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Why Bitcoin Traders are Moving From China to Japan; Better Regulations

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It has been less than two weeks since the nationwide ban on Chinese bitcoin exchange ban was finalized and already, bitcoin traders in the Chinese market are already moving to Japan.

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OKCoin and Huobi, two of the largest bitcoin exchanges in China that have been responsible for around 75 percent of bitcoin trades in the Chinese market, were given leeway by local financial regulators to operate until the end of October. That means, Chinese traders have at least a month to close their accounts, move their funds and search for other ways to trade bitcoin.

But, almost immediately after leading bitcoin exchanges in China announced their plans to halt their operations in the upcoming weeks, Chinese traders migrated to neighboring markets in Asia: Japan and South Korea.

Prior to the imposition of a nationwide ban on Chinese exchanges, the Chinese bitcoin exchange market accounted for around 10 to 13 percent of global bitcoin trades. At the time of reporting, South Korea has overtaken the Chinese market in terms of bitcoin trading volume, becoming the third largest bitcoin exchange market in the world and evolving into a powerhouse within the global cryptocurrency sector.

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Today, the Chinese bitcoin exchange market accounts for less than 5 percent of global bitcoin trades and in four weeks time, China’s bitcoin exchange market will have no trading activity at all.

Despite the short-term impact of China’s crackdown on bitcoin exchanges, many experts including billionaire early-stage investor Tim Draper have viewed the exit of the Chinese market from the global bitcoin exchange market as a positive event, mostly because the Chinese government does not have any leverage to work with to potentially manipulate the bitcoin market or lower the value and the market cap of bitcoin.

Essentially, the Chinese government has used the last card in the deck in imposing a nationwide ban on bitcoin trading platforms and it has finally run out of leverage against the global bitcoin market. That provides a positive precedent and future for bitcoin price development and long-term health of the bitcoin market. In months ahead, the bitcoin market will demonstrate increased stability and distribution. As Draper noted:

“The deadwood of the Bitcoin ecosystem is leaving now. Our faith in the crypto economy will be well rewarded.”

More importantly, it is beneficial for the long-term health of the global bitcoin market that trading volumes from China are moving to Japan and South Korea, two countries that have the most practical and efficient regulatory frameworks for both bitcoin investors and businesses. Earlier this year, the Japanese government fully eliminated double taxation on bitcoin and legalized bitcoin as a payment method. Deloitte’s annual tax report read:

“The supply of virtual currency will be exempt from Japanese Consumption Tax (“JCT”). Currently, virtual currencies such as Bitcoin do not fall under the category of exempt sales, and as a result, the sale of virtual currencies in Japan have been treated as taxable for JCT purposes. Following the enactment of the amended Fund Settlement Law in May 2016, which newly defined “virtual currency” as a means of settlement, the sale of virtual currency as defined under the new Fund Settlement Law will be exempt from JCT. This change will apply to sales/purchase transactions performed in Japan on or after 1 July 2017.”

Consequently, large-scale multi-billion dollar technology and financial conglomerates have emerged in the Japanese bitcoin exchange market and industry. GMO, a major Japanese technology company, has already launched a trading platform for institutional investor and established a manufacturing line to create bitcoin ASIC miners and other mining equipment.

In the upcoming months, an increasing number of institutional investors and retail traders in Japan and South Korea will drive the price of bitcoin to all-time highs. Bitcoin trading volumes and market cap will likely be high than ever before, all due to the swift recovery of the global bitcoin market and the exit of an unstable bitcoin exchange market.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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  1. embersburnbrightly

    September 22, 2017 at 4:18 am

    I sure like the sound of everything discussed in this article. Thank you!

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Hits First Correction Target as Volatility Reigns Supreme

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The violent correction that created a full-on panic in the cryptocurrency segment continues to unfold in a rather orderly way from a technical standpoint, reflecting the extreme nature of the preceding rally. That said, the percentage losses in some of the coins are huge, and the collapse of Bitconnect accelerated the process, spreading uncertainty among investors, and sentiment quickly got bleak.

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Bitcoin remains in the center of attention, and the most valuable coin finally breached the $10,000 level today, causing another strong wave of liquidation in the majors, that could be the base of a more durable bottom, and a consolidation in the coming days after the crazy last couple of days.

The coin is now oversold from a short-term perspective, and although further losses are likely before the end of the cycle, given the still only neutral long-term momentum readings, a counter-trend move is possible in the coming days. Below, $9000, strong support levels are still found at $8200 and near $7650.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Altcoins got slaughtered in the two-day crash with Ripple leading the way lower, while Ethereum also lost its relative strength amid the broad sell-off and its recent trendline break. ETH got close to the next major support level at $740 during today’s move, and as the short-term momentum is now oversold, a bounce to the zone around $1000 could be ahead. We still expect the correction to continue in the token, as the long-term momentum remains overbought, with key support at $625 and near $575.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple fell as low as the $0.85 support level during the crash, and although the coin rebounded above $1 afterward, it remains 70% off its recent all-time highs. Long-term investors could already accumulate small positions on the short-term sell-offs, although the correction will likely continue, and a prolonged consolidation phase might also be ahead. Key support levels are now found at $0.85 and $0.68, while resistance is ahead at $1.25.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Market Update: Bitcoin at $10,000, Ripple at $1, Ethereum below $1000 as Carnage Continues

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Yesterday’s China induced technical breakdown led to an unmitigated disaster in the crypto segment, as all of the majors crashed, erasing hundreds of billions of market cap in the process. The collapse of the alleged Ponzi scheme of Bitconnect added insult to injury and caused another wave of selling in late trading, driving the price of Bitcoin to $10,000, a bit earlier than expected.

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BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The most valuable digital currency rebounded as much as 15% after the late-session crash, but the selling pressure remained strong and today BTC briefly traded below yesterday’s low, with most of the majors holding up above the crash low.

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That said, the sell-off is unlikely to be over and volatility is probably here to stay for the week, with violent swings in both directions. The coin is still likely to push lower, with a possibly lengthy bottoming phase, so a quick recovery to the record highs is unlikely, but strong support is found below $10,000 at $9200, $8200, and $7650.

Traders should be aware of the elevated risk in short-term positions here, while long-term investors could slowly accumulate positions on the sell-offs, as the coins are headed to oversold territory.

A Little Perspective

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Altcoins

Fears of Regulatory Crackdown Flush $190 Billion Out of Crypto Market

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Bitcoin, Ethereum and every other major cryptocurrency collapsed on Tuesday, as fears of regulatory clampdown in South Korea triggered a mass exodus from the digital asset class. The collapse comes as mainstream media reports continue to push the idea of an imminent ban on cryptocurrency exchanges even as lawmakers cautioned no decision had been reached.

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Cryptocurrency Market in Free Fall

The cryptocurrency market declined rog $190 billion on Tuesday, marking one of the biggest single-day drops on record. At its lowest, the market was valued at $510 billion,  which was than $200 billion below its peak earlier this month.

The top 20 coins were each down in excess of 17%, according to data provider CoinMarketCap. Nearly $49 billion worth of cryptocurrency exchanged hands over the past 24 hours.

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Bitcoin plunged below $12,000, reaching its lowest level since early December. Ethereum, its biggest rival, fell back toward $1,000, while Ripple bottomed out at $1.23 after peaking above $3 just a few weeks ago.

South Korea Jolts Market

It was mainly regulatory issues that jolted cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, with South Korea mulling new legislation to stamp out excessive risk from the market.

South Korea’s finance minister Kim Dong-yeon reportedly told local radio that an all-out ban on cryptocurrency trading was a “live option, but that government officials still need to “seriously review it.” Seoul’s biggest issue with cryptocurrency trading is the level of speculation in the market and the role of anonymous accounts in spurring volatility. New regulations have already banned anonymous trading on domestic exchanges and barred foreigners from participating in the market.

Last week, some of South Korea’s busiest crypto exchanges were raided by police and tax agents over alleged tax evasion. The raids were confirmed by an employee at Coinone, who spoke to Reuters anonymously.

Seoul’s financial authorities had previously indicated they were investigating six banks that offer cryptocurrency accounts. In addition to speculative risks, authorities are also concerned about the link between cryptocurrency trading and organized crime.

South Korea is a major center for cryptocurrency and is home to some of the largest exchanges. Local traders have been the main catalysts behind some of the crypto market’s biggest gainers, including Ripple.

Some analysts believe that further regulatory crackdown will be ineffective given the borderless nature of cryptocurrencies. When China banned cryptocurrencies, traders there migrated their accounts offshore to Hong Kong or Korea. This suggests that a regulatory crackdown can only succeed with broad international cooperation, which does not exist at the time.

Chinese regulators know that their measures have done very little to limit virtual capital flight from the country. That’s why they are moving to block domestic access to offshore exchanges, according to a recent Bloomberg report.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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