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Why Bitcoin Traders are Moving From China to Japan; Better Regulations

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It has been less than two weeks since the nationwide ban on Chinese bitcoin exchange ban was finalized and already, bitcoin traders in the Chinese market are already moving to Japan.

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OKCoin and Huobi, two of the largest bitcoin exchanges in China that have been responsible for around 75 percent of bitcoin trades in the Chinese market, were given leeway by local financial regulators to operate until the end of October. That means, Chinese traders have at least a month to close their accounts, move their funds and search for other ways to trade bitcoin.

But, almost immediately after leading bitcoin exchanges in China announced their plans to halt their operations in the upcoming weeks, Chinese traders migrated to neighboring markets in Asia: Japan and South Korea.

Prior to the imposition of a nationwide ban on Chinese exchanges, the Chinese bitcoin exchange market accounted for around 10 to 13 percent of global bitcoin trades. At the time of reporting, South Korea has overtaken the Chinese market in terms of bitcoin trading volume, becoming the third largest bitcoin exchange market in the world and evolving into a powerhouse within the global cryptocurrency sector.

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Today, the Chinese bitcoin exchange market accounts for less than 5 percent of global bitcoin trades and in four weeks time, China’s bitcoin exchange market will have no trading activity at all.

Despite the short-term impact of China’s crackdown on bitcoin exchanges, many experts including billionaire early-stage investor Tim Draper have viewed the exit of the Chinese market from the global bitcoin exchange market as a positive event, mostly because the Chinese government does not have any leverage to work with to potentially manipulate the bitcoin market or lower the value and the market cap of bitcoin.

Essentially, the Chinese government has used the last card in the deck in imposing a nationwide ban on bitcoin trading platforms and it has finally run out of leverage against the global bitcoin market. That provides a positive precedent and future for bitcoin price development and long-term health of the bitcoin market. In months ahead, the bitcoin market will demonstrate increased stability and distribution. As Draper noted:

“The deadwood of the Bitcoin ecosystem is leaving now. Our faith in the crypto economy will be well rewarded.”

More importantly, it is beneficial for the long-term health of the global bitcoin market that trading volumes from China are moving to Japan and South Korea, two countries that have the most practical and efficient regulatory frameworks for both bitcoin investors and businesses. Earlier this year, the Japanese government fully eliminated double taxation on bitcoin and legalized bitcoin as a payment method. Deloitte’s annual tax report read:

“The supply of virtual currency will be exempt from Japanese Consumption Tax (“JCT”). Currently, virtual currencies such as Bitcoin do not fall under the category of exempt sales, and as a result, the sale of virtual currencies in Japan have been treated as taxable for JCT purposes. Following the enactment of the amended Fund Settlement Law in May 2016, which newly defined “virtual currency” as a means of settlement, the sale of virtual currency as defined under the new Fund Settlement Law will be exempt from JCT. This change will apply to sales/purchase transactions performed in Japan on or after 1 July 2017.”

Consequently, large-scale multi-billion dollar technology and financial conglomerates have emerged in the Japanese bitcoin exchange market and industry. GMO, a major Japanese technology company, has already launched a trading platform for institutional investor and established a manufacturing line to create bitcoin ASIC miners and other mining equipment.

In the upcoming months, an increasing number of institutional investors and retail traders in Japan and South Korea will drive the price of bitcoin to all-time highs. Bitcoin trading volumes and market cap will likely be high than ever before, all due to the swift recovery of the global bitcoin market and the exit of an unstable bitcoin exchange market.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.4 stars on average, based on 3 rated postsJoseph Young is a finance and tech journalist based in Hong Kong. He has worked with leading media and news agencies in the technology and finance industries, offering exclusive content, interviews, insights and analysis of cryptocurrencies, innovative and futuristic technologies.




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  1. embersburnbrightly

    September 22, 2017 at 4:18 am

    I sure like the sound of everything discussed in this article. Thank you!

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Analysis

Crypto Update: Ethereum Tops $700 as Short-Term Sell Signals Pop Up

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The major cryptocurrencies are having another strong session, with all of the top 10 coins sporting gains, adding more than 5% on average since yesterday. The largest digital currencies are trading in clear short-term uptrends, with the broad declining trendlines also being broken in most cases.

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That said, the short-term momentum indicators are overbought with regards to altcoins, and now several majors triggered short-term sell signals following the first signal by IOTA yesterday. While this doesn’t mean that traders should exit all short-term positions here, taking some profits and/or setting tighter stop losses is advised, as there will likely be opportunities with much better risk/reward profiles to re-enter the market.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin finally topped the $9000-$9200 resistance zone after a period of relative weakness, further boosting the already positive overall picture. The momentum of the move is still not stellar, but the coin is still not severely overbought, and although a deeper pullback is still likely soon and short-term traders shouldn’t open new positions here, a test of the $10,000 level is still possible in the coming days. The long-term setup is clearly bullish, and investors could still add to their holdings during the short-term pullbacks, with further support found at $8400.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continued to rally, despite the already overbought reading, and now the coin is severely overbought, and a correction is very likely in the coming days, so short-term traders should exit their positions or use tight stop losses here. We expect the rally to continue after a correction, and long-term investors should hold on to their coins. Resistance zones are ahead near $735 and $780, while primary support is between $625 and $645.

Altcoins Overbought but Uptrend Intact

XMR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While correlations are getting lower and lower among the major coins, which is a bullish sign, most of them are already overbought from a short-term perspective. Although further gains are still possible, chasing those coins higher here is not a good strategy, even as the long-term setups remain encouraging.

Litecoin, ETC, and NEO are not severely overbought yet, while Ripple, Stellar, and Cardano are already in short-term corrections clearing the overbought readings, but traders should be cautious with Dash, EOS, Monero, and IOTA as they are ripe for a move lower.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Analysis

Long-Term Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum Break-Out of Declining Trends

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The altcoin-led rally continued since our previous look at the long-term charts, and the major coins all confirmed a new short-term uptrend. Most of the largest digital currencies also broke out from their broad declining trends, as the total value of the segment is now more than 50% above the level around the correction low.

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BTC/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

The overall picture remained positive, with only Bitcoin’s weakness causing headaches for crypto bulls, as the most valuable coin is hovering close to declining trendline that dominated trading throughout the first quarter of the year.

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Despite the short-term weakness, BTC is still among the stronger majors from a long-term perspective, and with the secular uptrend clearly being intact, long-term investors should hold on to their coins and add to their holdings on the short-term pullbacks.

Crucial resistance is still just ahead between $9000-$9200, with further levels at $10,000 and $11,300, while support is found near $8400, $7650, and in the $6150-$6250 zone.

ETH/USD, Daily Chart Analysis

Ethereum built upon its recent relative strength, and the coin broke out convincingly above the declining trendline, and reached the next key resistance zone between $625 and $640 before the momentum of the move stalled.

While there are still several strong zones ahead, with the closest ones near $725 and $845, barring a quick move back below the declining trendline, the coin should continue the advance. With the long-term MACD still just in neutral territory, long-term investors could add to their holdings during short-term corrections, with key support levels at $500, $450, and $400.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 231 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Hit 6-Week Highs as Rally Continues

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Bullish price action is still dominant in the cryptocurrency segment today, despite the recent lofty gains, and the overbought short-term picture in the ace of most of the majors. Correlations continue to break down, as more and more coins are in confirmed uptrends, with the total value of the market hitting $400 billion for the first time since early March.

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The top digital currencies are mixed today in the generally positive environment, with Bitcoin Cash, IOTA, Ethereum Classic, Dash, and Monero showing relative strength, in the face of the slightly overbought short-term momentum readings. While this is not the best moment to enter new short-term trades with regards to the majority of the coins, the long-term setup favors further gains in the coming weeks.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Altcoins have been leading the market higher in the last couple of weeks, and Bitcoin is still stuck below the $9000 level, as it continues to slightly lag behind from a short-term perspective. The coin ran into the strong resistance zone between $9000 and $9200 after breaking out of the broad declining trend.

Now a pullback is likely, given the slight weakness, with a possible test of the prior swing high at $8400. In case of a bullish move, the next target is at $10,000, and long-term investors should still add to their holdings on the short-term dips.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum kept on creeping higher to marginal no rally highs in the last couple of days, nearing the $650 level despite the overbought short-term picture. Short-term traders should still not enter new positions here until the overbought readings are cleared, while long-term investors could still add to their holdings during the pullbacks.  Resistance zones are ahead near $735 and $780, while primary support is between $555 and $575.

Altcoins Diverging but Bulls Remain in Control

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As we noted, the correlation between the coins is lower than during the downswing, and that confirms the bullish price action in the segment. Ripple is trading in a consolidation pattern near the $0.84 level, and although the overbought momentum readings are not yet fully cleared, the trend is clearly bullish and a new short-term buy signal is likely in the coming days.

Among the other recent leaders, IOTA triggered short-term sell signal, reaching the strong resistance zone near $2.2. EOS, Stellar, Cardano, and NEO are consolidating their gains, while Dash, Monero, and ETC are trading slightly above last week’s highs, but traders shouldn’t chase them higher here, as a short-term correction is likely soon.

Stay tuned for our detailed long-term technical analysis coming out later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 231 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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