Glorious Happy Dog

We would like to wish a very happy New Year to all of our clients, partners, and colleagues in China and around the globe.
The Dog is very noble and compassionate and unlike the Cock, she has a strong sense of the difference between right and wrong.
As well, today holds mystical significance in both the Jewish and Muslim calendars being the first day of the new month of Adar and Jumada Al-Thani respectively.
For Jews, it is a time of happiness and a time to change your fate. For Muslims, this is the last month of Winter. So no matter how cold it is outside we know that it will not last and very soon we will be able to prepare for a spiritual journey.
In the words of one of my kid’s favorite movies, Rock Dog, we’ll be Glorious.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=stctZ-8akds
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Today’s Highlights

  • Trading Inflation
  • Dollar Getting Slammed
  • Cryptos Continue Recovery
Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of February 16th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Traditional Markets

The so-called rout on Wall Street has now faded like a bad bizarre dream and though we’re still a bit off the top, the last 5 sessions have been solid green.
Here we can see traders remaining loyal to the Dow Jones…
Now that the markets know inflation is back in town, analysts will be dusting off the old playbooks and should start coming out and over the next few days, giving us the historical perspective on how to position for it.
In the meantime, it’s manifesting in a weaker US Dollar. Despite the higher expectations for the Fed to get aggressive on rates, the Dollar is sinking fast.
At the moment, the US Dollar Index is at its lowest point since 2014.
With that, we’ve also had breakouts in several dollar related currency pairs on the long term charts.
Here’s the new top in the EURUSD
…and a breakout of the long term range in the USDJPY.
The main benefactor of the weaker Dollar seems to be Gold, which also may be benefiting from increased appetite for a safe place to store value.

Cryptos

Speaking of a safe store of value, we’re also seeing a bit of a sprint to the crypto markets. Bitcoin did indeed take out 10k yesterday. However, the breakout didn’t last very long and we’re again below the line in many places around the world.
Similar to some of the previous rallies, the buying pressure seems to be coming mainly from Japan.
Bitcoin volumes in the world’s top crypto country have been strong throughout February, with an additional push higher yesterday.
Though the volumes in South Korea are still relatively weak, the premiums are creeping back.
Traders in both Japan and South Korea are now paying about 6.5% more for bitcoin than traders in the West. Though the US Dollar value holds no psychological significance to them we can see that both countries are buying bitcoin at well above $10,000.
It will be interesting to see what happens this weekend when cryptotraders have more time to analyze the market and take actions.
Wishing you a glorious weekend!!
This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation. The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose. Cryptocurrencies can widely fluctuate in prices and are not appropriate for all investors. Trading cryptocurrencies is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework.

eToro (EU) Ltd, authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities Exchange Commission (CySEC)

Best regards,

Mati Greenspan

Senior Market Analyst

eToro: @MatiGreenspan | Twitter: @MatiGreenspan | LinkedIn: MatiGreenspan | Facebook:MatiGreenspan