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Can a New Generation of Regulated Token Sales Save ICOs?

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The bad news first: ICOs are in big trouble.

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You wouldn’t think so just by looking at the stats: just last week, 400 ICOs were announced according to one of the many ICO newsletters that have gained traction. Last quarter, over $ 1,5 bln were raised by projects accepting primarily or exclusively cryptocurrencies and handing out a token in return. The cottage industry around this new vehicle has grown exponentially, with entire marketing firms and PR agencies rearranging their business to exclusively serve the ICO market.

Upon closer inspection though, a rather different picture emerges. More and more ICOs are missing their funding goals (source: Architect Partners).

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And some of the most successful ICOs of the past months are in turbulences, too. One of them is already fighting over money. A second one is having trouble delivering the promised tokens to investors, leading some to speculate on its impending implosion. Compared to startups, most crypto ICOs have failed to deliver on a minimum viable product and real adoption, even with millions of funding in the vaults. And of those startups that successfully raise funds, only 1 in 10 actually use the token in their network.

What about that cottage industry? It’s not looking much better. From scam artists to shady “ICO advisors”, from rampant FB marketing to pump & dump Telegram groups, Russian bots, false followers, fake endorsements, email phishing, and insecure Slack channels with millions stolen from investors as a consequence.

This is very much still a wild, wild west.

But the problems run much deeper.

Originally, blockchain evangelists promised us greater decentralization, democratization and true financial freedom, independent from institutions such as banks and governments. But has this vision of the world really come to pass, or even taken a good step closer to being realized? Is the world more equitable thanks to crypto & blockchain?

In reality, most, or many of the projects are even more inequitable than the broader economy. If you take a look at the Gini coefficient of a couple projects using the ICO Transparency Monitor, here’s what you find:

Gnosis:

EOS:

district0x:

Bancor:

At present, ICOs go mostly to savvy old world investors through pre-sales with the smaller investors often times ‘holding the bag’.

What’s still sorely missing are industry level institutions that take on the task of self-regulation. Any functioning branch of the economy has watchdogs, industry associations, quality certificates, and auditors. Ultimately, any economy needs trust and reliable rules in order to function.

For the first seven years, the crypto world talked mostly about technical innovation and societal critique-by-creating. Now, the conversation has started to shift. The enormous sums of money involved created an urgent demand for answers to questions of legality. What are we to expect from regulators? How will governments treat this new technology? The crypto community is realizing that if it wished to maintain and further develop its reach into mainstream society, tech was not enough to get the job done.

This solves a big problem: how do you enable non-blockchain companies to make use of the technologies advantages? Surveying the current blockchain landscape, the large majority of ventures in the space are themselves blockchain projects.
Current ICOs are also near exclusively run by on-chain companies. They offer utility tokens which you can use for on-chain products. Neufund however allows investors to invest into off-chain companies by putting shares on-chain.On first sight, this is something impossible because shares are some piece of paper or a certificate. Anybody who takes this on faces a huge legal challenge.
But there is a solution: the nominee structure. The nominee holds the shares, the nominee issues the tokens. That is per se totally legal in Germany and any other European jurisdiction.

The first seeds of this self-regulation efforts are forming: the Ethereum Enterprise Alliance (EEA) has been successful at gathering the large corporates under its wings. There are now several initiatives starting the work of educating the public and regulators alike, and crafting policy recommendations for the relevant authorities to adopt (e.g. Blockchain Policy Initiative). Some have even been successful in convincing local and state governments to run entire campaigns for attracting startups in the space to their jurisdiction. Forward thinking mayors and governments are quickly realizing the value of competing early in the coming trend of jurisdictional arbitrage.

Rulesets are a competitive advantage, and an increasingly necessary one in a globalized world. Estonia was one of the earliest to realize this and begin its modernization. In the 90s, the tiny country (1.3M residents) upgraded its governmental and business infrastructure to the internet, making it possible to sign contracts, open bank accounts, and file taxes without ever having to visit a notary or governmental office. Now, the country takes it one step further and offers the benefits of its infrastructure to anyone via the “e-Residency program”. It has attracted thousands of entrepreneurs and digital nomads, many of which also innovating in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space. With the ground prepared for instant adoption, Estonia is even considering to launch an “Estcoin” in their efforts to open source their rulesets for the benefit of all. Many other countries all over the globe have joined the race to be the new ‘silicon valley of crypto’, with Switzerland currently in the lead.

Stricter regulation can benefit startups looking for funding via token sales as well. As Andre Eggert, partner at Lacore LLC, puts it: “Securities law is making sure that the market has the information it needs. An informed market is more liquid and that might even result in increased prices and demand for tokens.”

And already there are a number of companies rising to the challenge. In the US, Equibit and t0 work on bringing equity and financial instruments more generally into the token era. Filecoin, in collaboration with Coinlist, pioneered the SAFT agreement which has since been adopted by a large number of ICOs. Now, Pegasus Fintech is floating the idea for a novel type of token-assisted fundraising they call PIBCO: Public Initial Blockchain Offering.

“The PIBCO model advances the ability of Blockchain and Cryptocurrency based businesses to raise funding in a global environment and meet jurisdictional regulatory compliance.”

~ David Lucatch, Founder & Chair of Pegasus Fintech

In this model, Listed corporates will be able to release Class A shares for conventional currency and Class B shares for cryptocurrency tokens. The tokens are then redeemable for Class B shares, which in turn will be redeemable for Class A shares. Clever!

Over in Europe, a number of ICO platforms routinizing the tech and marketing, but none have brought much legal innovation to the table. The German financial authority BaFin recently announced that it is watching the ICO space closely, warning both ICO organizers and investors to be careful. So far Neufund is the only player in the European market to explicitly push forward the legal and regulatory aspects. A German GmbH (private limited company), Neufund has created what they call Equity Token Offerings (ETO). They plan to make this mechanism available to any number of companies, independent of whether their business model is based on blockchain.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. replicah

    December 14, 2017 at 4:25 pm

    Good article, well done Sam, there’s some very dangerous patterns emerging from ICOs and I hope the market matures ASAP

    • Manymoney

      December 14, 2017 at 5:14 pm

      The writer here went berseck from this point to the other point, the writer should realise that IPO are 99% scams, all loses the people investment, only 1 % of the total Ipos gives some sort of profits at best 20%, erc20 tokens are in its nascent stage, but everyone can track thru blockchain whats going on; whereas Ipos were shady and dark, the investors hardly knows what happens from 4 pm till 9.30 am (example of Indian stock exchange).. currency trading has sat and sunday off and some special holidays, whoever are early adopters of Cryptologies now are good for the future, in this materialistic, its naturally to found bad actors, but they can be caught easily cause txn are done in blockchain, there are many ERC20 tokens who never did ICOs like Postoken, blue, Rebellious and has already made a mark in the market; the show has just began, 95% wealth of 5% populations are going to be equally distributed and will happen.

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Op-Ed

This is Why You’re Here

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I often dwell on Youtube live streams of crypto traders from around the world. Most of the time it’s about technical jargon I am not really interested in, but sometimes you will get some good information on a currency that you didn’t otherwise know about. However, what sticks out to me most about these rooms (and why I love them the most) is that people from all walks off life on earth bomb in on the audio chat in different accents, “IS NOW A GOOD TIME TO BUY XYZ?” Russian dockworkers, Australian insurance salesman, Silicon Valley engineers; all of these people are scared to death put their feet in the water. Today, thankfully, I can answer all of those people. It is now a good day to buy XYZ.

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Every single one of you created your accounts for today. Not to trade when its 20% up because of a tweet. When scared people cash out, you cash in. If you aren’t comfortable with that, unregulated speculative markets may not be for you. There are functioning businesses with valuable coins that are 20-30% down as of this publication.

From where I am sitting, everything looks good here. Ethereum in the low thousand, Litecoin sub $200, XRP nearing $1. These are lows. We haven’t seen these prices in a while. The reason this is occurring is reportedly because South Korea is moving back and forth like a ping pong ball on cryptocurrency regulation. The speculative 1000x return $.001 currencies will be hit much harder from this than the functioning businesses if South Koreans are restricted from trade. The strongest speculators are South Koreans. If they are hindered, a lot of the speculative coins may be affected.

What am I looking at today? What I have been looking at for a while now. Platforms. I want places where businesses can go, and are already going. Currently, I have become enchanted with Stellar/NEO/Ethereum/Komodo’s (and Ripple, not so much XRP) way of doing business.

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Stellar

Jed McCaleb is not a man to discount. He designed the Ripple way of functioning with US entities, and I believe he has done it again, but more on the B2C side, and I didn’t mean business 2 consumer. I meant broker 2 consumer. His platform can now mass produce/customize tokens that are going to be compliant with United States laws. KYC information, AML procedures, all the bells and whistles you need for a Texan to smile. Call me a sell out, but if no one wants to follow the rules, they won’t be getting their dinner. If Stellar’s ICO platform has an imbedded value of having the functionality to deposit and settle themselves in bank/investment accounts compliantly, we have a competitive advantage you ain’t never getting past. When’s the last time you searched something on Yahoo? Bing?

NEO

I am not naive enough to think that other platforms that aren’t functioning in the US aren’t worth investing. NEO’s DAPP platform (a place where people can set up store fronts) is one of the most advanced, allowing the creators on their network a lot of room to design DAPP businesses. This is an enormous platform, just like Ethereum. Every road can have a good High Street for shopping for specific things. Or, only one could survive. I don’t intend on putting my eggs in one basket.

Ethereum

As the king of trade for primary offerings, Ethereum has had so many success stories with currencies being launched using its guidebook (ERC-20). I don’t know how much value over time, but this is a platform that people understand how to develop on. It may be clunky right now, but thanks to your generous pump, they may soon (or already) have more resources than any other platform. They have customers. I love customers. Look into it.

Komodo

This one will be the toughest to explain for someone who isn’t tech focused. The Barterdex/Atomic Swap movement is a revolutionary platform of trade. They can do cross train swaps, without using the base currency. I trade ADA for KMD. XRP for LTC. The platform is functioning, and getting better each day. No one, and I mean no one can say that they are loving the way exchanges are working right now. Anyone who is trying to move the ball forward has my interest.

Conclusion

Look at the coins you have been watching, and discuss with yourself internally what your limits are. I am hoping that you have planned for days like these by having capital on the sidelines. If you haven’t, don’t make it up out of thin air. If you’re fully invested, stay fully invested. This is a buyer’s day, not a seller’s day. If you can’t handle that, this industry is going to lose you a lot of money. I have no idea what even the next hour holds for cryptocurrency. However, a wagering man must wager. Each time it hits that new low, a small buy. There is no special sauce to buying things 20-30% off.

 

This is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell any currencies. As you can see, we sold off on ambiguous news. This boat rocks back and forth. Always do research and I wish you the best of luck on a day like today.

Do keep in touch with me about what everyone is thinking . I have created a twitter @raijincrypto, would love to hear thoughts on your plans.


The night sky 

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Op-Ed

China and America: What We Need

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Great news! We are seeing that South Korea is going to be verifying their users, not banning the practice of trading altogether. They will begin identifying who exactly is tied to every single account. I think there will still be some backlash from disgruntled Finance Ministers (or whoever-the-hell), and we haven’t seen much crazy price movement that would come with a “we’re back open” announcement. I think this good news has wrapped the bad news in a bow. Koreans are okay to trade, and we want them to continue! That country loves speculating. However, this hits the Chinese traders right in the mouth.

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China is pushing out miners, getting wiser to capital flight loopholes, and seemingly wanting nothing to do with cryptocurrency or blockchain. When Facebook is taboo, did you really think blockchain was going to be the bee’s knees? I think my two main worries going into 2018 are China and America. The way that these two economies react formally to cryptocurrency has not yet been fully developed. Probably because they are trying to figure out ways for it to work for them before they denounce it altogether. Let’s think about their problems.

China

The country who needs this the most! They have had a restrictive government that often places rules that can jeopardize the value of their hard earned savings. I love when San Francisco techies talk about de-centralization needs to happen in America NOW, when Chinese people are fighting for their financial lives each and every day. I feel for them! I want them to be able to access the things that can give them more freedom of choice in investment and storage. This Korea thing was a real stinker. When the people with the biggest problem that needs solving can’t access your products, it is tough. I am worried about this. I don’t take too much risk in this market, and this is one of those risks that could jeopardize a lot.

Here is what we are hoping to see: They deal with the devils they know. There are plenty of Chinese nationals who have dealt with government officials before, that are now putting up their crypto storefronts. I am hoping that these are the ones that they will work with to create a future that they determine. The entire internet will slowly migrate into the blockchain, I just think they want to set the rules for it. This may take a while, and I think Chinese volume will suffer for this. I really hope that better, more compromising things can come out of this government a little quicker. We are already seeing so much growth from the Chinese teams! Anyone see NEO last night? Walton, QTUM also making moves back. These are some of the best minds in the world at anything, let alone cryptocurrency. I think China will have to blink eventually.

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America: Taxes & ICOs & Donald, Oh my!

I really strongly doubt that a low key tax announcement is all we will hear from the United States. Angel list is ripe with new exchanges desperately trying to get on the market before Coinbase realizes their app is the only competitive advantage they have. GDAX and Coinbase are the pioneers, they were able to come up with something good enough for a public that needed it. However, when the pioneer doesn’t put some more crypto logs on the fiat based fire, I start to get cold. We need more things to buy in fiat, and I want a 1099 for it. Ya, I said it. I want a tax bill. We will never get to full adoption without formalized procedures. Decentralization is wonderful, but it isn’t there yet. Just spit me out a tax bill so we can get this thing started.

Make no mistake, start-up currencies and platforms from the United States are coming, and quickly. The government will formalize the ICO (ACO was the proposed?) process so that we don’t have wide scale fraud and plagiarized white papers. This will be when people can buy Exchange Traded Funds with crypto constituents. You really think there won’t be a SPDR for this at some point? My other articles continue to point out working businesses (I argue platforms for Dapps & Smart Contracts) will be the main constituents of these financial products. I am desperately trying to find ALL the United States based working blockchain focused cryptos. I will keep you posted on my findings of course. I never, ever, ever talk about something I don’t know about. There is way too much money at stake for me to talk about things prematurely. Be careful on Youtube, please please please.

Donald. The Donald. We haven’t heard one thing BIG about cryptocurrency from him. Mnuchin can say what he wants, but clearly Twitter is running the show (especially for us cryptocurrency people!!). This is a huge unknown. This can affect the dollar. This can affect the banking industry. This can affect the loan industry. We already have robots working at McDonald’s, now shirt and tie people are at risk? I am hoping we craft a peaceful transition, but less money will be available to pay people. Think about what happens when you can get a rate for a mortgage on the blockchain, sourced by global crowdfunding through intermediaries? I don’t even want to know how low that rate can get when it becomes mainstream. Humans have always had power in numbers. This can be a very big number.

None of what I am saying is a recommendation to buy cryptocurrencies, in fact it was a warning sign. Let’s all be safe, do research, and know that this can, quickly, go to $0. Best of luck.


Journey from Lao Cai to Sa Pa

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Op-Ed

What to Buy: Roads vs. Cars

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I guess I jinxed it. We are starting to move back down lower, as it seems there may still be some fear going on. I think you are starting to see that there are still some very resilient coins that aren’t fresh off an ICO, yet have strong gains on multiple down days. I have tried to look at each and every single one on social media to see what exactly is going on that is keeping it consistently gaining. This is where I stumbled upon my strategy.

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There are currently three ways to invest in cryptocurrencies: ICOs, speculation and investment. Of those three ways, there are two different types of currencies (Road Focused/Car Focused) that have two different types of customers (public/”corporate”). Let’s digest:

Investment Strategies

ICO

Primary offering of coins that often has some sort of incentive amount of extra coins that are awarded as an early signing bonus (Pre-ICO). If you want to retire on a beach tomorrow, you are looking on the wrong article. This website holds some of the most fantastic writing on ICOs that is available anywhere, and I don’t write it! When you buy into something that is not yet traded on an exchange, the upside potential is astronomical, especially when the people betting mortgages on them are counted in the thousands. The reason I don’t invest in ICOs is that timing the top (to sell) of that initial buzz, especially on exchanges like Bittrex/Binance is extremely difficult. If you miss it, you are left with a road map coin that better have some good tweets soon. Overall, you are already at the Mecca of ICOs. I recommend you read as much as of our ICO analyses as possible, as there will come a day when sniffing out good ICOs will become a weapon of mass affluence. For some it already has.

Speculation 

This goes back to your high supply “Future of X” “X 2.0” coins. People have made astronomical amounts of money on coins that don’t even have customers. Usually, their strategy was often buying the cheapest things on the exchange. I have done this, and when it works it is pretty awesome. However, this is all scared money. These are people who have moved money from one tweet to the next, and are often ready to jump overboard at a 20% loss just so they can buy the new thing. I have noticed this time and time again with a lot of the coins that I think are actually pretty neat, but have supplies that make my neck hairs stand. If you can time these buys correctly according to road map objectives and event driven volume, you are a better person than I. (Coincalendar.info) will help you do that. Literally, right above my virtual head you have the best guys in cryptocurrency making EXACT calls on currencies based on hours of research and data mining. 15-20 year trading veterans. Not lightning Gods, but still.

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Investment

Ah! Raiden’s territory. This is the least sexy of them all, I can assure you. A little about myself- I don’t come from the tech space. I can only understand the very surface of what is going behind the hood of the blockchain/currency. So, I go towards what I know. There are very distinct ways to see if a business is A. Valuable and B. Making money. I don’t care if they are selling hot dogs on the blockchain, if they fit those two criteria (plus a nice <150MM Supply) I can make money. Time and time again, it always leads me to the same question. Do I want a nice car or a road with tolls?

XMR is an example of a car. No one is calling them to use their roads, be it that they pride themselves on throwing IP addresses into black holes, etc. Don’t think this is a knock on these coins. Putting your money in a virtual razor wire Harry Potter cloak and sending it anywhere is probably going to be useful, and the supplies of these coins is enough to make my mouth water. This is where I must wait for volume. Coinbase additions, new fiat-based exchanges, corporate interest, intermediary indexing would the main drivers you want in car coins. I have used to LTC purchase normal online goods. I can’t say that for any other coin.

NEO/ETH are examples of roads. I will not deny- I love roads. Smart contracts and decentralized apps are making the blockchain useable for every day people-EVENTUALLY. Right now, it’s like playing pong or another old arcade game. But, but, tolls are involved. These are currencies that are becoming bedrocks for businesses (Customer type #2) to come to. They can just simply click a few buttons and there they are on the road driving along using the currency & the directions (ERC-20 guidelines) they were given. The reason I like roads is because businesses have incentive, investors do not. Yes eye popping returns have caught all of us by the nose, but not everyone. Businesses have more money, and they have a direct need for the services provided to create more wealth for themselves that isn’t related to speculative investment. This is why so many things are based off of the Ethereum blockchain. It was there when it needed to be. Perfect amount of supply, took it a step further than bitcoin, and has been an excellent performing baby brother at that.

I want you to see for yourself. Google “Ethereum Jobs” and see what comes up. What companies are hiring developers with Ethereum experience? What is the job doing? You will be quite surprised. Now, could they all be trying to make their own amazing blockchain? Perhaps. But I don’t see ICOs changing their main form of payment (ETH), especially when it’s developed off the Ethereum blockchain. It is quickly becoming the currency of the tech side. Sure crypto kitties…but once again, let’s play a little pong before Call of Duty.

Conclusion

I think all three ways of investment in cryptocurrency can be mastered through this website. I am quite new to the site, but when a non-ICO investor is deep into a BeeToken article (neither shilling nor dumping), you know you have some great people who have a ton of knowledge on this stuff. The trade recommendations we have here are spot on, we wouldn’t have a wall of fame if it was all smoke! However, Ol’ Raiden here loves his roads and low supply cars.

I love business. It’s the civilized form of warfare. Only the strongest survive, each with their own differentiated values that they provide to their customers. We aren’t investing in businesses though. We are investing in tokens that people need to want. I want to invest in the token that businesses will need to become stronger. The only token I have seen do that is ETH. The only token I see doing it is ETH. There will be a litany of successful 1000%+ coins this year, but the United States is quickly becoming an ETH country. We love the road, we have developers for hire for it, and we like that we can do business on it. Even crazier? So is RUSSIA. Vitalik and Putin talked about a Eurasian token for goodness sake! His government hates the idea, but this is still in the pong phase anyway. Roads can have cars, and eventually storefronts. Can’t they?

None of what I said is recommendation to buy or sell currencies. the ones I have mentioned today are examples of what is currently available. I am here to provide you with the armor you need during your time in the trenches of your given exchange. Every currency mentioned can, quickly, go to $0. Best of luck.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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