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Bitcoin Cash Slides to Three-Week Low Against the Dollar

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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has declined sharply against the dollar this week, putting it on track for a seven-day drop of more than 20%.

BCH Hits Three-Week Lows

The BCH/USD regressed toward three-week lows on Thursday, where it briefly fell below $350. The cryptocurrency is holding steady in the $355 region at press time.

Prices are down 21% compared to last week, putting BCH among the worst-performing digital assets. Bitcoin cash’s short lifespan has been marked by heavy volatility, as investors continue to struggle ascertaining its true worth.

BCH is down one spot on the global cryptocurrency asset chart. At $5.9 billion, Bitcoin Cash is now the world’s No. 4 digital currency by market capitalization. It has been overtaken by Ripple (XRP), which is currently valued at $9.1 billion. XRP is the only cryptocurrency among the ten largest market caps to post a seven-day price increase.

From a technical perspective, BCH is facing strong bearish pressure, having declined below a key support area near $380. The next support target is located around $320.

Bitcoin Gold?

If one fork wasn’t enough, a new group of cryptocurrency upstarts is looking to create another form of digital money: Bitcoin Gold. The new version of the world’s No. 1 digital currency is expected to hit the market Oct. 25.

Gold’s backers want to democratize the blockchain’s infrastructure by taking it out of the proxy of large firms. The Bitcoin Gold website literally provides no clues about what the new infrastructure will look like. They have a direct link to their Slack account, which could provide more answers.

Bitcoin Gold differs from the upcoming November fork – Segwit2x – because that version addresses issues related to BTC network traffic. The Gold version, on the other hand, is looking to bring more small-scale players into the market. It remains to be seen whether Bitcoin Gold has staying power, or whether it’s an angry response against mining giants. Industry sources say China-based Bitmain is the main focal point of Gold’s uprising.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 738 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Longest Bear Market in Crypto History?

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In just 30 days, cryptocurrencies will have entered their longest bear market in history, according to Ran NeuNer, host of CNBC’s Cryptotrader show. The frenzied selloff since early 2018 has delivered a beat down to retail traders, hedge funds and long-term crypto holders. However, for one small corner of the market, business is thriving.

Bear Market Drags On

As of Thursday, the cryptocurrency bear market of 2018-19 has reached 391 days. By this time next month, the bear market would have stretched beyond the 420 days seen in 2014-15. Officially, it will be the longest bear market in crypto’s short history. (To refresh your memory, a bear market is defined as a drop of 20% or more from a recent high).

Of course, frantic selloffs are nothing new for cryptocurrencies. Since 2011, bitcoin has experienced at least five epic meltdowns, with losses ranging from 37% to 84%. Each time, the market has come back stronger than ever, culminating in the 2017 bull run that drove bitcoin toward $20,000.

At the height of the bull market in early 2018, cryptocurrencies were valued at a whopping $840 billion. Less than 12 months later, the market bottomed at just over $100 billion. The bearish trend is expected to resume until at least mid-2019, according to a combination of technical analysis, market sentiment and history of monthly momentum. There are, of course, other reasons to expect the bears to maintain control. These include regulatory uncertainty, hesitation on the part of institutional investors to participate and the fallout from the long-winded ICO boom.

Read why 2019 is bitcoin’s year of accumulation.

Interestingly enough, bitcoin has managed to set higher lows in six of the last seven years. In other words, bitcoin’s price bottom is incrementally higher almost every year stretching back to 2012.

Creditors Capitalize

As the bear market stretches on, crypto traders and startups are turning to creditors to fund their shortfall. As Bloomberg recently reported, crypto creditors are finding strong demand from traders who don’t want to sell their coins at depressed prices as well as from big investors looking to short virtual currencies.

Much like hedge funds, most crypto lenders began their operations in 2017 during the market boom. Hedge funds have struggled since the market downturn took effect while lenders have seen their business thrive.

As Olga Kharif notes, the crypto bust is putting lenders on both sides of the equation: “Helping believers pay their bills while awaiting a rebound, and also enabling bets by people who think the drop has further to go.”

As crypto ventures continue cutting staff, companies like BlockFi have grown their revenues and customers tenfold in just six months. Aave, which owns ETHLend, recently opened an office in London and will soon expand in the United States. A company by the name of Salt Lending already employs 80 people. (Keep your eye on Salt, as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is probing the company’s initial coin offering.)

The Future

Predicting crypto bottom is notoriously difficult, and many analysts have been burned trying to come up with logical answers to a market that is still in its infancy. In the next 12 months, the evolution of the crypto industry will be dictated by several factors, including the SEC’s regulatory oversight of the market, its ruling on a hotly debated bitcoin ETF and appetite for physical bitcoin futures among institutional investors.

Related: As Race for Bitcoin ETF Heats Up, SEC Identifies Cryptocurrency as a Top Priority in 2019

The ICO model that dominated 2017-18 is also undergoing a massive shift toward security tokenization and even initial exchange offerings. While it’s still too early to gauge the impact of these new funding models, it’s clear that the ICO market is on its last leg. Case in point: token projects raised $1.5 billion in January 2018. By December, that figure had fallen to just $59 million.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 738 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Bearish Flag Structure Eyed

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  • Ethereum price has stabilized but is moving within a dangerous range-block formation.
  • ETH/USD via the daily chart view is forming a bearish flag pattern.

ETH/USD price action has stabilized over the past five days, and is moving within a narrowing range. This movement appears to be somewhat expressing potential downside risks after the selling pressure seen in the second week of January. As a recap, the price was supported in its move north from mid-December 2018 up to 7th January. An ascending trend line was proving necessary comfort in this trend higher, however markets bears managed to force a breach. The support gave way, opening the door to a fresh wave of selling from 8th January.

ETH/USD daily chart.

Around 30% of the bull run that was seen in the above-mentioned period has been reversed. Vulnerabilities continue to linger, as ETH/USD trades around key daily support. The level to be aware of is $116.70, which is vital ahead of the big psychological $100 mark. A breach could see a test of daily support at $102, with the price likely to consolidate between here and $116. Given prior behavior around these areas, ETH/USD may be forced to retest the December 2018 low, $83.10. This would likely be the case, should a return of bullish momentum not see a pickup in pace soon.

Constantinople Hard Fork Delay

The stability in price is surprising given the let down for the community with regards to the heavily anticipated Constantinople hard fork. As reported by the CCN team, Ethereum’s core developers called for the Constantinople upgrade to be delayed. This was just some hours before the hard fork was scheduled to go live on the network. ETH/USD fell double-digits on the back of this being postponed. A drop of 10% was observed.

Technical Review – ETH/USD

Looking via the daily chart view, price action is forming a bearish flag pattern structure – the pole which is seen with the fall from 7-10th January. In terms of the actual flag, this is the current range-block viewed. Upside resistance can be seen just ahead at $135, and lower support noted the mentioned $116.70 area. The next major areas of support are the $102 daily pivot point, the December 2018 low of $83.10, and then lastly, the May 2017 low of $65.85.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 107 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Bulls Set for Another Retest of Big Supply Area

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  • ADA/USDT trading firmly within the green on Wednesday, outperforming its peers.
  • Cardano Shelley upgrade is heavily anticipated across the community.

The ADA/USDT pair was seen holding decent gains in the session on Wednesday, up as much as 5%. The bulls are looking at resuming their decent upside momentum, which was seen through mid-December early January. In terms of that rally seen, the price gained a whopping 90%, moving from around $0.02793 up to a high print at around $0.05368 on 10th January. This was the highest-level ADA/USDT had reached since 19th November.

ADA/USDT daily chart.

The bulls had the wind taken out of their sails after failing to breakdown a known area of supply. This can be seen tracking from $0.04900 up to $0.05400. The price has not been above this level since 19th November 2018, which was a period of heavy selling. Buyers have faltered here on two occasions recently – 24th December 2018 and 10th January. It will not be an easy area to break down; however, upside potential is chunky should it be broken down.

Project Shelley Imminent

The eagerly awaited Shelley update is very much quickly nearing its release from the Cardano foundation. It is set to be launched in the coming few weeks, as can be seen via their roadmap countdown clock.

This update is significant as it will make the Cardano blockchain fully decentralized. The Cardano blockchain is currently within the Byron phase. In terms of the Shelley upgrade, it will additionally mark the release of Cardano 1.5. The foundation provides the following insight from the detailed roadmap, “As we progress through Shelley, work will be done that contributes to stability, interoperability and governance. Throughout the arc of development, Cardano’s protocols will increase in complexity, interdependence and use more exotic cryptographic primitives”.

Technical Review – ADA/USDT

ADA/USDT 4-hour chart.

A near-term upside challenge is seen tracking from $0.043500-$0.045000, via the 4-hour chart view. Over the past six sessions now, the bulls have failed to break this area down. Further north of this, a heavier zone of supply can be observed from $0.04900 up to $0.05400, as detailed earlier.

If the bulls fail to move north of the mentioned areas, then key daily support levels should be noted for potential comfort. Eyes would be on the following levels: $0.03900 (13-14 January low), $0.03550 and then finally $0.027600 (7-16th December 2018 low area).

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 107 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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