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You Can’t Quit. You’re Fired!

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The thought seems almost ridiculous but it seems that this is exactly what’s happening.

President Trump’s suggestion that if we’re removing statues we might as well remove the statues of the founding fathers Thomas Jefferson and George Washington both of whom owned slaves.

The comparison to the statue that started all this, that of Confederate General Robert E Lee, seems quite shocking at first glance but once you drill down it seems that many hard line left wingers are already petitioning for the founders names and statues to be removed.

You gotta love this guy. Aside from making everybody upset on “many sides” it seems that Donald has been able to finally get Americans interested in politics again, which in and of itself is a wonderful thing.

@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst

 

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of August 17th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Market Overview

Getting ahead of the news once again, Donald Trump has tweeted that he will be disbanding two of his business advisory councils. This comes after eight members of the manufacturing council quit and there were reports that one of the councils was preparing to disband itself.

It’s not difficult to imagine what type of pressure he’s talking about.

The stocks seemed poised for a very positive day until this message hit the news. The Wall Street Journal reports that many buy orders were cancelled immediately following the tweet.

So instead of having a fantastic day, the US stocks ended with very minor gains.

Asian stocks were rather flat as the US – North Korea conflict has been abruptly shoved to the back burner making investors in China and Japan unsure of how to proceed.

The opening in Europe today is quite telling as the most major indices there are starting out in red.

The Minutes…

…of the FOMC’s last meeting were released with some rather shocking news. It seems that many of the Fed members were in favour of announcing a date to begin unwinding the balance sheet at last months meeting.

The US Federal Reserve is currently holding approximately $4.5 Trillion worth of assets that it bought since the financial crisis in order to sustain markets and bring them where they are today. Over the past few months the Fed has been toying with the idea of gradually selling off some of these assets but nobody really imagined that they are this close.

The US Dollar was already under pressure when the news broke but this sudden shift in reality caused it to fall a bit further…

We can expect this debate to be played out further in upcoming fed speeches and events, of which there are many coming right up.

Also keep an eye open for the meeting minutes from the European Central Bank that will be released 13:30 Frankfurt time.

There is a very similar situation happening there. Only here, the debate is when to start reducing the asset buying program, which is still ongoing.

Crypto’s Don’t Quit

After what turned out to be only a miner retracement, crypto markets are back on their feet and forging new record gains. The market cap of all the cryptocurrencies in circulation reached a new high of $142.8 Billion earlier this morning.

The total pullback on bitcoin as seen on this chart was rather sizable but actually really small when we compare it to the amount of gains we’ve been seeing lately.

From peak to trough BTC fell $594 in the span of 11 hours before turning around again.

At the moment we’re seeing some resistance at $4,400. Of course a break of this resistance point would be considered an extremely bullish sign.

Thanking everyone for the amazing feedback. Your comments and questions are my main inspiration for writing.

This content is provided for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered to be investment advice or recommendation.
The outlook presented is a personal opinion of the analyst and does not represent an official position of eToro.

Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading involves risk; only risk capital you are prepared to lose.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 133 rated postsSenior Market Analyst at Etoro.com.




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3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. tommygun999@gmail.com

    August 17, 2017 at 10:22 am

    Omg, I came here to read about financial freedom, not some liberal brainwashed propaganda bullshit again.

    • tommygun999@gmail.com

      August 17, 2017 at 10:25 am

      …and yes, I am triggered.

      MAGA!

  2. Chris G

    August 18, 2017 at 7:14 am

    we need to develop a cryptocurrency that uses Trump’s chances of impeachment as the basis for its algorithm, because I see a major price surge coming … looking forward to seeing all the delusional #MAGA -nazis eat it big time

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Altcoins

TRON (TRX) Transactions Outnumber Ethereum’s Thanks to TRONbet Gambling App

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For the past year much of Justin Sun’s time was spent trash-talking Ethereum on Twitter, while talking up the future potential of his own TRON blockchain.

Such behaviour once made it easy to dismiss Sun as a mere troll, however it now looks like TRX might actually be gearing up to do battle with ETH based on its rapidly growing number of users and transactions.

TRX Transactions Soar

The amount of transactions on the TRON blockchain outnumbered that of Ethereum for the first time ever this week. In the three day period between Oct 18th and Oct 20th, TRX transactions outpaced their ETH counterparts by several tens of thousands.

The sudden jump in transactions comes in large part from the recently launched TRON-based gambling app, TRONbet. According to Sunday morning’s tweet from the TRONbet team:

“Amazing start for #TRON with http://tronbet.io doing almost 180k Txs a day! Almost 30% of all Txs! 165,000,000 $trx won by users. @justinsuntron @Tronfoundation has shown us the endless possibilities!”

The 180,000 transactions mentioned helped to boost total TRX transactions from 222,000 on October 17th, up to Friday’s peak of 630,000. Going back to October 10th, the total number of TRX transactions was in the 80,000 range, meaning the last ten days have seen a 687% increase to transaction volume.

Justin Sun marked the occasion with a celebratory tweet, stating:

“Ethereum has 82,418 Txs pending today. It is the second day that #TRON has surpassed #ETH in daily Txs. 10/18 #TRX 599,677 vs. ETH 565,971; 10/19 $TRX 630,018 vs. ETH 601,119. All ETH developers need to migrate to TRON immediately with 0 cost!”

Smart Contracts

One can only speculate on where the rest of the TRON transactions came from, but according to TRXPLORER.io, the vast majority of them were triggered by smart contracts:

“Yesterday we had the highest spike of transactions on #TRON network with almost 600k transactions in a day! 77% of those transactions were Smart Contracts that were triggered!”

To provide some perspective, it took the TRON blockchain four months to achieve the number of transactions that Ethereum achieved in nearly three and a half years.

A skeptic may demand to know exactly where these transactions are coming from, after all, even Ethereum has seen huge increases to transaction volumes thanks purely to pointless smart contracts which move the same funds between multiple addresses.

As covered here previously, October has been a productive month for TRON. The number of accounts created on the blockchain recently outpaced EOS, gaining 100,000 more new accounts than EOS in the previous four month period.

Meanwhile, a quick glance at Google Trend analysis for ‘TRON’ searches compared to ‘Ethereum’ reveals that TRON is being searched for more than its older counterpart.

The chart shows the same pattern for ‘TRX’ searches compared to ‘ETH’.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsGreg Thomson is a full-time crypto writer and digital nomad. He eats ICOs for breakfast and bleeds altcoins. Wherever he lays his public key is his home.




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Altcoins

Monero Price Analysis: XMR/USD Marching Higher amid Large Reduction in Fees

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Kovri Bulletproofs Monero
  • Monero community members are sharing their delight with the instant impact of the recent update.
  • XMR/USD bulls will be looking at another retest of the breached Aug-Oct ascending trend line.

Latest Update from Monero Developers Sees Huge Reduction in Fees

The Monero community are sharing their excited observations of the benefits from the Beryllium Bullet update. Earlier this week, the foundation had another hard fork going live. The release was known as, “Monero 0.13.0 “Beryllium Bullet,”. The goal was for greater efficiency of their protocol, to facilitate stronger privacy, faster and more cost-effective transactions. In addition, more resistant ASIC miner protection, as previously reported via the last Monero article.

The update has instantly demonstrated its enhanced performance and new features. Monero users have been taking to the social space to express their delight, with the changes being very noticeable.

Members of the Monero community via the Reddit social page were sharing their photos, providing examples of how low the fees are for processing transactions are now.

Technical Review – 60-minute Chart

XMR/USD 60-minute chart

XMR/USD can be seen moving within a triangular pattern set up, via the 60-minute chart view. This coming after much stabilization has been seen with the price since the overly aggressive movement on 15th October. That’s when prices spiked higher in line with the rest of the market, before quickly retreating. The price behavior would suggest another breakout is very much imminent as it is currently moving within an extremely narrowing nature. Looking to the upside, resistance can be seen just ahead at $108.50, or the upper part of the pattern. Further ahead, a choppy supply area is seen running from $110-112 region. In terms of support this can be eyed not too far below, $106.50, lower part of the triangle.

Technical Review – Daily Chart

XMR/USD daily chart

Looking via the daily chart, there is room for upside and another retest of the breached ascending trend line. This had originally been supporting the price from 13th August up until early October. XMR/USD bulls could run up the price to $124 territory, before being met with a test of hard sellers. During the big spike on 15th October, the upper wick can be seen having attempted to break back above the mentioned trend line.

If the bulls can maintain their course of upside momentum and break back above the original supporting trend line, a price towards $150 could again be reclaimed.  In terms of support on the daily, this looks firm around $104, a secondary running ascending trend line. Further south, a demand zone is seen sub-$100, running from $86 – $76 region.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 33 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets.




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Analysis

Crypto Update: Market Still in Deadlock

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The choppy, directionless period in the cryptocurrency segment continues, with no meaningful change in the technical setups of the major coins. While the broader trends are still clearly bearish and sellers remain in control of the market, we saw another minor bullish shift in the past 24 hours, with modest gains across the board.

Most of the top coins are trading in the range of the Monday session, which saw the spike triggered by the turmoil in Tether. Stellar is the apparent positive outlier of the past few days, while Dash, Litecoin, and Ethereum have been the weakest so far this week.

DASH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

On a positive note, all of the majors remain above last week’s levels, and especially Bitcoin’s continued stability is encouraging for crypto-bulls here, even as our trend model paints a negative picture of the segment.


BTC/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Bitcoin avoided a test of the $6275 level despite moving below its recent very narrow trading range yesterday, with still no meaningful bearish or bullish momentum present in the coin’s market. BTC continues to trade below the $6500 level, and its volatility is very low, even after the move below the previously dominant broad triangle consolidation pattern.

Further resistance levels are still ahead near $6750 and $7000, while support levels below $6275 are found near $600, $5850 and between $5000 and $5100.

Altcoins Little Changed as Ethereum Still Glued to $200

XRP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The weekend has been very quiet for altcoins so far, with even the recently active Ripple settling down near the $0.46 level. XRP is around the midpoint of Monday’ s range but the lack of follow-through after the breakout from the triangle consolidation pattern is a negative sign, and the coin remains on a short-term sell signal in our trend model. Strong resistance is still ahead at $0.51, $0.54, $0.57, while support is found near $0.42, $0.375, and $0.35.

ETH/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

Ethereum continues to hover around the $200 price level still being in bearish short- and long-term patterns and the relative weakness of the second largest coin remains a huge concern for the whole segment.

With no evidence of meaningful capital inflows to the market, the outlook is neutral at best, and traders and investors should wait for at least a short-term trend change before entering new positions. Strong support is found near $180, $170, and $160, while resistance is ahead near $235 and $260.

EOS/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

EOS is also among the relatively weaker coins, and the coin is stuick in a broad Trading range around the $5.35 level since August. Volatility in the coin’s market has been progressively declining, but the vicinity of the bear market low suggests that the long-term downtrend is still intact, especially given the segment-wide trends.

A test of the lows is still more likely than a bullish break-out, with strong support found near $4.50 and key resistance ahead near $6 and $6.5.

Featured image from Shutterstock

Disclaimer:  The analyst owns cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but doesn’t engage in short-term or day-trading, nor does he hold short positions on any of the coins.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 380 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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