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Bitcoin Prices Rebound as Crypto-Market Shows Signs of Stability

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Bitcoin prices swung higher Thursday, as a sense of calm returned to the cryptocurrency market following a prolonged period of volatile moves.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) was trading near session highs at 12:55 BST, having gained 8.5% to $2,457.14, according to Bitstamp. Prices opened at $2,294.41 and have been trekking higher ever since.

At its current valuation, the bitcoin market is worth $40.25 billion on supplies of roughly 16.46 million.

It has been a wild couple of months for the cryptocurrency market. After reaching an all-time high in mid-June, bitcoin corrected 20% as the debate over scaling came to a head. For now, it appears that the majority of the blockchain community (by hash power) has agreed to adopt the SegWit protocol, which should be enough to avoid a hard fork and eventual chain split on August 1.

Goldman Sachs says bitcoin is poised to re-test the $3,000 level and could go as high as $3,700 in the not-too-distant future. In a note to clients, head of technical strategy Sheba Jafari said the digital payment system’s recent swing lows have the potential to “act as strong support” in the short term. She added that “the balance of signals appear to be shifting more to a positive tone.”

Just two weeks earlier, Jafari predicted a large drop in bitcoin as prices retreated from record levels. Bitcoin has been the world’s best-performing currency in six of the last seven years.

The total market capitalization for cryptocurrencies was back above $83 billion on Thursday after plunging to $60 billion over the weekend. Ethereum was up more than 10% during early-morning trade. Litecoin was down roughly 1%.

BTC/USD

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4.6 stars on average, based on 548 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Holds Steady as Signs of Bullish Reversal Emerge

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Bitcoin’s price was little changed Thursday, though the technical charts suggest that a bullish reversal is in the works following a successful defense of a key psychological threshold.

BTC/USD Update

The bitcoin price is currently trading at $6,350 on Bitfinex, having gained 1.3% during the session. Compared with 24 hours ago, BTC is virtually unchanged.

At current values, bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $109.3 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. That represents more than 53% of the entire market value for cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin is trading comfortably above $6,000 after briefly piercing below that level earlier in the week. On Wednesday, the leading digital currency returned above $6,600, a sign that the short-sellers were running out of steam.

With the latest recovery, BTC has crossed the 50-day moving average, with the bulls eyeing yesterday’s high as a short-term target. A return above $6,600 could set the tone for a bigger breakout toward $7,000 in the near future. However, as Hacked previously reported, investors’ psychology remains severely damaged after the latest rout, which means the bulls aren’t out the woods yet.

According to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), bitcoin is gaining momentum after its recent brush with oversold levels.

Bitcoin ETF: More Problems Than Its Worth?

Last week, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced it would delay a ruling on a keenly awaited bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) – a non-decision that seems to have sparked the latest selloff in cryptocurrencies. (As we’ve reported all week, the selloff seems to have morphed into an ICO cash-out, with those of us still invested in the market diverting our assets into bitcoin.)

According to crypto pioneer Nick Szabo, bitcoin ETFs may not be the ‘holy grail’ investors have been waiting for; instead, they could lower the barrier to entry for “dumb money” to flood the market.

“I for one am not lobbying for an ETF or for Wall Street-managed money in general,” Szabo tweeted earlier this week. “It might cause more problems than it’s worth. The recent sell-off by dumb money has or soon will deprecate many opinionated know-nothings in this space. We don’t need new ones to take their place.”

Several researchers have linked bitcoin futures to increased market manipulation and volatility, a sign that institutional money isn’t what it’s cracked up to be. An ETF, in Szabo’s view, could invite many of the same problems. (Prior to the launch of bitcoin futures, “shorting” the digital currency was virtually impossible.)

Total assets under management held in ETFs crossed the $5 trillion mark earlier this year.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 548 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Market Stabilizes but Bulls Not Out of the Woods

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The cryptocurrency segment looks much better than any time in the last 10 days, as the major coins managed to hold up above the liquidation lows hit on Tuesday. While the bounce stabilized the market, there is still substantial fragility following the steep selloff, and until further bullish moves, traders shouldn’t enter full positions.

That said, finally, there are signs of relative strength among the top coins as correlations are slightly lower, and some of the bearish leaders managed to recapture key resistance levels. Litecoin is trading right at the crucial $56 level, while Monero is above the $90 level, and as we noted before the exhaustion of their downtrend is a positive sign or the whole segment.

XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The bounce and the following stability triggered a few upgrades in our trend model after spending almost 1 month in the sell zone, but there are still no majors on a buy signal as the segment-wide downtrend remains intact. Bitcoin remains the strongest coin from a technical perspective, while Ethereum and Ripple, which showed weakness for weeks, are also in better shape, even as they face very strong resistance levels.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum managed to hold up above the $275-$280 level during the overnight pullback, and now it faces the $300 resistance level again, trying to build on the recent rally. While the short-term downtrend is intact, and the oversold longer-term momentum readings could fuel a rally in the coming weeks, but now the coin is in a structural bear market after the break below $400.

The coin is now neutral from a short-term standpoint, but a move below $275 would point to another test of the lows. Further resistance is ahead at $3335 and $360, while strong long-term support is at $260.

Bitcoin Still Below $6500 as XRP Nears $0.30

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Not much has changed for Bitcoin in recent days, but relatively speaking the largest coin showed significant strength. That said, until BTC doesn’t show bullish momentum, traders still shouldn’t enter positions, as the structurally important $5850 level is still not far below the current price level. A move above $6500 would trigger a short-term buy signal, but further strong resistance levels are ahead at $6750 and $7000, while support is still found at $6275 and $6000.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple and Ethereum are in very similar technical setups, and XRP is also facing strong resistance at $0.30 after finding support overnight near $0.275. After the panicky spike below $0.26, the odds of a durable increased, and should the coin stay above the overnight lows, the coin could avoid another short-term sell signal. While traders should still stay away from entering full positions here, a bottoming process might already be underway.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 318 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Bitcoin Price Defends $6,000 as Crypto Market Cap Returns Above $200 Billion

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Bitcoin rebounded sharply on Wednesday after a bear market breakdown dragged prices to within $100 of yearly lows. Although the technical indicators have improved, significant downside risks remain.

BTC/USD Update

Bitcoin’s price was up 4.6% on Bitfinex to trade at $6,483. The leading digital currency reached a session high of $6,483, having recovered more than 8% from Monday’s swing low. Bitcoin’s 24-hour trade volumes averaged $4.6 billion on Wednesday.

The $6,000 price point has emerged as an important support level for bitcoin. As Hacked previously reported, this level is not only psychologically significant, it represents more or less the break-even rate for miners.

The monthly technical chart shows improving conditions in the bitcoin price, though this should be taken with a grain of salt given the market’s extreme moves as of late.

At current levels, bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $109.8 billion, which represents 53.6% of the total cryptocurrency market.

Altcoins and tokens collectively rose by $8 billion on Wednesday to reach a total value of $94.4 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. The value of all digital assets was $204.6 billion.

The Market’s Next Move

Although predicting bitcoin’s next move is notoriously difficult, a successful defense of the $6,000 floor is an important step in facilitating the next rally. That the yearly low ($5,755) wasn’t breached during the latest downtrend suggests the bulls may be running out of steam.

That said, bitcoin’s dominance rate reveals structural weakness in the cryptocurrency market, not to mention damaged investor psychology. As Hacked reported Tuesday, cash-out from the ICO boom appears to be largely responsible for the latest reversal, a sign that investors were losing confidence in riskier assets. This is further corroborated by Ethereum’s dramatic selloff over the past seven days. The so-called developer’s cryptocurrency has been responsible for three-quarters of initial coin offerings.

According to BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, investors shouldn’t expect a large price recovery at this stage given the general lack of momentum, volume and stability in the market. Trading volumes – a key proxy for demand in the cryptocurrency market – averaged $13.4 billion on Wednesday, based on latest available data.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 548 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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