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Op-Ed

What to Buy: Roads vs. Cars

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I guess I jinxed it. We are starting to move back down lower, as it seems there may still be some fear going on. I think you are starting to see that there are still some very resilient coins that aren’t fresh off an ICO, yet have strong gains on multiple down days. I have tried to look at each and every single one on social media to see what exactly is going on that is keeping it consistently gaining. This is where I stumbled upon my strategy.

There are currently three ways to invest in cryptocurrencies: ICOs, speculation and investment. Of those three ways, there are two different types of currencies (Road Focused/Car Focused) that have two different types of customers (public/”corporate”). Let’s digest:

Investment Strategies

ICO

Primary offering of coins that often has some sort of incentive amount of extra coins that are awarded as an early signing bonus (Pre-ICO). If you want to retire on a beach tomorrow, you are looking on the wrong article. This website holds some of the most fantastic writing on ICOs that is available anywhere, and I don’t write it! When you buy into something that is not yet traded on an exchange, the upside potential is astronomical, especially when the people betting mortgages on them are counted in the thousands. The reason I don’t invest in ICOs is that timing the top (to sell) of that initial buzz, especially on exchanges like Bittrex/Binance is extremely difficult. If you miss it, you are left with a road map coin that better have some good tweets soon. Overall, you are already at the Mecca of ICOs. I recommend you read as much as of our ICO analyses as possible, as there will come a day when sniffing out good ICOs will become a weapon of mass affluence. For some it already has.

Speculation 

This goes back to your high supply “Future of X” “X 2.0” coins. People have made astronomical amounts of money on coins that don’t even have customers. Usually, their strategy was often buying the cheapest things on the exchange. I have done this, and when it works it is pretty awesome. However, this is all scared money. These are people who have moved money from one tweet to the next, and are often ready to jump overboard at a 20% loss just so they can buy the new thing. I have noticed this time and time again with a lot of the coins that I think are actually pretty neat, but have supplies that make my neck hairs stand. If you can time these buys correctly according to road map objectives and event driven volume, you are a better person than I. (Coincalendar.info) will help you do that. Literally, right above my virtual head you have the best guys in cryptocurrency making EXACT calls on currencies based on hours of research and data mining. 15-20 year trading veterans. Not lightning Gods, but still.

Investment

Ah! Raiden’s territory. This is the least sexy of them all, I can assure you. A little about myself- I don’t come from the tech space. I can only understand the very surface of what is going behind the hood of the blockchain/currency. So, I go towards what I know. There are very distinct ways to see if a business is A. Valuable and B. Making money. I don’t care if they are selling hot dogs on the blockchain, if they fit those two criteria (plus a nice <150MM Supply) I can make money. Time and time again, it always leads me to the same question. Do I want a nice car or a road with tolls?

XMR is an example of a car. No one is calling them to use their roads, be it that they pride themselves on throwing IP addresses into black holes, etc. Don’t think this is a knock on these coins. Putting your money in a virtual razor wire Harry Potter cloak and sending it anywhere is probably going to be useful, and the supplies of these coins is enough to make my mouth water. This is where I must wait for volume. Coinbase additions, new fiat-based exchanges, corporate interest, intermediary indexing would the main drivers you want in car coins. I have used to LTC purchase normal online goods. I can’t say that for any other coin.

NEO/ETH are examples of roads. I will not deny- I love roads. Smart contracts and decentralized apps are making the blockchain useable for every day people-EVENTUALLY. Right now, it’s like playing pong or another old arcade game. But, but, tolls are involved. These are currencies that are becoming bedrocks for businesses (Customer type #2) to come to. They can just simply click a few buttons and there they are on the road driving along using the currency & the directions (ERC-20 guidelines) they were given. The reason I like roads is because businesses have incentive, investors do not. Yes eye popping returns have caught all of us by the nose, but not everyone. Businesses have more money, and they have a direct need for the services provided to create more wealth for themselves that isn’t related to speculative investment. This is why so many things are based off of the Ethereum blockchain. It was there when it needed to be. Perfect amount of supply, took it a step further than bitcoin, and has been an excellent performing baby brother at that.

I want you to see for yourself. Google “Ethereum Jobs” and see what comes up. What companies are hiring developers with Ethereum experience? What is the job doing? You will be quite surprised. Now, could they all be trying to make their own amazing blockchain? Perhaps. But I don’t see ICOs changing their main form of payment (ETH), especially when it’s developed off the Ethereum blockchain. It is quickly becoming the currency of the tech side. Sure crypto kitties…but once again, let’s play a little pong before Call of Duty.

Conclusion

I think all three ways of investment in cryptocurrency can be mastered through this website. I am quite new to the site, but when a non-ICO investor is deep into a BeeToken article (neither shilling nor dumping), you know you have some great people who have a ton of knowledge on this stuff. The trade recommendations we have here are spot on, we wouldn’t have a wall of fame if it was all smoke! However, Ol’ Raiden here loves his roads and low supply cars.

I love business. It’s the civilized form of warfare. Only the strongest survive, each with their own differentiated values that they provide to their customers. We aren’t investing in businesses though. We are investing in tokens that people need to want. I want to invest in the token that businesses will need to become stronger. The only token I have seen do that is ETH. The only token I see doing it is ETH. There will be a litany of successful 1000%+ coins this year, but the United States is quickly becoming an ETH country. We love the road, we have developers for hire for it, and we like that we can do business on it. Even crazier? So is RUSSIA. Vitalik and Putin talked about a Eurasian token for goodness sake! His government hates the idea, but this is still in the pong phase anyway. Roads can have cars, and eventually storefronts. Can’t they?

None of what I said is recommendation to buy or sell currencies. the ones I have mentioned today are examples of what is currently available. I am here to provide you with the armor you need during your time in the trenches of your given exchange. Every currency mentioned can, quickly, go to $0. Best of luck.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.4 stars on average, based on 27 rated postsMythological God of Lightning. Cryptocurrency/Blockchain writer, evangelist, and friend. May the odds be ever in our favor.




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Market Overview

Comparing Nasdaq and Bitcoin: What Lessons Can We Learn?

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Bubbles

Over the past few months, lots of people have talked about the similarities between the .com bubble in the early 2000s and the bitcoin market today. It seems that the further down the bitcoin market goes; the more people are using this analogue to help them stay in the game for the long-run.

One of the influential people in the crypto space who often refers to this comparison is Teeka Tiwari at Palm Beach Research Group. While he usually compares the Nasdaq during the late 1990s with the total cryptocurrency market cap, we are here going to compare the Nasdaq during that same period with the market for bitcoin specifically.

Nasdaq vs Bitcoin

In the image above, the top chart is a weekly chart of bitcoin, while the bottom chart is a monthly chart of the Nasdaq 100 Index from 1989 to 2004.

As we all know, the crypto market tends to behave like the stock market on steroids. Moves are larger, and trends change faster in crypto compared to in stocks. It therefore makes more sense to compare these two charts using different timeframes, which is why I have chosen the monthly chart for Nasdaq while bitcoin is represented with a weekly chart.

There are a few interesting things to take note of regarding this comparison:

The Nasdaq found support following the crash in 2000 and 2001, and has later gained more than 600%. The Nasdaq has, in other words, returned more than three times as much for investors than the broader S&P500 index has done.

One explanation for why all financial bubbles have so much in common is that the one thing that causes them – human fear and greed – never changes.

What was different during the dot-com bubble back in the early 2000s was that communication was slow and ineffective compared to the high-speed Internet connections we have today on our phones and laptops. This is one of the reasons why it took the Nasdaq a few years to rise 1,700%, while bitcoin managed to achieve the same return in just a few months.

Similarly, it took the Nasdaq 30 months to fall 78%, while bitcoin lost 70% in just one and a half month.

Another thing both markets have had in common is that when they were down 70% from the top, many people completely lost faith in the future of these markets.

It has been pointed out by observers that even the arguments these people used against investing in the said markets were largely the same: No underlying value, too much volatility, too much regulations/lack of regulations/bad regulations, lack of social responsibility from the market actors, etc.

In hindsight, it has become clear that only the investors who had the mental clarity to ignore all this noise during the early 2000s were able to catch the 600% move that followed in the Nasdaq.

Diversification saved investors

When we are talking about ignoring noise and riding out the storm, let’s not forget that many of the companies that made up the Nasdaq in the early 2000s did eventually go out of business. Betting everything on a single company, in many cases, ended up being a catastrophe for the investor, despite the fact that the sector as a whole did incredibly well. This really made the benefit of diversification clear to everyone.

We can assume that the same is true for the cryptocurrencies of today. Some will emerge and become hugely successful, while others will slowly but steadily decrease in value and become irrelevant. Which ones they are is extremely difficult to tell at this early stage, but the lesson to be learned is clear: Diversification may be the only free lunch we will ever get in the world.

Featured image from Pixabay.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.3 stars on average, based on 34 rated postsFredrik Vold is an entrepreneur, financial writer, and technical analysis enthusiast. He has been working and traveling in Asia for several years, and is currently based out of Beijing, China. He closely follows stocks, forex and cryptocurrencies, and is always looking for the next great alternative investment opportunity.




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Op-Ed

Is Manipulation Behind Bitcoin Cash’s Absurd Rally?

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Although you wouldn’t know it by today’s prices, bitcoin cash (BCH) has topped the crypto market leader board this month. The digital currency more than doubled over the span of 18 days, and in doing so far outpaced the broader market. But a closer examination of the value drivers suggest manipulation could be partly responsible for the rally.

As a reminder, the author has no vested interest in smearing BCH as I believe it to be one of the more advantageous coins on the market today. That said, the circumstances surrounding the most recent rally are peculiar to say the least.

What’s Up with Bitcoin.com?

A Hacked user informed me earlier this week that Bitcoin.com has been using the “BCH” ticker next to the word “bitcoin”. Normally, the ticker “BTC” is reserved for bitcoin, which is the original blockchain we all know about. Instead, the website quotes “BTC” next to the term “bitcoin core”.

In other words, BCH is quoted next to bitcoin and BTC is referred to as bitcoin core. See here for yourself:

 

For most readers of Hacked, the distinction is easily discernible, but for new traders the difference isn’t easily gauged.

The first question I have is, how many people bought bitcoin (BCH) thinking they were receiving actual bitcoin (BTC)?

Bitcoin.com describes itself as the “premier source for everything bitcoin.” Although the website doesn’t appear to offer a full-fledged trading platform, users can purchase bitcoin and bitcoin cash using the following link.

It is unclear how long the website has been referring to BCH as bitcoin. For those of us who’ve been following the market for some time, the way BTC and BCH are quoted is certainly strange.

Antpool

A large cryptocurrency mining group by the name of Antpool has also been accused of pumping BCH in recent weeks. The pool announced about six days ago that it is responsible for confirming more than 8% of all bitcoin cash transactions. In addition to confirming those, Antpool is also said to be burning BCH on a daily basis in order to reduce supply and boost prices.

Of course, crypto pumps do not require such elaborate setups to achieve their goals. Pump-and-dumps can be orchestrated rather easily through a chat group on social media. But Antpool does have a large and privileged position in the BCH ecosystem, which has raised suspicion over its recent actions.

Bitcoin Cash is Overbought, According to Tom Lee

Fundstrat’s Tom Lee recently weighed in on the bitcoin cash phenomenon, concluding that the cryptocurrency was overbought. In his view, investors should stick with bitcoin if they had a choice between Core and Cash.

In a segment on CNBC’s Fast Money, Lee said:

“I prefer not to pick winners and losers when we’re looking at cryptocurrencies like bitcoin/bitcoin Cash… Both have merits but if I was putting new money to work today… I would be a lot more interested in buying a lagger that could attract inflows rather than something that’s potentially overbought.”

Bitcoin cash added around $1,000 to its value between Apr. 6 and 23, with prices peaking near $1,600. The cryptocurrency corrected sharply lower on Wednesday and was still declining as of Thursday’s early-morning session. At the time of writing, BCH/USD was down 4.6% at $1,268.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 463 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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Decentralization

JP Morgan’s Surprise Cryptocurrency Fees are a Reminder of Why Decentralization Is Sorely Needed

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JP Morgan Chase & Co has been hit with a class-action lawsuit by cryptocurrency traders over allegations of unannounced fees and higher interest rates on purchases of digital currencies. Though the allegations have not been proven, extra fees are a tactic routinely employed by traditional banking institutions. In the case of JP Morgan, this has karma written all over it given the way its chief executive has ridiculed digital assets by associating them with fraud.

Class Action Lawsuit

Traders from across the United States are seeking statutory damages of $1 million for unannounced interest charges and fees on cryptocurrency transactions between January and February of this year. The named plaintiff in the lawsuit is Brady Tucker, an Idaho resident who paid a total of $163.91 in fees and surprise interest charges over a six-day stretch.

According to information obtained by Reuters, the lawsuit accuses the bank of violating the U.S. Truth in Lending Act, a piece of legislation that requires credit card issuers to inform customers in writing of any notable change in fees.

The lawsuit asserts that Tucker tried to resolve the dispute by calling Chase’s customer support service directly. His request was turned down, prompting him to seek legal help. According to Bloomberg, the case in question is Tucker v. Chase Bank USA NA, 18-cv-3155, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).

The Growing Case for Decentralization

Depending on who you ask, the allegations against JP Morgan are akin to cryptocurrency fraud not unlike the kind Jamie Dimon talked about while ridiculing bitcoin. But the irony in Dimon’s comments extend far beyond Chase’s latest dealings.

As the actions of Chase bank and other financial institutions have clearly demonstrated over the years, those who control the size and growth rate of fiat money cannot be trusted to do the right thing. As Nassim Taleb argues in The Black Swan, banks have a tendency of losing as much money as they make in the long run due to shady business practices and high-risk ventures. Decisions like these are easy when you are Too Big to Fail.

Decentralization, like the kind advocated by blockchain startups and cryptocurrencies, allows users to trade directly with each other without having to go through a (predatory) middleman. Decentralized systems not only help participants avoid unnecessary fees, red tape and other forms of unwanted intervention, they are virtually impossible to shut down. In this vein, decentralized currencies give people a fighting chance in their battle against never-ending inflation. As we’ve argued before, this is not only a prudent fight, but a noble one as well.

Cryptocurrencies that rely on decentralization offer society a unique value proposition unlike anything we’ve seen in recent history. What’s more, their adoption is not contingent upon us leaving the realm of traditional finance – at least, not yet. That’s because cryptocurrency started off as an obscure and esoteric asset class but has since become a value store for investors. Tomorrow, it will become a viable medium of exchange accepted worldwide.

That said, we are still in the very early days of the crypto revolution and it may be a while still before we can conclusively prove people like Dimon wrong. But crypto backers and investors should take comfort in knowing that big banks rarely lead in disruption these days. They have the resources to play catch-up, which they are clearly doing with blockchain.

Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.6 stars on average, based on 463 rated postsSam Bourgi is Chief Editor to Hacked.com, where he specializes in cryptocurrency, economics and the broader financial markets. Sam has nearly eight years of progressive experience as an analyst, writer and financial market commentator where he has contributed to the world's foremost newscasts.




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