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Crypto Exchanges: Looking For Guaranteed Results

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The word guaranteed is never to be used anywhere investment advice is offered.  So please think of my use of the term as just one person’s opinion. But after doing some weekend reading, I think there should be a way to achieve extraordinary gains that are virtually assured for a very long time.

Back in the glory days of the dotcom period the wisdom of the time was simply stated: invest in the plumbing. That included names like Cisco and Intel.  These were the folks that facilitated high speed traffic on the Internet. Even after the dotcom bubble burst, the plumbers continued to rake in the dough.

Fast forward to 2018, why should we not follow the same logic? Please don’t ask why I didn’t ask this question long ago. Here is what caught my attention.

There is a new study out prepared by The Status Group that makes some incredible projections for the immediate future.  Here are their headline making forecasts.

  • We expect crypto trading volume growth of +50% through 2019, and a 9% CAGR through 2028
  • Crypto trading volume is set to overtake U.S. Corporate Debt trading volume this year, and is on track to be ~10% of U.S. Equity trading volume
  • We estimate exchange trading fee growth of 50%+ this year, from $2.1B last year to well over $3B in 2018
  • The top 20 exchanges account for over 75% of total crypto market trading volume
  • BTC is the base pair for ~1/3 of global crypto volume, USDT 22%, ETH 12%

Always Be Cautious of Forecasts

With no disrespect meant, are the forecasters at The Status Group really serious?  Well, 2019 isn’t that far off so we will know soon enough. But the point is, how do we get involved in the growth of trading rather than pure speculation on crypto prices?

Take the case of the two largest players: Bitmex and Binance.  Over the past 30 days, the two exchanges have traded over $125 billion in value.  That is just in the last month or $1.5 trillion annually. This is only the top two.  If the five largest were included, the monthly total rapidly approaches $200 billion.

Bitmex stands out from a recent article titled: Bitmex Co-Founder is the Youngest British Self-Made Billionaire. Brilliant ideas and hard work deserve and that is why Ben Delo, Samuel Reed and Arthur Hayes are billionaires. But try to buy into Bitmex, good luck.

But there is #2 Binance (BNB) whose token can be traded on the Binance exchange. According to ICOMarks, the market cap of BNB is just a little over $1.1 billion. Back in January, BNB reached $22 but has since tumbled to just $10 -marking a drop of roughly 60%.

Putting that into perspective, that is just a bit less than the average crypto has done this year. But before you doze off, consider this. Changpeng Zhao, BNB founder, just reported second quarter profits of $200 million.  That amounts to 2,757% over the $7.5 million earned in the first quarter.

In other words, BNB’s market cap is equal to just five times the profits in the first six months. If BNB were listed on the New York Stock Exchange and received an average valuation, it would sell for about 23 times earnings.  There may be many reasons why the value of BNB is so low but if it continues to generate such sizable profits, somebody is going to take notice.

As we noted, there are probably lots of reasons why the asset value has fallen nearly as much as the average crypto this year.  This is where I would love to hear from you. Just like back in the post dotcom days, the plumbing companies made the most money.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 115 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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  1. GxM

    September 25, 2018 at 8:36 am

    a bnb is not a share of binance… difficult to say how it will be used except to get the discount on trading but is this enough to give a long term value to this token???

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Monero Price Analysis: Wider Adoption Seen as Bity Adds XMR Support to Their ATM Network

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  • Swiss-based cryptocurrency organization, Bity, has added their support for XMR for use at ATM terminals.
  • XMR/USD trading up on Friday, with gains of over 3% at the time of writing. Despite this, weekly chart view still points to the downside.

XMR/USD is trading in positive territory on Friday, having gained over 3% during the session. This leaves some optimism heading into the weekend, which is normally characterized by lower trading volumes. Trading over the past eight sessions now has been very much choppy, signaling a lack of direction in the underlying market. Any short-term bull runs observed have quickly been sold by the bears, consistently.  The price is trading around the lowest levels since August 2017 and is down over 90% from the start of 2018. Despite the minor relief upside Friday, there still appears to be room for downside in the short term. Once again, price action is largely dictated by technical factors as opposed to fundamental.

Wider XMR Adoption Following Bity Support

Bitly, a Swiss-based cryptocurrency organization, has announced their support for Monero (XMR). They are a cryptocurrency exchange, in addition to operating a network of cryptocurrency ATMs. Their users can instantly and securely transact bitcoin in addition to buying ETH and now XMR with Swiss Francs and Euro. This can be done at physical terminals in Switzerland. Bitly has additional kiosks in Zurich, Zug, Winterthur, Basel, and Lausanne. They note that more locations and additional token support are coming soon.

Technical Review – XMR/USD

XMR/USD 4-hour chart

Price action over the past seven sessions now has been forming a range-block, moving within consolidation mode. This has come after some stabilization, following the chunky sell-off from November through to early December. The current price behavior can also be perceived when looking technically, as a potential bearish flag pattern formation. If playing out to the textbook, another extended move to the downside will be seen.

Downside Targets

XMR/USD weekly chart

The near-term bottom can be eyed at $41.00, which is the floor of the most recent range. A failure of this holding will likely see another wave of selling pressure. Looking further to the downside, the next eyed support is seen at $38.45, which was a key weekly level in July 2017. Lastly, any breach here would invite a drop below the $30.00 mark toward the weekly support at $29.00. This would be the lowest level hit since July 2017, when XMR/USD was in the early stages of the big bull run.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 85 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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IOTA Price Analysis: Audi and IOTA Partnership Moving Strong; Price Behaviour Not Reflecting That

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  • IOTA and Audi partnership is said to be progressing forward, according to Audi representative.
  • Price action for IOTA remains tilted to the downside, and a bearish technical set up eyed.

IOTA (MIOTA) price remains very much depressed, in line with current stubborn market conditions. It continues to trade around the lowest levels seen since July 2017, with a lack of slowdown signs for now. Since the start of the year, the price is down a chunky 95%. The bears have the opportunity to run this further south, as there isn’t much in the way of support seen. This is all despite the strong growth fundamental prospects for IOTA.

Audi and IOTA Partnership Moving Strong

Earlier this year, IOTA announced a partnership with Audi Think Tank as the foundation was moving with the development of a permission-less mobility ecosystem. IOTA believes this structure of working is a strong route to understand how automakers are approaching innovation and development. The foundation previously noted that they see it as a great opportunity to incorporate into a new mobility solution, backed by strong suite of skills that Audi associates possess.

An update hit the wires this week, suggesting the Audi and IOTA partnership is progressing forward. The venture development manager at Audi Denkwerkstatt Berlin, Malte Schönfeld, provided some commentary via his LinkedIn account:

“What an awesome experience! The last five months we had a great time at the Audi Denkwerkstatt Berlin. Working in cross functional teams with IOTA on a new project. With the focus on enabling trust for the user in emobility, we pushed a new use case to reality. Stay tuned for further Information.” Matt Schönfeld also sent many thanks to all that are involved with the project, including IOTA founder Dominik Schiener and Alisa Maas, Head of Mobility and Automotive at the IOTA Foundation among others for “putting so much energy & passion into this project.”

Technical Review – IOT/USD

IOTA/USD 4-hour chart

Keeping in mind the decline discussed at the start of this piece, the most recent price behavior remains worrying. As seen via the 4-hour chart view, IOT/USD is moving within a range-block formation. The price is very much within consolidation mode. As a result, it remains at risk of another extended move to the south. It can also be perceived as a potential bearish pennant formation, which technically is subject to a breakout tot the downside.

Downside Targets

IOT/USD weekly chart

Looking at downside levels of potential support, the next area to note would likely be $0.1750. This is a weekly support seen since July 2017, week of 17th. Should this fail to provide any comfort, the next level is eyed at $0.1425, the weekly support for week of 10th July 2017. These moves would be similar to other cryptocurrencies in terms of finding that bottom area. For now, all remains tilted in favor of the market bears.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 85 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Binance Coin Price Analysis: BNB Still in Trouble Despite Recent Strong Fundamental Prospects

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  • BNB/USDT moving within an ascending channel formation, subject to a breakout to the downside.
  • There is much anticipation ahead of Binance’s DEX launch, expected in early 2019.

Binance Coin (BNB) has made a decent recovery since being slammed in November and into the early part of December. The price had initially dropped a whopping 58%, before then being able to stabilize most recently on 7th December. Since, BNB has jumped as much as 20% to the upside, moving within an ascending channel formation. However, despite the gains of late, a similar bounce was initially seen on 25th November to 5th December, before another dump. BNB/USDT had tanked a chunky 35%, after this brief period of stabilization.

Strong Fundamental News Flow

The world’s largest exchange by traded volume will some be launching their own decentralized exchange (DEX), expected for early 2019. There is much excitement and buzz across the social media space for this to go live. The development team have already noted that their BNB will be moving from its ERC-20 token status, which is currently on the Ethereum blockchain. As a result, this will be transferred to their own proprietary blockchain, which is set to be called Binance Chain.

In terms of a decentralized exchange, this technology can facilitate a new type of pair matching, allowing users to be able to place orders in addition to trading cryptocurrencies. This can be done without the need of an intermediary institution, managing the ledger or even controlling the user’s funds.

Elsewhere, Binance recently announced that they will be adding a new feature for the benefit and to attract more institutional investors. They will have the facility to create sub-accounts on the Binance exchange. Finally, the company have also exercised further use of their token, BNB, as these can now be used via Tripio to secure bookings.

Technical Review – BNB

BNB/USDT 4-hour chart

Price action over the past six sessions now is moving within an ascending channel formation. This comes after the decent bounce from the low on 7th December, having dropped to a low of $4.1200. At the time BNB/USDT was very much oversold, dropping to 26 via the RSI on the 4-hour time frame. Technically, such moves are subject to a potential breakout to the downside.

Support Levels

BNB/USDT weekly chart

Near-term support should be noted at $4.8000, which is the lower part of the observed ascending channel. Further south, eyes would be on the 7th December low at $4.1200. BNB/USDT is already trading around the lower levels seen since December 2017. Lastly, should the above-mentioned be breached, then a fall to $3.2500 could be on the cards. This is a weekly support seen for 17th December 2017 week commencing.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 85 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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