Connect with us

Analysis

Analysis: Ripple, Dash, Stellar Lumens, Bytecoin & Gnosis

Published

on

Ripple

Ripple gave a false break (highlighted) when it closed above the arc.  It was a buy signal which I tweeted, but then price fell back to the arc again.  It happens.  There is a 1×1 from the swing low which should support price at .32 (assuming the bull market is still intact).  Below there is a good place for a stop, IMHO.

DASH

DASH found support at the top of the square and is trying again to penetrate the 4th arc.  A buy signal will be given when/if price closes above the arc.

Bytecoin

I looked at this chart the other day in response to a readers query (BCNBTC). At the time I thought that it might take a couple weeks to recover, but just two days later it is testing the ATH again.  The 5th arc is close though at 25.  Alas, Kraken does not support this coin so I won’t cover it very often.

Gnosis

This coin doesn’t get much coverage, so it has not been on my radar screen.  But I see it has done quite well. 5th arc approaches at ~ $230

Stellar Lumens

XLM has been a bit of a mystery to me.  IMHO it was clearly a coin to be in.  It has been moving up steadily for weeks, but even when it was flirting with an all time high it was still getting no volume.  I almost gave up on it.  I actually entered a sell order last night before I slept.  But then I looked at the chart again and decided to cancel the sell order, because the chart was simply too bullish to sell.  Then I woke up to see a new ATH and a 5th arc in sight at ~ .075.  Life is good…

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgment.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

5 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsJim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail.




Feedback or Requests?

20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. hanjit@connoisseurs.com.my

    May 22, 2017 at 5:54 am

    Hi Jim,

    Think the heading is in error….suppose to be Monero instead of Stellar?

    • Edward Talliot

      May 22, 2017 at 6:00 am

      Hello, it is “Stellar Lumens” not Monero. Changed!

    • moneymagnet666

      May 22, 2017 at 10:02 pm

      Thanks Hacked, based on your prediction, i can profit more $2,000,000.00 within 2 month.

      • Edward Talliot

        May 22, 2017 at 11:48 pm

        Hello,

        Didn’t quite get you? 🙂

  2. SimonDavidL

    May 22, 2017 at 5:56 am

    Is there a type there at the last paragraph?

  3. Parentesi

    May 22, 2017 at 6:12 am

    Hello Jim
    I think you meant XLM and not Monero at the end, right?
    I almost made the same thing, but stayed in… and then. ^_^

  4. leveler

    May 22, 2017 at 6:17 am

    So, Now I need to buy more ripple or not?
    and if i have ripple, i need to sell ripple or keep ripple more?
    regards

  5. foryou

    May 22, 2017 at 7:11 am

    Great inputs again Jim, and I like that you keep updating through tweets too, that is helpful. I just wanna need your help on understanding that how far will DogeCoin go before it dips, it has been increasing steadily for sometime now. Your reply will be appreciated.

  6. And

    May 22, 2017 at 9:39 am

    Jim,
    what do you think about ETH. It looks like it is over 5th arc … Do you suggest new target? Thanks!
    And

  7. jurajf

    May 22, 2017 at 10:29 am

    guys which kind of indicator are those arcsplease ? its fibo arc?

  8. eb

    May 22, 2017 at 1:23 pm

    What about STR?

  9. umer_majid

    May 22, 2017 at 4:31 pm

    Hi Jim. I caught the dash rally today because your analysis gave me the confidence to go for it. Thank you very much. I look forward to your analyses every day.

  10. myndtrick

    May 22, 2017 at 6:09 pm

    All the altcoins have dropped significantly in the past few days. Is it safe to assume it is because of BTC/ETH rally? If so, what should we do with the current holdings of altcoins?

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 23, 2017 at 12:09 am

      Money seems to be fickle these days, but in the end these corrections are necessary and good in any market. If you are not leveraged you can wait them out. If you are leveraged you must be very vigilant.

      • myndtrick

        May 23, 2017 at 11:21 am

        Thanks!

        I was wondering, do you know any website where we can download raw historical data in a csv format for the cryptocurrencies, as on poloniex/bittrex, I can’t.

        • Jim Fredrickson

          May 23, 2017 at 11:28 am

          if you find such a tool, please tell me too 🙂

  11. Angie

    June 4, 2017 at 3:28 am

    Hi Jim,
    I bought BCN after reading your comments . It has not moved for 2 weeks and I was wondering what your predictions for this coin in the short term and long term.
    All your other predictions have been spot on and I am happy with my profits. BCN is the only one that has me confused. Any advice you can offer would be greatly appreciated.

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin on the Edge, Testing Long-Term Support Zone

Published

on

The major coins are hovering just above key support levels after the weekend bounce, holding on to their gains, but from a technical standpoint, the segment’s outlook hasn’t changed. The downtrend is still clearly intact despite the rally, as correlations are sky high between the majors and the trendlines are well above the current price levels.

The technical divide between the relatively stronger and weaker coins remains wide, but there is still no sign of bullish momentum that would be needed for a trend change. On another negative, the bearish leadership, especially Litecoin and Dash are still in deep trouble, with only Monero showing some stability. Bitcoin is also underperforming and although a long-term breakdown in the most valuable coin is still not completed, traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin bounced off the crucial $5850 support level during the weekend and rallied up to the lower boundary of the $6275-$6500, but the move stalled. The coin is still dangerously close to a structural breakdown, which would have negative implications for the whole segment.

The declining short-term trend is still dominant, despite the current correction and further volatile moves could be ahead in the coming days.  Below the long-term zone, further support is found between $5400 and $5500 and below that at $5000, while resistance is ahead at $6750 and $7000.

Ethereum At $450, Litecoin Confirms Breakdown

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum is still holding relatively well compared to the other majors, trading well above the April lows, despite the segment-wide downtrend. The coin plunged to $420 before rebounding above $450 and the previous swing low, but ETH failed to show bullish momentum and got stuck near primary resistance, with the short-term still clearly pointing lower.

While the strength of the coin is encouraging, short-term traders should still stay away from entering the market. Further support is found at $400 and $480, while resistance is ahead at $500.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

As Litecoin was among the first coins to violate long-term support, the path of the coin is an important indicator for the whole segment, and for now, the coin clearly confirms the technical breakdown, remaining on sell signals on all time-frames. The currency fell to the next main support zone near $75 and the weak oversold bounce, wasn’t enough to carry it back to the $90 level. The strong downtrend remains intact, and although violent corrections are likely ahead, traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions.

As for the relatively stronger coins, Ripple, IOTA, and EOS are also stuck in strong short-term downtrends, and XRP and IOTA both spiked below the April low before rebounding, so there is no sign of a trend change in the segment. To evaluate the technical damage, we will take a look at the long-term charts tomorrow.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 280 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Altcoins

Crypto Markets: Bloodied But Not Broken

Published

on

As legend has it, prize fighter Jake Lamotta returns to his corner at the end of round four of one of his early boxing matches with blood all over and his face was a mess.  Trying his best, his trainer tells Jake, you’re doing great kid, they haven’t laid a glove on you. To which Lamotta replies, well you better keep an eye on the referee because somebody is beating the crap out of me.

Lately, those of us who have a passion for the world of cryptocurrencies are feeling that somebody is beating the crap out of us. Trouble is, it is hard to figure out why.  Just as we are about to land a punch with the SEC declaring that bitcoin and Ethereum are not securities, ditto that for ICOs that do not convey an equity interest in the issuer, whamo prices drop to 2018 lows.  

The Other Side Of The Coin

We read of the recent hack of a tiny South Korean crypto exchange and pundits blame this for helping to push prices lower.  However, the market seemed to completely ignore this week’s progress in the Mt. Gox litigation. There is actually a decent prospect that investors that held $450 million in bitcoin at 2014 prices will be compensated in nitcoin.  If my arithmetic is working right, this is good news considering the 2014 Blbitcoin price was less than $2.00.

Institutionalizing Crypto

While most eyes last week were fixated on falling prices, exchange giant Coinbase let it be known that it was preparing a crypto custody service.  This may appear as a boring administrative step but that is hardly the case. This move is being heralded as the final step in opening crypto to institutional buyers.

Before Coinbase’s solution the problem has been that, despite the highly secure nature of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, the wallets where they are stored are a regular target for hackers.

For investors, making cryptos more accessible to institutional investors is every bit as important as adding retail merchants that accept crypto for goods and services.  

Finding Crypto Support From Unexpected Places

Last Friday various media outlets point out how The U.S. Supreme Court mentioned bitcoin and cryptocurrency while issuing a ruling on a seemingly unrelated case. Here is what the U.S. Supreme Court had to say on June 21st in the case of Wisconsin Central LTD v. United States:

“What we view as money has changed over time. Cowrie shells once were such a medium but no longer are, our currency originally included gold coins and bullion, but, after 1934, gold could not be used as a medium of exchange, perhaps one day employees will be paid in Bitcoin or some other type of cryptocurrency.”

In spite of the current oversupply of naysayers, the legacy of crypto is increasing daily. Now even the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is collecting and publishing prices of bitcoin, bitcoin cash, Ethereum and Litecoin. A year ago at this time, such a notion would have been absurd.    

Suspension Of Efficient Market Thinking

For those who have been kind to follow these ramblings know that I am a big believer in the theory of efficient markets.  The key to this theory is that people have all the available information about a particular investment asset and act upon is rationally.  Of course, this is not to say that everybody reads the information in the same way. That is what makes for buyers and sellers.

Lately, there has been a complete suspension of an efficient market for crypto. All coins and tokens have been dumped without regard for fundamentally positive events, some of which we mentioned above.  Since the vast majority of crypto is owned by individuals, the wisdom of the crowd (or in this case mob) psychology prevails. The last time this was the case it was bitcoin alone that lost some 80% of it’s value starting late in 2013.  But that took more than a year to play out. Since the infamous $19,000+ peak, bitcoin has lost 68% so history is getting close to repeating itself.

It may also be a sign that a bottom in prices may be getting closer. The values are clearly there to be had. Now if only those of us who have a longer term view can find other who share a similar view.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
7 votes, average: 4.14 out of 57 votes, average: 4.14 out of 57 votes, average: 4.14 out of 57 votes, average: 4.14 out of 57 votes, average: 4.14 out of 5 (7 votes, average: 4.14 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.4 stars on average, based on 83 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Bitcoin Plunges Below $6500 as Heavy Selling Resumes

Published

on

The cryptocurrency segment is having another very negative day after a calmer period, as selling pressure intensified yet again. All of the major coins turned sharply lower, with the laggards of the recent period, Litecoin, Monero, and Dash confirming their downtrend and the relatively stronger coins also taking a beating.

The total capitalization of the segment dropped below $270 billion, and from a long-term technical standpoint, several currencies are in precarious positions. With no clear news catalyst behind the move, technicals are playing a very important role, and last week’s lows will likely be in focus in the coming days.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is still relatively weak both on the short- and long-term time-frames, and it dropped back to the $6275-$6500 zone that has been acting as primary support during the recent leg lower. Given the importance of the long-term zone between $5850 and $6000, a break below $6275 could set up a crucial test in the coming days. For now, traders still shouldn’t enter new positions, while investors should hold on to their coins as the bullish secular trend is still intact.

No Hiding From the Selloff as Altcoins Broadly Lower

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the weakest coins leading the way lower again, new swing lows are likely in the majority of the coins, although there is still hope for bulls that a major long-term breakdown can be avoided. Ethereum fell below $500 after touching the declining short-term trendline, and it remains in a bearish trend, even as it’s still in a much better technical position compared to BTC, holding up well above the April lows, and being further away from last week’s swing low as well.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

 That said, we remain negative regarding the short-term outlook for the second largest coin, and traders shouldn’t enter new positions here.  Above the $500 level, strong resistance is ahead between $555 and $575, while primary support is found at $450, with further zones near $400 and $480.

BNB/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

There are no real hiding places for crypto investors from the current selloff even as Binance Coin is still holding up relatively well, within a clear uptrend and above crucial technical support.  That said, as we warned before, given the broad downtrend in the segment, traders should be cautious with new short-term positions.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
7 votes, average: 4.71 out of 57 votes, average: 4.71 out of 57 votes, average: 4.71 out of 57 votes, average: 4.71 out of 57 votes, average: 4.71 out of 5 (7 votes, average: 4.71 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 280 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

9 of 15 Seats Available

Learn more here.

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending