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Analysis: Ripple, Dash, Stellar Lumens, Bytecoin & Gnosis

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Ripple

Ripple gave a false break (highlighted) when it closed above the arc.  It was a buy signal which I tweeted, but then price fell back to the arc again.  It happens.  There is a 1×1 from the swing low which should support price at .32 (assuming the bull market is still intact).  Below there is a good place for a stop, IMHO.

DASH

DASH found support at the top of the square and is trying again to penetrate the 4th arc.  A buy signal will be given when/if price closes above the arc.

Bytecoin

I looked at this chart the other day in response to a readers query (BCNBTC). At the time I thought that it might take a couple weeks to recover, but just two days later it is testing the ATH again.  The 5th arc is close though at 25.  Alas, Kraken does not support this coin so I won’t cover it very often.

Gnosis

This coin doesn’t get much coverage, so it has not been on my radar screen.  But I see it has done quite well. 5th arc approaches at ~ $230

Stellar Lumens

XLM has been a bit of a mystery to me.  IMHO it was clearly a coin to be in.  It has been moving up steadily for weeks, but even when it was flirting with an all time high it was still getting no volume.  I almost gave up on it.  I actually entered a sell order last night before I slept.  But then I looked at the chart again and decided to cancel the sell order, because the chart was simply too bullish to sell.  Then I woke up to see a new ATH and a 5th arc in sight at ~ .075.  Life is good…

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgment.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsJim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail.




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20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. hanjit@connoisseurs.com.my

    May 22, 2017 at 5:54 am

    Hi Jim,

    Think the heading is in error….suppose to be Monero instead of Stellar?

    • Edward Talliot

      May 22, 2017 at 6:00 am

      Hello, it is “Stellar Lumens” not Monero. Changed!

    • moneymagnet666

      May 22, 2017 at 10:02 pm

      Thanks Hacked, based on your prediction, i can profit more $2,000,000.00 within 2 month.

      • Edward Talliot

        May 22, 2017 at 11:48 pm

        Hello,

        Didn’t quite get you? 🙂

  2. SimonDavidL

    May 22, 2017 at 5:56 am

    Is there a type there at the last paragraph?

  3. Parentesi

    May 22, 2017 at 6:12 am

    Hello Jim
    I think you meant XLM and not Monero at the end, right?
    I almost made the same thing, but stayed in… and then. ^_^

  4. leveler

    May 22, 2017 at 6:17 am

    So, Now I need to buy more ripple or not?
    and if i have ripple, i need to sell ripple or keep ripple more?
    regards

  5. foryou

    May 22, 2017 at 7:11 am

    Great inputs again Jim, and I like that you keep updating through tweets too, that is helpful. I just wanna need your help on understanding that how far will DogeCoin go before it dips, it has been increasing steadily for sometime now. Your reply will be appreciated.

  6. And

    May 22, 2017 at 9:39 am

    Jim,
    what do you think about ETH. It looks like it is over 5th arc … Do you suggest new target? Thanks!
    And

  7. jurajf

    May 22, 2017 at 10:29 am

    guys which kind of indicator are those arcsplease ? its fibo arc?

  8. eb

    May 22, 2017 at 1:23 pm

    What about STR?

  9. umer_majid

    May 22, 2017 at 4:31 pm

    Hi Jim. I caught the dash rally today because your analysis gave me the confidence to go for it. Thank you very much. I look forward to your analyses every day.

  10. myndtrick

    May 22, 2017 at 6:09 pm

    All the altcoins have dropped significantly in the past few days. Is it safe to assume it is because of BTC/ETH rally? If so, what should we do with the current holdings of altcoins?

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 23, 2017 at 12:09 am

      Money seems to be fickle these days, but in the end these corrections are necessary and good in any market. If you are not leveraged you can wait them out. If you are leveraged you must be very vigilant.

      • myndtrick

        May 23, 2017 at 11:21 am

        Thanks!

        I was wondering, do you know any website where we can download raw historical data in a csv format for the cryptocurrencies, as on poloniex/bittrex, I can’t.

        • Jim Fredrickson

          May 23, 2017 at 11:28 am

          if you find such a tool, please tell me too 🙂

  11. Angie

    June 4, 2017 at 3:28 am

    Hi Jim,
    I bought BCN after reading your comments . It has not moved for 2 weeks and I was wondering what your predictions for this coin in the short term and long term.
    All your other predictions have been spot on and I am happy with my profits. BCN is the only one that has me confused. Any advice you can offer would be greatly appreciated.

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Altcoins

Tron Price Analysis: TRX/USD Constructing a Head and Shoulders Pattern

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  • TRX/USD remains vulnerable to further downside, with eyes on the possible head and shoulders technical structure.
  • TRX/BTC bulls are having much difficulty breaking down huge area of supply.

TRX/USD Price Action

TRX/USD daily chart.

There has been little in terms of committed market direction. It appears that after the huge bull run, which was observed from mid-December until 10th January, the price is trying to find its feet again. The gains of that push higher were a chunky 180%, before quickly becoming unstable and losing some of that ground.

Head and Shoulders Pattern

TRX/USD head and shoulders formation, via daily chart.

A near-term ascending trend line can be observed via the daily chart. This could be forming a head and shoulders formation. The left shoulder and head have already been constructed, with attention on this possible right shoulder. It is currently moving back towards the trend line, acting as a neckline for the technical pattern. A breach could see a fast fall below the $0.020000 mark.

The next major area of support is seen at a demand zone, which tracks from $0.017500 down to $0.016000. TRX/USD last traded here on 20th December, when the bulls ran through this range, which at the time was acting as supply. At a worse case scenario, a failure of this zone holding will shift attention to the December low area, $0.011150.

TRX/BTC Bulls Cannot Break Down Big Supply Zone

TRX/BTC daily chart.

This trading week, the TRX/BTC bulls attempted on a few occasions,to break down heavy area of supply. It can be seen tracking from 0.00000700 up to 0.000007500. The price has not been convincingly breached since June 2018, a strong sign of the bearish trend gripping the market. Briefly on 10th January, an aggressive spike to the upside was observed, pushing above for a very short-time before the sellers piled in.

Weekly Chart

TRX/BTC weekly chart.

Looking via the weekly chart view, TRX/BTC has been pushing higher for the past three consecutive weeks, at the time of writing. Despite this run of gains, the technical picture does still somewhat express some vulnerabilities. The large upper wick produced during the week which commenced 7th January appears to be a bearish pin bar formation.

If this week fails to close in the green, it could suggest that a larger wave of selling pressure may materialize. Typically, the types of candlesticks described above tend to come ahead of downside pressure. In addition, then numerous rejections seen within the earlier detailed supply zone, stacks favorably for the bears.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 110 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Monero Price Analysis: Stronger Malware to Mine Monero; XMR/USD Has Room for Another Potential Squeeze South

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  • Researchers: a stronger malware has been uncovered, which can mine Monero.
  • XMR/USD price action remains stuck in a narrowing range, subject to an imminent breakout.

The XMR/USD price has seen some upside on Saturday, holding gains of around 3% towards the latter stages of the day. Despite the press higher from the bulls, a move which has been observed across the cryptocurrency market, vulnerabilities remain. Price action has been ranging for the past nine sessions. Once again, this isn’t specifically just XMR, as this type of behavior is witnessed across the board. The narrowing in play came after the steep drop that rippled across the market on 10th January.

Price action was initially well-supported to the upside by an ascending trend line, which was in play from 15th December. This at the time was a very promising recovery, as XMR/USD had gained as much as 55%. Unfortunately, however, the bulls were unable to break down supply heading into the $60 region and were eventually dealt a big hammer blow. On 10th January, the market bears forced a heavy breach to the downside, smashing through this support. The price had dropped a big double-digits, some 20%.

Stronger Malware Mining Monero (XMR)

There is a dangerous form of malware that can bypass being detected and mine Monero (XMR) on cloud-based servers. A recent notice was put out by Palo Alto Networks’ Unit 42, an intelligence team that specializes in cyber threats, regarding a Linux mining malware. This was detailed to have been developed by Rocke group, which has the ability uninstall cloud security products. It can do this to the likes of Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud, to then illegally mine Monero on compromised machines.

The two researchers from Palo Alto Networks, Xingyu Jin and Claud Xiao, detailed the findings of their studies. Once the malware is downloaded, it takes administrative control to initially uninstall all cloud security products. Shortly after, it will then then transmit code that will mine the Monero (XMR). Further within their press release, they said, “To the best of our knowledge, this is the first malware family that developed the unique capability to target and remove cloud security products.”

Technical Review – XMR/USD

XMR/USD daily chart.

Given the current range block formation, eyes should be on the key near-term technical areas. Firstly, to the downside, $43, which is the lower part of the range. A breach here will likely see a retest of the December low, $38. To the upside, resistance be observed at around the mid $46 level. Should a breakout be observed here, then a potential retest of the broken trend line will be watched.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 110 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Altcoins

Litecoin Price Analysis: LTC/USD Bulls Enjoy Big Jump But Stubborn Resistance Capping Potential

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  • Litecoin sees a relief rally on Friday, but is still stuck within stubborn range-block.
  • LTC/USD price action has formed a bearish flag pattern structure, subject to a potential break lower.

The Litecoin price on Saturday was seen holding decent gains of over 5%, as life is kicked back into the bulls. The LTC/USD pair has been victim of trading within a stubborn daily $3 range. This very much being the case for the past nine trading sessions. It is a form of consolidation after the breach south from an ascending trend line. This had been supporting the price from 14th December 2018, up until the bears forced a breach on 10th January.

In light of the breakout below the above-mentioned trend line, a large wave of selling pressure came with that. LTC/USD plunged by as much as 25% to the lowest levels seen since the start of the month. The earlier described range-block formation has come as a result of the increased volatility that accompanied the break south. The high of the range should be noted at the $33 mark, with the lower support eyed down at the psychological $30 level.

Bear Flag

Given this type of price behavior from a technical standpoint, it appears to demonstrate some vulnerabilities to the downside. The calming and consolidating after an initial explosive drop lower to then potentially resume the selling pressure reflects this point. As can see from either the 4-hour or daily chart, price action has formed a bearish flag pattern. When the market fell from 9-10th January, this formed the pole of the bearish flag of the structure. The actual flag is currently being constructed, as part of the sideways trading being observed.

Lightening Network Trial Underway

As reported by the CCN team, Coingate, a cryptocurrency-based payments platform, has now executed a trial run of its Lightening Network via Litecoin.  The platform has partnered up with a privacy service provider, known as Surfshark for this pilot project. Within the partnership, the implementation of Lightening Network payment solution for Litecoin transactions is a big milestone for the cryptocurrency community.

Technical Review – LTC/USD

LTC/USD daily chart. A bearish flag structure can be seen.

As detailed earlier, a breakout from the range-block formation will be the next trend defining move. Should the bears manage to force a break below the lower support, tracking at $30, then a demand area below will be called into action. This can be observed tracking within the $28 price region, which is a known area to find buyers. A failure to do so could see LTC/USD drop back down towards $23-22 range.

Disclaimer: The author owns Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 110 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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