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Bitcoin Resumes Lateral Trading as Lightning Network Gets New Use Case

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Bitcoin continued to trade in a narrow range on Tuesday, reflecting the overall mood of the market following a weekend consolidation. On a fundamental note, a recent breakthrough in Lightning Network capability is generating renewed optimism over bitcoin adoption in commercial and consumer circles.

BTC/USD Update

Bitcoin showed little upside on Tuesday, as prices hovered within an $80 range on Bitfinex. At press time, BTC was trading hands at $6,590, having lost roughly 0.2% on the day. The leading digital currency lacks momentum on the hourly chart, which means short-term traders can expect choppy conditions to persist.

On the daily chart, bitcoin can be seen testing the 50-day moving average, an important indicator of underlying price action. As the following chart demonstrates, BTC has made a series of lower lows going back to mid-August but has maintained a firm price floor near $6,000.

At current values, bitcoin has a total market cap of $113.8 billion. Daily trade volumes have fallen back below $4 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Despite failing to make progress in recent days, bitcoin’s overall market share has risen slightly. Bitcoin’s dominance rate – BTC’s share of the overall cryptocurrency market cap – reached a high of 52.2% on Friday. It has since fallen back to around 51.4%. Last week, the dominance rate approached 50%.

The combined value of all crypto assets, including bitcoin, is $221.3 billion.

Lightning Network Use Case

The growth and widespread adoption of Lightning Network could be the next major catalyst to spearhead bitcoin adoption. As Forbes reported on Tuesday, Spanish hardware hacker Ricardo Reis recently demonstrated how Lightning Network can be used to purchase Coca-Cola bottles from a vending machine.

In a 42-second video titled “Coke vending machine that accepts Bitcoin payments through Lightning Network,” Reis demonstrates how easy it is to pay for certain goods using the new infrastructure layer. While the vending machine is certainly modified, it does not diminish the ease of transaction. In the video, Reis purchases Coca-Cola through a built-in QR code facilitated by Lightning Network.

As Hacked reported back in July, the Lightning Network has reached 10,000 channels with a total channel value of 100 bitcoin – a major milestone in the quest for instant transactions. These channels enable two parties to deposit funds and exchange them in real time. The channel can remain open indefinitely to facilitate payments before being added to the blockchain.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 697 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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  1. Pgaucher

    October 3, 2018 at 1:56 am

    The use case of a home made vending machine is hardly synonymous with adoption potential, unless a vending machine merchant starts accepting cryptocurrencies as payment method. The same vending machine could have accepted BCH or any other cryptocurrency. But all this is pointless.s unless merchants get on board.

    I would suggest HACKED starts reporting on projects aimed at gaining merchant adoption. This could go a long way in creating excitement to the space, and generate higher traffic to the site.
    Cheers.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Hits New Yearly Low; Now is Best Time to Buy, Says Weiss Ratings

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Bitcoin was back on the defensive Friday, as prices sunk to new yearly lows following a minor consolidation earlier in the week. As Hacked recently reported, the bears are making a run at the psychologically significant $3,000 support and are likely to test that level in the near future.

BTC/USD Update

The bitcoin price is currently trading around $3,250 on major exchanges, having previously set a new 15-month low. On Coinbase Pro, BTC/USD bottomed near $3,200 late Thursday before quickly recovering near $3,300. Over the next 12 hours, prices would consolidate in the mid-$3,200 range. The leading digital currency printed similar levels on Bitstamp, Bittrex and Gemini. A premium of $100 was seen on Bitfinex, where bitcoin was trading hands around $3,350.

Aggregate data courtesy of CoinMarketCap show an average price of $3,305 at the time of writing. That represents a decline of 3.8% over the 24-hour trading cycle. With the drop, bitcoin saw its total market capitalization fall below $58 billion.

Daily trade volumes picked up slightly, reaching $4.4 billion on virtual currency exchanges. BitMEX was by far the largest market, processing nearly a quarter of transactions.

Bitcoin futures contracts offered by CME Group recorded a daily volume of 1,317 contracts. CBOE bitcoin futures registered 1,136 contracts. Over the past five days, both products had an average volume of more than 2,300 contracts.

Like bitcoin, the broader cryptocurrency market was also approaching new lows for the year. The combined cryptocurrency market cap reached a low near $104 billion, which is slightly higher than last week’s bottom.

Time to Buy is Now

Amid the search for an elusive bottom in the bitcoin price, a U.S.-based rating agency believes now is the best time to buy the digital currency anyway. According to Weiss Ratings, current prices reflect bitcoin’s “least speculative investment,” making it an ideal time to increase one’s holdings of the cryptocurrency. This is based on the belief that cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are “here to stay.”

Bitcoin “is getting to such low levels that it’s becoming one of the best buying opportunities of the year,” the Florida-based rating agency tweeted earlier this week. “As a store of value, Bitcoin is here to stay. We truly think it’s the least speculative investment a person can make in crypto right now.”

Weiss is no stranger to cryptocurrencies. Earlier this year, it issued the first-ever public rating of cryptocurrencies, ranking 74 blockchains along several criteria. At the time, EOS and Ethereum were the only assets to receive a “B” rating. No cryptoasset was given an “A.” Bitcoin, despite being the largest and most influential cryptocurrency, received a rating of “C+.”

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 697 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Bear Market Lows in Jeopardy After Latest Failed Bounce

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The cryptocurrency segment switched directions yet again, as, after a weak bounce on Wednesday, the major coins are headed back towards their recent bear market lows today. While the losses are not significant, for now, given the bearish long-term picture and the vicinity of the lows, another leg lower in the downtrend could soon begin, despite the deeply oversold long-term momentum readings.

The majors are all in the red amid the broad selloff and only a few of the battered altcoins are showing some relative strength in the face of the apparent selling pressure. The total value of the market is back below $110 billion, and a dip below the $100 billion mark is possible as soon as the coming days, with Bitcoin being among the weakest top coins in the past few days.

Volatility has been steadily decreasing ever since last week’s breakdown, but we expect trading activity to pick up somewhat ahead of the weekend, and traders should remain cautious here given the still broadly negative technicals.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is trading just above its recent lows despite yesterday’s rally attempt, and the coin is showing relative weakness hinting on an imminent test of the lows. That said, with the long-term momentum readings clearly being oversold, we could still be in for a larger scale bounce in the coming weeks, but traders should wait for signs of short-term strength before entering new positions.

Our trend model remains on sell signals on both time-frames, with strong resistance levels zones ahead near $3600 and between $4000 and $4050, and with key long-term support found near the $3000 level.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still stuck below the key $95-$100 zone as yesterday’s bounce faded but the coin is trading above its bear market low, performing in line with Bitcoin and the majority of the segment. ETH is still in short- and long-term downtrends, and our trend model is on sell signals on both time-frames as well, despite eh oversold long-term picture.

Odds still favor a move towards the next key support zone between $73 and $75, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here, with further strong resistance zones ahead near $120 and $130.

Altcoins Drift Lower Across the Board

IOTA/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

We are still not seeing signs of meaningful relative strength even among the smaller altcoins, as although some of the most oversold currencies are, in fact, holding up well above their recent lows. IOTA is still a prime example of the long-term weakness, as it got stuck below the resistance zone surrounding the $0.24 price level despite the recent bounce attempts, while also remaining in a clear broader downtrend. For now, the prior low just above $0.20 is safe, but new lows are still likely in the coming weeks.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple has been trading with very low volatility in the last couple of days, hovering around the $0.30 level. The coin failed to show relative strength amid the bounce attempts, and break below last week’s lows and a test of the bear market low near $0.26 still seems likely, with the sell signals being in place in our trend model on both time-frames.  XRP faces strong resistance near $0.32, $0.3550, and $0.3750, while primary support is found at $0.28

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 415 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Bitcoin

Pessimism Spreads and Blocks Out Opportunities for Bitcoin, Ripple and Ethereum

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  • BTC/USD is in a key technical scenario.
  • The dominant pessimism is likely to turn upside down.
  • ETH/USD rejects leadership again and the market languishes.

The weekend is approaching without significant changes among the main protagonists of the Crypto board. I am reviewing the dominant emotional state in social networks and pessimism rules. The gloom sets an optimal atmosphere for a change in the direction of the market.

Extreme pessimism is the antagonist of the blind euphoria we saw exactly a year ago. This melancholy crushes the psyche of the HOLDers, but should not do so in the minds of traders. For a trader, the direction of the market must be secondary.

This extremely depressing environment covers with anxiety the ability to look at the market and make the right decisions. The task of an analyst is to provide a clear picture of the current scenario that will help investors in the process of managing their portfolios.

Seeking to offer this service, today I will analyze the graphs of Bitcoin, Ripple and Ethereum represented in logarithmic scale. This type of representation helps analyze very volatile assets with wide ranges.

BTC/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

BTC/USD trades at the price level of $3,362. The price has reached the trend line that governs the movement of the BTC/USD for years, and therefore we are facing a decisive moment. We can see if we review the graph. In recent years the price of Bitcoin has moved below the line on several occasions, to return to rising above it again.

Below the current price, the first support level is at $3,275 (price congestion support and very long-term uptrend line). The second support level is at $3,177 (long-term bearish trend line). The third support level is at $2,890 (price congestion support). Regarding this third level of support, I find it very improbable that it can be reached in the next few days because it would take an extraordinary sales force to break the two intermediate supports.

Above the current price, the first serious resistance level is at $3,925 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $4,390 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $4,693 (EMA50), a critical level from which we could start to speak of an upward turn.

The MACD in the daily range shows a perfect profile for an upward movement. After moving to extreme harmful levels, it draws a bullish divergence and crosses over to the upside. It is bullish according to the manuals, but the current situation can generate even more extreme movements.

The DMI in the daily range shows the bulls increasing their activity since the arrival of the price to the current zone. It is, therefore, a shopping area. The bears, on the opposite, should think the same as they have been decreasing their strength to approach the current levels.

XRP/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

XRP/USD is currently trading at the $0.306 price level after failing to conquer the first resistance level at $0.32 yesterday. After this failed attempt the XRP/USD came down for support at the $0.30 price level and found it. These are now the warning levels for this pair.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is $0.32 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $0.345 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $0.370 (price congestion resistance) and is very important if the XRP/USD beats it, which would allow an attack on the EMA50 at $0.394 and enter into a neutral scenario at least.

Below the current price, the first support level is $0.30 (price congestion support). The second support level is $0.271 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $0.258 (price congestion support and annual lows).

The MACD in the daily range shows such a perfect bullish cross profile that I doubt it can be real and work. It is likely that we will see a downward rejection of this indicator in the next few days.

The DMI in the daily range shows us how neither bulls nor bears have changed their expectations when reaching this price range. The ADX shows a loss of trend strength in the last few sessions.

ETH/USD Daily Logarithmic Chart

The ETH/USD trades at the $89.3 price level. Yesterday it tried to breach the $95 resistance level but failed. The Ethereum has all the attention on it for his condition of the leader in bull markets and his current weakness worries analysts.

Above the current price, the first resistance level is at $95 (price congestion resistance). The second resistance level is at $125 (price congestion resistance). The third resistance level is at $144 (EMA50).

Below the current price, the first support level is at $80.5 (price congestion support). The second support level is at $69 (price congestion support). The third level of support is at $53 (price congestion support).

The MACD in the daily range also shows a bullish manual structure. I am amazed at the clarity of the structure when compared to the perceived pessimistic environment.

The DMI in the daily range shows bulls unconvinced of a possible upward change in the price path. The bears, for their part, have decreased a little in intensity but remain at very high levels.

To sum up the situation, if you have reached these levels without being pushed to sell, there is nothing right now to tell us that this market is irrecoverable — nothing to give us reasonable cause.

If you are thinking about buying, the levels are adequate not for the price but because the loss of any support level can give us the signal to execute stops and conserve capital to enter lower prices if we get to see them.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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