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Bitcoin, Ethereum Lead Crypto Market Rebound on Saturday

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Money is pouring back into cryptocurrencies on Saturday, with bitcoin and Ethereum posting double-digit rallies to lead the market’s recovery. At the time of writing, all but two of the world’s top 50 cryptocurrencies were trading in positive territory, with 37 tokens valued at $1 billion or more.

Bitcoin

The world’s most active cryptocurrency approached $13,000 on Saturday after multiple stalled rallies kept prices capped below $12,000. By midday Satursday, bitcoin was up 13% at $12,833 for a market cap of $219 billion. Nearly $12 billion worth of BTC was transacted on the major exchanges over the last 24 hours, according to data provider CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin is leading the cryptocurrency market out of its biggest decline in recent memory. Concerns over regulation, fraud and insider trading all factored into the market’s precipitous drop through the first half of the week. The decline dragged bitcoin to a low of around $9,400, or roughly half the all-time high.

The latest price rally has all the signs of a bullish reversal – the kind we’ve grown accustomed to over the past 12 months. However, bearish sentiment continues to dog the short-term outlook as traders await new regulatory clues from the South Korean government.

Ethereum

Ethereum also extended its recovery, with prices up 50% from Wednesday’s low. The native ether token shot up 13.3% to $1,155 on Saturday, bringing its total market cap to $112 billion.

The digital currency has been among the market’s most prosperous this year. Ether touched an all-time high of around $1,415 on Jan. 13, a near doubling of its New Year price. A strong start to the year has pushed ether back into the no. 2 spot on list of biggest cryptocurrencies by market cap.

Ether’s rally north of the $1,100 resistance confirms the uptrend, although near-term momentum may be capped by risk-off sentiment tied to South Korea.

Broader Market Recovers

The total market capitalization for all cryptocurrencies rose more than 13% on Saturday to reach $632 billion. That represents a recovery of more than $200 billion from Wednesday’s lows.

Although market fundamentals remain largely unchanged from where they were two weeks ago, a global movement toward tougher regulation continues to be a major risk for the digital asset class. Earlier this week, France and Germany issued a joint proposal to regulate cryptocurrencies. The proposal will be presented at the next G20 summit in March, which will be hosted by Argentina.

“We will have a joint Franco-German analysis of the risks linked to bitcoin, regulation proposals and these will be submitted as a joint proposal to our G20 counterparts at the G20 summit in Argentina in March,” French Finance Minister Brune Le Maire said on Thursday, according to Reuters.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 673 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

XRP Price Analysis: Deadly Daily Close Below Vital Support

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  • XRP/USD was moving within a pennant pattern for 10 weeks, but the bears have forced a daily closure below.
  • Eyes are on a retest of the mentioned structure; a failure to breach back above could be punishing.

XRP/USD has closed in the red firmly over the past two consecutive sessions. However, generally in comparison to its peers, it has held ground well. This being the case within the large bear market currently being observed for cryptocurrencies. The downside pressure seems to have finally taken its toll on XRP bulls. XRP/USD saw a daily candle closure below a key supporting trend line.

XRP/USD daily chart

Broken Pennant Pattern

Price action had been moving within a pennant pattern structure, since the 21st September. This came after the excessive upside movements that were seen. XRP/USD at the time had aggressively spiked up towards $0.8000, before quickly retracing back south. As a result of these big moves, the price went into consolidation mode, forming a pennant.

The bulls attempted a breakout to the upside form the pattern on 30th September and then again on 6th November. Rejection was served to those attempts. Market bears, on the other hand, worked their line of support on several occasions in October and November. No doubt that this consistent testing of this area caused an eventual break to the downside, as has been seen.

On the daily closure of 20th November, the price finished the session below the lower supporting trend line of the pennant. This leaves the odds stacked heavily in the bears favor. Eyes will now be on a potential retest of the structure above. Such a move, as playing to the textbook, could invite again some heavy selling pressure from the bears.

Support Levels

Looking to the downside, just underneath the mentioned technical pattern, there is a strong touted demand zone. Between the months of October and November, this area has proven to be of assistance. The last legs of this would be around the psychological $0.4000 mark down to $0.3850. A breakout to the downside from this could be extremely punishing.

The next major area of support, after the above-mentioned region, is seen deep south. There isn’t much in the way of support, until down at the $0.3000-0.2500 range. XRP/USD was last seen trading here on 18th September. An area that was clearly very attractive for buyers, seeing a large push to the upside from this territory.

Resistance Levels

In terms of upside resistance, as mentioned earlier, this should now be noted underneath the breached pennant pattern. A retest would likely to the $0.4800 come into force. Should odds be defied and the bulls earn a break above, the upper trend line of the pennant would likely be tested, tracking around $0.5300.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Short-Term Swing Low Forming?

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After the two-day rout that kicked off the week, the major cryptocurrencies continue to trade in a very volatile manner, with several wild swings in both directions in the last 24 hours. Most of the top coins held up above the initial spike lows of yesterday, although Bitcoin fell to a marginal new low later on Tuesday.

While selling pressure remains apparent in the segment, the volatile consolidation is likely a part of a short-term bottoming process, which could set up a more sustained bounce following the selling panic. The most important reference price levels for short-term traders are the $4450 level in Bitcoin and the $130 level in Ethereum.

Despite the possible bounce, the long-term setup in the segment is still overwhelmingly bearish, and any new positions should be considered ultra-short-term, and traders should apply strict risk management.  With the strong bearish leadership still clearly present, even in the case of a durable bottom, an extended period of volatile consolidation will likely precede a confirmed trend change.

BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin is still trying to form a short-term swing low, despite being relatively weak in the past 24 hours from a technical perspective, and the $4450-$4500 support zone remains in the center of attention. The coin got close to the $4000 level during yesterday’s volatile spikes, with the initial bounce topping out just above the $4700 resistance level.

Further levels of interest are ahead near $5350 and $5600, while primary support is still found between $4000 and $4050, and traders should still only consider very short-term positions in BTC. Volatility will likely remain very high in the coming period and the long-term sell signal is clearly in place in our trend model.  

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum managed to hold above its initial spike despite falling back below the $130 level several times yesterday. The coin is showing early signs of stability, but given the steep long-, and short-term downtrends and the extended period of relative weakness, traders and investors would need significant technical improvements to consider new positions in ETH.

That said, playing a bounce to the $150-$160 zone is likely in the coming period, with even the previous bear market low near $170 possibly in sight after the rout, but odds still favor at least a test of the recent lows before a sustained rally.

Ripple Still Strong as Stellar Tests Support Zone

XRP/USDT, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ripple continues to hold above the key $0.42-$0.46 long-term support zone, clearly being the strongest among the majors from a technical standpoint. Despite that, our trend model is still on a sell signal with regards to the short-term time-frame, and the coin’s relative strength have been waning somewhat in the past couple of days, so traders should still not enter new positions here. Further support levels are still found near $0.375 and $0.355, with resistance ahead at $0.51, $0.54, and $0.57.

Stellar/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Stellar got dragged significantly lower by the latest round of the segment-wide crash, and although it held up above the prior bear market low, the short-term setup is still clearly bearish in the relatively strong coin’s market as well.

The long-term picture is neutral and the support zone between $0.1830 and $01930 is still looking strong, but traders and investors shouldn’t enter new positions here, with strong resistance ahead at $0.21 and between $0.2350 and $0.2450.

LTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

One of the bearish leaders of the segment, Litecoin also showed signs of stability yesterday, and that’s positive news for the whole market, at least concerning the short-term outlook. The coin managed to hold on above the initial spike low, and although it’s still stuck below the $34.50 resistance level, a larger bounce could be ahead, possibly up to the $38 level. That said, the broader downtrend is clearly dominant and there is still no sign of a sustained bottom in the market of LTC.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 399 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Altcoins

Zcash Price Analysis: ZEC/USD Flood Gates Open After Breakout and Retest from Pennant

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  • ZEC/USD licking its wounds with deep double-digit losses as the market continues to take a beating.
  • Next major areas of support are eyed at currently levels around $89.50 and then $75.

Zcash has been under chunky selling pressure, no thanks to the larger weakness seen across the broader crypto market. The ZEC/USD exchange rate is nursing deep losses, running at two consecutive sessions firmly in the red. At the time of writing, the price has dropped over 25% in the last two sessions. This extended downside comes after a breach and retest from a pennant pattern.

ZEC/USD daily chart

ZEC/USD had moved within the above-mentioned technical set up since 12th September. The formation of this set up took shape following a deep market sell-off from the back-end of July to mid-September. Price behavior was very much consolidation mode, forming this pennant. Playing out to the textbook, a breakout from the set up was seen.

Further on the above, the firm daily breach came on the 14th November. The few daily sessions that followed this were within consolidation mode. Subtle retests underneath the broken pennant were seen. The Monday session saw the extension further south after the brief retest period. The bears smashed through the big psychological $100 mark, leading prices to the downside.

As a result of the above price developments, ZEC/USD selling pressure has forced a move on the current daily candlestick below a vital demand area. While the $105 – 95 range has proven to see buyers sweep in, sellers are proving to be too much to handle. This area previously served as a strong safety net, on 12th September, where decent buying came into play.

Support Levels

ZEC/USD weekly chart

Viewing the weekly chart, the bears are currently testing the lowest levels seen since May 2017 to the downside. This is seen just below the $90 level. Looking further south, the next major downside target is seen at the $75 area. This is a weekly support level, which was last in play back in April 2017, when the price started to pick up bull momentum.

A breach of the above-mentioned areas could be catastrophic. Eyes would then be on ZEC/USD potentially free-falling a further 50%, down within $40. This would be the next major consolidation area that could provide some firmer footing. The price last traded here in March 2017. This would be the very extreme scenario but cannot be ruled out.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 60 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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