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Cryptocurrency Investing: What is a Healthy Portfolio and Where Does Bitcoin Stand

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Over the past 12 months, year-to-date, bitcoin has fallen behind Ripple, Litecoin, and Ethereum in terms of price growth.

Bitcoin’s Year-to-Date Return

Bitcoin still has recorded a massive price increase of 14-fold, from $1,000 to $14,000. But, other cryptocurrencies in the market such as Ripple have recorded a staggering 163.5-fold increase in value. Merely a $1,000 dollar investment in Ripple in the beginning of 2017 would have led to a profit of $162,500, while an investment in bitcoin would have led to $14,000.

Yearly bitcoin price growth provided by Coinbase

The top three cryptocurrencies in the market bitcoin, Ethereum, and Bitcoin Cash have less potential to increase by large margins in comparison to cryptocurrencies with market valuations of less than $10 billion. Unless the entire cryptocurrency market surges exponentially and the valuation of the market grows to many trillions of dollars by the end of 2018, in the short-term, it is unlikely that leading cryptocurrencies including bitcoin, Ethereum, and Bitcoin Cash will record an astronomical surge in value, by more than 100-fold.

Billionaire hedge fund investor Mike Novogratz, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, and highly respected financial analyst Max Keiser have established an interim price target of bitcoin at around $50,000, which would place the market valuation of bitcoin at $1 billion. Solely in terms of price growth, a $50,000 target would be a 3.5-fold increase in value over a 12-month period.

Consequently, many investors in the market have started to diversify their investments into other cryptocurrencies, and the trend has been evident in the decline of the dominance index of bitcoin. Three cryptocurrencies at the top of the market are considered as reserve assets or safe haven assets. They have low risk but low returns. That is, a low return relative to other cryptocurrencies in the market. Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, and Ethereum have drastically outperformed all of the currencies and assets in the traditional finance sector year-to-date.

Investors like CNBC analyst Brian Kelly and cryptocurrency-focused hedge funds spread out their funds across many cryptocurrencies with strong technologies, active developer communities, solid markets, and applicability.

John McAfee for instance, has emphasized the necessity of private or anonymous cryptocurrencies like Dash, Monero, and Zcash, as in the future, more investors will seek out for cryptocurrencies that are capable of providing a high level of confidentiality.

Combination of Low-Risk and High-Risk Cryptocurrencies

A healthy portfolio of cryptocurrencies would be a certain amount of funds spread across both strong low-risk cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, Ethereum, and Bitcoin Cash, and high-risk cryptocurrencies with lower market caps like Monero, Zcash, and Dash.

Squeeze, a prominent cryptocurrency trader, noted that price is not an accurate representation of the size of a cryptocurrency. Rather, investors should consider the market valuation of a cryptocurrency to decide its potential and space to grow.

“For new investors in crypto, think in market cap. Not price per coin. Market cap gives an estimate of the potential growth. Price per coin doesn’t mean anything as the supply for each altcoin differs $0.1 per coin doesn’t mean it’s cheap $100 per coin doesn’t mean it’s expensive,” said Squeeze.

An example of a high market cap but low price cryptocurrency is Ripple. The market valuation of Ripple is at nearly $40 billion but its cryptocurrency remains at $1. Meanwhile, Dash, Litecoin, and Monero have tokens valued at more than $300. Yet, their market valuations are substantially lower than that of Ripple.

For investors and bitcoin holders that have seen significant returns over the past few years, diversifying funds across unique and potent cryptocurrencies could lead to better returns in the short-term.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.4 stars on average, based on 3 rated postsJoseph Young is a finance and tech journalist based in Hong Kong. He has worked with leading media and news agencies in the technology and finance industries, offering exclusive content, interviews, insights and analysis of cryptocurrencies, innovative and futuristic technologies.




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7 Comments

  1. tgsmikema

    December 25, 2017 at 11:21 pm

    established an interim price target of bitcoin at around $50,000, which would place the market valuation of bitcoin at $1 billion.

    you mean $1 Trillion??

    • Joseph Young

      December 25, 2017 at 11:28 pm

      Very careless error. I apologize about that. Yes, that would be $1 trillion. Thank you for pointing that out.

  2. scottolson

    December 26, 2017 at 1:42 am

    Could you please present the best tech-advanced(trustful & experienced team with BG, and low market cap as well) crypto’s portfolio you consider of having a huge potential in near future? Or may be point out some cryptos that will have a huge growth in 2018, but underestimated at the moment(Exept BTC,BCH, DASH etc) Not certain but some throughs of pro.

  3. idm2000

    December 26, 2017 at 2:30 am

    xrp

  4. MinerMatt17

    December 26, 2017 at 5:38 am

    So there is no real detail in this article about what a portfolio should look like. The title seems a little misleading to say the least.

    • HardyEsterhuizen

      December 27, 2017 at 11:57 am

      Well, it does make the broad point that growth rates in BTC and the majors are possibly not going to be as spectacular as some of the lower market cap coins if they gain share. So it kind of does indicate that you should consider diversifying into lower market cap coins that show promise. What percentage should be BTC vs alts is up to your appetite for risk, or your level of research and confidence in whatever alts you feel are worthwhile.

      • MinerMatt17

        December 27, 2017 at 5:41 pm

        So in other words, it doesn’t tell you what a healthy portfolio should look like, even though that Is the title of the article….

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Why Investors Should Pay Attention to Chainlink

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The blockchain industry is still very much in its early stages, and is seen as “the disruptor” to banks and many other industries. But that doesn’t mean there can’t be disruptors within the industry. Companies that pop up and begin to threaten incumbents in a certain space.

The last few days have shown that exact event occurring with a relative unknown called Chainlink. A few positive announcements have catapulted them up onto the map within the oracle space, and it is unclear where this will take them in the future.

What is a Blockchain Oracle?

Smart contracts are incredibly effective and novel ways of handling automation and decision-making, but they currently live inside the “walled garden” of their own ecosystem. We have discussed companies that connect different blockchains, as well as companies that use blockchain to connect real world assets, but there is also a need to connect data external to the blockchain.

The term oracle comes from Ancient Greek mythology where people didn’t have enough information to make decisions and would go to oracles for additional inputs. This is exactly what “oracles” aim to do. Connecting Dapps and APIs is just the beginning of the power of oracles.

Bitcoin and Ethereum operate in a form of isolation, with no connection to information outside of their respective chains. This makes validating conditions of smart contracts very difficult. Ideally, an oracle would be able to translate outside information into terms that Dapps could understand, thus triggering (or not triggering) the smart contract.

The idea is that much like Coinbase acts as a gateway for a large amount of the funds going into the blockchain ecosystem, one company would likely be able to become the gateway for much of the information flowing into the ecosystem.

Chainlink as a Competitor

Ever since people realized there was massive potential for whoever could figure out how to bring information like price changes, payments, or even something as innocent as temperature into the blockchain, more companies have been working on solving this problem. Oraclize has long been seen as the frontrunner within the industry, with other behemoths like IBM and Microsoft throwing their hats in the ring as well.

Chainlink was late to the game, but has made significant progress in the time they’ve been going after market share. With high profile partnerships including SWIFT payments, IC3, and Gartner, they are hardly an unknown anymore.

Their coin, LINK, is what is used to pay for an Oracle (or a node) to provide data. The services offered include certification, validation, and reputation services, all with the goals o f enforcing the overall integrity of the networks’ Oracles. Historically, Chainlink has been weak on the connection from and aims to let their technology do the talking. Right now, their mainnet is not yet live, and it still isn’t’t clear when it will be released. For this reason, the only way to really judge how they are doing is based on their partnerships and their listings.

Chainlink’s Recent Performance

In the last few weeks, we have seen Chainlink climb up the rankings to enter the top 20 ERC-20 tokens in terms of market capitalization. Up a wild 23.8% in just the last week, this is due to a combination of a few pieces of news. First, Bithumb announced that LINK would be listed on their exchange. Then, Chainlink announced a partnership with Gamedex where they would translate professional sports match results into the Dapp.

These few pieces of information alone don’t mean much, but there is often a momentum play that can be made as a company comes out of obscurity. Being in the top 20 of market capitalizations is a good tell.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Cryptocurrency Market Gives Back Most of Last Week’s Gain; XRP Plunges

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The cryptocurrency market extended its slide on Tuesday, with XRP’s double-digit drop leading the decline as sellers regained the upper hand following weekend consolidation.

Market Update

The combined value of all cryptocurrencies fell by another $10 billion on Tuesday to $207.5 billion, the lowest in five days. The selloff was accompanied by a slight pick-up in trading volumes with total market turnover reaching $14.2 billion.

XRP was by far the biggest decliner, falling 15.2% to $0.452. The third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is down 34% from recent peak levels.

Ethereum also fell hard on Tuesday, shedding 9.1% to $212. EOS also declined 9.1% to $5.18. Meanwhile, bitcoin cash was off 5.5% at $441.

Compared with altcoins and tokens, bitcoin’s price action was more subdued. BTC declined 3% to $6,426 but saw its market share climb to 53.6%. Bitcoin’s dominance rate recently fell to its lowest in almost six weeks.

Struggling for Momentum

The Tuesday selloff was an extension of early-week volatility that saw coin values decline by more than $10 billion. Since peaking slightly above $230 billion last week, cryptoassets have lost $23 billion in combined value.

The sudden and sharp reversal wasn’t entirely unexpected. XRP faced extremely overbought conditions after prices more than tripled last week. Investors’ euphoria stemmed from a trio of announcements involving XRP’s parent company, Ripple Labs, which pointed to wider mainstream adoption of blockchain technology and cryptocurrency.

XRP’s massive gains fueled optimism that other comparable projects would soon follow suit. Stellar XLM, another high-profile blockchain project, surged last week amid news it had acquired Chain, a San Francisco-based startup. Stellar’s commercial arm and the newly acquired Chain formed a new company called Interstellar.

For all the positive developments underway in the blockchain arena, cryptocurrencies remain firmly entrenched in a long-term bear market. This is unlikely to change in the near future as capital flows into ICOs dry up and leading projects like Ethereum address their litany of issues.

As Hacked reported last month, the cryptocurrency market appears to be undergoing a paradigm shift as low-quality coins embark on a mass extinction event. Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin once predicted that 90% of tokens listed on CoinMarketCap will go to zero. Presently, there are 1,993 projects listed on CoinMarketCap. Among them, 1,593 have a market cap higher than zero.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 613 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Crypto Exchanges: Looking For Guaranteed Results

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The word guaranteed is never to be used anywhere investment advice is offered.  So please think of my use of the term as just one person’s opinion. But after doing some weekend reading, I think there should be a way to achieve extraordinary gains that are virtually assured for a very long time.

Back in the glory days of the dotcom period the wisdom of the time was simply stated: invest in the plumbing. That included names like Cisco and Intel.  These were the folks that facilitated high speed traffic on the Internet. Even after the dotcom bubble burst, the plumbers continued to rake in the dough.

Fast forward to 2018, why should we not follow the same logic? Please don’t ask why I didn’t ask this question long ago. Here is what caught my attention.

There is a new study out prepared by The Status Group that makes some incredible projections for the immediate future.  Here are their headline making forecasts.

  • We expect crypto trading volume growth of +50% through 2019, and a 9% CAGR through 2028
  • Crypto trading volume is set to overtake U.S. Corporate Debt trading volume this year, and is on track to be ~10% of U.S. Equity trading volume
  • We estimate exchange trading fee growth of 50%+ this year, from $2.1B last year to well over $3B in 2018
  • The top 20 exchanges account for over 75% of total crypto market trading volume
  • BTC is the base pair for ~1/3 of global crypto volume, USDT 22%, ETH 12%

Always Be Cautious of Forecasts

With no disrespect meant, are the forecasters at The Status Group really serious?  Well, 2019 isn’t that far off so we will know soon enough. But the point is, how do we get involved in the growth of trading rather than pure speculation on crypto prices?

Take the case of the two largest players: Bitmex and Binance.  Over the past 30 days, the two exchanges have traded over $125 billion in value.  That is just in the last month or $1.5 trillion annually. This is only the top two.  If the five largest were included, the monthly total rapidly approaches $200 billion.

Bitmex stands out from a recent article titled: Bitmex Co-Founder is the Youngest British Self-Made Billionaire. Brilliant ideas and hard work deserve and that is why Ben Delo, Samuel Reed and Arthur Hayes are billionaires. But try to buy into Bitmex, good luck.

But there is #2 Binance (BNB) whose token can be traded on the Binance exchange. According to ICOMarks, the market cap of BNB is just a little over $1.1 billion. Back in January, BNB reached $22 but has since tumbled to just $10 -marking a drop of roughly 60%.

Putting that into perspective, that is just a bit less than the average crypto has done this year. But before you doze off, consider this. Changpeng Zhao, BNB founder, just reported second quarter profits of $200 million.  That amounts to 2,757% over the $7.5 million earned in the first quarter.

In other words, BNB’s market cap is equal to just five times the profits in the first six months. If BNB were listed on the New York Stock Exchange and received an average valuation, it would sell for about 23 times earnings.  There may be many reasons why the value of BNB is so low but if it continues to generate such sizable profits, somebody is going to take notice.

As we noted, there are probably lots of reasons why the asset value has fallen nearly as much as the average crypto this year.  This is where I would love to hear from you. Just like back in the post dotcom days, the plumbing companies made the most money.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 107 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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