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Daily Analysis: Bitcoin Tops $1800 as Stocks Drift To New Highs

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Tuesday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2398 0.35%
DAX 12758 0.61%
WTI Crude Oil 46.09 0.10%
GOLD 1221.00 -0.84%
Bitcoin 1790 7.45%
EUR/USD 1.0891 -0.36%

 

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Global stock markets are in the green again as European and Japanese stocks are on the rise, with the Yen and the Euro both losing ground to the Dollar. The main US indices are still lagging their international peers, although the slight rebound in Chinese equities helped global sentiment. The mixed performance remains suspicious especially with the major benchmarks still being in overbought territory. Volatility collapsed to a 20-year low on Wall Street following the French election, as traders removed their insurance bets.

The US Dollar is higher against all of its major peers today, although the Great British Pound is also very strong before the Bank of England’s monetary meeting that will be held later on this week. Commodities opened strongly but gave back most of their gains, pushing related currencies lower again. The Australian Dollar is at the lowest level since January while the Canadian Dollar hit a 13-month low this week. The segment is expected to remain under pressure as Chinese fears continue to weigh heavily on commodities.  Gold hit a new short-term low below the $1220 level, as the strong Dollar and the positive sentiment hurts precious metals today.

Bitcoin taking the lead

Cryptocurrencies have been in a broad correction today, apart from Bitcoin, which surged past the $1800 level for yet another record day, as Asian demand continues to boost the currency. Most other majors were down by double digits today, even the previously lagging Dash, Ethereum, and Ethereum Classic. Litecoin fell back to $25 but recovered just below the $30 level, while Ripple is also well shy of its yesterday highs. NEM was down by almost 20%, today while Monero held up well, trading just below the $30 mark.

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Litecoin, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Technical Picture

The NASDAQ 100 is trading at a new all-time high today, despite the recent underperformance, following the strong rise of the previous weeks, as the European indices are pushing global markets higher. The 5650 level could be in the center of attention in the coming days, with strong support at 5600 and below that near 5475. The next possible resistance level is around 5700, should the rally continue, while the MACD indicator continues to show momentum divergence.

NASDAQ Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Key Economic Releases on Tuesday

Day Country Release Actual Expected Previous
3:30 AUSTRALIA Retail Sales (monthly) -0.1% 0.3% -0.1%
11:30 AUSTRALIA Annual Budget
14:30 CANADA Building Permits (monthly) -5.8% 0.40% -2.50%
16:00 US JOLTS Job Openings 5.50 mill 5.67 mill 5,74 mill

 

Key Economic Releases on Wednesday

Time, CET Country Release Expected Previous
3:30 CHINA CPI Index 1.10% 0.90%
3:30 CHINA PPI Index 6.8% 7.6%
14:00 EUROZONE ECB President Draghi Speaks
14:30 US Import Prices (monthly) 0.2% -0.2%
16:30 US Crude Oil Inventories -2.0 mill -0.9 mill

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Cryptocurrencies Start Week on a Quiet Note as NEO Shines

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The broad Bitcoin-led correction continued to dominate trading in the crypto-segment throughout the weekend, as the most valuable coin drifted sideways above the key technical level at $13,000, with dwindling trading volumes.

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BTC remains in a declining short-term pattern, although the digital currency still holds well above the mini-crash lows from December, spending almost a month now in the daily range of the year-end plunge. We still expect the largest coin to complete the current cycle with a move below the crash lows and the $10,000 level after the stellar rally of the previous months. Key support is still found near $13,000, with further levels at $11,300, $10,000, $9000, and stronger levels at $8200 and $7700

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Altcoins also settled down across the boards with only a few coins registering strong activity. Ethereum and NEO have been among the coins making headlines, as the second largest coin continued to grind, higher still trading near its recent all-time high today. The price of the ETH token is moving in a short-term uptrend, in the face of the stretched momentum indicators, but we expect a meaningful correction soon, and long-term investors should wait for a more favorable technical setup before entering new positions, with key support levels at $1000, $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple remained under heavy selling pressure in the meanwhile, as the oversold bounce of the weekend faded away and the coin got close last week’s lows again. As the short-term downtrend is intact, traders should stay away from entering new positions, while investors should wait for short-term sell-offs towards the main support levels at $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85 to add to their holdings.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Coins Rebound as Key Support Level Holds Bitcoin

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The $13,000 level in the price of Bitcoin continued to be the center attention of traders today, as the most valuable coin successfully tested the crucial support zone overnight, despite another brief dip below it. The other majors followed the subsequent bounce higher, with Ethereum pushing past $1250 once again, while Ripple reclaiming the $2 level.

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Despite the bounce, the short-term trend in Bitcoin is clearly bearish and the correction is still likely to continue, although the extreme long-term overbought readings are now cleared. We still expect a move towards the previous correction low near $11,300, with a likely dip below $10,000 before the end of the current cycle, with further important support levels are found at $9000, $8200, and $7700.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ripple recovered slightly after nearing the $1.50 level and reaching short-term oversold readings, and the coin tested the primary resistance level at $2.1 yesterday in late trading. The currency remains in a strong short-term downtrend despite the bounce and the continuation of the correction is likely, although long-term investors could already accumulate new positions near the main support levels at  $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum bounced of the dominant short-term trendline, but the coin remains overbought on all time-frames and we expect a trendline break in the coming days. That said, traders could hold smaller positions here with tight stops as a push towards the prior all-time high is still possible. Key support levels are found at $1000, $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Tests $13,000 as Hectic Correction Continues

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The cryptocurrency segment remained generally bearish in the middle of the week, as the Ripple and Bitcoin-led move spread to almost all of the majors, with even the recent leader Ethereum getting hit today.

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As BTC got smashed below the dominant rising trendline, a wave of selling pushed the coin under the key $13,000 level before a violent bounce started. Despite the bounce, the long-term picture remains negative, and we still expect a test of the correction low near $11,300 in the coming weeks, with a likely dip below $10,000 before the end of the current cycle. Further important support levels are found at $9000, $8200, and $7700.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ripple got very close to the key support level at $1.50 today in early trading, and after the sell signal six days ago, the coin is nearing a neutral short-term signal in our trend model, and a more durable bounce is possible here. That said, the long-term picture remains bearish and further corrective price action is likely before the end of the current cycle. Despite the likely consolidation, long-term investors could already accumulate new positions on the short-term sell-offs near the main support levels at  $1.50, $1.25, and $0.85.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum’s rally topped out near $1350 for now, and given the now severely overbought long-term picture we expect the short-term trend to end in the coming days. With that in mind, although traders could still enter small positions near the trendline, correction risk is now high, and investors should wait for a deeper move lower before entering new positions. Key support levels below $1000 are still found at $850, $740, $625, and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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