Trade Recommendation: NEO
On our August 29, 2018 trade recommendation, we anticipated NEO/Bitcoin (NEO/BTC) to breakout from the large falling wedge on the daily chart. We emphasized the importance of buying only after the pair generates volume of 1 million NEO units. Without heavy volume, the breakout would not look convincing to breakout traders and trend followers. Hence, there wouldn’t be enough momentum to ignite a massive rally.
Though NEO/BTC broke out from the falling wedge as expected on August 31, the volume it printed was way below our requirements. As a result, the breakout rally was short-lived since bottom fishers saw the low volume breakout as an opportunity to take profits. The selling drove the market down. Nevertheless, this gives us a chance to buy the bottom before NEO/BTC takes off.
Technical analysis shows that NEO/BTC is respecting the historical support of 0.00245. This view comes after the pair successfully completed the retest when it dropped to as low as 0.00239 on October 15 but bulls came to the rescue and lifted the market above the support. We watched NEO/BTC from that point to see if the support will hold. The confirmation came on October 18 when volume suddenly surged. This was a signal that participants are comfortable accumulating at this level.
More importantly, the daily RSI appears to have printed a new higher low at 32.6. This is an encouraging sign as it shows that participants are no longer waiting for extreme oversold readings before entering long positions.
The strategy is to buy as close to 0.00245 support as possible. As long as the market remains above this level, it has a very good chance to rally to our initial target of 0.0034 and then 0.0046.
The process may take more than a month.
Daily Chart of NEO/Bitcoin on Binance
As of this writing, the NEO/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.002574 on Binance.
Summary of Strategy
Buy: As close to 0.00245 support as possible.
Target: 0.0034 first and then 0.0046.
Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
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