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ETH/USD: Momentum Builds North of $300

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Ether prices caught a tailwind this weekend, rising above a key psychological threshold in the latest sign that the crypto asset class was regaining momentum.

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ETH/USD: $300 and Beyond

The ETH/USD first broke above $300 on Friday before continuing higher over the weekend. Ether maxed out at $313.90 on Sunday, according to Bitsamp. That’s the highest level since early September. At the time of writing, the pair is consolidating above $310.

Ether is conveying numerous bullish signs as prices continue to push north of $300. The ETH/USD faces immediate support at $305. On the opposite side of the ledger, a rally toward $330 is looking more and more possible from the perspective of relative strength and the MACD.

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Crypto Market Overcomes Mid-Week Slump

Ethereum and Ripple recently led the cryptocurrency market out of a mid-week slump. The cryptocurrency asset class is now worth $152 billion, according to CoinMarketCap, even as a majority of tokens posted weekly declines.

The market took a beating early last month after China rolled out comprehensive bans on initial coin offerings and bitcoin exchanges. Recent developments out of the mainland suggest policymakers are looking to regulate cryptocurrency instead of  the blanket ban currently in place.

According to CnLedger, a major source of cryptocurrency news in China:

“Xinhua News, official press agency of CN: Virtual currencies have become the top choices of underground economies. We shall adopt ‘0-tolerance policies’ towards crimes hidden underneath and take measures such as record-keeping, licensing, AML processes, real-name, limiting large transactions.”

ICO Market Continues to Underpin Ethereum

The ICO craze sweeping the globe has shined the spotlight on Ethereum, whose superior technical specifications and smart contract capability have given birth to a new market. If the current trend continues, Ethereum will likely generate hundreds of crypto-offspring as more startups exploit the platform to mint their own digital currency.

More than $2 billion has been raised to date in ICOs, with the vast majority relying on the ether blockchain. Startups relying on Ethereum must bear the costs of using the network to process transactions. In this way, ether tokens provide access to, and payment for, the transactional role of the Ethereum blockchain.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Returns to Health After Flash Crash

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The value of bitcoin stabilized Thursday after a flash crash wiped nearly 9% from its value, a sign that investors are getting over the initial fear of regulatory encroachment on their tokens.

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Bitcoin’s Epic Drop

Beginning at around 12:45 UTC, the BTC/USD began an epic decline that continued for 90 minutes until prices bottomed in the low $5,100 region. At its worst, bitcoin was down nearly 9% on the day.

Prices would soon recover, and do so in a big way. BTC/USD regained more than $300 over the next two hours before continuing higher for the rest of the day. At press time, bitcoin is up 1.3% at $5,646, having traded within a $180 range early Thursday.

At present values, bitcoin is capitalized at $94 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. The token peaked above $97 billion last week as it set multiple record highs.

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Bitcoin continues to trade in overbought territory, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). As the following chart illustrates, the BTC/USD has been technically overbought on several occasions over the past six months.

As CCN reports, bitcoin wasn’t the only digital currency to experience a sharp drop. Ripple plunged by 12% and Ethereum shed 8%. For bitcoin and ether, the losses would later prove to be a healthy correction after last week’s run-up. The ETH/USD is currently trading around $314.

Ripple is still down roughly 9%, where it is trading near three-week lows.

Bitcoin, ether and Ripple are the world’s top-three digital currencies by market cap. Combined, they’re worth more than $131 billion.

Regulatory Fears Emerge

The plunge came just a day after the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it has jurisdiction to regulate bitcoin derivatives. In a report titled A CFTC Primer on Virtual Currencies, analysts at the Commission reaffirmed that bitcoin and others like it are commodities.

The report said:

The CFTC’s jurisdiction is implicated when a virtual currency is used in a derivatives contract, or if there is fraud or manipulation involving a virtual currency traded in interstate commerce.

A commodity is defined in various ways by the CFTC. It can be a physical commodity or natural resource, a currency or interest rate and “services, rights, and interests… in which contracts for future delivery are presently or in the future dealt in.”

Three bitcoin exchanges were listed as examples of permitted cryptocurrency activity. They included TeraExchange, LLC, North American Derivatives Inc. (NADEX) and LedgerX, LLC.

The report also said there was no inconsistency between how it defines cryptocurrency and how the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) dealt with The DAO. SEC regulators deemed The DAO tokens to be “securities” under federal law.

There is no inconsistency between the SEC’s analysis and the CFTC’s determination that virtual currencies are commodities and that virtual tokens may be commodities or derivatives contracts depending on the particular facts and circumstances. (CFTC)

As cryptocurrency trading expands in scope, investors can expect a slew of products designed to track the market. The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) plans to launch its own bitcoin derivatives product next year.

Meanwhile, Grayscale currently operates the Bitcoin Investment Trust, a traditional investment vehicle with shares solely invested in BTC.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Dumps and Pumps amid Broad Volatile Correction

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The crypto segment has been in turmoil today, as the most valuable coins turned significantly lower, leading to a mini-panic, but they rallied strongly off their slows as buyers stepped in the second half of the session.

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Bitcoin fell as low as $5100, for a 15% correction top-to-bottom, but it is now trading near the prior short-term support at $5400. As the long-term picture remains overbought, investors shouldn’t open new positions here, but traders could play a likely move towards the $6000 level, although we still advise small sizes, as correction risks remain elevated.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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The other majors were also declining in early trading, led by Ripple, with only NEO and IOTA, holding up well during the sell-off.  Both of the latter coins faded away as the rest of the market recovered, but Ripple continued to suffer. For now, the long-term bullish picture is unchanged for the segment, but BTC’s overbought correction could still cause volatility in the coming period. Let’s see the short-term charts after the busy session.

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Cryptocurrencies

Trade Recommendation: DigiByte

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Based on the daily chart we have a buy opportunity. Possible upward movement is confirmed  by RSI reversal in the oversold zone and MACD histogram. We can use lower time frame for getting a better entry level. If we look at the 4H chart, we can see a bullish divergence at the support level. It gives us a trend reversal signal. MACD supports upward movement. We can place pending orders for buy at 0.00000220 level with stop orders at 0.00000150 level. Profit targets are 0.00000300 and 0.00000450 levels. Also the part of long positions can be left for long run. If you don’t use leverage, recommended trading volume for this trade is up to 5% from your deposit.

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Market: DGBBTC
Buy: 0.00000220
Stop: 0.00000150
Profit Targets: 0.00000300 and 0.00000450

The trading signal is based on Poloniex chart.

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