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Winter Is Upon Us

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Acorn gathering season was cut short, let’s hope you took some profits and got to high ground before the deluge. Even the big Chinese exchanges are ceasing operations. The madness has sent the Bitcoin price running away from $4,000, and in the melee a lot of otherwise solid valuations are taking a beating. The fundamental flaw in how all cryptocurrencies are valued – the amount of bitcoins and thus the amount of fiat – is revealed when the price begins to plummet. People still have faith in all those tokens, after all, they’re just losing value as the market goes.

So what’s the move? If you haven’t sold already, there’s not a lot of recent room left to do it. If it’s something you think you might do, we urge you to make that move sooner than later. Everyone seems to think there will be buying opportunities beneath $3,000 coming up, so re-entry should be possible – and will likely be profitable. Every great dip and depression Bitcoin is followed by an upheaval of massive proportions, we’re not seeing much to tell us this one will be any different.

Spoke to a Hacked subscriber who sold at a profit, but probably late to the profit party. He was upset about some losses. I informed him that if he had losses, they were of the theoretical variety – you don’t have losses before you actually lose the tokens. Unless we’re talking about margin trading, a whole different form of savagery which had its own carnage over the past many days.

The market will have to shake people out now and then. The only players left from China will be those who’ve got the courage left to defy the government. The government itself will find some form of blockchain technology that it blesses and allows to monopolize, and other Asian-born and oriented financial technologies will have to find a way to work around that. NEO has a chance to be one of them, as does Walton. Or both. And more. There’s a lot of room for innovation yet. The Chinese government is probably mostly mad that it has missed out on the opportunity. If anyone was in a position to speculate on the moves of the market, they would have been working in the Peoples Bank of China. Perhaps the initial news, but the market reaction and the subsequent slowness to clarify, that was all very telling in the actions of the Chinese government.

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The author can tell you that he will be acquiring more of everything in this down market.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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5 stars on average, based on 2 rated postsP. H. Madore has covered the cryptocurrency beat over the course of hundreds of articles for Hacked's sister site, CryptoCoinsNews, as well as some of her competitors. He is a major contributing developer to the Woodcoin project, and has made technical contributions on a number of other cryptocurrency projects. In spare time, he recently began a more personalized, weekly newsletter at http://ico.phm.link




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4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. derick

    September 14, 2017 at 11:49 pm

    selling now? this would be very hard thing for me to do.. too much loss already.. i feel like i should just loss everything the better..

    • Inverstor Clouseau

      September 15, 2017 at 2:52 pm

      Don’t it’s too late, and the moment as you sell the market will go straight up. Keep in mind we’ve seen this incredible price action in the past month. consider the medium term, you’ll be fine.

  2. sickettyboy71

    September 15, 2017 at 12:02 am

    Buy the lows. That’s the rule.

  3. Manymoney

    September 15, 2017 at 4:06 am

    Neo or Walton coin will not be a success in China, since they are pvt entitities. China will ask onchain to accept remibi.

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Altcoins

New York Approval of Crypto Trading App Ignites Price Rally for Bitcoin, Altcoins

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The cryptocurrency market on Monday added $13 billion in the span of one hour after New York’s Department of Financial Services granted Square a digital currency license.

Square Cash App Approved for BitLicense

San Francisco-based startup Square, Inc. announced Monday it has been granted approval by New York regulators to launch its cryptocurrency trading platform in the state. The new crypto service will be offered through Square’s Cash app, which has seven million monthly active users, based on the company’s first-quarter earnings call.

The announcement was confirmed by Square in conjunction with an official press release issued by New York’s Department of Financial Services (DFS).

“DFS is pleased to approve Square’s application and welcomes them to New York’s expanding and well-regulated virtual currency market.,” Superintendent Maria Vullo said in a statement. “DFS continues to work in support of a vibrant and competitive virtual currency market that connects and empowers New Yorkers in a global marketplace while ensuring strong state-regulatory oversight is in place.”

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Bitcoin buying launched for Cash users last fall; by January, most users had access to crypto trading platform. Square announced in March it would seek a BitLicense to bring bitcoin trading to the nation’s second-most populous state.

Cash App has reportedly generated $34 million in profit through its bitcoin trading service.

Bitcoin, Cryptos Pop

Cryptocurrencies added roughly $13 billion in value between 12:22 UTC and 13:27 UTC, bringing the total market cap to $289.5 billion. Total trading volumes spiked by more than $1.5 billion over the same period.

At press time, the total value of all cryptos in circulation was $287.1 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. That represents a gain of about $23 billion from last week’s bear market low.

Bitcoin reached a high of $6,781.14 following the Square Cash announcement. It was last seen trading around $6,716, according to BarCart data.

The largest cryptocurrency by capitalization showed signs of breaking down earlier in the day as prices approached $6,300 on the major exchanges. BTC/USD was little changed over the weekend as the bulls failed to extend last week’s modest relief rally.

Despite the latest gain, bitcoin remains about 10% lower for June and is down more than 50% year-to-date.

As an asset class, altcoins rose more than $8 billion Monday afternoon. At $172.2 billion, digital currencies outside of bitcoin represent 60% of the total market.

All coins within the top-ten reported gains. Percentage-wise, Tron was the best performer, rallying 5.4% to $0.045. Ethereum jumped 3.4% to $517.46. Bitcoin cash added nearly 4% to trade at $884.28.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 455 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Altcoins

Crypto Critics: Fractured Facts

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I have another confession.  As a long time investor, I believed in the theory of efficient markets. This basically means that every participant in the market has immediate and complete access to all information facts like price, earnings and other data.  

I made the mistake in applying this theory to cryptocurrencies. Lately, this has been a mistake.  Yes it is true that anyone with the time and interest can go about gathering all the facts. But are all facts telling the truth or are they really fractured facts?  Either way they are dictating investor thinking and that is a key to this market.

According to reports on MarketWatch, crypto prices slumped on the release of a 24 page report from the Bank of International Settlements. BIS stated that cryptocurrencies suffered from “a range of shortcomings that would prevent cryptocurrencies from ever fulfilling the lofty expectations that prompted an explosion of interest — and investment — in the would-be asset class”.

The BIS is no small town organization. They serve as a central bank for other banks and they have been doing this since 1930.  When the BIS talks, people take things they say very seriously.

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The doomsday article released Sunday paints an accurate picture of the state of cryptocurrencies today. But what about tomorrow?  Most everyone is familiar with the issues of speed, security and energy consumption, not to mention regulation. But for the BIS to conclude that none of this problems will ever be solved is down right nieve.  It is the equivalent of declaring in 2001 that the Internet was doomed because 90% of users were connect on dial up modems.

Rotten Research

The BIS report is not the first fracturing of facts presented by well regarded organizations that is scaring investors. Remember back in May? We were treated to the research headline: Bitcoin Futures Caused The Crypto Market Crash according to Federal Papers.

Both the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and a Stanford University professor released a report concluding the launch of bitcoin futures last December contributed to the ensuing price collapse. Pretty far fetched stuff, and here is why.

Bitcoin futures trading began on December 10. BarChart.com shows the CME traded a measly 932 contracts while the CBOE handled 3,887.  Of that total some 2,828 contracts were still “Open Contracts” on December 29th leaving just 1991 coins to do all the harm. During that final week of December over 1.4 million coins were traded. The findings were simply flawed.

Much like the BIS, when the Federal Reserve speaks, people believe they have done their homework carefully.  Throw in Stanford and that adds further weight to this conclusion.

And Then There Are Those Other Facts

And then there was the revelation last week that, much of bitcoin’s 2017 boom was market manipulation, research says.  In a huge 66 page report it was claimed that at least half of the 2017 rise in bitcoin prices was due to coordinated price manipulation using tether.

The author, University of Texas at Austin finance professor John Griffin, argues that Tether was used to buy bitcoin at key moments when it was declining, which helped “stabilize and manipulate” the cryptocurrency price. BTW: this is the job of the specialist on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Professor Griffin appears to have done an excellent job correlating events without much consideration for the economics involved.  According to Bloomberg’s Aaron Brown, for Professor Griffin to be correct in his assertion that tether pushed up bitcoin prices four basis points per 100 bitcoin, Bitfinex would have needed to spend a boatload to inflate the cryptocurrency.  With Bitcoin at $10,000, for example, that means Bitfinex spends $1 million to push the price up to $10,004.

When you look at things from this perspective, Griffin’s findings look pretty absurd.

Look Closely At The Facts

These days with crypto psychology the worst since Mt. Gox in 2014, it seems like a good time for investors to capitalize on the fractured facts.  Technical analysis shows that cryptocurrencies bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple and others are hovering around key support levels. It would not be shocking at anytime to find some academic study linking crypto to the common cold.  By the way, it is a fact that last years dramatic crypto price spike came right at the start of the flu season.

A far more relevant fact was last week’s announcement by the Securities and Exchange Commission that neither bitcoin or Ethereum were securities. Perhaps equally important is the conclusion that when ICO do not convey an equity ownership position, they too are considered in the same non-security category as bitcoin and Etherrun.  This is a fact.

What we do know is that crypto prices are as low as they have been since well before the spike last December.  Just as the markets recovered from Mt. Gox, the mindset of investors will recover and that is the key.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 81 rated postsJames Waggoner is a veteran Wall Street analyst and hedge fund manager who has spent the past few years researching the fintech possibilities of cryptocurrencies. He has a special passion for writing about the future of crypto.




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Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Stalled Recovery Keeps the Bulls in Check

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The bitcoin recovery engine stalled on Monday, setting the stage for a possible price reversal that mirrors last week’s 70-day low. With the total market cap so low, a decline in bitcoin would almost assuredly lead to a similar correction for other cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin Price Levels

Bitcoin prices reached a low of $6,335.77 on Monday, as bearish pressure continued to undermine last week’s modest recovery. Bitcoin rallied to a high around $6,700 last Thursday shortly after bottoming near $6,100.

The cryptocurrency later recovered around $6,660A7 but remains in a bearish pattern going all the way back to June 9. BTC/USD is down roughly $1,000 over that stretch. Price action over the past 24 hours suggests that a further breakdown is probable.

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The cryptocurrency market cap reached a high of $284 billion on Monday. Bitcoin and altcoins exhibited price stability over the weekend as trading volumes continued to plummet.

Depressed Market

As we reported this weekend, cryptocurrencies have witnessed a steady decline in trading volume that could make the market more prone to volatility. Daily trade volumes bottomed near $9.5 billion Sunday, the lowest in over two months. Volumes are down a staggering 80% since the market peaked in early January.

The absence of new money paints the picture of a depressed market in need of direction. With organic searches for “bitcoin” and “cryptocurrency” the lowest in around nine months, a large influx of new retail traders is highly unlikely.

Exchanges such as Coinbase are betting big that the next major catalyst will come not from retail traders, but large institutions. To help make that a reality, Coinbase has launched a new crypto-custody service targeting bitcoin whales. According to crypto hedge fund manager Kyle Samani, regulated custody services are the game changer that will attract institutional-scale capital.

“There are a lot of investors where custodianship was the final barrier,” Samani told Bloomberg in a phone interview. “Over the next year, the market will come to recognize that custodianship is a solved problem. This will unlock a big wave of capital.”

Coinbase isn’t the only organization vying to become a qualified custodian. Goldman-backed Circle and BiGo have also been in negotiation with regulators on the matter. Earlier this year, investment bank Nomura Holdings joined forces with two cryptocurrency firms to create a custody consortium. Bloomberg reports that at least three Wall Street custodians – Bank of New York Mellon Corp., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Northern Trust Corp. – are exploring cryptocurrency custody services.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 455 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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