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Bitcoin Developer Jimmy Song Bought Bitcoin at $30: It is a Sound Investment and Money

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In an interview with Valentin Schmid of The Epoch Times, Bitcoin developer and Paxos Principal Architect Jimmy Song offered his insights into the advantages and merits of bitcoin as money, a store of value, long-term investment, and a safe haven asset.

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According to Song, one of the most important aspects of bitcoin as sound money is its unique monetary policy. Unlike most assets and reserve currencies which can be manipulated and controlled, bitcoin’s maximum supply will always remain at 21 million. Because bitcoin has a fixed supply limit and demand towards bitcoin from casual investors, institutional and retail traders are always increasing at an exponential rate, logically and mathematically, the value and price of bitcoin have to increase.

Song admitted that he was first exposed to bitcoin and a new asset class in cryptocurrencies when the price of bitcoin broke the $1 mark. But, Song purchased his first bitcoin when it was valued at $30. Today, despite the recent major price correction of bitcoin caused by the Chinese government’s nationwide ban on local bitcoin exchange, bitcoin price remains above $3,600. For Song, that is a 120-fold return on a long-term investment.

“You’re not going to be able to inflate it in any way. Bitcoin is sound money because there is a fixed supply limit and demand is always increasing. That creates a really good investment, at least from my perspective, and so I bought some at around $30. I do wish I bought a lot more but everybody in Bitcoin does,” explained Song.

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Hence, as many prominent and early investors in bitcoin including Tone Vays, WhalePanda, and Tuur Demeester explained, the most stable, secure, and smart method of trading bitcoin is trade less, hold longer, and do not overreact to short-term volatility.

But, apart from its limited supply, there are various aspects of bitcoin which provide the digital currency value. In a study, JP Vergne, a professor at Ivey Business School, discovered that the best indicator of the short-term price development of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, in general, is developer activity around it. Vergne wrote:

We found that the best predictor of a cryptocurrency’s exchange rate is the amount of developer activity around it.

Bitcoin is a decentralized financial network and a peer-to-peer protocol in nature. Thus, it is immutable to attacks and operates on top of a transparent ledger. But, bitcoin’s decentralization also makes it difficult to reach consensus. It is challenging for developers to integrate innovative software such as Segregated Witness (SegWit), the BItcoin Core development team’s scaling and transaction malleability solution because almost everyone within the network including miners, node operators and developers have to agree to it.

Song reaffirmed a similar point to Vergne. During the interview, he explained that active developer activity around bitcoin which provides the network security value ultimately drive the bitcoin price upwards and provides it with fundamental value.

“Things like the Bitcoin software just aren’t smart enough to handle stuff like that. It has to be people that actually fix it and that’s what I think gives Bitcoin a lot of security value — because you have all these people watching it and not just like computer software that’s running on its own. It’s developers, it’s the people that are actually checking the code or watching the network figuring out low probability scenarios and how to immunize against those. That’s what gives it value. That’s what gives us security. That’s what makes it a great store of value,” said Song.

Bitcoin is still a $60 billion financial network. Many respected financial analysts including RT’s Max Keiser and Wall Street analyst Tom Lee believe bitcoin could evolve into a multi-trillion dollar financial network in the upcoming years, given that conditions are met and developer activity around it remains vibrant.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.4 stars on average, based on 3 rated postsJoseph Young is a finance and tech journalist based in Hong Kong. He has worked with leading media and news agencies in the technology and finance industries, offering exclusive content, interviews, insights and analysis of cryptocurrencies, innovative and futuristic technologies.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Hit 6-Week Highs as Rally Continues

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Bullish price action is still dominant in the cryptocurrency segment today, despite the recent lofty gains, and the overbought short-term picture in the ace of most of the majors. Correlations continue to break down, as more and more coins are in confirmed uptrends, with the total value of the market hitting $400 billion for the first time since early March.

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The top digital currencies are mixed today in the generally positive environment, with Bitcoin Cash, IOTA, Ethereum Classic, Dash, and Monero showing relative strength, in the face of the slightly overbought short-term momentum readings. While this is not the best moment to enter new short-term trades with regards to the majority of the coins, the long-term setup favors further gains in the coming weeks.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Altcoins have been leading the market higher in the last couple of weeks, and Bitcoin is still stuck below the $9000 level, as it continues to slightly lag behind from a short-term perspective. The coin ran into the strong resistance zone between $9000 and $9200 after breaking out of the broad declining trend.

Now a pullback is likely, given the slight weakness, with a possible test of the prior swing high at $8400. In case of a bullish move, the next target is at $10,000, and long-term investors should still add to their holdings on the short-term dips.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum kept on creeping higher to marginal no rally highs in the last couple of days, nearing the $650 level despite the overbought short-term picture. Short-term traders should still not enter new positions here until the overbought readings are cleared, while long-term investors could still add to their holdings during the pullbacks.  Resistance zones are ahead near $735 and $780, while primary support is between $555 and $575.

Altcoins Diverging but Bulls Remain in Control

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As we noted, the correlation between the coins is lower than during the downswing, and that confirms the bullish price action in the segment. Ripple is trading in a consolidation pattern near the $0.84 level, and although the overbought momentum readings are not yet fully cleared, the trend is clearly bullish and a new short-term buy signal is likely in the coming days.

Among the other recent leaders, IOTA triggered short-term sell signal, reaching the strong resistance zone near $2.2. EOS, Stellar, Cardano, and NEO are consolidating their gains, while Dash, Monero, and ETC are trading slightly above last week’s highs, but traders shouldn’t chase them higher here, as a short-term correction is likely soon.

Stay tuned for our detailed long-term technical analysis coming out later on today.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 228 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Bitcoin and Gold are Trading Inversely With One Another

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Advocates of bitcoin often compare the digital currency to gold for its finite supply and store-of-value characteristics. While BTC hasn’t come close to dethroning gold as the world’s most trusted safe-haven, it has steadily outperformed bullion amid the latest recovery. This has some people asking whether virtual currencies are eating away into gold’s demand.

Inverse Relationship

Strategists have identified a strong inverse trading pattern between gold and bullion stretching all the way back to the fall, right around the time that cryptocurrencies rebounded from a China-induced selloff. As bitcoin and other cryptos surged, gold experienced a steep fall from a high above $1,351 in early September to a low of $1,241 just three months later.

As bitcoin cooled down in the new year, gold resumed its upward trajectory and eventually peaked near $1,370 at the end of January.

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Below are the charting patterns for gold and bitcoin going back one full year.

The latest divergence is easy to spot. Since hitting a settlement high of $1,360 on Apr. 11, bullion has declined 2%. Over the same period, bitcoin surged 27%.

Bitcoin’s oversized percentage move relative to gold is a reflection of underlying volatility in the cryptocurrency market. Crypto assets as a whole are but a tiny fraction of gold’s $7.8 trillion worth. That said, the digital asset class peaked above $830 billion earlier this year, making the case for a trillion-dollar market more believable.

Systemic Risks

Proponents of bitcoin’s safe-haven status generally agree that the cryptocurrency is well suited to outperform the market during periods of heightened economic and political instability. This is generally believed to be the period in which gold prices thrive. However, unlike gold, bitcoin has also outperformed during periods of relative calm.

The second-largest bull market in history started off as a positive for gold as prices crossed $1,900 a troy ounce in 2011. However, bullion hasn’t been able to hit anywhere near those levels ever since. Bitcoin, on the other hand, has been the world’s best-performing currency (if one calls it that) in six of the past eight years.

Although the charts seem to indicate an inverse relationship between gold and bitcoin, it’s much more difficult to prove that investors are swapping one asset for the other at any given time. There’s some anecdotal evidence to suggest this is the case but a lack of trading data makes it difficult to conclude definitively one way or the other.

Supply and demand factors must also be weighed in analyzing the price trajectory of both assets. Gold’s total supply is increasing by an average of less than 2% annually, according to the World Gold Council. At the other end of the spectrum, the final bitcoin is expected to be mined in 2140, with total supplies engineered to decline until that date.

On the demand side, gold has been losing its allure as investors continued to pile into stocks. In 2017, appetite for bullion fell by 7%, with gold-backed ETFs plunging to one-third of the previous year’s demand. On the other hand, bitcoin’s demand has skyrocketed as more traders noticed its meteoric rise.

One area in which bitcoin has an advantage over gold is non-correlation. As the above examples clearly demonstrate, BTC is not correlated with the broader market. Gold, on the other hand, is influenced by risk-off sentiment, geopolitics, interest rates and inflation, among others. At present, these factors may play into the hands of bullion as investors prepare for the new business cycle.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 343 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Altcoins

Cryptocurrency Market Approaching $400 Billion as Bitcoin Tests $9,000

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The cryptocurrency market extended its bullish rally on Sunday, as bitcoin and the major altcoins continued to test multi-month highs. Buy orders accounted for the overwhelming majority of transactions, giving rise to expectations of a more sustained upswing in prices.

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Cryptocurrency Rally Continues

The combined value of all cryptocurrencies peaked at $397.2 billion on Sunday, the highest since Mar. 8. At press time, the market was valued just below $394 billion.

Transaction volumes ebbed on Sunday, with daily turnover amounting to $20.8 billion. Volumes were up around $25 billion on Saturday.

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In terms of individual currencies, bitcoin crossed the $9,000 mark for the second time in as many days. The digital currency was last seen trading at $8,932, having gained 4.8%. However, its share of the total market decline to around 38%.

All major altcoins contributed positively to the rally, with Ethereum gaining nearly 5% to $632. The value of Ripple XRP rose 2.6% to $0.886. Bitcoin cash also extended its bullish rally, climbing nearly 7% to $1,226.

Since bottoming at $249 billion on Apr. 6, the cryptocurrency market has added nearly $150 billion in value. Since the market crash of early February, coins have crossed the $500 billion mark on only one occasion, and that was roughly two weeks later. The total market has been capped below $400 billion since early March.

Bulls in Firm Control

The dramatic recovery in cryptocurrency prices can be summed up in one vital statistic: nine out of every ten trades have been buy orders. That figure was as high as 92.9% on Thursday, according to TurtleBTC.

Cryptocurrency trading is largely governed by investor sentiment, especially among speculators entering the market for a quick profit. This environment, when combined with thin volumes, often generates sporadic trading conditions that are characterized by extreme volatility.

Sentiment has been overwhelmingly positive over the last two weeks as investors looked to capitalize on extreme oversold conditions. Traders have seemingly shrugged off negative news headlines concerning India’s crackdown on cryptocurrency trading as well as the state of New York’s inquiry into exchanges.

There’s strong reason to believe that South Korean traders are playing a major role in the price recovery. According to the most recent volume rankings, three South Korean exchanges are among the top-five in total trading volumes.  They are: OKEx ($1.8 billion in daily volume), Upbit ($965 million) and Bithumb ($751 million).

With the recent spike in volume, cryptocurrencies are once again trading at a large premium in South Korea. This is generally the norm during bull cycles due to high demand and supply constraints. These premiums drew negative attention to exchanges last year as government officials began equating cryptocurrency trading with gambling.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 343 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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