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Op-Ed

What to Buy: Roads vs. Cars

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I guess I jinxed it. We are starting to move back down lower, as it seems there may still be some fear going on. I think you are starting to see that there are still some very resilient coins that aren’t fresh off an ICO, yet have strong gains on multiple down days. I have tried to look at each and every single one on social media to see what exactly is going on that is keeping it consistently gaining. This is where I stumbled upon my strategy.

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There are currently three ways to invest in cryptocurrencies: ICOs, speculation and investment. Of those three ways, there are two different types of currencies (Road Focused/Car Focused) that have two different types of customers (public/”corporate”). Let’s digest:

Investment Strategies

ICO

Primary offering of coins that often has some sort of incentive amount of extra coins that are awarded as an early signing bonus (Pre-ICO). If you want to retire on a beach tomorrow, you are looking on the wrong article. This website holds some of the most fantastic writing on ICOs that is available anywhere, and I don’t write it! When you buy into something that is not yet traded on an exchange, the upside potential is astronomical, especially when the people betting mortgages on them are counted in the thousands. The reason I don’t invest in ICOs is that timing the top (to sell) of that initial buzz, especially on exchanges like Bittrex/Binance is extremely difficult. If you miss it, you are left with a road map coin that better have some good tweets soon. Overall, you are already at the Mecca of ICOs. I recommend you read as much as of our ICO analyses as possible, as there will come a day when sniffing out good ICOs will become a weapon of mass affluence. For some it already has.

Speculation 

This goes back to your high supply “Future of X” “X 2.0” coins. People have made astronomical amounts of money on coins that don’t even have customers. Usually, their strategy was often buying the cheapest things on the exchange. I have done this, and when it works it is pretty awesome. However, this is all scared money. These are people who have moved money from one tweet to the next, and are often ready to jump overboard at a 20% loss just so they can buy the new thing. I have noticed this time and time again with a lot of the coins that I think are actually pretty neat, but have supplies that make my neck hairs stand. If you can time these buys correctly according to road map objectives and event driven volume, you are a better person than I. (Coincalendar.info) will help you do that. Literally, right above my virtual head you have the best guys in cryptocurrency making EXACT calls on currencies based on hours of research and data mining. 15-20 year trading veterans. Not lightning Gods, but still.

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Investment

Ah! Raiden’s territory. This is the least sexy of them all, I can assure you. A little about myself- I don’t come from the tech space. I can only understand the very surface of what is going behind the hood of the blockchain/currency. So, I go towards what I know. There are very distinct ways to see if a business is A. Valuable and B. Making money. I don’t care if they are selling hot dogs on the blockchain, if they fit those two criteria (plus a nice <150MM Supply) I can make money. Time and time again, it always leads me to the same question. Do I want a nice car or a road with tolls?

XMR is an example of a car. No one is calling them to use their roads, be it that they pride themselves on throwing IP addresses into black holes, etc. Don’t think this is a knock on these coins. Putting your money in a virtual razor wire Harry Potter cloak and sending it anywhere is probably going to be useful, and the supplies of these coins is enough to make my mouth water. This is where I must wait for volume. Coinbase additions, new fiat-based exchanges, corporate interest, intermediary indexing would the main drivers you want in car coins. I have used to LTC purchase normal online goods. I can’t say that for any other coin.

NEO/ETH are examples of roads. I will not deny- I love roads. Smart contracts and decentralized apps are making the blockchain useable for every day people-EVENTUALLY. Right now, it’s like playing pong or another old arcade game. But, but, tolls are involved. These are currencies that are becoming bedrocks for businesses (Customer type #2) to come to. They can just simply click a few buttons and there they are on the road driving along using the currency & the directions (ERC-20 guidelines) they were given. The reason I like roads is because businesses have incentive, investors do not. Yes eye popping returns have caught all of us by the nose, but not everyone. Businesses have more money, and they have a direct need for the services provided to create more wealth for themselves that isn’t related to speculative investment. This is why so many things are based off of the Ethereum blockchain. It was there when it needed to be. Perfect amount of supply, took it a step further than bitcoin, and has been an excellent performing baby brother at that.

I want you to see for yourself. Google “Ethereum Jobs” and see what comes up. What companies are hiring developers with Ethereum experience? What is the job doing? You will be quite surprised. Now, could they all be trying to make their own amazing blockchain? Perhaps. But I don’t see ICOs changing their main form of payment (ETH), especially when it’s developed off the Ethereum blockchain. It is quickly becoming the currency of the tech side. Sure crypto kitties…but once again, let’s play a little pong before Call of Duty.

Conclusion

I think all three ways of investment in cryptocurrency can be mastered through this website. I am quite new to the site, but when a non-ICO investor is deep into a BeeToken article (neither shilling nor dumping), you know you have some great people who have a ton of knowledge on this stuff. The trade recommendations we have here are spot on, we wouldn’t have a wall of fame if it was all smoke! However, Ol’ Raiden here loves his roads and low supply cars.

I love business. It’s the civilized form of warfare. Only the strongest survive, each with their own differentiated values that they provide to their customers. We aren’t investing in businesses though. We are investing in tokens that people need to want. I want to invest in the token that businesses will need to become stronger. The only token I have seen do that is ETH. The only token I see doing it is ETH. There will be a litany of successful 1000%+ coins this year, but the United States is quickly becoming an ETH country. We love the road, we have developers for hire for it, and we like that we can do business on it. Even crazier? So is RUSSIA. Vitalik and Putin talked about a Eurasian token for goodness sake! His government hates the idea, but this is still in the pong phase anyway. Roads can have cars, and eventually storefronts. Can’t they?

None of what I said is recommendation to buy or sell currencies. the ones I have mentioned today are examples of what is currently available. I am here to provide you with the armor you need during your time in the trenches of your given exchange. Every currency mentioned can, quickly, go to $0. Best of luck.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Op-Ed

China and America: What We Need

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Great news! We are seeing that South Korea is going to be verifying their users, not banning the practice of trading altogether. They will begin identifying who exactly is tied to every single account. I think there will still be some backlash from disgruntled Finance Ministers (or whoever-the-hell), and we haven’t seen much crazy price movement that would come with a “we’re back open” announcement. I think this good news has wrapped the bad news in a bow. Koreans are okay to trade, and we want them to continue! That country loves speculating. However, this hits the Chinese traders right in the mouth.

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China is pushing out miners, getting wiser to capital flight loopholes, and seemingly wanting nothing to do with cryptocurrency or blockchain. When Facebook is taboo, did you really think blockchain was going to be the bee’s knees? I think my two main worries going into 2018 are China and America. The way that these two economies react formally to cryptocurrency has not yet been fully developed. Probably because they are trying to figure out ways for it to work for them before they denounce it altogether. Let’s think about their problems.

China

The country who needs this the most! They have had a restrictive government that often places rules that can jeopardize the value of their hard earned savings. I love when San Francisco techies talk about de-centralization needs to happen in America NOW, when Chinese people are fighting for their financial lives each and every day. I feel for them! I want them to be able to access the things that can give them more freedom of choice in investment and storage. This Korea thing was a real stinker. When the people with the biggest problem that needs solving can’t access your products, it is tough. I am worried about this. I don’t take too much risk in this market, and this is one of those risks that could jeopardize a lot.

Here is what we are hoping to see: They deal with the devils they know. There are plenty of Chinese nationals who have dealt with government officials before, that are now putting up their crypto storefronts. I am hoping that these are the ones that they will work with to create a future that they determine. The entire internet will slowly migrate into the blockchain, I just think they want to set the rules for it. This may take a while, and I think Chinese volume will suffer for this. I really hope that better, more compromising things can come out of this government a little quicker. We are already seeing so much growth from the Chinese teams! Anyone see NEO last night? Walton, QTUM also making moves back. These are some of the best minds in the world at anything, let alone cryptocurrency. I think China will have to blink eventually.

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America: Taxes & ICOs & Donald, Oh my!

I really strongly doubt that a low key tax announcement is all we will hear from the United States. Angel list is ripe with new exchanges desperately trying to get on the market before Coinbase realizes their app is the only competitive advantage they have. GDAX and Coinbase are the pioneers, they were able to come up with something good enough for a public that needed it. However, when the pioneer doesn’t put some more crypto logs on the fiat based fire, I start to get cold. We need more things to buy in fiat, and I want a 1099 for it. Ya, I said it. I want a tax bill. We will never get to full adoption without formalized procedures. Decentralization is wonderful, but it isn’t there yet. Just spit me out a tax bill so we can get this thing started.

Make no mistake, start-up currencies and platforms from the United States are coming, and quickly. The government will formalize the ICO (ACO was the proposed?) process so that we don’t have wide scale fraud and plagiarized white papers. This will be when people can buy Exchange Traded Funds with crypto constituents. You really think there won’t be a SPDR for this at some point? My other articles continue to point out working businesses (I argue platforms for Dapps & Smart Contracts) will be the main constituents of these financial products. I am desperately trying to find ALL the United States based working blockchain focused cryptos. I will keep you posted on my findings of course. I never, ever, ever talk about something I don’t know about. There is way too much money at stake for me to talk about things prematurely. Be careful on Youtube, please please please.

Donald. The Donald. We haven’t heard one thing BIG about cryptocurrency from him. Mnuchin can say what he wants, but clearly Twitter is running the show (especially for us cryptocurrency people!!). This is a huge unknown. This can affect the dollar. This can affect the banking industry. This can affect the loan industry. We already have robots working at McDonald’s, now shirt and tie people are at risk? I am hoping we craft a peaceful transition, but less money will be available to pay people. Think about what happens when you can get a rate for a mortgage on the blockchain, sourced by global crowdfunding through intermediaries? I don’t even want to know how low that rate can get when it becomes mainstream. Humans have always had power in numbers. This can be a very big number.

None of what I am saying is a recommendation to buy cryptocurrencies, in fact it was a warning sign. Let’s all be safe, do research, and know that this can, quickly, go to $0. Best of luck.


Journey from Lao Cai to Sa Pa

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Op-Ed

They Built It. Who’s Coming?

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2018: The year of opportunity if you are reading this right now.

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You know either on a basic or high level that cryptocurrency has value, and hopefully you have begun poking around at what is investable. I do enjoy having private investors from around the world joining together to invest in things that we will never be able to fully understand. That is textbook early adoption! We aren’t supposed to know every single speck and detail. The reason I have so much faith is because regardless of what people tell you, there are facts in cryptocurrency that no pessimist can deny. The facts that I care most about are: Who is here, who is coming, and how much are they coming with.

Who is here

Well, I don’t think we could be joined by any better group of people. When co-workers and family members tell you that it’s all going to $0 (as all day job final adopters will say), you must first think of who is going to go to $0 with you in their world. The founders of what would be Facebook, the founder of PayPal, Hedge Fund Managers, Creme de la Creme Back/Front end developers (some of which left HUGE Silicon Valley jobs), and of course, all of us fine normal people who don’t want to miss out on the Google IPO of our generation. There are more big money people here than we can count. A lot of them have significant amounts of their net worth tied to cryptocurrency.

I am sure you could go throughout history and find me smart people who have made bad second business decisions. However, if we just think about the history of innovation, cryptocurrency has all the signs of a wave that is not yet a wave. The first sign is anger. When the talking heads on TV discuss blockchain, there is always someone declaring it’s demise in hyperbolic fashion. Smart people get upset when they can’t grasp the concept of something. It happened with the automobile, internet, computer, and the list goes on. I could pull up blips all day from news anchors in the 60-70’s running their mouths about something new and useful. Society has to repel it before they can embrace it. I don’t know where in the exact part of the process we are at, but I am hoping 2018 will give us our road map that we so desperately need.

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Who is Coming

I will summarize and explain: Coinbase People, Big Business, Intermediaries 

Coinbase People

Coinbase people are people who are not yet able to really grasp the concept of cryptocurrency. Think about what is needed to be done if you would like to invest in currencies that aren’t the big 4-5 that everyone can buy with cash. You need to make two accounts, use your cash to buy one virtual currency to pay for another virtual currency. Yes, I know that makes sense to you and I (sometimes it doesn’t), but for most people it simply doesn’t. This extra layer of annoyance and deterrence is what is going to make us money. If it was easy for these people to buy all of the currencies we hold so dear, Raiden would already be on a beach somewhere. If you just think about all the steps you went through to buy coins and store them, that is enough to put more than half the population into a technology coma. This, once again, is my bet. My bet is that once it becomes easy for these people to buy different coins (and the government makes it easy for them), then we will begin to see some rapid adoption. You are just simply not going to get most people to go to Hong Kong virtual Exchanges to buy cryptocurrencies. It must be at their doorstep, especially for Americans. Look at the drive-thru food culture! They wait. We want them to wait, that is what creates discounts for early adopters.

Businesses 

There are plenty of businesses who are actively looking into implementing blockchain. Think of the SWIFT system for money transfer. It takes days, its expensive, and backlogged. How about securing client information? Well, I couldn’t possibly think of any data breaches in the past 5-10 years. How about the rapid exchange of information/data? Companies already do this on “secure” email servers en masse. That’s an 86′ Toyota Corolla with 300,000 miles on it compared to the cars that people can encrypt their information on in the blockchain. Encrypting money and information from a basic level makes complete sense. If the best cars/roads are crowd sourced on an alternative platform, so be it. If they want to stick their nose up to it, that’s fine. Darwin’s finches had some losers obviously. Blockchain will be the place where all things are done eventually. Brick and Mortar stores are slowly dying, while our internet identity grows at an unstable pace. All of this volume must go somewhere. Clearly the way we use the internet now is outdated and dangerous. So, we must migrate. Here in lies the bet.

Intermediaries

I saved the best for last. Remember those lazy Coinbase people? Intermediaries are the folks who will make the drive-thru window for them. Let’s think about how an asset manager could use cryptocurrencies. They can actively manage a pool of currencies for investors, they can make an index that costs people essentially nothing to buy on an e-trade account, or they can simply buy large amounts to go with the other holdings that they have of traditional investments. The amount of ways they can use these products to derive fees from their clients its infinite. Each and every single way will benefit us. I have never known a financial services firm to turn down a financial market because of it’s volatility. These are the people to listen for. Currently, there are a couple funds investors can buy that have a holding of bitcoin. If you and Raiden aren’t satisfied with just one coin, why do you think others would be?

I am sure you recently saw the SEC is quietly telling all asset managers to pull their bids for cryptocurrency funds. Governments are still trying to get taxes from the last big wave, you think they can handle another one right now? This was expected. This wasn’t going to be a smooth ride. If you have read my earlier posts, we like when the government talks. They scare people! We can make money from scared people.

All of what I have told you means something. Think ahead. What would your parents buy? Grandparents? Co-workers? Or better yet what are they willing to be exposed to in a financial product. A fund listed on an American Exchange can’t have “road map” currencies as constituents. That wouldn’t make sense. My homework to you is to write down your own hypothetical American Index fund. find the names you think are stable enough to be tracked in a basket of other currencies.

This is going to be an exciting year if you are prepared, and you are creative. I do hope this has stimulated some thought. I am not recommending you buy or sell any currencies, as my intention is to give you as much armor as I can in the trenches of the exchange. I wish you the best of luck. But, this all can go to $0. Take profits. Read.

Images courtesy of Pennex and Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Motivational

The Green is Back! Time to Think

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And what a beautiful green meadow it is! Except for maybe some lazy few, the market is looking great this morning. We have all of the coins moving back to at least a good support of where they were when they hit highs a couple weeks ago. What I want to discuss today is the question I implore you to ask yourself in the near future, as you begin to see prices pass your breakeven points. That question is “What do I want 2018 to look like?”

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When you dip your toes into the cold pool of cryptocurrency, you may have plopped in a little too fast. The reason many start in cryptocurrency is because they have heard someone talking about the profits they have been experiencing from “XYZ” coin. You want to do your research obviously (not), but those returns are getting your heart racing and you need to make sure you are on board for the next Mount Everest gain. What does that lead you to do?


Greener pastures are coming.

Buy large quantities of low priced coins:

“It’s $.10! I am going to be a billionaire I have thousands and thousands of coins!” I believe many people have low priced coins (under $.01-$1.00), and think it is going to reach levels of crazy amounts. I hate to be a broken record, but LOOK AT SUPPLY. It is a simple math problem to estimate every single price prediction that comes out of someones mouth. If XYZ coin with 100,000,000,000 supply gets to $3.00 that means the size of the world market for that coin is roughly 40% of today’s ENTIRE market cap. Be smart. That’s not going to happen in 2018. Especially for ideas that are not yet functional. I have mentioned in my prior article that relying on investor speculation to boost prices of coins is a ridiculous investment strategy. I certainly want Doctor Rob and Gardner Joe with a computer to join me of course! But there must be people or businesses with copious amounts of Money/Data either designing cars (cryptocurrency) for the road, or using the road and paying tolls in the already functioning car. Seeing what ICOs are coming out on platforms is fairly easy, you’re on a fantastic website for it! I don’t look at the car, I look at the road it’s creating it for.

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What is infinitely harder is figuring out the difference between speculative investor volume and real user volume. In my opinion, that is the reason the market is so speculative. That is a difficult number to quantify, therefore our only knowledge comes from what is publicly announced. This is the reason Reddit, Twitter, Telegram, etc. are so crucial. Oh yes, exchanges are where the money is, but the power is in social media. This is the only financial-related community that takes place almost entirely on social media, deep social media at that. I am the God of lightning, but I still have no f’ing idea how to read Reddit. But, just like eating and powerlifting, this is what comes with the job. The picks you came up with didn’t come from a textbook, did it?

Where to go from here: 

I want you to make your money on the coins that you already own. I am sure some will reach healthy levels entirely due to the fact more and more people are entering the market. However, this world isn’t just an account on the internet. This is a global phenomenon. There have been fatwas put out on bitcoin. There are cryptocurrencies being made by human rights abusers to circumvent sanctions. This is a thorny little bugger of an industry to the people who have the power to stop it. I love your big 100,000,000,000,000 coin that you have tons of shares of. But, you saw what Korea rumblings did to it. Wait for United States rumblings. Think of your coins as the three little pigs. You better have a good house with good friends and neighbors when the wolf comes to blow it down. Hey, maybe the wolf just wants to shake you around a little. If your blockchain isn’t built on profit and volume, you will fall down (again).

My homework to you is to walk away from the social media sites I told you were so critical for news. Go on Google and type in  a currency that you like with less than 150MM in supply (go to coinmarketcap.com in the top 100 market cap). “XYZ partnerships”. Do that for all the coins you like. See what comes up. If you see a company/institution who has signed on, see HOW they are signed on. How are they using it? How is the blockchain company going to reward coinholders for it? If XYZ coin gets a Tim Cook selfie and a thumbs up partnership tomorrow, but they are over there in San Francisco getting free food and helping them design a white piece of crap for Apple to sell, how is that helping me?

If your search comes up with social media jargon about “the future” and hitting road maps of Alphas and Betas etc.- bin it. I am interested in making money in 2018, not having to hit objectives before. The most important thing I can tell you all is that you have 0% ownership in these companies. Their road map is the business they want to start. If you want to help them create it, I love you for it and I hope you are rewarded. But I invest in things where it doesn’t matter that I don’t have equity in the company. I must be rewarded with every single corporate customer that these companies have. The moment they have a partner but it won’t affect the price, I am out. I need incentivized teams growing the coin AND the business, not just the business. This is a spoiled crypto brat preference. Raiden is Sorry.

As an aside, I will very rarely be mentioning currencies on here. My directions will lead you to all my coins that I have. Those who are spoon-fed are unwise, and therefore not understanding of the risks associated with cryptocurrency. Remember, all readers of Raiden are friends of Raiden. I want you to make tons of money. You WILL NEVER make tons of money consistently if you are given names to “CTRL+F” into a Binance or Bittrex exchange. I want you to have a burning desire to learn these currencies inside and out, because a price target will come into your head the moment you put the pieces together. I will provide the pieces throughout my time (I hope).

None of what I say is financial advice. As you can see, I don’t recommend currencies to buy, so therefore the purpose of my articles is empowerment on your chosen exchange. I wish you luck, and remember that the waters your swimming in have sharks.

Featured image courtesy of Pexels.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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