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Bitcoin Prices and Whale Sightings: Evaluating the Latest Trends

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Bitcoin’s value has skyrocketed 20% over the past eight days, but some say the upward trajectory isn’t as linear as it should be given the length of the most recent correction. The market’s sudden gyrations have left us with only one explanation: the bitcoin whales are back.

Whale Spotting

It has been reported that the so-called bitcoin whales (those who hold oversized positions in the digital asset) dumped $100 million worth of BTC in less than 24 hours. For example, the anonymous balance of wallet 3D2oetdNuZUqQHPJmcMDDHYoqkyNVsFk9r declined by 6,500 BTC on Tuesday, which is equivalent to $50 million. As a result, bitcoin fell more than $200 on the major exchanges in just a few minutes.

Just one day earlier, bitcoin’s third-biggest wallet shed 6,600 units of the virtual currency at an average price of around $8,026.

Interestingly, a whale may have been responsible for the initial spike in BTC just one week ago. As we reported, a large order on Bitfinex triggered the initial spike in BTC as prices crossed $7,000 on the exchange. For the next two days, bitcoin would surge double-digits to breach $8,000 for the first time since late March.

Investors are also keeping tabs on a high-profile whale based out of Tokyo, Japan. Nobuaki Kobayashi is in the process of liquidating billions of dollars on behalf of Mt Gox creditors. At last check, the trustee had sold about $400 million in bitcoin for an average sales price of $10,105. He’s expected to offload another $1.9 billion.

Speculation Grows

While advocates of bitcoin’s long-term value have barely flinched amid the latest downturn, speculators all but disappeared from the market. A simple analysis of Google search trends also reveals that laypeople have been losing interest in digital currencies since early February.

All that could be changing.

Cryptocurrencies have added nearly $100 billion to their market cap over the past week, with bitcoin doing much of the work. This appears to have compelled bitcoin’s large owners to sell their assets for reasons that are not yet unclear.

Of course, the multiple selloffs could just be coincidence or a bet that future prices will fall again. In the eyes of leading analysts, the latter appears to be less likely.

The head of Pantera Capital, who rarely predicts bitcoin’s future and is thus never wrong when he does, recently told clients that the digital currency has already bottomed. Appearing on CNBC’s Fast Money, Dan Morehead said bitcoin’s bear market was just about over and that prices would continue rising from here on.

That said, choppy trading for bitcoin is hardly unusual and has come to be expected in a market that still lacks maturity. Whales or not, recent moves have made it harder to gauge the strength of the recovery.

That’s the message Thomas Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors recently shared, according to Bloomberg.

“I think it feels off right now because, you know, we’ve been on a down trend since December, and now, even though the volatility hasn’t changed much, it’s hard to tell if bitcoin is trying to stage a recovery or if it’s continuing its down trend,” he said.

At the time of writing, bitcoin was valued at $8,175, having gained 3% over the past 24 hours.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 735 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

EOS Price Analysis: EOS/USD Back in Unsettled Territory, as Price Runs into Sellers Again

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  • The EOS/USD bulls are unable to sustain any upside momentum following a breach of critical support.
  • Near-term supply is eyed in the early $2.5000 region. A break above would likely open the door for another retest of the big $3.0000.

The EOS price was seen creeping lower again in the early part of trading on Tuesday. This comes after a big jump to the upside seen in the second part of the session on Monday. EOS/USD had gained a chunky double-digits, around 12%, at the close of the daily. Buyers came in after the low print on Sunday 13th at around $2.25. This was within a market demand zone, tracking from $2.25-$2.35, having supported the price on occasions in December and January.

Recap: Big Breach of Critical Support

EOS/USD daily chart.

As a reminder, EOS/USD throughout its most recent bull run, which was seen from 6th December right up to 9th January, was well-supported. An ascending trend line could be observed, providing necessary comfort to the bulls. However, all runs must come to an eventual end, and the bears smashed through this support on 10th January. Given the break through this vital area, it exacerbated the move to the downside. The price had dropped a heavy 22%, taking a big blow after a strong run.

Barriers Blocking Bulls

The bulls have been cut short for now, not being able to have sustained that momentum from the session on Monday. Trading has been extremely choppy since 19th December, via the daily chart view, highlighting a real lack of consistency in either direction. A consecutive streak longer than two days from either bear or bull camp hasn’t happened since the run higher in mid-December. This demonstrates just how mundane and non-committed market participant are for now.

In addition to the last statement above, further technical levels and areas continue to plague direction. To elaborate, there are more areas that the price must deal with now in comparison to the smooth bull run higher seen in 2017. Separately, if looking at 2018, the bears generally had an easy ride south. This is thanks to the cryptocurrency instruments being so young still in age.

Key Near-term Levels

For the bulls to see greater upside, a break of near-term supply within the early $2.5000 region will need to push prices forward. This should open the door to a fast move to see a retest of the breached ascending trend line. In proximity to this is the psychological $3.0000 mark, which has proven to be a huge barrier for the bulls. To the downside, the mentioned demand area of $2.35-$2.25 is critical, and a failure to hold will be very punishing. Lastly, EOS/USD would be subject to a move sub-$2.0000, where support can be eyed. As a further worth case, then $1.5500 to be retested, the December low.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 106 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

GBP Price Prediction: British Pound Jumps on Growing Backing for PM May’s Brexit Deal Ahead of Vote

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  • GBP catches a bid across the board as Prime Minister Theresa May gains ERG support.
  • Despite session gains, GBP/USD technically has vulnerabilities to downside risks, given rising channel formation.

GBP Bulls Awaken

The British pound (GBP) saw a decent jump to the upside on Monday, after an initially very choppy directionless start to the session. The buying swooping into GBP/USD came on the back of a growing number of ministers set to back Prime Minister Theresa May. Specifically, attention was grabbed after closely followed political watcher Robert Peston tweeted that “influential Tory Brexiter MP tells me he and his ERG Brexiter colleagues will be voting with Theresa May and the government all day tomorrow”. This is significant as the ERG is a very influential Brexit research group, which was previously plotting ways to oust PM May.

GBP/USD jumped to its highest level seen since 22nd November. The pair had seen an initial spike of 85 pips to the upside. Gains were capped however by a known strong area of supply; this can be seen tracking from 1.2870 up to 1.2930. The price has not been above here since 15th November 2018, and the bulls having faltered here on several occasions attempting to move above. Should GBP/USD manage to move above this zone, it would be a very strong signal that it is out of the bear market. Technically, this would be largely attractive for inviting further buyers to come in.

A detailed analysis of the upcoming Brexit vote can be viewed here: This Tuesday Will Be Zero Hour For the British Pound

Price Remains Confined Within Channel

GBP/USD daily chart. Price action remains within the confinements of a rising channel.

Another key technical observation is an ascending channel formation, which can be viewed via the daily chart. The GBP/USD pair has been moving within this since 12th December 2018, having gained over 400 pips since it took shape. The daily candle today briefly spiked above the upper tracking trend line of the pattern. However, the price was squeezed back within the confinements of this. Touted profit-taking kicked in towards the close of the European markets. This is not too surprising, as participants maintain an element of caution heading into the high-profile vote.

Given the nature of the above-described formation, should it play out to the textbook, vulnerabilities still point to a breakout south. This move would be heavily assisted should the British Prime Minister lose the meaningful vote on Tuesday. In terms of key levels to note, to the upside, a break above the 1.2930 supply zone will invite large buying pressure. To the downside, a breach of 1.2650, the lower support of the channel, will open flood gates to selling.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 106 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: 5 Altcoins to Watch This Week

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Just as it appeared that the crypto market was finally finding its footing, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) suddenly crashed hard last week. The bearish price action made a lot of investors jittery. Consequently, many participants either took profits or cut their losses on their altcoins positions. This drove numerous altcoins back to their support areas.

Last week’s price drop was a gentle reminder that we are still in a bear market. That’s why this week, we look at coins that are showing signs of strength while trading near firm support levels. Here are the five altcoins to watch this week.

Ethereum (ETH/BTC)

Ethereum corrected right after tapping the 200-day moving average. At that point, the market was showing signs of bullish exhaustion. You can see a bearish divergence on the daily RSI. Plus, volume was weakening while the price kept rising. Those who saw the writings on the wall managed to take profits at the top.

Daily chart of ETH/BTC

The good news is that Ethereum has an opportunity to keep its bullish momentum intact. Defending support of 0.03157 would enable the market to establish a bullish higher low setup. Bulls have a very good chance to preserve the support because both the 50-day MA and the 100-day MA are crawling around that level. They will act as additional support levels to help Ethereum stay above 0.03157.

Should bulls fail to defend 0.03157, the market’s sentiment will likely turn from slightly bullish to neutral. We can then expect Ethereum to drop back down to 0.026746.

Binance Coin (BNB/BTC)

Binance Coin refuses to follow the footsteps of Bitcoin. Even though its market structure closely resembled that of Bitcoin’s, the results were different. After apparently breaking down from a descending triangle in November 2018, Binance Coin rose from the dead and reclaimed support of 0.0014 in December.

The fakeout attracted bulls who were staying on the sidelines. As a result, Binance Coin took out the diagonal resistance of the triangle.

Daily chart of BNB/BTC

With the diagonal resistance out of the picture, BNB/BTC appears to have regained its bullish tone. If you’re looking to place long positions in the market, you might want to be patient and buy as close to 0.00146 as possible. That’s where both the 50-day moving average and the 100-day moving average are crawling.

Invalidation of this view comes if BNB/BTC trades below 0.0014.

NEM (XEM/BTC)

NEM’s corrective period may be finally coming to an end. While the market did breach the initial support of 0.0000176, it looks like it is establishing a new base at 0.00001544.

Daily chart of NEM/BTC

If market participants can keep XEM/BTC above 0.00001544, it will send a strong message that the NEM remains bullish. After all, the market would have just established its first pair of a higher high and a higher low in months.

On the other hand, if XEM/BTC goes below 0.00001544, the sentiment will likely shift from bullish to neutral.

0x (ZRX/BTC)

While 0x remains in a downtrend, there might be an opportunity to bottom-pick the market. With 0x creating a falling wedge on the daily chart as it approaches key support area of 0.000073, it might be possible to profit from a dead-cat bounce. Should ZRX/BTC break out from the falling wedge, the initial target is 0.0001.

Daily chart of ZRX/BTC

Keep in mind that 0x is still in a downtrend so have tight stop losses if you’re planning to take on this trade.

Bitcoin Gold (BTG/BTC)

Bitcoin Gold appears to be establishing a new base at 0.0033 support. Market participants have been accumulating positions around this area for over a month. If bulls can hang on for another week or so, Bitcoin Gold may just establish a bullish higher low. This will enable the market to trend higher.

Daily chart of BTG/BTC

A bullish higher low setup might inspire bulls to tap resistance of 0.005564. Otherwise, Bitcoin Gold might revisit lows of 0.00256.

Bottom Line

Last week’s crash has driven many altcoins near key support areas. Nevertheless, this gives us a chance to look at coins that are showing signs of strength and are trading near key support areas. There’s a lot of uncertainty going on in the market so make sure to place tight stop losses if you’re planning to enter any trade.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.8 stars on average, based on 308 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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