The US stock markets continued their upward grind and the index recorded an eighth consecutive weekly close in the green. A new life-time is a sign of strength, which should be purchased. Hence, we have selected a few stocks that have a good risk to reward ratio and can be purchased even at these levels.
- The S&P 500 continues its march higher
- Some stocks are likely to participate if the uptrend continues
- Buy KBH, SIVB, MAIN, CNQ, PCSB and INGR
However, the S&P 500 is getting into the overbought zone. Therefore, we recommend trading with only about 50% of the usual allocation size.
KBH – Buy 28, Stop Loss (SL) 26, Target 33 and higher
After peaking in 2005, the stock plunged during the financial crisis. It has struggled to rally since then and has been languishing below the $29 levels for more than a decade. It has formed a large base. Once the stock breaks out of the overhead resistance, it is likely to start a new uptrend. While the stock looks like a good bet even for the medium-term, we shall stick to the short-term targets. Traders who want to hold the stock for the medium-term can do so by trailing their stops higher.
The stock rallied from February to July of this year, post which, it entered into a correction that ended on September 22. The stock, then, quickly rallied from a low of $20.68 to $27.67 in about 20 days. Since then, the stock has been consolidating in a tight range between $26.21 on the lower end and $27.77 on the upper end. Once the stock breaks out of the upper end of the range, we expect it to rally to $33.2 levels in the short-term. Though $29 might act as a resistance, we believe that it is unlikely to hold for long.
Therefore, we recommend a long position on a breakout and close above the range at $28. The initial stop loss can be placed at $26. Our target objective is $33 and higher. Traders can book 50% profits at $33 and trail the remaining position higher.
SIVB – Buy 225, SL 215, Target 252
The stock is in an uptrend and has been a multibagger since bottoming in 2009. The stock more than doubled from end-June 2016 to end-February 2017. Thereafter, the stock entered a period of consolidation, during which it only experienced a shallow correction. The stock resumed its uptrend in the week before, which should carry it to $274 in the medium-term. However, we want to trade it for the short-term, therefore, let’s look at the entry and exit levels.
The stock gapped up to new lifetime highs on October 27. We like the way it has been consolidating near the highs since then. This shows that the bulls are not in a hurry to book profits even at these levels. If the bulls manage to breakout to new highs, we expect the stock to regain momentum and quickly rally towards its short-term target objective of $252. Therefore, we recommend a buy at $225 with a stop loss of $215.
MAIN – Buy 41.1, SL 39.6, Target 43.86
The stock bottomed out in end-2008 and rallied sharply till 2013. Thereafter, the stock spent the next three years in consolidation. An attempt to breakdown of the range failed in early-2016, after which the stock resumed its uptrend.
The stock has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart. $40.5 had been acting as a stiff resistance on the upside. However, on Friday, the stock broke out and closed above the overhead resistance. We now expect the stock to resume its uptrend and rally towards its pattern target of $43.86. We can buy the stock at $41.1, above the intraday highs of Friday and keep a stop loss of $39.6.
CNQ – Buy 36.02, SL 32, Target 41
The stock topped out at $53.93 in early-June 2008. Thereafter, the stock plunged during the financial crisis. Though the stock pulled back from the lows, it could never breakout to new highs. It continued to make lower highs and then in early-2016, it again plunged to the lows. Since then, the stock has recovered smartly and is on its way to the downtrend line, which is likely to act as a stiff resistance once again.
After a smart recovery from the lows in early-2016, the stock entered a period of consolidation. It remained range bound between $27.52 to $34.3 for about one and a half years. It broke out and closed above the range on Monday of last week. Thereafter, it continued to rally for the next four days. We believe that the stock has started a new uptrend that is likely to carry it to $41 levels. Therefore, we recommend a buy at the current levels of $36.02 with a stop loss of $32.
PCSB – Buy 19.31, SL 18.5, Target 21.2
The stock has a trading history of just a few months, therefore, we are not analysing the weekly charts.
The chart shows that the stock rallies and then consolidates for the next few weeks. Following this pattern, the stock bottomed on September 07 at $16.5 and rallied to $19.2 by September 29. Since then, the stock has been consolidating in a small range of $18.56 to $19.20. It broke out of the range on Thursday of last week and extended its gains on Friday. It should now rally towards its target of $21.2. Hence, we recommend a buy at the current levels with a stop loss of $18.5.
INGR – Buy 130, SL 124, Target 139
The stock has been in a steady uptrend since bottoming out in 2009. It entered into a correction in September of last year. Since then, it remained within the range of $113 to $129. However, last week, the stock broke out of the overhead resistance and is now likely to resume its uptrend.
The stock had been range bound between $113 and $126 since February of this year. On November 01, it broke out of the range and also above the overhead resistance. Though it did not close strong, the bears could not push it back into the range as the buying continued on the following two days. We believe that the stock has completed its consolidation and is likely to resume its uptrend. It has a short-term pattern target of $139, which is close to the lifetime highs. We, therefore, recommend a buy at the current levels of $130 with a stop loss of $124. There is a small resistance at $135, therefore, we recommend raising the stop loss to breakeven once the stock reaches $135.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Trade Recommendation: MaidSafeCoin/Bitcoin Bounce Play
MAID/BTC has been range trading between 0.00007 and 0.0002 in the weekly chart on Poloniex from June 2016 to August 2017. Unfortunately for the bulls, the market broke support after testing it for the fourth time on October 10. The market has been bearish since, but savvy traders can still find opportunities to reap profits.
The weekly chart reveals that the market is bouncing at 0.000025 critical support level. The pair used that level a year ago as a springboard to generate its all-time high at 0.00029350 on March 6, 2016. Furthermore, RSI in the weekly chart respected its long-term support. These indicators suggest that a rally is in order.
The strategy is to buy as close to 0.000025 support as possible. Sell immediately at the top end of the range which is 0.00007.
Take note: the pair has not shown any sign of bullish reversal. However, you can still generate income by taking advantage of a rally.
Weekly MAID/BTC Chart on Poloniex
As of this writing, MAID/BTC is trading at 0.00003356 on Poloniex.
Summary of Strategy
Buy: as close to 0.000025 support as possible
Stop: immediately sell if the market moves below 0.000025
Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.
Trading recommendation: Lisk/Bitcoin
The best way to trade a range-bound market is to buy at the lower end of the range and sell at the upper end. If the range is large and well established, it offers us a good risk to reward objective. We believe that LSK/BTC fits the bill and offers us an attractive opportunity to buy at the support and sell at the resistance.
- LSK/BTC has formed a large trading range.
- Buy at the lower end of the range.
- Sell at the upper end of the range.
LSK/BTC has been trading in a large range of $0.00046 on the lower end and $0.0016 on the upper end. On three occasions, the cryptocurrency pair has bounced off the supports. Similarly, it has returned from the $0.0016 levels thrice. The range is well defined. Currently, price is trying to rebound after breaking below the lower end of the range last week. We believe that a buy at current levels offers us a low-risk and high-reward trading opportunity.
On December 07, the cryptocurrency pair broke below the support of $0.00046. However, the very next day, it climbed back into the range, which is a positive indication. This shows that the bulls want to keep the range intact. However, the rally from the lows hit a roadblock at the 20-day EMA.
Currently, LSK/BTC is again pulling back towards the lower end of the range. If the support holds, we believe that the digital currency will again rally to the upper end of the range. Therefore, we suggest buying 50% of the desired allocation close to $0.00050 levels. Remaining 50% of the position should be purchased once the digital currency breaks out of $0.00068. The profit objective is a rally to the upper end of the range at $0.0016. The trade should be closed if the virtual currency breaks down and sustains below the lower end of the range. This is a long-term trade.
Trade Recommendation: Waves
This is a long term trade. The market gives us a new swing high which can be used for placing buy orders. This high is above SMA100 and if the price breaks this level, it will be a good trend reversal signal. We should expect for a new uptrend. MACD lines support upward movement and DMI allows opening long trades. It looks like a good buy opportunity. Entry level is 0.000950 with stop orders at 0.000360 level. Profit targets should be at 0.001400 and 0.002200 resistance levels. The part of trade volume can be left for new highs. If you don’t use leverage, trading volume for this trade is up to 10% from your deposit.
Profit Targets: 0.001400 and 0.002200
The trading signal is based on Bittrex chart.
Disclaimer: The analyst does not have investments in Waves.
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