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Analysis

Don’t Click Anything Day

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So this gives a whole new meaning to the term Cyber-Monday.

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Imagine coming into work only to find that your entire workplace has been compromised. A simple message is flashing on the screen, saying something like: ‘Your files have been encrypted and will be unscrambled only once you pay a ransom of 1000 BTC to the following wallet: 1MG19cxxSqkj5Rr5itqaQGVcUH6Ty77gp1’

All because one employee in the organization clicked a link that he received in the Email. A link that looked legit and he innocently thought it was coming from his boss.

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More than 200,000 computers in 150 countries have already been known to be affected by the WannaCry virus and 1.3 million systems are still vulnerable.

As we rely more heavily on computers in our daily lives it is of the utmost importance to remember that we are always at risk of falling victims to cyber crime.

Don’t click any links or download any attachments without first verifying where they came from and that they are safe to open.

Mati

Please note: All data, figures, & graphs are valid as of May 15th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Stock markets around the world are still pretty flat. It seems like investors are happy with the current elevated levels and are waiting for further news before trucking forward.

Famous investor Jefferey Gundlach made a bold call stating that the US markets are going to underperform in the coming few months and recommended a strategy to short the American Indices and buy the Emerging Markets.

There’s a touch of safe haven playing in the global markets this morning as North Korea performed one of their most provocative tests today.

The missile that they fired this morning landed less than 100 kilometers from Russian territory and Pyongyang has claimed that they are able to attach a nuclear warhead to such a device.

Gold is up ever so slightly on the news, which has given it a good level of support (yellow line) for technical trading. If the support holds, the next target above is around $1300 an ounce.

 

OPEC Delivers

Oil ministers from Russia & Saudi Arabia have announced that the massive OPEC production cuts that are currently in place will remain all the way through Q1 of 2018.

Most analysts were expecting them to extend the deal for six months so this was a nice surprise for oil bulls. There was indeed a nice rebound off of the lows seen last week and the price is now within familiar territory once again.

The OPEC announcement is both a cause for joy and concern. On the one hand, it’s good to see some action being taken to curb the massive oversupply in the market. On the other, this type of drastic action indicates that the problem may be worse than most people think.

Many traders on eToro are skeptical that oil would be able to maintain even $60 a barrel and very few think that it could reach as high as $100 again.

All investors should watch Oil carefully. As we’ve seen before the global economy runs on the stuff and the energy sector is often a leading indicator of economic growth.

What else?

The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom will be doing a Facebook Live event this evening at 8:00 PM in London. With May refusing to take part in a television debate this may be the best insight the public will be able to get before the elections on June 8th.

The event will be hosted by ITV so you should be able to view it on their page: https://www.facebook.com/itv/

A strong conservative party has been seen as a good thing for the British Pound lately. So if Ms. May is able to put up a strong performance tonight we could see some excitement in the GBPUSD.

Lately, the Pound has been struggling against major resistance at $1.30. So a strong breakout of this level could lead to a much stronger Sterling.

Let’s have an awesome day!

This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation. 

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you’re prepared to lose.

 Important: Never invest money you can’t afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.
Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

ICON versus TenX: What You Should Know

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There are so many cryptocurrencies out there.  As the flow of ICOs continues, more tokens are added almost daily.  It may be some consolation that more the 80% of these tokens use the Ethereum platform and that means their value is connected to the mothership.  It may also help to remember that there are plenty of crypto exchanges that will unload your coin once the ICO is complete.

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That’s fine, but this takes time not to mention the fees that get tacked on along the way.  And if there has been a proliferation of currencies, now about every Fortune 500 company wants their own blockchain.  Instead of putting all of our efforts on figuring out who has the smartest contracts or which is the best crypto, maybe we should look for someone to connect all these dots.  My guess is this notion will be a big feature of Gen IV crypto technology.

Here Are Two Prospects

Of the most successful ICOs in 2017, two are really eye catching for their vision of connecting cryptocurrencies and networks.

TenX claims they will make all cryptocurrencies spendable through a debit card ranked. That vision made them $64 million during their token sale, enough for the tenth spot on the list of largest intakes. 

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The ICON project will be building one of the largest decentralized networks in the world. The total raised of $43 million was good enough for the #13 ranking of top 2017 ICOs. Before going deeper, let’s first take a look at TenX.

TenX Could Be a 10

TenX has an audacious plan to connect digital currencies and in the process disrupt one of the biggest financial monopolies in existence.  They are out to create a massive payment channel dubbed COMIT which stands for Cryptographically-secure Off-chain Multi-asset Instant Transmission network.  How does their white paper describe COMIT? It looks just like the Internet.

In simple terms, TenX is out to get a banking license, then use their own debit card running on the COMIT network to challenge the MasterCard, Visa, American Express monopoly.  The beauty of TenX is the ability to use any coin or token to buy goods and services with one card.

Even if a merchant doesn’t happen to accept crypto, no problem, TenX converts the crypto to the fiat currency.

This is the future of cryptocurrencies.  As bitcoin leads the way with some 10,000 mostly online merchants acceptance of other cryptos will follow. However, the amount of time involved in winning the game will be considerable. We are talking about a startup company attempting to capitalize on mass adoption of crypto as a medium of exchange.  So far fewer than 1% of all transactions fit that category.

Around the year 2000, online merchants accounted for 1% of all retail sales.  Some 18 years later, it amounts to just under 10%.

ICON: Connecting Networks

For those who really enjoy digging into the technical detail, here is how their whitepaper describes the project.

With ICON, numbers of blockchains are connected around Nexus via Portal. Nexus is a loopchainbased blockchain. Nexus is a Multi-Channel blockchain comprised of Light Client of respective blockchains.

Tokens called ICX (ICON Exchange) are embedded in Nexus and the interconnected blockchains can use ICX to transfer values. As a blockchain itself, Nexus can be connected to another Nexus, allowing different blockchains with different governance structures to execute transactions and exchange values.

For us simpler folks, think of the earliest days of the Internet.  Over 30 years ago, the Internet consisted of a bazillion independent networks throughout the world.  Then somebody came up with TCP/IP and presto, the modern Internet was born.

Use cases for ICX go beyond connecting currencies – they connect blockchains and that means doing something akin to TCP/IP.  So we are talking about things like connecting separate health systems and much more.

Just like TenX, the question for ICON is how long their plan will take and will $43 million be enough to deliver the bacon. However, for those investors looking for a Gen IV play, ICON is a candidate.  

Like about every other currency, ICX came down hard from its $9.95 price on January 30 to a $1.89 low earlier this month. Since then it has bounced back and is hovering around $4.30 at the time of this writing.  Raising $43 million may not be enough to get ICON to the promised land but it shows that a lot of serious investors did their research and bought the promise.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 62 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ethereum Tops $700 as Short-Term Sell Signals Pop Up

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The major cryptocurrencies are having another strong session, with all of the top 10 coins sporting gains, adding more than 5% on average since yesterday. The largest digital currencies are trading in clear short-term uptrends, with the broad declining trendlines also being broken in most cases.

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That said, the short-term momentum indicators are overbought with regards to altcoins, and now several majors triggered short-term sell signals following the first signal by IOTA yesterday. While this doesn’t mean that traders should exit all short-term positions here, taking some profits and/or setting tighter stop losses is advised, as there will likely be opportunities with much better risk/reward profiles to re-enter the market.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin finally topped the $9000-$9200 resistance zone after a period of relative weakness, further boosting the already positive overall picture. The momentum of the move is still not stellar, but the coin is still not severely overbought, and although a deeper pullback is still likely soon and short-term traders shouldn’t open new positions here, a test of the $10,000 level is still possible in the coming days. The long-term setup is clearly bullish, and investors could still add to their holdings during the short-term pullbacks, with further support found at $8400.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continued to rally, despite the already overbought reading, and now the coin is severely overbought, and a correction is very likely in the coming days, so short-term traders should exit their positions or use tight stop losses here. We expect the rally to continue after a correction, and long-term investors should hold on to their coins. Resistance zones are ahead near $735 and $780, while primary support is between $625 and $645.

Altcoins Overbought but Uptrend Intact

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While correlations are getting lower and lower among the major coins, which is a bullish sign, most of them are already overbought from a short-term perspective. Although further gains are still possible, chasing those coins higher here is not a good strategy, even as the long-term setups remain encouraging.

Litecoin, ETC, and NEO are not severely overbought yet, while Ripple, Stellar, and Cardano are already in short-term corrections clearing the overbought readings, but traders should be cautious with Dash, EOS, Monero, and IOTA as they are ripe for a move lower.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 231 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Pre Market: Dollar Pulls Back from 7-Week High as Stocks Rebound

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Global equities are attempting to rally after drifting lower for three sessions, with Asia leading the bounce thanks to rumors regarding possible monetary easing steps in China. The rumors surfaced on the heels of the Yen’s plunge which followed Bank of Japan governor Kuroda’s dovish words. Mr. Kuroda is worried about the stubbornly low inflation rate, and hinted on a delay of the ”normalization” process of the central bank’s monetary policies.

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USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As a reminder, the BOJ now owns the majority of the stock ETFs in Japan, but we might reach a point where it will own the whole float (why not?), while also technically controlling the whole Japanese government bond “market”. Meanwhile, the Euro also got under pressure lately thanks to the string of negative economic surprises and Mario Draghi’s cautious words regarding growth, and with Thursday’s ECB meeting looming, forex traders could be in for a very active week of trading.

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EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Dollar reached a 7-week high against the Euro yesterday, while the Dollar index closed at the highest level since January, and although the Greenback is correcting the recent rally today, it seems that the growing number of Dollar bears might be in for more pain after a likely short-term correction, as Treasury yields continue to rise relentlessly.

US 2-Year Treasury Yield, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stocks are having a relatively quiet week so far, but the bearish trend of the recent sessions remains dominant despite today’s bounce, even as volatility is still low, and trade war fears and geopolitical tensions have been easing somewhat lately. We switched to a bearish bias last week, and we maintain that the stocks look vulnerable here, although the short-term overbought readings have been cleared.

S&P 500, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bulls still have the hope that the major US indices can resume the recovery and launch a rally towards the all-time highs, but unless we see a quick move above last week’s highs, bears remain in control, and another test of the correction lows is likely.

On a slightly positive note, European equities enjoyed some relative strength in the last couple of days, as they were boosted by the weakness in the Euro, but looking at the broader picture, the Old Continent continues to be among the weakest regions globally since the start of the correction.

Commodities Mixed but Commodity Currencies Still Weak

AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Interestingly, the Aussie and the Canadian Dollar are still under selling pressure today, despite the risk rally, and that fact strengthens our short-term bearish view on stocks, as they have been reliably leading equities since February.

In the meantime, commodities have been trading in a choppy fashion amid the Dollar rally, as gold has been pushed back below $1330 again, continuing its lengthy consolidation phase, while crude oil slightly retreated from its multi-year high near the $70 per barrel level concerning the WTI contract.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 231 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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