Trade Recommendation: Komodo

Komodo (KMD/BTC) printed a fresh 2018 low of 0.00013 on November 24. At that price, the market lost almost 90% of its value from last year’s high of 0.0012598. More importantly, KMD/BTC breached the line in the sand of 0.000154. This means that the market had no known support below that level. In other words, there was no way of knowing when Komodo might bottom out.

Thus, we had to wait for one of two things to happen for this coin to become tradeable. The first is to wait for the market to establish a new support. The second is to see whether the market can reclaim 0.000154. Fortunately, Komodo preferred the second option.

After reclaiming 0.000154, it rallied to as high as 0.0002509 on December 31. While the market is currently pulling back, it is giving us the opportunity to buy the bottom end of the range.

Technical analysis shows that KMD/BTC is headed to support of 0.000154. This view comes after the market broke below the range midpoint of 0.0001968 on January 6, 2019. Komodo then retested it as resistance on January 10.

On top of that, Komodo is also forming a bear flag on the shorter time frame. This suggests that the continuation of the short-term bearish trend. Also, the market just breached its diagonal support while creating the bear flag. With this breakdown, we can form the expectation that Komodo is going down to the range low.

The strategy is to be patient and buy as close to 0.000154 support as possible. As long as KMD/BTC stays above this level, we are correct to assume that the market is currently trading sideways. Thus, after accumulation at the range low, Komodo will likely climb to our initial target of 0.0001968. Take that out and the next target is 0.000239.

The process may take a month.

Daily Chart of Komodo/Bitcoin on Binance

As of this writing, the Komodo/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.0001791 on Binance.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 0.000154 as possible.

Targets: 0.0001968 and 0.000239.

Stop: 0.000148

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Kiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and funds, as he does his own crypto research and is a Product Manager at Mitre Media. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.