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Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Bitcoin (BTC) Showdown – Let the Fight Begin

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In the Red corner, we have the dominating, crypto crushing, sledge hammer of cryptocurrency investing…. Bitcoinnnnnn… In the other corner, we have the fast talking, quick moving, fancy footwork moving, sly… Bitcoin Cashhhhhh. Let the showdown begin.

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I don’t usually talk about Bitcoin as I like to invest and focus on altcoins, however I wanted to go over this now because altcoins are tied directly to Bitcoin. Usually, when Bitcoin rises and goes on a decent bull run altcoins will fall and vice versa. Even though I don’t talk about Bitcoin much I do watch it on a daily basis to better forecast money flowing back into altcoins or into Bitcoin. The Bitcoin hard fork has affected the market drastically. Watching Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash fight it out would be slightly amusing (if so much money wasn’t involved). This proves that a lot of the market is based on emotional response and not necessarily fundamentals. Ethereum and Litecoin are far better than Bitcoin Cash. BCH has “borrowed” the Bitcoin name and the man behind it, Roger Ver, is pushing Bitcoin Cash hard as “the” Bitcoin. I wanted to go through this a little because I believe that Bitcoin Cash is being manipulated at the moment. While Bitcoin Cash does offer a little value but it is doing so well by borrowing the Bitcoin brand name.

On a side note, Bitcoin is getting a ton of press and attention from people that have never even heard of it because of ICOs, SEC scrutiny, Jamie Dimon (CEO of JP Morgan Chase) and from the interest of traditional investment firms announcing futures trading based on Bitcoin. Also, a very popular show called The Big Bang Theory will be dedicating an entire episode to cryptocurrency called The Bitcoin Entanglement which will air on November 30th. 14 million people watch that show. The IRS and the SEC are looking into cryptocurrencies closer and is starting to figure out how to regulate ICOs and how to tax cryptocurrency investing. Just something to keep in mind.

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From an objective point of view let’s look at what BCH actually does offer. To be 100% clear, I am not promoting one or the other. Personally, I have moved everything into alts until the Bitcoin showdown is over. One thing to think about is the majority of the volume going into BCH is coming from Korea. That means that most are not selling off their BTC to get into BCH. A lot of the BTC drop, I believe, comes from those that had gambled on BTC going up with margin accounts now are cashing out to cover their borrowed money. BTC sell off is also coming from those that have taken a profit believing that BTC is at a short term all time high. There is a lot of uncertainty with the BTC hard fork, BCH buyers and manipulation to make it look like it is taking over BCH. Enough of that, let’s get started:

Bitcoin Cash offers a block size of 8MB, while Bitcoin has a block size of 1MB. BCH speeds up and decreases fees of transactions. This is actually a major deal.

Bitcoin Cash offers replay and wipeout protection which will protect investors from losing their coins during forks.

Bitcoin has the original brand.

Bitcoin has a very large, loyal community. Most Bitcoin maximalist will stay with the original and support it being updated for scalability.

What I am doing is waiting, watching to see what happens regarding the Segwit2x hard fork and Bitcoin Cash. My main trading activity will be focused on altcoins and not in Bitcoin. I am not a financial advisor so please do your own research. Wait, Watch, Fight…. CryptoDayTrader out!

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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2 Comments

  1. csinkey

    November 12, 2017 at 1:26 am

    This analysis is missing miner profitability analysis, BCH difficulty adjustment, and makes no suggestion as to which coin will be where in any particular amount of time. How is this article helpful to anyone wanting to understand what is happening right now? How about real insight into why BCH is rising, BTC falling (also, this was posted 12 hours ago, after segwit2x hardfork has already been cancelled yet author says hes waiting to see what happens w the fork?!), and which coin is likely to have staying power over the other. Honestly frustrated by this article, would expect this level of analysis on Medium, a free site. Please enlighten us with not just what is happening but why! Thats what we pay for

  2. Kent Hamilton

    November 13, 2017 at 7:09 pm

    Hey, thanks for reading. First off, the fork has not been cancelled. It has only been postponed. There is so much happening behind the scenes that is conjecture that it is hard to explain what is happening. The real fight is happening between Roger Ver and the Core Bitcoin team. It has been said that Segwit2x was never meant to happen but was part of a larger plan. To be completely honest, this explains exactly what is happening. Roger Ver and team is manipulating Bitcoin Cash and the core team is fighting to keep control of the hash power. The miners are looking to switch to whatever coin is making them the most at the moment. No technical analysis will tell you this. Just as the article states, this is a fight between BCH and BTC and miners want to control which coin wins. Roger Ver is trying to take advantage of this while the fork is happening and core seems in a weak moment. Difficulty adjustment and miner profitability all hinges on which one the miners choose. Understand that this article was to bring the behind the scenes fight to people’s attention that may not know about it. Even the best technical analyst cannot tell you where the coin will go in relation to the fork. No one saw the BCH parabolic run before it happened because it is 100% manipulation. If you are a long term holder of BTC then I would leave it alone as to not create more instability in the core BTC coin.

    I am not going to pretend to know what will happen with the fork, BCH and BTC over the next few weeks as some of this has caught everyone by surprise. Here is the letter that everyone is talking about if you want to know the conspiracy behind the fight:
    https://theflippening.github.io/open-letter-to-bitcoin-miners-from-another-miner/

    It is not a great idea to rely on technical analysis right now in my humble opinion. Have an awesome day.

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Stellar Lumens Leads Battered Crypto Market Higher on Thursday

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Stellar, Cardano and a handful of other coins breathed new life into the cryptocurrency market on Thursady following one of the biggest flash crashes in history.

Altcoins Rebound

Thursday’s altcoin rebound was led by Stellar Lumens (XLM), the platform designed for building financial products. Stellar’s XLM token rose more than 20% to a session high of 56 cents. At press time, it was up 19% at 49 cents.

The XLM digital currency bottomed out near 30 cents on Wednesday, its lowest level of the year.

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The latest up move gives Stellar a total market cap of $8.3 billion on daily trade volumes of $473 million, according to CoinMarketCap. At its peak, Stellar’s total market cap was worth well over $16 billion.

Stellar is one of a handful of cryptocurrencies expected to resume its bullish campaign, according to a recent price forecast from Finder.com. As reported by Pound Sterling Live, Finder.com expects XLM tokens to rise triple digits percentage-wise for the remainder of the month. Cardano is expected to lead the altcoin rally, based on the report.

Cardano was up more than 15% at the start of Thursday trading to reach 64 cents. NEO, IOTA and Ripple XRP also put up strong gains. These altcoins have been at the center of the cryptocurrency market’s meteoric rise since the start of 2018. Each of them has successfully eaten away at bitcoin’s share of the market, which recently fell to as low as 32%.

Gradual Recovery

Although cryptocurrencies are no strangers to volatility, the total market experienced an unprecedented decline over the last three days. At its lowest, the market’s total value reached $414.9 billion. That was roughly half of the $835 billion peak set earlier this month.

At last check, the total crypto market cap was worth roughly $548 billion. The ecosystem is expected to remain volatile ahead of South Korea’s decision on domestic cryptocurrency exchanges. Regulators in the Asian country are reportedly considering various measures to reduce or eliminate speculation in digital currency trading. This is a concern for investors because South Korea is an international center for crypto trading, which makes any attempt to limit trading a potential threat to capital flows. The country alone represents about a third of global bitcoin trades.

Barring any major disruption on the Korean peninsula, history has taught us that the crypto rebound is likely to extend further, possibly into new highs. Investors have routinely bought on major dips in anticipation of further price accumulation in the future. In recent weeks, the gains have been driven largely by altcoins. Prior to that, it was bitcoin that did much of the heavy lifting.

Regulatory uncertainty continues to be the thorniest issue facing cryptocurrencies, with each nation and jurisdiction reaching its own conclusion on how to govern the market (if at all). The debate over regulation will only heat up as cryptocurrencies become vital components of the digital economy and monetary system.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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BitConnect Cryptocurrency Tanks After Company Shuts Exchange

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The value of BitConnect’s BCC token plunged on Wednesday, just one day after it abruptly announced it was closing down its controversial lending and exchange operation.

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BCC Fire Sale

BitConnect’s native token plunged to a session low of $5.69 as investors rushed for the exit. At last check, the cryptocurrency was down 90% to trade at $18.97, according to data provider CoinMarketCap. That was the lowest level since June, bringing BCC’s total market cap to $149 million.

Total daily trade volume for BCC amounted to $23.4 million, with HitBTC accounting for roughly 37% of the transactions.

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More pain is coming for BCC as investors rush to erase any exposure they once had to the controversial parent company. Various reports have indicated that holders of BCC have struggled to sell their tokens despite the platform appearing operational. This suggests that another fire sale may be on the horizon.

BitConnnect announced Wednesday that the rapid decline of its token’s price was a direct result of releasing all of its members’ coins at once.

The decline also happened to coincide with a broad selloff in the broader cryptocurrency market. The total market cap of all cryptocurrencies in circulation has declined by roughly $250 billion since Saturday, with all the major coins suffering heavy losses.

Halting Operations

BitConnect closed down shop after receiving two cease-and-desist letters from the Texas State Securities Board and the North Carolina Secretary of State Securities Division.

The company was honest about the reasons for exiting the market in a blog post that appeared on Jan. 16. According to the post, continuous bad press and multiple DDoS attacks also factored into its decision to close the operation. According to the blog post, all active loans will be transferred to users’ BitConnect wallet in a deposit worth $363.62, a rate that was calculated based on the coin’s average closing price for the past 15 days.

“In short, we are closing lending service and exchange service while BitConnect.co website will operate for wallet service, news and educational purposes,” the post said.

Prior to the announcement, BitConnect was accused by many in the blockchain community of being a Ponzi scheme. The criticisms have been levied by voices as diverse as day traders to Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum. The company operated a four-tier business model that promised users higher returns for bigger initial deposits. Through proprietary “volatility software” and other tools, BitConnect guaranteed users 1% ROI on a daily basis and up to 40% per month. Value investors rarely take such promises seriously.

If we take the blog post at face value, the team has no plans to abandon the project entirely. The post added: “This is not the end of this community, but we are closing some of the services on the website platform and we will continue offering other cyptocurrency services in the future.”

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Ubiq: What It Is and Why You Should Care

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Decentralized apps (Dapps) have been described as a paradigm shift in sofrware modelling. If you’re a believer, then Ubiq is one cryptocurrency worthy of consideration.

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An Introduction to Ubiq

Ubiq first emerged in early 2017 as a fork out of Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency and blockchain of choice for developers looking to create their own digital tokens. Ubiq intends to improve upon its predecessor by acting as a distributed ledger and supercomputer, which allows developers to create Dapps that are carried out by third parties.

By enabling the development of Dapps, Ubiq diverges sharply from some of the leading cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin.

To refresh your memory, Dapps must meet four criteria to be considered decentralized:

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  • must be open source and anonymous, which means no single entity holds token majority;
  • data must be stored on blockchain;
  • tokens must be used within the network; and
  • tokens are generated based on an algorithm that incentivizes contribution to the network.

For those interested in the technical specifications, Ubiq hosts the Ethereum Virtual Machine without the risk of hard forks. Some industry spectators say this makes it instantly more attractive for businesses. The system is based on Turing completeness rules

without having to deal with frequent updates and instability caused by Ethereum hard forks. As an Ethereum spin-off, it is built with a Turing-complete language that makes it functionally different from other cryptocurrencies, most notably bitcoin.

The platform’s native cryptocurrency is UBQ.

If bitcoin made us reevaluate our definition of store of value, Dapps can potentially expand our understanding of incentive-based applications. (In the strictest sense of the term, bitcoin can be thought of as the first Dapp because it created the blockchain solution that solves real-world problems concerning centralization and a lack of transparency.)

Until now, much of the transition toward Dapps has been driven by Ethereum, which has generated several successful projects utilizing the new technology. Some of the most notable include Golem and Augur.

All this is to say that Dapps have a promising future, and Ubiq is looking to capitalize on this movement.

Token Specifications

Unlike other cryptocurrencies, the total supply of UBQ tokens is not capped. At the time of writing, there were 39,213,112 million UBQ tokens in circulation, according to data provider CoinMarketCap. The total supply increases every year according to a pre-defined inflation rate.

You read that correctly: the Ubiq platform has its own monetary policy. Inflation in year one of the project (2017) was set at 7.29% per block. By year 12, the inflation rate is set to fall to 0.71%.

At the start of the year when the token launched, there were 36,451,770 tokens in circulation. The number of tokens increases by 8 UBQ per block.

UBQ Price Levels

Even after Tuesday’s flash crash, the value of UBQ tokens has more than tripled in the last three months. At the time of writing, the coin was priced at $3.85, which represents a daily loss of 15%. At its lowest point Tuesday, Ubiq traded at $3.28, or roughly half of its record high from early January.

More than $1.2 billion worth of UBQ traded hands over the last 24 hours, with 82% of transactions occurring on Bittrex. Digital currency platforms Cryptopia and Upbit processed 10% and 8% of the daily transactions, respectively.

At present values, Ubiq is capitalized at $151 million, placing it outside the top 100. This means the cryptocurrency is still very much a dark horse. As we’ve seen before, that hasn’t stopped cryptocurrencies from catapulting into mainstream consciousness (for recent examples, see Cardano and Tron).

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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