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Analysis: Bitcoin Energy Point is Today (+ Litecoin, Ethereum, Augur, Monero, Zcash & Ripple)

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin

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Bitcoin has been rallying for what seems like forever, but there is a fairly significant set of resistances in the chart that will likely be reached today or tomorrow.  A long-term 5th arc (black) and shorter-term arcs (the green 2nd arc will likely yield, but the next two will likely have a lot of stopping power, especially the last one.  The 3rd arc and 5th arcs intersect exactly at energy point.  Energy point is TODAY.  Likely not a coincidence.

Ethereum Classic

Ethereum Classic has had a decent rally, we now have a target of  ~ $8.5

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Ethereum

Last time we took a close look at ETH it was bouncing off support at 90.  Wow – what a difference a day makes.  Traders should take some profits soon.  IMHO this vertical rally will not last much longer.

Litecoin

This coin has been a bit of a disappointment. It rallied where expected, but the rally has so far been very weak.  Support is likely to be found at the 1×1 angle (highlighted).

Augur

REP has been moving sideways a long time, but it is reaching both the end of the setup and an energy point.  Watch it carefully…

Monero

XMR has rallied back to its high of several weeks ago. If it can close above the arc, the 3rd arc will be the next target at ~$34.

Ripple

Ripple fell to the top of square, indicated by the arrow, exactly on the end of the square.  That was likely a good buying opportunity, as I tweeted at the time.

Zcash

ZEC is currently trading within a 2nd arc pair.  If/when it can close above the arc, a next target will be ~ $115.

Remember:  The author is a trader who is subject to all manner of error in judgment.  Do your own research, and be prepared to take full responsibility for your own trades.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 1 rated postsJim has an MBA from the University of Southern California. He has had a long career in both Corporate Finance and IT. Along the way he discovered that trading was a vehicle with great promise, but struggled for a long time without a mentor. After having been knocked down many times and having struggled to get back up, he had an epiphany and realized that geometry was a solution. He shares his experience here. If you do well as a result of suggestions made here, feel free to say thank you :) BTC: 1FUq3GB1Q8zz2JpuBr7YHzVBKnaWoxgmya Follow him on Twitter (@jimfred1276) or email him at jimfred1276 at gmail.




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23 Comments

23 Comments

  1. ridesisapis

    May 20, 2017 at 11:06 am

    shouldn’t we hear buy signal for ETH as of yesterday? it was extremely painful, especially for newbies watching the graph as last articles has suggested “i would not buy this yet” and than wait for “104$” price target without immediate reaction from here

  2. majykman

    May 20, 2017 at 11:08 am

    What chart do you use/ where do you get them with this view? Thanks

  3. ridesisapis

    May 20, 2017 at 11:15 am

    are these bad news for ones who invested in ETH at yesterday’s top ~139 “IMHO this vertical rally will not last much longer” and LTC “This coin has been a bit of a disappointment” ? I really think that “staying sharp in todays market” was worth of a post here yesterday, don’t take me wrong

  4. ridesisapis

    May 20, 2017 at 11:16 am

    ~130$ sorry, anyway thanks for your posts and analysis, this things happen

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 12:34 pm

      $130 was given as a target for eth last week, I believe. It got to $129… As for LTC, it will likely do well in the not-distant future for those with a bit of patience.

      We all hate buying tops and selling bottoms, but we all do it from time to time. Me too.

      My columns here are not meant to dispense specific exit/entry points. There are too many markets for me to cover them all adequately. This is essentially a blog right? Also, I don’t know what readers trading objectives or timeframes are. Some trade 5 minute charts, some trade weekly charts.

      I will likely launch a new service in the not-distant future that will offer additional services for those who want/need more specific trading tips than are possible in a blog format.

      Follow me on twitter for now…

      • ridesisapis

        May 20, 2017 at 2:53 pm

        alright, many thanks for your response

  5. tja

    May 20, 2017 at 11:30 am

    Hi Jim,
    I’m new to this. Can you tell me, what an energy point means? What should I do, if it reaches an energy point? Thank you

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 12:36 pm

      Energy point is just a time when something is likely to happen. Think of it like a full moon or a fibonacci extension in time. Just a time-frame to be alert to a trading opportunity that might develop.

  6. Skidoo850

    May 20, 2017 at 11:45 am

    How do you think Ripple will go over the next few weeks?

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 12:37 pm

      A new rally seems to have begun. Likely will make a new ATH, then correct hard. We will see…

  7. parmmd

    May 20, 2017 at 1:26 pm

    Hello. Thanks for your insight. Any comments on stellar lumens ? Whats a good price objective.?

    Thanks

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 1:45 pm

      I like Stellar. I am surprised it has been so quiet. It will wake up soon I imagine. Target of
      .085 seems reasonable to me.

  8. mzvyga

    May 20, 2017 at 1:35 pm

    Привет Jim , спасибо за твои публикации!!! они реально помогают зарабатывать.
    Ты делаешь большое дело и Бог наградит тебя своей благодатью))) ты делаешь счастливыми людей и эти эмоции и радость снисходят на тебя! Большое спасибо!!!!
    Thank you very much my friend!

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 2:37 pm

      Thank you for the kind words 🙂

  9. Iggy1994

    May 20, 2017 at 6:14 pm

    JIm, I made a mistake and purchased a bunch of BCN (Bytecoin) couple days when the market was up 280%, since next day it plunged to -40% but since has been slowly recovering and is now at +5%. should i hold?

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 20, 2017 at 11:43 pm

      Bytecoin is not traded at kraken, so I don’t actively follow it. But I did a quick and dirty look at BCNXBT. While it is clear you bought a top, it also seems likely that if you can afford to hold it for awhile you will get your money back, and then some. May take a bit of time, but we aren’t talking years – weeks more likely.

  10. D1DT

    May 20, 2017 at 7:08 pm

    Great analysis as always Jim! (And great to hear you are considering a new/additional service) 😉

  11. thoth

    May 21, 2017 at 6:22 am

    Ewww

    I was trading loads of ETH between that .047-.051 only to move to LTC around .0135…

    Worked out well, Now I bag hold till next week or so in LTC

    LOL

  12. vishindia3006

    May 21, 2017 at 10:12 am

    Hey Jim. I’ve found your insights very helpful. Had a question. I have 0.6 btc. Should I trade it in any coin or keep it as such. My time frame is 3 months but can go longer. Currently I mainly have XRP and BTC and a few ETC, LTC, DCR, XEM and GNT. Please help. I don’t want to miss out on profits.

    • Jim Fredrickson

      May 22, 2017 at 1:31 am

      It’s an opinion question… IMHO 0.6 BTC has a better chance of doubling in the next 3 months in one of the altcoins. LTC, ETH, or XRP are all great longer term coins.

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Analysis

Daily Analysis: No Questions Answered

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Thursday Market Recap

Asset Current Value Daily Change
S&P 500 2718 0.97%
DAX 12,468 0.31%
WTI Crude Oil 62.61 2.02%
GOLD 1332.00 0.52%
Bitcoin 9780 -8.00%
EUR/USD 1.2324 0.26%

It was a strange day indeed in equity markets, with mixed signals popping up across the board after yesterday’s crazy quasi-FED day. An ugly overnight session, followed by a strong pre-market rally, an early-day pump, and a late-day dump. That is the summary of the day, but under the surface, there is a real struggle between market forces, with still an edge for bears in the battle for control.

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NASDAQ 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

It seems that the Nasdaq is still the key, as the relative strength of the tech benchmark is the most reliable gauge of the market direction, at least regarding the intraday trends. That said, at the end of the day, the Nasdaq closed in the red 4 times in a row, at least as far as the normal trading day is concerned, and still, the major indices are trading not far off last Friday’s top, despite the downward drift.

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Forex Markets and Commodities

Adding to the confusion, the Dollar corrected lower after a positive period, and with Treasury yields trading all over the place, investors were left scratching their heads yet again. The Japanese Yen was the clear winner of the day among currencies, as the primary safe-haven got bid heavily during the Asian session, and it remained throughout the up-and-downs of the day, despite the strong bounce in stocks and risk-on currencies.

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The EUR/USD pair had a very active and volatile session, but the common currency remained above the lows from two weeks ago, while also halting below yesterday’s highs, so all-in-all, no technical conclusion to draw. As in stocks, the next clear directional day will be crucial, as the tug of war is getting tenser and tenser.

EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Canadian Dollar plummeted during the day, thanks to the dismal Retail Sales figures, but it finished well off its lows, boosted by the stock recovery and the jump in the price of crude oil. The Black Gold was pushed higher by the surprisingly bullish US inventory data, and the WTI contract closed back above $62.50 per barrel.

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Gold continued to follow the Euro, finishing the day slightly higher, but the precious metal showed notable relative strength during the Asian session, and that could be the precursor of a move to new rally highs, should the bearish scenario play out in equities.

Cryptocurrencies

The segment had another bearish session, and the bleeding continued after the US session, with BTC leading the way lower this time around after a long period of relative strength. A crucial test might be ahead of the most valuable coin, as the $9000-$9200 support zone would be a perfect target for the current correction, to keep the uptrend going. That said, that zone is still almost 50% above the prior low, leaving plenty of room for the coin to bottom out.

BTC/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With all of the major altcoins also sporting significant losses, bulls would like to see more of the early relative strength that some coins have been showing, to establish a leadership that can guide the segment out of the plunge. For now, the crash lows are way below the current levels, and the bullish long-term scenario remains intact.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 109 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Technical Analysis: Correction Continues but Coins Remain Stable

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It’s been another mixed session for cryptocurrency investors as judging by only the price action, the segment suffered losses across the board, but comparing the current sell-off to the January plunge reveals that the majors are much more resilient this time around.

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The largest digital currencies are holding on to most of the gains of the recent weeks, and the price action near the crucial support zones is also encouraging. With all that said, the correction is not over yet, and further losses are still in the cards, but barring a substantial change in price action, the coins will likely continue the rally.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

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Bitcoin has been trading around the key $10,000 level all day long, and, so far, a clear break-down has been averted. The short-term momentum indicators are now in neutral territory regarding the most valuable coin, and that could mean that a bottom is close, and investors should already add to their holdings here. Further strong support is found between $9000 and $9200, while targets are ahead at $11,300, $13,000, and $14,250.

XMR/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Correlation between the majors has increased during the sell-off, but there are still clear outperformers and laggards, adding to the bullish case. Monero remains among the strongest coins from a technical perspective, trading right at the lower boundary of the bullish consolidation pattern, with the $280 price level holding up for now. The coin faces strong resistance near $300 and $335, but we expect the uptrend to continue with the next target being ahead at $400, while further support is found at $240.

(more…)

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 109 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Analysis

Pre-Market: Bulls Try to Fight Back after Ugly Overnight Session

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Following the steep late-day downturn on Wednesday, which followed the not-to-hawkish FED meeting minutes, Asian markets and US equity futures continued lower with a vengeance. The very active overnight trading is another sign of the regime change in traditional financial markets that we have been monitoring for the last two weeks, ever since the “Black Monday of 2018”.

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Dow Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EUR/USD Changing Behavior

The European session brought about an oversold bounce that stabilized markets from stocks to currencies. The EUR/USD pair that has started acting “normally” considering its relationship with US Treasury yields lately, is headed south once again, trading only 0.5% above its recent correction lows after clearly breaking below the rising trendline.

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EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The bull-trap that we identified a few days ago was the start of the current leg lower, and if the regime change will be persistent, the most traded forex pair could be back to the role of the “risk-on/risk-off” indicator that has been the privilege of commodity currencies in the last couple of weeks.

USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The Japanese Yen is showing notable strength after its overbought dip, and the primary safe-haven currency could be in for more gains, should the risk-selloff continue. The Yen also gained ground on the common European currency, following the dovish ECB meeting accounts and the misses in the German IFO business climate indicator and the British GDP, which all question the European growth-monetary tightening narrative.

Canadian Dollar in for a Wild Ride

USD/CAD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

With the Canadian retail sales report and the US crude oil inventory data coming out soon, forex traders should expect sizeable moves in the recently weak currency, while the USD should also be very active during the US stock market session.

All eyes are on Treasury yields again, with the slight correction today helping the bounce in stocks and other risk assets. The Nasdaq could be the motor of a stronger rally on Wall Street, but we wouldn’t bet the house on that, as the short-term technical setup remains bearish, and a re-test of the correction lows is still the most likely scenario for the coming weeks.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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