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Analysis

Analysis of Ethereum, Bitcoin, Monero, Zcash, Litecoin & Ripple

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Ethereum

Ethereum continues to drift downwards as it bounces off 2nd arc support. It still paints a (relatively) bullish long-term picture, because it is on the sunny side of the arc pair, and above the 1×1 Gann angle (blue 45 degree line).

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My guess at the present is that this will continue for a couple more days until it hits the 1×1 line at ~ $38. If so, IMHO it will be a good buy. However, if it should close below that point, that would be quite bearish. So, that would be a good place to put a stop loss, (imho).

Litecoin

Litecoin’s chart is a thing of beauty. It responded to the setup like Ginger Rogers in the arms of Fred Astaire. Note hos that advance was largely contained by the 4×1 and 5×1 Gann angles. The correction was (so far) contained by the 2nd arc support.  It seems that there is still a day or two to wait for this coin to finish correcting.

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My expectation is that 2nd arc support will continue to hold, but since we never know for sure, a stop loss below the arc might be a wise move.

Bitcoin

In our last column we noted that it was an energy day for bitcoin. Price was sitting below the 1st arc pair and I suggested caution. However, the coin took that energy and burst convincingly through the resistance. While the 2nd arc pair is at $1250, my guess is that a better profit target is the 3rd arc pair at $1440.

Monero

Monero has been trading sideways for a while now. Looking at the bear setup, which seems to be in control, my guess is that there is still a few days of sideways to down movement to contend with. I imagine I speak for all traders when I say that I hate trading sideways markets. Traders get eaten alive if they get caught up in that. In the event of a selloff to ~$17 the 3rd arc pair will be hit, and that might be a good buying opportunity.

Zcash

As mentioned in an earlier column a few days back, Z cash (ZECUSD) is my favorite trade right now. On both long and short term time-frames pricetime has closed above resistance.

As you can see, there are 2 setups in this chart. There is a large 2nd arc (green) that price has just closed above, and also, a smaller, shorter-term setup wherein price just closed above the 1st arc. I have a feeling that this market will go quickly to triple digits. We will see.

Ripple

Ripple is my 2nd most favorite coin at this time. It has broken through short term resistance, and is very close to longer term resistance. I would not be at all surprised if we see a test of the ATH in the next week.

Remember: The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgement. Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Important: Never invest money you can't afford to lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here.



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9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. DamonEvans

    April 8, 2017 at 1:32 pm

    Thanks for the technical analysis. It would be great if we could also have a primer on each crypto coin. What are they about? Why would there be demand for them? Will they still be around in two years etc? While I’m familiar with Bitcoin it would be interesting to hear hacked.com’s thoughts about the alt coins

    • Jim Fredrickson

      April 9, 2017 at 1:27 am

      That would be an interesting article, though I am not the person to write it. My understanding of the technical aspects is sparse. I do however believe they represent the great hope of humankind; to free us from the endless cycle of debt and servitude which fiat currencies have imposed on us in our ignorance.

  2. And

    April 8, 2017 at 5:52 pm

    Thanks Jim!

    • Jim Fredrickson

      April 9, 2017 at 1:28 am

      You are quite welcome. 🙂

  3. parmmd

    April 9, 2017 at 12:02 pm

    What stop would you recommend for Zcash since it has crossed 70 now? Thanks.

  4. lake.landonb

    April 9, 2017 at 1:24 pm

    Man you rock! Glad I subscribed when I did. This article hooked me up

  5. [email protected]

    April 9, 2017 at 11:39 pm

    Hello Jim,

    Can I enter the Zcash now since it’s back from 72 and now trading in the range of 63 since 4 hrs again?

  6. Jim Fredrickson

    April 10, 2017 at 1:36 am

    I remain very bullish on Zcash, ripple and a host of other coins. This week looks like it will be very exciting for crypto traders.

  7. [email protected]

    April 10, 2017 at 2:00 am

    Thanks a lot Jim. You are awesome.

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Analysis

Cryptocurrency Analysis: Ripple Continues Rampage as Litecoin and Ethereum Enter Correction

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Ripple remained in the center of attention in the segment after breaking out to a new all-time high yesterday, and the coin almost doubled in value, climbing above the $0.80 level. The currency concluded a 6-month long consolidation pattern with the move after being the only major on a long-term buy signal in our trend model.

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XRP gave a short-term sell signal today, while turning neutral regarding the long-term setup. Investors now shouldn’t add to their positions, although further gains are still possible, and reducing holdings somewhat is a good idea here. Major support is still found at the prior high near $0.4250 and in the $0.30-$0.32 range.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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While Bitcoin stagnated, and Bitcoin Cash jumped, Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash, and IOTA has been drifting slightly lower, although the recent gains are still mostly intact, and the basic setup in the segment is unchanged.

Litecoin fell below the $300 level after yesterday’s consolidation, and the coin faced strong selling pressure in the latter half of the session. The currency remains extremely stretched regarding the long-term momentum indicators, and although the short-term uptrend is still intact, a deeper correction is likely in the coming weeks, with key support levels found at $125 and $100, and weaker levels at $260 and $170.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Analysis

Daily Analysis: Dollar Falls, Gold Jumps after Yellen’s Final Move

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Wednesday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2668 -0.02%
DAX 13125 -0.45%
WTI Crude Oil 56.65 -0.68%
GOLD 1258.00 1.35%
Bitcoin 16,100 -6.32%
EUR/USD 1.1842 0.73%

The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates as expected today, and although the central bank’s monetary statement was slightly more hawkish than expected, the market’s reaction didn’t reflect the much-anticipated move. The worse than expected Core CPI reading that underlined the low-inflation narrative weighed on the recently strong Greenback, while stocks were unchanged after decision and bonds gained ground as yields retreated.

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EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The major indices are hovering near their all-time highs with the DOW leading the way higher, hitting a new record for the second day in a row. While volatility Is expected to remain low as we approach the end of the year, market internals and valuation levels are still concerning from a long-term perspective, and stocks outside the US are also negatively diverging. The action in crude oil could be slightly more interesting as the commodity is starting to act in a slightly bearish manner after a grinding multi-month rally.

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WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Brexit process is still in the center of attention in Europe, although volatility took a nosedive on the old continent as well, and it’s unlikely that the Christmas period will be much different, given the predictable drop in volumes and trading activity. The date of the next election in the financially and politically troubled Italy has been set to March 4th next year, and the early date caused some turmoil in the countries assets, which dragged the Euro Stoxx 50 lower today, together with the DAX and the other major indices.

Cryptocurrencies

As the total market cap of the crypto-market crossed the incredible $500 billion mark, Ripple, NEO, and Ethereum made headlines with lofty gains in the face of the severely overbought readings elsewhere in the segment. While XRP and NEO are still not overbought from an investment perspective, Ethereum reached our final target for its break-out and triggered a long-term sell signal.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The previously surging IOTA continued its correction, Litecoin consolidated in a relatively narrow range, while Dash, ETC, and Monero scored marginal new highs before turning lower together with BTC. The most valuable coin that has lost some of its momentum “mojo” in recent days fell back below last week’s highs, and that could mark a failed break-out and a start of the deeper correction that seems more and more likely.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Key Economic Releases on Wednesday

Time, CET Country Release Actual Expected Previous
11:30 UK Average Earnings 2.5% 2.5% 2.3%
11:30 UK Claimant Count Change 5,900 3,300 6,500
11:30 UK Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.2% 4.35
15:30 US Core CPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
15:30 US Crude Oil Inventories -5.1 mill -3.6 mill -5.6 mill
21:00 US Fed Rate Decision 1.5% 1.5% 1.25%
21:00 US FOMC Statement

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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Volatility on the Rise Again, as Ripple and Ethereum Hit Targets

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Ripple has been the star of today’s session in the cryptocurrency segment, as the only major coin on a long-term buy signal in our trend model continued yesterday’s break-out, and surged to a new all-time high. The currency cleared the $0.425 level that marked the top in May, and after the more than 6-month long consolidation phase, it promptly neared the $0.50 level.

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While the short-term momentum indicators are now stretched, the coin is still in an encouraging long-term setup, although the best period to buy already passed. The coin could be dragged lower in the case of the expected broad correction in the segment, but we expect XRP to outperform in the coming period, with support levels found at the prior high and below that in the range between $0.30-$0.32.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Ethereum has been the other top coin on the rise, as the second largest digital currency surged past the final range projection target of the break-out two weeks ago at $685 in the aftermath of the launch of the BTC futures on Monday. The ETH token is now also on a sell signal on all time-frames, and we advise investors and investors to wait for the next major correction to establish new positions. Support levels are now found at $575, $500, $480, and $400.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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