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Cryptocurrencies Have Shown Rare Stability Recently, but the Bulls are Coming

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Cryptocurrencies have exhibited unusual stability over the past three weeks, as investors continue to feel their way through a complex system of regulations, technical data and sentiment indicators. Though not nearly as exciting as the first six weeks of the year, the relative calm can only be viewed as a net positive for a market that is still in its infancy, but pushing forward nonetheless. That being said, recent price action has given us enough evidence to conclude that the bulls are making their comeback.

Narrow Trading Range

We’ll preface this discussion by reminding investors that the cryptocurrency market is held to a different standard of volatility. As an example, the market peaked above $830 billion in early January; one month later, it was worth $276 billion.

By comparison, the past two weeks have been much calmer, with a total market fluctuation of just $80 billion. This may seem like a selective time period to prove our point, but it isn’t; the crypto market hit its most recent peak on Feb. 17 with a total value of $518.4 billion. Since then, it has touched a low of around $420.1 billion and spent the majority of its time hovering between $440 and $460 billion.

The Coming Rally

Despite the relative calm we are witnessing, the bulls may be ready to flip things around sooner rather than later. Most of us have absorbed bullish recommendations on bitcoin showing prices destined to reach $22,000 (or is it $25,000, $50,000?), but far fewer have looked into the coin’s bearish cycle in recent years.

As it turns out, bitcoin’s last seven bear-market cycles have averaged 71 days, according to Dan Morehead of Pantera Capital. We crossed the 71-day mark about a week ago. How have prices performed over that period? Very well.

Since the Feb. 26 swing low around $9,500, bitcoin has rebounded 20%. (In stocks, a bull market is usually described as a period where equities have gained at least 20%.)

For more evidence of an uptrend materializing, consider the following chart, which depicts bitcoin’s price crossing the 50-day moving average for the first time since January.

A clean break above this critical level could ignite renewed buying interest in the world’s most active cryptocurrency. And as we’ve seen repeatedly, where bitcoin goes, the market follows. This observation was less apparent at the start of the year, a period that saw unprecedented speculation in altcoins. But recently, bitcoin has regained its dominance of the market to account for roughly 42% of its total capitalization. The cryptocurrency also accounts for over 40% of daily trade volumes.

Big Risks are Still Out There

That being said, there are real risks underpinning the market that extend far beyond the regulatory FUD making its way through the media. (At this stage, regulation is just as much an opportunity as it is a risk.)

In the author’s view, one of the biggest risks barreling down the market is Tether. We still aren’t sure if the currency is what it says it is. Neither is the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which has subpoenaed the company along with Bitfinex – an exchange that just so happens to share the same executive.

We’ve warned investors in the past about FUD, so it’s not our intent to fill your mind with unnecessary fear. However, Tether’s USDT token is the second-most active cryptocurrency by trading volume, which makes the outcome of the investigation especially critical. As the trade data clearly show, Tether is a significant source of liquidity for the half-trillion-dollar crypto market. If rumors are true that it is circulating more tokens than its dollar-denominated banking account actually owns, we could be in for trouble. (At this stage, these are more than just rumors: read up on the massive spike in USDT circulation in recent months.)

Though always risky, cryptocurrencies appear to be forging higher. Of course, predicting the precise nature of the rally or when it will materialize is notoriously difficult. Even with this uncertainty in mind, there’s enough reason to be chipper if you are a long-term holder.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 665 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he leads content development for one of the world's foremost cryptocurrency resources. Over the past eight years Sam has authored more than 10,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers in the fields of labor market economics, emerging technologies, cryptocurrency and traditional finance. Sam's work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Contact: sam@hacked.com Twitter: @hsbourgi




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Altcoins

60 Minutes Showcases Potential of DNA and Genetic Genealogy; Opportunity for Crypto Investors

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DNA Storage

Throughout the years, 60 Minutes has been responsible for reporting on some of the biggest stories in the world.  Many of the most memorable episodes have involved world leader interviews, stories on endangered animals, profiles of famous celebrities, and occasionally, segments on promising developments in business and science.  A week ago, 60 Minutes had a very interesting report on how the authorities used Genetic genealogy to solve the case of the Golden State Killer, and how the authorities plan to keep using this new field to solve more cold cases in the future.

On April 25, 2018, authorities in Sacramento announced that they had solved the notorious case of the Golden State Killer.  Authorities were able to use a promising new technique called Genetic genealogy to help identify 72-year-old former police officer, Joseph DeAngelo, as the suspected killer.

Genetic Genealogy

Genetic genealogy is a mixture of high-tech DNA analysis, high speed computer technology, and family genealogy.  The end goal is to determine the level and type of genetic relationship between individuals.

In the case of the Golden State Killer, DNA came into play because the killer had committed at least 12 murders, 50 rapes, and many home burglaries.  Investigators were able to obtain DNA from the killer at one of the reported crime scenes.  After many years of frustrating dead ends, a cold case investigator submitted the obtained DNA sample to GEDmatch.  GEDmatch is the largest public genealogy database in the world.  After uploading the sample, authorities were able to generate a handful of leads which eventually led to the front doors of Joseph DeAngelo.

In addition to the Golden State Killer case, authorities have used Genetic genealogy to make arrests in at least 11 other cold cases.  While the science appears to be sound, there is a legal question that has yet to be answered.  There is no doubt that attorneys for the accused will raise the question of privacy and whether using databases, thought to be private, should be legal.

Opportunity for Crypto Investors

While I’ve invested in equities and crypto for many years with varying degrees of success, I’ve never had the opportunity to invest at the beginning of a new frontier.  Fortunately, the opportunity has come.  Encrypgen (DNA) is a genomic blockchain network that provides customers and partners with best-in-class, next generation, blockchain security for protecting, sharing and re-marketing genomic data.  This creates a fair marketplace for a person’s DNA that can be stored private and sold (if a person wishes to do that).

Over the past few months, Encrypgen has been gaining attention in the mainstream media because of their revolutionary technology as well as the fact that their closest competition is still years away.

In August, Encrypgen released a beta version of its Gene-Chain.  The Gene-Chain allows consumers to upload their genetic profile and for researchers to purchase that genetic data.  Within the next 2 weeks, the company plans to release the full version of the Gene-Chain which will officially make them a new pioneer in the field of genomic blockchain security.

With the DNA token hovering at approximately 5 cents, the time is running out to accumulate at bargain basement prices.  I fully expect the token to achieve utility in the next several months which will cause a rocket-like explosion in the token price.  There is no looking back now, only forward, and I love what I see.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Altcoins

Fantom – The Next Big Thing?

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Fantom (FTM) is a a Directed Acrylic Graph (DAG) based smart contract platform in which the more nodes participate in the network, the greater the transactions per second. The project is aiming for 300,000 transactions per second, which would be applied to multiple industries such as food technology, financial services, telecom, logistics, etc. Fantom is designed to offer instant payments, near zero costs, and unlimited processing scalability. Like Ethereum, Fantom supports Smart Contracts but they run on the Fantom Virtual Machine vs the Ethereum Virtual Machine. Why is that important? Because the FVM will allow developers to write dApps that support smart contracts just like ethereum but run light-speed times faster.

A lot of new blockchain projects talk as if they will challenge the top blockchains and take over their spot. While this is speculation and mostly hot air spoken by many projects, Fantom has a great shot at taking off as one of the top blockchains. Andre Cronje, well respected in the ICO scene as a technical blockchain expert, was added as part of the technical team recently. Having a team and community as strong as Fantom does gives it the extra push needed to take off. While other projects are implementing directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), Fantom is the first to do this with smart contract support.

Fantom operates on a system called OPERA, which is divided into three layers:

  • OPERA CORE LAYER – processes transactions, maintains consensus across all nodes via the Lachesis Protocol
  • OPERA WARE LAYER – supports smart contracts, executes functions
  • OPERA APPLICATION LAYER – supports third-party applications, provides publicly available APIs for dApps

Partnerships with credible companies definitely help the legitimacy of an ICO and Fantom has already made numerous significant partnerships such as the Korea Food-Tech Association and Oracle that will significantly enhance their chance of success. The company, in collaboration with NEM Blockchain, has recently announced it’s expansion outside of Korea into Australia. Fantom has chosen Australia due to their innovative culture and supportive government. Fantom is committed to working with local communities and governments to utilize Fantom technology across multiple industries. They are focused on creating real-time use cases of their platform by on-boarding Australian businesses in the next twelve months. Australia has hundreds of merchants who already accept cryptocurrency including the first airport in the world to do so. Fantom has already been working behind the scenes engaging with payment providers about using Fantom token as they expand globally.

Multiple blockchain projects are claiming to be the fastest with the highest tps, but have not come through on their promises. Fantom has an excellent shot at actually accomplishing this and immediately becoming a major player surpassing those that have fallen short.

Unlike many recent ICOs, which are constantly delaying and postponing the release of their tokens due to current market conditions, Fantom is unlocking and listing on October 29th. The project recently released a recent Technical Whitepaper concerning the Lachesis Consensus Algorithm, making another version of the Technical Whitepaper detailing the Fantom Framework ready, and preparing a testnet demo video to be available soon.

With major funds invested for the long haul and markets such as the USA, China, and Korea unable to participate in the much-hyped ICO, there should be quite a bit of immediate interest and demand upon listing on exchanges. The last ICO with similar hype was QuarkChain which also did amazingly well in this market. Fantom had a hard cap of $39 MILLION at the time of ICO raise and is expected to perform well.

Diclaimer: The author has invested in Fantom.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 53 rated postsKent Hamilton - Co-Founder of CryptoDayTrader.io, where we are building Pro Crypto Tools




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Altcoins

Why Investors Should Pay Attention to Blocknet

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Even in the “crypto winter” we are currently living in, the blockchain industry is still growing. This is a good thing for the industry in many ways, but all of these various networks have developed in a siloed and separated way.

Some companies have emerged that seek to help the various networks work together and harvest synergies. If blockchain was meant to be a new manifestation of the internet, these networks could be considered a new manifestation of blockchains. One such company is Blocknet.

Blocknet’s Mission

Blocknet is often referred to in the colloquial as “Block” and functions as a decentralized platform-as-a-service service. The basic goal is to connect the nodes of different blockchains to create a network of networks. The endgame here is to make it possible for applications to be developed on one blockchain but be used on another.

The network is composed of three key components: a node exchange, coin exchange, and data exchange. The XBridge is the blockchain router than connects nodes on different blockchains and makes it possible for them to communicate with each other.

The XBridge also enables cross-chain atomic swaps using a coin exchange protocol. We will go into more detail into this in a bit, but it is essentially a DEX. Finally, there is the inter-chain data transport that allows for feature sharing and smart contracts to be executed across chains.

Market Demand

Blocknet was founded in 2015 and finally launched their mainnet in September 2017. The market has been looking for a solution like this. There is competition from other networks like 0x, but they have already started to integrate their networks with Blocknet. By seeking to be a super-network, it is eliminating the idea of competition.

A big part of Blocknet is the decentralized exchange (DEX) that it runs. What makes it special and sets it apart from the competition is that it is more than just an exchange for ERC-20 tokens. It enables the trading of every coin that is integrated into the network.

The Blocknet DEX will be designed to enable an unlimited amount of trading pairs, and will enable complete anonymity for users. Additionally, by avoiding a central entity, you always retain complete control over your funds.

BLOCK Token

The token has two functions. First, they are used to pay trading fees and for the operation of applications on the network. Second, they are required to be staked as a service node or staking node. These are the nodes that distribute trade fees or confirm network transactions.

BLOCK trades on Bittrex, and in terms of recent performance, we have seen a heavy decline from the highs that BLOCK reached last year. However, it seems to have reached a bottom and found a support level. As we head in the last quarter of 2018, it could be time for a recovery, and BLOCK seems poised to take advantage of this.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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