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Don’t Jinx the Market

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Being the second Friday this year that happens to fall on the 13th of the month may not bear much significance. The fact that the doomsday theorists who believe that today is the day Planet X will make a move on Earth may bear even less.

However, according to a study by the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, even if you don’t believe in superstitions they can still have an impact.

Today we’ll keep a close eye on Donald Trump’s speech regarding the future of the Iran Nuclear program. Though Trump has expressed his disdain for the deal that was struck by his predecessor he is largely expected to uphold the agreement.

As wildfires rage throughout California and much of Mexico and the Carribean islands are still in shambles following multiple horrific hurricanes and earthquakes the world and the markets could certainly use a bit of calm.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of October 13th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

Market Overview

Wall Street’s focus is quickly shifting from the Fed to earnings.

The FOMC minutes released on Wednesday failed to provide investors with any sort of certainty regarding the fate of a rate hike in December. In fact, it showed that the Fed is quite confused about the lack of inflation and torn over how to proceed.

Yesterday some of the big banks released their earnings. Although the profits were largely better than forecasted financial stocks did end up declining and taking the rest of the market with them.

For example, JP Morgan shares fell 0.9% even though earnings and revenue growth came out good and shares in Citigroup tumbled 3.4% because even though they did better than analysts expected their return on equity was much worse than other banks.

On the long term though this loss is barely even noticeable. Looking at the chart of the S&P 500 the technical setup does seem prepared to break into new record territory above 2,555 points.

Though I usually prefer not to apply technical analysis to a stock index, in this case, the rising support line (yellow) meeting a horizontal “psychological” resistance (blue) cannot be ignored.

Central Banks Still Underpin

Though the focus of investors may shift from time to time we need to always keep in mind who is running the show.

Those of you who have been reading my updates for a while know very well who I’m talking about.

Over the past 9 years, Central Banks have been the main buyer of financial assets and are the main driver of market activity. However, this trend is quickly changing behind the scenes.

The European Central Bank is currently printing €60 Billion per month to support the market but according to a report out this morning, they’re now considering to cut that amount in half as of January.

This move, if it happens, will be largely in line with other central banks who are all trying to “normalize” their monetary policy to keep from flooding the world with cash.

(Some) Cryptos Fly

A spectacular display is now happening in the crypto-market.

Yesterday morning Bitcoin popped above the previous highest level of $5000 a coin and didn’t slow down until surpassing a breathtaking height of $5,800.

Unlike the moves that we saw previously where all cryptos moved in sync, alternative investors are now differentiating between different coins and there is a distinct flight to quality.

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin is up 13% and Litecoin has risen 11%. Ethereum yet again has shown up to the party fashionably late and just within the last two hours has risen more than 10%.

Of course, I wouldn’t want to say anything to jinx it at this point but the value of all cryptos now stands just $3.8 Billion short of it’s all time high, which was marked on September 2nd.

As always, let me know if you have any questions, comments, or feedback, or if you need any assistance in your portfolio. Wishing you an amazing weekend.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 133 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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Altcoins

Binance Listing Announcement Triggers 29% Growth For Decred (DCR)

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Yet another coin just felt the beneficial effect of a listing on Binance – the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by adjusted volume.

Following Tuesday’s announcement by the Binance team, Decred will be listed on the exchange starting Wednesday, October 24th.

The previous month has been one in which the power of a listing on a major exchange has made itself obvious. Just two weeks ago Ravencoin (RVN) gained a Binance listing and shot to 351% growth. Meanwhile Basic Attention Token (BAT) gained close to 50% in the last week based on the mere speculation that the Coinbase exchange would be listing it soon.

DCR/USD Surge

As you can see from the chart below, it seems very few people knew about the DCR listing until it was announced by Binance.

The early morning spike hit just as the blog post was tweeted out, and over the next few hours DCR went on to record 29% gains – climbing from a price of $38.79 to $50.35.

The coin’s trade volume increased by a factor of 2,260% as it rose from the $500,000 range up to the current sum of $11.8 million. The majority of those trades have come in the form of the DCR/BTC and DCR/KRW pairs, with Bittrex, Huobi and Upbit housing most of the action.

With the morning’s spike, DCR bypassed weekly and monthly highs, while the quarterly high of $70 is still some distance away.

The project began development in 2015, and the coin remained below the $3 price range for nearly two years, up until it was carried along with the rest of the market in 2017’s surge.

Binance Picks Up Decred

The Binance blog post published on Tuesday morning states:

“Fellow Binancians, Binance will open trading for DCR/BNB and DCR/BTC trading pairs at 2018/10/24 04:00 AM (UTC). Users can now start depositing DCR in preparation for trading.”

The Decred team on Twitter followed this up with a celebratory tweet thanking Binance and its founder CZ for the listing on the exchange:

“Thank you @cz_binance & @binance, we’re honored to have $DCR listed on your exchange!”

Binance’s own informational on Decred emphasizes its use as a transactional currency, and notes that the coin will never experience the issue of having to hardfork, stating:

“Decred is similar to Bitcoin. There will only be 21M coins created, ever. The big difference: Decred uses advanced and innovative technology that solves blockchain governance. No hard forks needed. Exchanges will never have to deal with customer requests for splits. The general public will never have to sift through contentious forks or be fooled by claims of a “better Decred.”

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 82 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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XRP Price Analysis: Reports Indicate National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) is Set to Go Live With xCurrent

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  • Sources suggest National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) are moving closer to going live within Ripple’s xCurrent solution.
  • Despite current XRP/USD selling pressure, a bullish technical set up is still seen as a potential.

National Bank of Kuwait Ready to Use xCurrent

One of the largest banks in the Middle East, National Bank of Kuwait (NBK), is readying to move forward with xCurrent. It is reported this could be in place within the next few weeks. xCurrent is Ripple’s enterprise software solution that facilitates banks to instantly settle cross-border payments, providing end-to-end tracking.

The latest suggested is that the NBK are currently awaiting to receive the green light from the Central Bank of Kuwait. Sources close to the matter, are said to note that NBK are currently preparing for its first transaction with the xCurrent solution. In terms of time frame, the suggestions are for the back end of October, or by early November. These sources are being cited by the newswire, Crypto Briefing.

Earlier this year, in May, the National Bank of Kuwait mentioned Ripple via their official Twitter account. They tweeted, “NBK leads the way in Kuwait in a partnership with RippleNet to offer instant cross-border payments to customers Ripple.” Nothing further on this, from either the NBK or Ripple was noted.

It is important to note that the xCurrent solution does not use XRP tokens, unlike xRapid, which enables banks to send payments using XRP. It can then be transacted back into the appropriate fiat currency by the receiver. On the basis of the above noted, it is likely to have a direct influence on the value of XRP.

Technical Review – 4-hour Chart

XRP/USD 4-hour chart

Despite the consistent downside pressure observed with XRP/USD, a potential bullish technical set up can still be eyed. As seen on the 4-hour time frame, price action has been moving within a bullish flag pattern. The lower support has recently been penetrated by the market bears.

Near-term support eyed immediately at $0.4660-40 area, the below trend line. Further south, a demand zone is seen running from $0.4535 down to $0.4350. This was an area that caught the price during some hard selling at the back end of September. Bulls managed to kick started a recovery at this low area on 25th September. Should this technical set up fail to play out, eyes will then be on $0.4000 for support. Last traded down here on 15th October. Lastly, looking at resistance, this is seen just ahead at $0.4650, upper trend line of the flag. Ahead, there is heavy supply heading into and within the $0.5000 territory.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Investors Reward Nexo for Adding XRP-Backed Loans

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Crypto-backed lending startup Nexo is being rewarded by investors for adding loans collateralized by the third biggest cryptocurrency XRP. The company made the announcement in a blog post, saying support for XRP was in response to demand stemming from the blockchain community.

NEXO advanced by double-digits in today’s mixed crypto market before trimming those gains somewhat. Investors may have sensed an announcement was on the horizon, as Nexo, which boasts a market cap of $76.5 million, has been on a tear in October and has seen its value increase by more than one-third for the week and 160% over the last 30 days. Most of today’s trading is unfolding on Hotbit in the ETH and BTC markets. Despite the recent gains, the NEXO price, which is currently hovering at $0.13, has not gone unscathed in this year’s market downturn and traded as high as $0.40 in May 2018.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Competitive Landscape

According to Nexo in the blog post –

“Nexo continues to push the boundaries within the crypto-lending space by becoming the first lender ever to start accepting XRP as collateral for crypto loans.”

XRP, which is majority- owned by Ripple, is a popular choice and it joins a list of nearly two-dozen cryptocurrencies supported by Nexo including bitcoin, Ethereum, Zcash and many more. The XRP price, meanwhile, is currently down 2% to $0.45 with a market cap of $18 billion, more than $2 billion below No. 2 cryptocurrency Ethereum. Last month, the XRP price added 70% to its value, but October hasn’t been as kind.

In addition to XRP, Nexo also revealed a partnership with Goldman Sachs-backed Circle’s new platform CENTRE, announcing plans to offer loans backed by the new USD-backed cryptocurrency USD//Coin (USDC). Earlier this month, when Tether fell out of favor with investors, Nexo said it was exploring the addition of more stablecoins, adding that it has “never held significant amounts of Tether (USDT) on its balance sheet.”

Investors have proven to reward lenders for the expansion of the platform into new coins. Last week, rival crypto-backed lender SALT Lending (SALT) announced its support for loans collateralized by one of this year’s best performers, Dogecoin (DOGE). Since then, SALT coin has risen more than 30%. Crypto-backed lender BlockFi, meanwhile, issues loans backed by Gemini Trust’s recently launched stablecoin Gemini Dollar (GUSD).

Blockchain startups aren’t afraid to tease upcoming announcements, giving traders the opportunity to be in a position to potentially benefit from the news. Binance CEO CZ tweeted today on the heels of the exchange’s expansion into Uganda that he’s “got one more piece of good news coming soon,” which he pointed out generated more “likes” than the Uganda tweet.

As year-end approaches, the total value of the cryptocurrency market is currently below $210 billion.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 70 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




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