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Analysis: Ethereum is on a run, Bitcoin surpasses $1600 (+Ripple & Litecoin)

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Analysis: Ethereum is on a run, Bitcoin surpasses $1600 (+Ripple & Litecoin)



Bitcoin has surpassed our target of $1500 a few days earlier than I anticipated. While I think it is clear that higher prices, maybe much higher prices, are in store for this asset in the months to come, it is likely a good time to take profits if you are a short-term trader.  I will go out on a limb here and suggest that this coin is ripe for a significant correction – soon.

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There is clearly A LOT of new money coming into cryptocoins of all flavors these days. This cryptocoin bull market is far from over, I suspect. But still, this vertical ascent is unsustainable. More importantly, we have hit a 5th arc, and it was hit exactly, within 8 hours, of a 270 degree (3×90) movement from the low of 8/2/2016. Here is an 8 hour chart:


XRP is on a tear and should be on your radar screen.  It has made a new ATH and broke through longer-term resistance to get there.  This coin could triple from here.  My long term charts suggest the possibility of .25 by mid-summer.  However, I see that there was a smaller setup from the April 4 low I had overlooked.  Per that setup, pricetime hit a 5th arc last night while I was sleeping, and corrected sharply.  It has recovered somewhat, but has not yet re-tested that arc.  I believe it will get through it and move much higher, but I am not omniscient, so we will have to wait and see. Here is the 3 hour chart:


Litecoin has done very nicely in the past couple days.  It hit our target of $25 last night.  As in the case of XRP, I tend to think significantly higher prices are in store for this asset, if it can get through that arc.  It is rising to re-test the arc as these words are typed   Time will tell.  Here is a 15 minute chart:


Ethereum recovered from it’s correction and is at this moment pushing through the 2nd arc of a 3rd pair.  I have little doubt that yet  another buy signal will be issued soon.  My target is a figure that seemed ridiculous just a few short weeks ago.  I note now that the 5th arc of this setup intersects the 1×1 angle at $150.  I suspect we will see that number within just a few weeks.  Here is a 3 hour chart:

Where is all this new money coming from that is pouring into the cryptocoins?  I’m not sure.  Maybe institutional traders, government players, Joe Sixpack who finally woke up and realized that a small fortune was being made by his 21 year old nephew?  Maybe all three.  It doesn’t matter.  This will likely last at least several more weeks, if not through the summer or beyond.  Stay sharp.  Markets like this don’t happen every day, though it feels right now like it will never end.

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgement.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

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Jim Fredrickson

Jim Fredrickson

Jim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail.

  • user

    AUTHOR jedadoo

    Posted on 7:49 am May 5, 2017.

    Thanks for the update! I was holding dash for the next jump but just isn’t happening…

  • user

    AUTHOR tadej

    Posted on 7:53 am May 5, 2017.

    Out of the last three where will you put your money in ? Is this XRP growth sustainable, last time we had a really sharp correction. Where do you recommend to exit on XPR (short term).


    • user

      AUTHOR Jim Fredrickson

      Posted on 11:19 pm May 5, 2017.

      A correction was overdue, but i remain bullish on XRP. i’m expecting .25 is coming. we will see.

  • user

    AUTHOR excesstomcat1

    Posted on 10:26 am May 5, 2017.

    Hey Jim, great article. Could maybe explain some more about xrp in the future. I believe it will go up as you said though I am worried about sharp corrections. Could you maybe explain why this happens and what to look for so those who are invested in it can be on the look-out for sell signals?

    • user

      AUTHOR Jim Fredrickson

      Posted on 11:22 pm May 5, 2017.

      Corrections occur in large part because early buyers have made a ton of money (on paper) but need to sell in order to see the profits ‘made real’. So after a huge run like this, those who are sitting on a huge gain are very nervous that their profits will disappear, and want to be the first to sell. There is also the issue of leverage and margin calls, but that’s a different fear.

  • user

    AUTHOR moises_benzaquen

    Posted on 10:59 am May 5, 2017.

    Jim ! where do you see or target LTC in the coming days ? (knowing segwit is almost active).

    Thank you !

  • user

    AUTHOR lcumiskey

    Posted on 5:07 am May 9, 2017.

    Jim! What’s your target for XRP by Christmas this year?

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