buying Smart Agents, which might prove to be a barrier. -0.5
  • There is no working product like Power Ledger has. They have not even applied for the creation of utility yet. -3

Growth Potential

  • From a business perspective, there is a good potential for Grid+ to grow considering the potential benefits for power generation companies and the end users. +3
  • Being a part of Consensys lends a huge credibility to the project. +2
  • $40 million USD have already been raised in the presale, $13 million raise by Power Ledger pales in comparison. +2
  • As the GRID tokens can immediately be redeemed for 500 kWh of wholesale priced electricity, the current token price of $1.15 is at a discount to the expected future price. +4

Disposition

We arrive at a score of +4 for Grid+. This is lower than the +6.35 we gave to Power Ledger. The absence of a working product and ambiguity surrounding GRID token’s valuation reduces the rating for Grid6.

Investment Details

The ICO begins on Oct 30th at 12pm EST. You can participate in the ICO here.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 16 rated postsAakash Kawale is a financial analyst based out of Mumbai, India. He is the lead analyst at a Singapore based organization and has extensive experience of analyzing US and Indian equities. Aakash is a strong advocate of the Blockchain technology and has been analyzing cryptocurrencies since 2015.




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ICO

ICO Analysis: Hedge

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When you buy your first cryptocurrency and start trading between pairs, usually you do in accordance with what you have heard from other people or your own research. Thinking that some project is truly good, you expect to make some gains. Yet it is always hard to have an estimation for “some gains”. Unexperienced traders usually get greedy, expecting more profit. This usually ends up with not taking profits and losing some of your investment. More experienced traders sometimes set prices to sell some or all of their tokens, taking profits and moving forward. This way of trading is basically predicting a price to sell cryptocurrencies: If you make a good prediction, then you sell at the peak. If not, either you are not able to sell as the price did not go up as much as you have predicted, or it keeps rising up which would be still a good trade.

Hedge is a platform allowing seasoned traders to sell their predictions. They create Blueprints with the predicted information in the form of a smart contract. They are required to stake HEDG tokens which can be seen as a measure of security, disincentivizing these investors’ spamming Blueprints. Platform users obtain these Blueprints in return for HEDG tokens.

A decentralized oracle then checks whether the prediction is true or false. If true, the predictor gets all staked coins. If not, the predictor loses his or her staked coins and the platform user gets his or her token back. Blueprint creators are ranked in terms of their success rates, streaks and so on. By checking creator’s rank, platform users can buy blueprints from more successful creators. Once you feel confident in your trading skills and predictions, you can create and sell Blueprints yourself on Hedge as well.

Yet a dispute over almost anything is possible. A platform user or a Blueprint creator can create a dispute about the result of his or her prediction. In this case, the disputer has to stake more coins and highly-ranked users decide whether the prediction is, in fact, true or false. If a person is false about his or her dispute, he loses these additionally staked coins as well. All this process, from the creation of a Blueprint to the dispute’s result, is conducted in a decentralized manner.

Token

HEDG tokens are used for the creation of Blueprints, buying these Blueprints and creating disputes. The staking mechanism, a quite common defense mechanism, ensures that spamming Blueprints is not financially viable for the attacker.

As tokens at any sale stage are sold $0.02, the ICO investor does not have much to worry regarding any huge bonus for private investors and so on. 90% of the hard-cap is already sold which is a good reason to think that the project has met interest to some acceptable degree and meeting the hard cap should not be hard.

The initial total supply of HEDG is 1 billion tokens with the following token distribution:

  1. 50% private and public tokens
  2. 10% seed round
  3. 20% team
  4. 12% partnerships and community
  5. 3% advisors
  6. 5% company

Team, partnership and community, and advisor tokens are locked for 36 months, 12 months and 12 months respectively. Once the lock-up period ends, tokens will be released in monthly installments.

There is no information on how the team is planning to use the token sale proceeds at the moment.

Team

CEO David Waslen: Prior to co-founding Chrysalis Capital Advisors Inc., Waslen was the director of finance at Handy, an application to book home services.

Allan Redman: Redman is a senior software developer at Siemens Canada. Before joining Siemens, he was a senior .Net developer at Schneider Electric.

Verdict

Below is a breakdown of the risks and growth potential of Hedge.

Risks

  • No advisors are listed as of September 15th. (-1)
  • In the absence of social media channels such as Reddit and Telegram, it is hard to gauge the community interest in the project. (-1)
  • A more complex prediction system instead of a true/false one could create more interest and diversity. (-1.5)

Growth Potential

  • The project has already met 90% of its hard cap in prior rounds and should not have trouble to hit the cap. (+2)
  • Prediction market cryptocurrency projects tend to do well in terms of return on investment. (+2)
  • Such a taking mechanism is a common, yet a good way to defend against spam attacks. (+1.5)
  • Low hard cap. (+1.5)

Disposition

Hedge is a very simple, yet elegant prediction market cryptocurrency project. It enables seasoned investors to sell their predictions and less experienced traders to buy them with HEDG tokens. Even the adoption of a small community is sufficient for the project to work, which is quite likely as it has already raised 90% of its hard cap, precisely $9,000,000. On the other hand, from the perspective of an ICO investor, it is hard to gauge any potential return on investment as the absence of social media channels makes it extremely hard to gauge the community interest in the project. Implemented staking mechanism defends the platform against spam attacks and gives platform users a reason to use tokens. Investors might think that a binary prediction system isn’t ideal vs. a more sophisticated one. Hedge receives a 3.5/10.

Investment Details

  • Type: ERC20 – Utility
  • Symbol: HEDG
  • Platform: Ethereum
  • Crowdsale: October 17th
  • Minimum Investment: Unspecified
  • Price: $0.02
  • Hard Cap: $10,000,000
  • Payments Accepted: Unspecified
  • Restricted from Participating: Unspecified

For More Information

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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ICO

ICO Analysis: Block66

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The mortgage market is one of the biggest financial markets in the world. The market in the United States is around $10 trillion dollars, but the worldwide figure of $33 trillion is even more impressive. Yet getting a mortgage is not easy as risk-averse institutions do not have business with many viable candidates. Even if institutions at a smaller scale and private lenders want to get their piece of the pie, they are having a hard time to find a place in the market and meet entry barriers.

Block66 is a mortgage blockchain platform aiming to connect these two sides of lenders and borrowers. By using this platform, credible people whose applications are denied by the mainstream mortgage market now can borrow funds from lenders. It should be also noted that a mortgage application takes forty to forty-five days in the United States and the most of this period is spent on bureaucratic issues. At the end of this period, many people’s applications are rejected, and their precious time is just wasted.

But now thanks to smart contracts and the blockchain technology, this inefficient and stressful process of loaning and borrowing money can be conducted in a way much easier and faster. Having no access to any bank account or geographical boundaries is not an issue as long as you find a borrower or a lender, depending on which side of the trade you are. Any document can be automatically checked, thus no bureaucratic baggage. Truly Block66, the world’s first blockchain enabled mortgage lending network, can do it all in a highly transparent and efficient way.

Token

The Block66 platform uses two different tokens. The first one, Block66 Token (B66), is the main currency of the network. The second one, Block66 Network Tokens (BNET), is produced by B66 tokens, quite similar to NEO-GAS pair. BNET tokens shall be used for actions which take place in the network such as covering third-party KYC costs and modifying the proof of loan tokens. This currency generation mechanism brings another incentive to hold B66 tokens. As no currency other than BNET can be used for these actions, we can say that BNET is the fuel of the Block66 platform. Any BNET used for in-platform actions will be burned, thus decreasing the supply and increasing the demand per token.

The ICO investor should note that in the pre-sale round still going on, contributors are offered a discount of 33%, making the price $0.07 per token.

The initial total supply of B66 is 300,000,000 tokens with the following token distribution:

  1. 9% advisors and bug bounty
  2. 40% reserve
  3. 16.6% presale
  4. 34.4% main sale

The team is planning to use the token sale proceeds as follows.

  1. 15% operations
  2. 30% business development
  3. 40% engineering
  4. 15% marketing

Team

CEO John Markham: Markham is a mortgage agent at Mortgage Intelligence, a mortgage broker company located in Ontario, Canada.

Vishal Karangutkar: Prior to joining Block66 as a solidity developer, Karanguthar has worked as a principal engineer at Fidelity Investments and as a senior system engineer at Merrill Lynch.

Advisors

Shingo Lavine: Lavine is the founder and CEO at Ethos.

Hakim Thompson: Thompson was the vice-president at Goldman Sachs’ Mortgages & Structured Products division before joining Behalf, an alternative financial provider for small to medium-sized businesses, as the director of finance.

Rob Beswick: Beswick is the chief commercial officer at Virgin Mobile.

Maurice Herlihy: Herlihy is a professor of computer science at Brown University and an advisor to Ethos and Algorand.

Partners

Bounty0x: Bounty0x is a blockchain platform built on the 0x protocol, allowing people and companies to run bounty programs.

Civic: Civic is a blockchain project which creates tools for identity protection and control.

Verdict

Below is a breakdown of the risks and growth potential of Block66.

Risks

  • MVP will be launched Q1’ 2019. (-1.5)
  • Cryptocurrencies’ volatility is quite a big problem for lending platforms. (-1.5)

Growth Potential

  • Due to the money lending market’s unrealistic standards and unfair restrictions, so many people’s demands are rejected. Once projects like Block66 earn these people’s trust, this area will be definitely a hot one. (+2)
  • The presence of team members experienced in mortgage and real estate markets. (+2)
  • Fair token metrics. (+2)

Disposition

The mortgage market is one of the biggest financial markets in the world, but due to institutional lenders’ risk-averseness, many credible people and small companies are not able to get a loan even if there are smaller institutions and private lenders out there willing to make loans. Block66 is the first mortgage-focused lending and borrowing cryptocurrency project, aiming to break down this wall between these two sides. Although it is pretty much established between the cryptocurrency community that lending platforms provide an important use-case, the expected success is not met so far. Block66 has a fair shot at relative success by having team members experienced in mortgage loans and real estate. Yet, since MVP will not be released until next year, it is too early to tell. Block66 receives a 3/10.

Investment Details

  • Type: ERC20 – Utility
  • Symbol: B66
  • Platform: Ethereum
  • Crowdsale: Unspecified
  • Minimum Investment: Unspecified
  • Price: $0.10
  • Hard Cap: $12,285,000
  • Payments Accepted: Unspecified
  • Restricted from Participating: Unspecified

For More Information

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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ICO

ICO Analysis: Algorand

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For any blockchain project out there, it is of the utmost importance to reach consensus as quickly and efficiently as possible. Many different ideas are thrown out to solve this critical issue and by its unique features and a team of renowned academics, Algorand proposes a new Byzantine Agreement as a solution for scalability, long transaction times and high energy consumption which perhaps is the main source of criticism towards proof of work coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Key features Algorand offers are as follows.

  • New blocks in two phases: In Algorand blocks are created in two phases. In Phase 1, a user gets selected randomly with the proportional probability to the number of tokens he or she has. This is broadcasted to all users and the selected user proposes a new block of valid transactions. In Phase 2, a group of users is selected in the same way as in Phase 1. This is broadcasted to all users as well and the group verifies the block.
  • Random lottery: The selection of proposers and verifiers is conducted by a random internal and fast lottery which ensures that every user has an equal saying on block creation. By a mechanism called secret self-selection, each user plays a private lottery and at the end, no one else knows whether he or she wins or loses. If he or she wins, the “winning ticket” proves that he or she is selected, and others can verify this.
  • No fork ever: In traditional blockchains whenever a dispute over a major proposal emerges, the discussion of a hard-fork starts. If no consensus over the proposed changes is reached, then the blockchain forks and at the end, there are two blockchains with a community divided into two camps. For instance, Bitcoin has a quite long history of hard forks, the most known one being Bitcoin’s forking to Bitcoin Cash. In Algorand proposals are posted on the blockchain and voted by platform users to be accepted or rejected. If accepted, the change is implemented. This means that Algorand cannot practically fork.
  • Minimal computational work: As a very small number of users are selected to be proposers and verifiers to create blocks, the amount of computation required is way too low compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • High throughput: The network has 125x of Bitcoin’s transaction speed, can confirm them in less than a minute and none to the little difficulty to scale is detected.
  • Two kinds of consensus: Thanks to Algorand’s new Byzantine Agreement, along with the final consensus, a tentative consensus is possible as well. Once a user reaches final consensus, other users have to follow him or her in this round. This ensures that there is only one chain reaching to the final block. On the other hand, tentative consensus occurs when others reach a non-finalized consensus. Only when following blocks reach final consensus, transactions from this block will be confirmed.
  • Honesty: As long as honest platform users have most of the money, transaction neutrality will be ensured as the block proposer will not exclude transactions from his or her block and verifiers will verify this honestly proposed block.

Token

As Algorand is a payment protocol, ALG tokens will be used for transactions between peers. Any information on token metrics is not released yet.

Team

Silvio Micali: Micali is a professor at MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory since 1983, a co-inventor of zero-knowledge proofs and the co-winner of the Turing award.

Naveed Ihsanullah: Ihsanullah has worked as a principal software engineer at Compuware, a computer software company and as a senior engineering manager at Mozilla before he joined to Algorand as the head of engineering.

Nickolai Zeldovich: Zeldovich is a professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at MIT.

David Shoots: Shoots is a principal software engineer at Microsoft.

Jamie Goldstein: Goldstein was a general partner at North Bridge Venture Partner for eighteen years. After leaving North Bridge, he co-founded Pillar Companies, a venture capital company.

Advisors

Andrew Lo: Lo is a world-class finance expert. Prior to becoming a professor at Sloan School of Management, MIT he was a former governor at Boston Stock Exchange. He also conducts research at reputable organizations such as the National Bureau of Economic Research and New York Federal Reserve Board’s Financial Advisory Roundtable.

Christian Catalini: Catalini is a professor at MIT Sloan School of Management since 2014. He also founded MIT Cryptoeconomics Lab in 2017.

Shafi Goldwasser: Goldwasser is a professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at MIT. She is the recipient of many respectable awards such as the Turing Award, the Gödel Prize and the Franklin Medal.

Naval Ravikant: Ravikant is the founder and the chairman of AngelList.

Jill Carlson: Carlson was the strategy lead at Chain, a company focusing on cryptographic ledger systems, which has been acquired by Lightyear very recently.

Verdict

Below is a breakdown of the risks and growth potential of Algorand.

Risks

  • The absence of a non-technical white-paper is a concern for people who are not tech-savvy. (-1)
  • Although the project has been around for some considerable time, no token metrics are released yet which makes it hard to measure the project’s worth as an investment. (-2)
  • Block creation depends on the platform users’ honesty to some degree which is a source of concern. Yet since the team is full of all-star academics, it is not hard to conceive that in the case of an emergency some temporary or permanent measure can be taken swiftly and easily. (-1)

Growth Potential

  • Great academic team with many prestigious awards. (+3)
  • Testnet was launched on July 20th. (+3.5)
  • Technical features are groundbreaking. (+4)

Disposition

Algorand proposes a new consensus mechanism to solve problems of scalability, low transaction speed and high energy consumption which mainstream blockchains such as Bitcoin and Ethereum meet. By these features such as block creation in two phases and random lottery to choose creators and verifiers, the project is superior to many of its counterparts. As no information on token metrics is released as of September 14th, it is hard to make any guess on potential returns on investment. As there is no white-paper easily readable and understandable by people who are not tech-savvy, the project might not reach the majority of the cryptocurrency community. The presence of a test-net before ICO is definitely something we do not see often these days, and this is certainly a huge plus. Some concerns might exist regarding the network’s security, especially its seeming reliance on users’ honesty, but such an all-star team seems capable of much more than solving such issues. Algorand receives a 6/10.

Investment Details

  • Type: ERC20 – Utility
  • Symbol: ALG
  • Platform: Ethereum
  • Crowdsale: Unspecified
  • Minimum Investment: Unspecified
  • Price: Unspecified
  • Hard Cap: Unspecified
  • Payments Accepted: Unspecified
  • Restricted from Participating: Unspecified

For More Information

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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