Connect with us

Bitcoin

The Worst Could Be Over for Bitcoin Price amid Exhausted Bears

Published

on

While there may not be any glaring signs of a bitcoin turnaround in the market, the technical signals are suggesting that the worst of the selling pressure could be behind. Traders didn’t panic in response to the latest wave of bitcoin ETF disapprovals by the SEC, which is a  sign of resilience, but there’s more.

A Bloomberg report spotlights the technical signals, in particular, the GTI VERA Convergence Divergence Indicator, which is applied to identify “trend exhaustion” using MACD modified by GTI’s in-house Volatility Explosion Relatively Adjusted theory. The indicator reveals that the current trend for bitcoin is about to reverse course, taking the reins from the bears and placing them with the bulls. And if history is any teacher, this could be where the rally of 2018 begins.

Courtesy: Bloomberg

According to Bloomberg, GTI’s VERA Cvg Dvg indicator previously accurately predicted a trend reversal that was followed by a bitcoin rally of nearly 40% in the following weeks. Considering the bitcoin price has lost more than half its value year-to-date, with a current price of approximately $6,464, such a rally couldn’t come too soon.

Anecdotal Signs

The beginning of a trend reversal that triggers a rally in the bitcoin price one month from now coincides with the outlook provided by BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, who believes the buyers will emerge once the summer malaise has ended. Hayes accurately predicted in July when bitcoin was trading at approximately $7,500 that the price hadn’t yet bottomed.

Meanwhile, in today’s commentary, Mati Greenspan, eToro Senior Analyst and Hacked.com contributor, pointed to the scalability of the Bitcoin network, observing a “significant drop” in the number of unconfirmed transactions since the beginning of 2018. The reasons, he suggested, are two-pronged, comprised of a fewer number of transactions per second coupled with the integration of SegWit technology.

In November and December, the bitcoin blockchain became flooded by too many transactions as the miners weren’t able to confirm them in a timely manner. However, from the start of this year, that problem has completely vanished,” Greenspan said in the note.

In fact, the rise of SegWit adoption coincided with the decline of transactions on the Bitcoin network, and SegWit integration has picked up even as the bitcoin price has weakened, he pointed out. If the GTI VERA Cvg Dvg indicator is correct and a bitcoin trend reversal and rally are up ahead, a more scalable Bitcoin network couldn’t have come at a better time.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
1 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 51 vote, average: 5.00 out of 5 (1 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.6 stars on average, based on 70 rated postsGerelyn has been covering ICOs and the cryptocurrency market since mid-2017. She's also reported on fintech more broadly in addition to asset management, having previously specialized in institutional investing. She owns some BTC and ETH.




Feedback or Requests?

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Remains Motionless as Bulls, Bears Lack Confidence

Published

on

Bitcoin’s trading range continued to narrow on Tuesday, reflecting a lack of committal from the bulls and bears following the weekend pump-and-dump.

Lack of Direction

The bitcoin price fluctuated within a $60 range on Tuesday, according to data provider CoinMarketCap. At the time of writing, BTC/USD was averaging $3,588.94, where it was virtually unchanged compared to Monday. On individual exchanges, bitcoin fluctuated between $3,563 (HitBTC) and $3,627 (Bitfinex).

Trading volumes in the last 24 hours exceeded $5.1 billion, with derivatives platform BitMEX processing nearly 16% of the transactions. Bitcoin trading activity has witnessed a considerable uptick in South Korea, with BTC/KRW transactions climbing.

At current values, bitcoin has a total market capitalization of $62.8 billion, accounting for 52.5% of the entire crypto universe. The total cryptocurrency market was last valued at $119.7 billion.

Bitcoin experienced large fluctuations over the weekend, rising 4% on Saturday and falling nearly 3% on Sunday. Altcoins and tokens followed closely in its footsteps, a trend that has intensified during the bear market.

Longest Bear Market in History Looms

In less than one month, bitcoin will enter its longest bear market in history. As of Tuesday, the crypto bear market has lasted a whopping 396 days. The longest bear trend ever observed was in 2014-15, when it stretched on for 420 consecutive days.

Longest Bear Market in Crypto History?

The bitcoin price bottomed near $3,100 in December before staging a large rally into the new year. After climbing more than 30% from last month’s low, price action has been largely confined to the $3,500-$3,700 range.

Bitcoin’s posturing in the latter stages of the bear market underlies a significant lack of confidence among traders. This technical tug-of-war has made it difficult to gauge the future trajectory of bitcoin and, by extension, the broader cryptocurrency market. The fundamental issue for many traders is determining whether bitcoin has reached a definitive bottom or whether prices will come barrelling down again. A longer historical track record makes technical analysis more trustworthy than in the past, but in the case of bitcoin, uncertainty around regulation and mainstream adoption make purely technical indicators insufficient in analyzing the market.

To that end, markets are setting their sights on the February deadline for the VanEck SolidX Bitcoin Trust, a highly-touted bitcoin ETF that could hasten crypto adoption among retail investors. Cryptocurrency advocate and CBNC contributor Brian Kelly believes there is virtually no chance that the SEC approves the ETF in question. In his view, a bitcoin ETF is at least a year away. This view is fairly consistent across the board, though many in the financial community believe a bitcoin ETF is only a question of when and not if.

More on the crypto ETF debate: Crypto Markets Get a Boost Heading Into the Weekend as Debate Over Bitcoin ETF Intensifies.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Analysis

Crypto Update: Coins Settle Down After Weekend Pump & Dump

Published

on

While crypto bulls had something to cheer about early on during the weekend following a rally attempt in the majors, the move once again failed to improve the technical setup in the segment, and the top coins quickly gave back their gains. Now, most of the coins are trading near the bottom of their short-term ranges and technicals continue to point to the continuation of the bear market.

Correlations are still very high, there is no sign of a developing bullish leadership, and with none of the key coins showing bullish momentum, bulls are facing strong headwinds. While trading volumes and volatility remain relatively low thanks to the range-trading environment a move below primary support could trigger larger moves in the majors soon.

The negative long-term trends are still in no danger, and although there is still a slight chance of a failed break-down pattern to develop in the market, odds favor a bearish short-term outcome as well. With that in mind, traders and investors still shouldn’t enter positions here, with our trend model being on sell signals on both time-frames in the case of the majority of the coins.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Although Bitcoin is still relatively stable compared to its most important peers, it gave back all of its weekend gains and fell back below the key $3600 support/resistance level yesterday. Now, BTC is threatening with a break-down below the prior sing low, and given the recent weakness, our trned model is now on a short-term sell signal.

While bulls could still be saved by a move above $3850, the failed rally attempts warn of selling pressure, and a bearish continuation is more likely here. Further strong resistance is ahead between $4000 and $4050, with support zones still found near $3250 and $3000, and traders should still not enter positions.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum shoed relative weakness during the rally attempt this weekend, and it is now very close to a break below the key swing low, which would likely lead to a move towards the key support zone between $95 and $100. The coin remains on sell single son both time-frames, and with a test of the bear market low near the $80 price level seems likely in the coming weeks.

Strong resistance is ahead just above the current price level and near $130, with further zones at $145, $160, and near $180 while a weak short-term support is found near $112, and the coin’s weakness is a negative sign for the whole segment.

Altcoins Still Weak Despite Rally Attempt

STR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

While none of the major altcoins broke the key short-term support levels, the overall picture remains bearish and we haven’t seen signs of resilience that would indicate a short-term bottom and the resumption of the counter-trend move.

Stellar, which has been among the bearish leaders towards the end of 2018, is once again showing relative weakness while following the trends in the broader market, should the coin violate the $0.10 level, a quick to new bear market lows would be likely, with the $0.09 level being the only lone of defense for bulls.

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple still seems very fragile from a technical standpoint, and a move below $0.30 looks inevitable in the coming weeks, with a likely test of the bear market low near $0.28. The $32 support/resistance level remains in focus, but given the weak rally attempts and the bearish long-term setup, we don’t expect the coin to get back to the $0.3550 level in the coming period.

Our trend model is still on sell signals on both time-frames, with further strong support found near the $0.26 level, with resistance ahead near $0.3750, and in the key long-term zone between $0.42 and $0.46.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Litecoin is back near the key $30-$30.50 support zone after the volatile weekend, and it also looks ready to dip below that zone, even as the short-term trading range is still intact. The steep long-term downtrend is intact despite the recent counter-trend move, and traders and investors shouldn’t enter positions here, with the short-term setup also being bearish. Strong resistance is ahead near $34.50, $38, and $44 with further support found near $26 and $23.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 52 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5 (2 votes, average: 5.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 445 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Turns Defensive Following Sunday Slide; Binance Euro Platform Sees “Huge” Demand Amid Brexit

Published

on

Bitcoin traded within a narrow range on Monday, after a sharp and sudden reversal during the previous session dragged prices back toward $3,500. The largest digital currency by market capitalization faces renewed headwinds in the wake of yet another failed attempt to break through the $3,700-$3,800 range.

BTC/USD Update

The bitcoin price slipped 0.4% on Monday to $3,581.16, according to aggregate data provided by CoinMarketCap. Bitcoin fell 4% on Sunday in the span of an hour, where it briefly pierced below $3,550. During the previous session, BTC had gained 2.5% as part of a broad market rally that included altcoins and tokens.

The following chart highlights bitcoin’s present value via Bitstamp. Weak momentum via the MACD can be clearly observed.

A sustained drop below $3,550 would spell trouble for bitcoin, as it would mean the loss of a long-term vital support. This would likely lead to an imminent drop to the $3,400 region and, possibly, a re-test of the December low near $3,100. Another possible scenario is a bounce off $3,400, which would keep prices very much rangebound.

Trading in BTC has picked up sharply since the beginning of the year, with daily volumes climbing above $5 billion. Over the last 24 hours, more than $5 billion worth of BTC traded hands on virtual currency exchanges. BitMEX continues to be the largest by overall volume, though its share has declined after it announced the closure of U.S.-based accounts.

Bitcoin’s Price Recovery Stalls as BitMEX Shuts Down U.S. Accounts.

Bitcoin’s market cap is currently valued at $62.6 billion, which represents 52.4% of the overall crypto universe. Its share has steadily increased during the bear market as interest in altcoins and tokens continued to diminish.

Europe and the Future of Crypto

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance has shined the spotlight on the European region after the company announced it would expand its fiat-to-crypto offerings to the region. The leading exchange will service the region through the Island of Jersey, a self-governing entity of the United Kingdom. The Binance Jersey platform will allow traders to buy bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies through traditional fiat channels like the euro and British pound.

Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, said the new exchange is “overwhelmed with registrations.” As Forbes recently noted, the strong demand for crypto trading comes at a time of heightened uncertainty regarding Brexit. That uncertainty has not only roiled traditional financial markets, it has cast a dark shadow over London’s role as a traditional banking hub.

Although bitcoin and Brexit aren’t directly linked, cryptocurrency regulation in Europe is likely to crystalize this year. It remains to be seen whether this will serve as an added draw for investors to diversify into digital assets as a store of value should Brexit implode.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 50 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5 (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)
You need to be a registered member to rate this.
Loading...

4.7 stars on average, based on 743 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




Feedback or Requests?

Continue Reading

Recent Posts

A part of CCN

Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased

Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com.

Trending