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Cryptos Surrender Gains After Weekend Bounce; Ethereum Leads Decline

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Cryptocurrencies were back on the defensive Monday, with nearly all major tokens declining sharply following upward consolidation over the weekend. After amassing significant fortunes, speculators appear less keen to re-enter the market due to perceived regulatory risks and possible collusion between Bitfinex and Tether.

Cryptos Resume Downtrend

The cryptocurrency market’s total capitalization has fallen by around $50 billion over the past 24 hours, with losses spread across most major coins. The market reached $456 billion early Sunday before reversing all the way back down to $381 billion. At the time of writing, the market cap was $397 billion.

Interestingly, the latest string of losses has allowed bitcoin to recover some lost market share. The original blockchain now accounts for 35.3% of the total market, up 2 percentage points from Feb. 1.

The reversal on Monday was led rather uncharacteristically by Ethereum, a coin that had staved off the worst of the market downtrend since mid-January. Ether bottomed out at $781, its lowest since the Jan. 17 price collapse. At the time of writing, ether had consolidated at $825 for a loss of more than 7%.

Bitcoin, Ripple XRP, bitcoin cash and Cardano were each down at least 9.8%. The only coin in the top-100 to report gains was Revain, according to data provider CoinMarketCap.

The Future

The crypto market has been on a roller coast the past two months, with the last three weeks representing the long descent from peaks north of $830 billion. Until recently, speculators had bought virtually every dip going back to the start of 2017. Even the September collapse that followed China’s decision to ban cryptocurrencies was quickly bought by investors betting on a price revival. That hasn’t been the case these past three weeks, with the exception of a few weekend rallies that quickly fizzled out.

Of course, the outlook is much different for long-term holders of cryptocurrencies – a segment of the market that is invested for philosophical as well as monetary reasons. Despite the horrible month cryptos are having, the general consensus appears to favor a continuation of last year’s rally. These aren’t fringe voices, either.

Last week, the head of GVA Research LLC told Bloomberg he believes bitcoin will return to $20,000 by the forth quarter. In January, the vice president of Saxo Bank said bitcoin could hit $100,000 this year. Kay Van-Petersen, the analyst in question, successfully predicted last year’s surge.

In terms of predicting a bottom, Nick Colas of DataTrek said in December that bitcoin could reach a low of $6,500 this year. He also believed a rally to $22,000 was possible. Colas has been quoted by Bloomberg, Barron’s, The Wall Street Journal and Market Watch, among others.

Even with a bullish long-term outlook, investors are still forced to grapple with uncertainty in the here and now. It recently came to light that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) subpoenaed Bitfinex and Tether, companies that were later found to be under the same CEO. Although the nature of the summon isn’t known, some are speculating that Tether is printing more tokens to drive up the value of bitcoin on Bitfinex. The company increased the circulation of its USDT tokens by 850 million in January and 9,000% over the past year. USDT is allegedly pegged to the dollar.

 

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 647 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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A Tale of Two Pumps: PIVX and INS Ecosystem in Coordinated 25% Spikes on Bithumb Listing

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PIVX (PIVX) was added to Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb on Thursday afternoon and immediately felt a 28% boost to its market value. The pump appears to have been a coordinated effort, with $1 million worth of trades entering the PIVX market in ten minutes on the Upbit exchange.

The other coin added to Bithumb on the same day – INS Ecosystem (INS) – also experienced a similar pump at the exact same time, but on Binance’s INS/BTC market.

Upbit PIVX Pump

At 01:00 UTC on Thursday morning, PIVX/KRW suddenly soared on Upbit, with $1 million entering the exchange in a matter of minutes.

Buy orders then picked up in the Binance PIVX/BTC market soon afterwards, and by ninety minutes later PIVX had climbed 28% in value – from a coin price of $1.26 to $1.62.

The peak didn’t last long, and by Thursday night PIVX can be found back down at the $1.34 mark. Essentially the 28% growth was followed by a 17% loss. Or to put it another way, 75% of the morning’s spike was gone less than twelve hours later.

Daily volumes for PIVX climbed from $1.4 million to $16 million over the course of the day. The Bithumb trades had already started to roll in by Thursday evening, with $1.2 million coming from the exchange’s newly formed PIVX/KRW pair. Upbit continued to be a source of PIVX buys long after the initial pump, hosting 60% of the coin’s total trades.

INS Pump on Binance

Meanwhile, at the exact same time over on Binance, INS Ecosystem (INS) found itself being bought up in huge numbers by one or more BTC holders.

Within ten minutes INS was pumped to the tune of 26%, as $600,000 was added to the coin’s initial $900,000 trade volume. Over the rest of the day, volumes rose over 500%, peaking at over $6 million at time of writing.

INS Ecosystem was mentioned alongside PIVX in the recent Bithum announcement, and already boasts listings on Binance, Kucoin and OKEx. Over 66% of trades came from Binance on Thursday, while the new INS/KRW pair on Bithumb immediately made itself felt, hosting $2.5 million worth of trades.

After suddenly spiking from a coin price of $0.469610 up to $0.592142, INS immediately trailed off, and found itself back down at the $0.50 range by Thursday night.

Who, What, Why?

Both coins were pumped seemingly just moments before this announcement by Bithumb was posted. The Korean publication time for the article equates to 01:00 UTC exactly, while both of these coins were pumped at exactly 00:59 UTC.

One could only speculate on the source of the pumps, but ultimately, two coins have been thrown around like rag dolls today, and it’s anyone’s guess how long the selloff will continue.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Gemini Dollar Approaches Parity with USD After Rocketing Higher Earlier in Week

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The newly launched Gemini Dollar (GUSD) has come back down to earth after its premium over the greenback approached 20% earlier in the week, offering yet another sign that stablecoins are anything but.

GUSD Update

After reaching a high of $1.19 on Tuesday, Gemini’s GUSD token has consolidated at $1.01, according to CoinMarketCap. At current levels, GUSD more or less serves its function as a dollar-pegged stablecoin.

GUSD has a total supply of 1.22 million units but the amount in circulation is unknown. Daily trade volumes amounted to $7 million on Thursday, according to the latest available data.

The sudden upsurge in GUSD followed a large-scale selloff of USDT, another dollar-backed stablecoin. USDT not only lost its peg to the dollar on Monday, it crashed to a low of around $0.89. That was the lowest in 18 months.

Gemini Dollar Overview

As the name implies, GUSD is the native stablecoin of Gemini, a regulated cryptocurrency exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss. The coin was launched in September after the brothers obtained regulatory approval from the New York Department of Financial Services to issue a dollar-pegged cryptocurrency.

As a stablecoin, GUSD is supposed to be pegged to the U.S. dollar on a one-for-one basis, giving traders access to instant liquidity on the Gemini platform without funding delays. This means every unit of GUSD issued must have a commensurate supply of fiat dollars in a Gemini bank account. This gives Gemini the discretion to release more GUSD tokens as its fiat-currency reserve grows.

Gemini claims to offer the world’s first regulated stablecoin backed by proven reserves at State Street Bank and Trust Company. The company’s focus on regulatory transparency contrasts markedly with other stablecoin projects, which have come under fire for their failure to produce a verifiable audit of their accounts.

Tether’s USDT is the most popular stablecoin in circulation, accounting for more than a fifth of all trade volumes of virtual currency exchanges, according to CoinMarketCap. Tether has been subpoenaed by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) amid allegations it was pumping bitcoin’s price by issuing more tokens than it has in reserves. The company also shares key executives with Bitfinex, the primary exchange accused of facilitating the pump.

Although Tether has avoided legal troubles, it has faced growing suspicion from market players. This came to a head on Monday after USDT lost its peg to the dollar.

It remains to be seen whether GUSD will become a viable alternative to USDT. Its regulatory backing paints a positive picture for the future of stablecoins, but its direct ties to Gemini could limit adoption given the exchange’s relatively small scale. As of Thursday, Gemini was the 43rd largest exchange based on adjusted trade volume.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 647 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD is Stable and Gunning for Potential Gains on “Bulletproofs” Technology Update Day

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  • Monero developers have released an updated version to their protocol, implementing “Bulletproofs”.
  • XRM/USD is within a range block, with price behavior suggesting of a potential imminent breakout higher.

Monero Becoming First Crypto Over Billion-Dollar Market Cap Implementing “Bulletproofs”

Developers at the Monero foundation, have released an updated version to the protocol. This will be live from 18th and 19th October. They are becoming the first network to try out “bulletproofs”. The goal of this technology is to significantly decrease the weight of confidential transactions. From today, 18th October, the privacy-focused cryptocurrency will be testing this.

The move from Monero will make them the first crypto with over a billion-dollar market cap, to try out the “bulletproofs” technology. Over the past year, the foundation has been working on cutting the size of its confidential transactions, by at least 80 percent.  A full overview of the upgrade was posted in a blog post by Monero.

The purpose of bulletproofs are to facilitate confidential transactions. Senders and recipients addresses will remain visible, but the amounts being sent is concealed. The technology also aims to reduce transaction times and fees.

Sarang Noether, a spokesperson for Monero and a key part of the bulletproof integration, was recently speaking on the upgrade. He noted that “Bulletproofs will be replacing the “zero-knowledge range proofs”, of which their confidential transactions are reliant on. The cryptocurrency will activate the technology during its next system-wide upgrade, or hard fork. An upgrade that will require nodes to adopt a new software. Furthermore, Sarang added, “hard forks are sometimes colored as a risky process. However, this upgrade is part of Monero’s bi-annual cycle to introduce new features.”

Technical Review – 4-hour Chart

XMR/USD 4-hour chart

XRM/USD for the past going on three sessions now has been trading within a tight range-block. This trading behavior coming after the aggressive movements seen just some days before. On 11th October the price had spiked over 10% lower. To then enter a tight range, which saw a huge breakout, jumping around 20% high. Over half of this spike to the upside was reversed, moving into the three-session range as mentioned above.

Looking to the upside, eyes will be on another range-breakout. Bulls will be wanting to retest the breached supporting trend line. An attempt was made during the rally seen on 15th October, however strong resistance was observed. In terms of support, this can be eyed at the lower part of the current range, around $107.50. If the bears pile enough pressure, it vcould see a fast move back to $100, then further south below demand area from $86-76.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 32 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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