Fundstrat, Circle and Genesis Trading Execs Offer Market Insight
Long-suffering crypto investors are finally getting some relief today, with the broader market gains surprisingly being led by Ethereum. The combined market cap is steadily approaching $200 billion while bitcoin’s dominance is back below 56%. Whether or not the market rally has legs and it’s the start of the bull run that strategists have been forecasting remains to be seen, but for now, the double-digit gains in many altcoins, not the least of which includes ETH, which is boasting an 18% increase, is a welcome sign.
Ethereum Classic is hosting its 2018 summit in South Korea featuring one of the bitcoin bulls, Tom Lee, in addition to other industry leaders including Matt Beck of Grayscale Investments, Circle’s Jack Liu and Genesis Global Trading chief Michael Moro, all of whom offered their observations on the trading dynamic.
If you need more proof that the crypto market remains in the nascent stages, consider that today 90-95% of the market is controlled by individual investors, not institutions, which is unusual for other asset classes such as commodities, as Genesis’ Moro pointed out. But that doesn’t mean that institutions aren’t placing bets.
Circle’s Liu pointed to a landscape in which early crypto investors who have amassed a portfolio may be looking to cash out at some point in time, while new investors who may have taken longer to be convinced to enter are there for the long haul. “You’re seeing quite traditional VCs/institutional investors take long-term bets on longer tail coins,” said Liu.
Bitcoin miners are also in the spotlight, given that the bitcoin price has managed to hold the $6,000 level despite the latest bout of selling, which is deemed the breakeven point for creating new coins. It’s a repeat of the dynamic of 2015 when the bitcoin price was similarly able to hold at 1x mining costs. Fundstrat’s Lee pointed out that contrary to popular belief, miners are not the ones unloading during the market downdraft.
“I think in a way miners are actually acting as a stabilizer. They’re not actually worsening what’s happening in crypto,” Lee said.
Based on anecdotal conversations with miners, Fundstrat gleaned that BTC miners are very aware of ROI tied to creating more coins. As a result, they’re more inclined to hold during the down times and sell when prices are higher.
Meanwhile, as the crypto market heads into the final stretch of 2018, institutional capital is the right custody solution away from entering the space. In the interim, crypto investing just requires more patience. “I think the next FANG is crypto. You need to just buy the quality projects and $1,000 will turn into … it’s probably going to be more than 1000x from here,” said Lee.
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