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Trade Recommendation: Buy BBY, ZNH, CLX, and USCR

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The S&P 500 made a new intraday lifetime high on Monday of last week, but it could not sustain the gains. Over the next two days, the index declined, however, the bulls stepped in at 2624.75 levels, as the news flow turned positive. The index gained ground in the last two days of the week and made a new lifetime high on a closing basis.

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Important points

  1. Bulls continue to buy the dips, which suggests further upside to the US markets
  2. We want to ride the move higher through our trading positions
  3. Buy BBY, ZNH, CLX, and USCR

We believe that the bulls will want to end the year on a strong note, hence, the rally is likely to continue in the remaining few days of the year. After all, the index has closed positively in all the first eleven months of the year.

We, therefore, continue to look for trading opportunities on the long side. Notwithstanding, at the current levels, any adverse news, especially on the tax front can start a sharp fall. Therefore, please use a trailing stop loss to protect the position once it moves in our favor.

BBY – Buy 64.2, SL 60, Target 71

Weekly chart

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The stock had risen to a high of $59.5 in April 2006, following which it plunged to $12 by end-2012. Since then, the stock has been on a path to recovery. In May of this year, the stock made a new lifetime high, however, it could not sustain the levels. The bears again pushed the stock lower. In the last few months, the stock made a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart.

However, last week, the stock broke out to new highs, thereby invalidating the bearish pattern. This is a bullish development, which suggests further upside. Let’s see the critical levels on it.

Daily chart

On the daily chart, we find that the stock had been range bound since end-May of this year, between $53 on the lower end and $61.95 on the upper end. A couple of attempts to break out of the range faced stiff resistance from the bears. However, on Friday, the stock broke out to new highs with force. This is a bullish sign. We expect the stock to now move towards its pattern target of $71. Hence, we suggest buying it at $64.2, above Friday’s intraday highs with a SL of $60.

ZNH – Buy 46.5, SL 42, Target 53, 59

Weekly chart

The stock has not done much in the past decade. After rallying to dizzying heights a decade earlier, the stock plunged during the global financial crisis. Thereafter, it has been in recovery mode, but it has not been able to make new lifetime highs. Nevertheless, the pattern suggests that a retest of the highs is possible. Therefore, we want to enter this trade.

Daily chart

The stock had been range-bound between $25.6 and $42.6 for about two years. It broke out of the range on November 20. Thereafter, the bulls successfully held on to the $42.6 levels during the pullback. This shows demand for the stock at higher levels. The pattern target following the breakout of the range is $59. Therefore, we propose buying the stock at the current levels of $46.5 with a stop loss of $42.

There is a small resistance at the $53 mark, where traders can book partial profits if the stock struggles to break out of it.

CLX – Buy 146, SL 138, Target 168

Weekly chart

The stock has been in a long-term uptrend since 2009. It entered a period of consolidation/correction in July of last year. Since then, $140.5 had been acting as a stiff resistance. Three attempts to break out of the overhead resistance failed. The stock formed a bullish ascending triangle pattern and the bulls broke out above the overhead resistance last week. Hence, we want to buy the stock, as we expect it to move higher.

Daily chart

The bulls managed to breakout of the ascending triangle pattern on December 04 and have managed to sustain above $140.5 levels for a week, which is a bullish sign. The stock now has a pattern target of $168. Therefore, we want to buy 50% of the allocation at $146 and the rest on a successful retest of the $141 levels. Our stop loss for the trade can be kept at $138. We don’t want to hang on to the stock if it falls back into the triangle.

USCR – Buy 85.25, SL 80, Target 92

Weekly chart

The stock has been in an uptrend since 2012. It has been rising inside an ascending channel for more than a year. Just two weeks back, it had fallen to the trendline support of the channel, which held. We can now expect the stock to rally towards the resistance line of the channel, which is at the $92 levels.

Daily chart

On the daily chart, we find that the stock had been facing stiff resistance at the $80 mark. It broke out of the overhead resistance in end-August of this year, but could not sustain above it. Subsequently, it declined to the lower end of the range at $70. On November 30, the stock again broke out of $80 levels.

The bears again attempted to stem the rally at the $84 levels. However, the stock found support at $80 and rallied to new highs on Friday of last week. We, now, expect the uptrend to continue. Therefore, we recommend a buy at the current levels of $85.25, with a stop loss of $80 and a target objective of $92.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Stock Picks

Invest on Reversing PRGO and QCOM

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The S&P 500 Index (SPX) seems unstoppable as it continues to record one fresh high after another. The market even gapped up on January 12, opening at 2,770.18 after closing at 2,767.56 on January 11. Market participants are extremely bullish as they continue to buy even though SPX is in extreme overbought territory. At this point, however, it would be wise to take a contrarian point of view and be cautious about your positions. Your capital and all gains are at tremendous risk when the market is euphoric.

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You can still ride the mania by investing in stocks that are far from their tops. Let’s look at names that are reversing their trends.

PRGO – Perrigo Company

Perrigo Company (PRGO) is an international manufacturer of over-the-counter healthcare supplies, including infant formulae, supplements, and pediatric nutritionals. The company has close to 10,000 employees with sales of over $5 billion in 2016.

PRGO has been in a downtrend since it generated a lower high of 198.42 in August 2015. Things went from bad to worse for investors when the market broke crucial support of 120 in April 2016. During that week, the stock lost 21.02% of its value, as it dropped from 120.10 to 94.86. PRGO continued to tumble until it established support at 67 in March 2017. It consolidated for several months at that level until a volume spike in August 2017 brought the stock back to life.

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Technical analysis reveal that PRGO is on the verge of completely reversing its trend. It has created a bullish reversal pattern that relies on the breach of resistance at 98.

With the stock still a few dollars away from 98, you have a couple of options. You can buy at the current price level to reduce costs. Otherwise, wait for the stock to take out 98 with at least 10 million in volume in the daily chart. Those who bought at the 67 support level are likely to sell a significant part of their positions at 98 to lock their gains. PRGO needs a new set of investors who would absorb the selling pressure.

Once 98 is taken out, the target is 130.

Weekly PRGO Chart

Monthly PRGO Chart

As of January 12, the stock of Perrigo Company closed at 91.80.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: 91.80 or breakout at 98 with 10 million volume in the daily chart

Target: 130

Stop: A close below 87 negates this trade call

 

QCOM – Qualcomm Incorporated

Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) is an American multinational company that specializes in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of wireless telecommunications products and services. The company has over 33,000 employees and has generated $23.55 billion in revenues in 2016.

QCOM went extremely bearish when it posted a lower high of 78.53 in October 2014. The stock nosedived as it struggled to find stability. It even gapped down in the weekly chart on several occasions before establishing support at 45 in January 2016. QCOM has been rallying since. It’s also very close to breaching resistance at 69.

Technical analysis reveals that QCOM has created a large bullish reversal pattern. To confirm the reversal, the stock must take out resistance at 69 with volume of 80 million in the daily chart. Those who bought at the 55 support level are likely to dump their shares at 69, knowing that this is a strong resistance. QCOM needs buyers who would be happy to purchase those shares at 69.

The strategy is to wait for volume confirmation before placing buy orders. Bears have defended 69 several times which means they wouldn’t give up that level without a fight. If you want to invest, make sure you get in when the bulls are the clear winner.  

Take out 69 and we have a target of 93.

Weekly QCOM Chart


Monthly QCOM Chart


As of January 12, the Qualcomm Company stock closed at 65.38.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 69 with 80 million in volume

Target: 93

Stop: After breakout at 69, a close below 64 invalidates this trade call.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Ride PBCT and OKE on Bullish Reversal Patterns

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The S&P 500 Index (SPX) continues to be aggressively bullish as the market records seven fresh highs in a matter of eight trading days. Momentum is sky high, and the market continues to climb even though it is in extreme overbought territory. While this may sound bullish, such an ascent is not sustainable. The market will eventually have a correction and buying at the top is not a great strategy. If you don’t want to be left behind however, be smart and buy stocks that offer limited risks but reasonable rewards.

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Let’s look at names that are near their breakout point.

PBCT – People’s United Financial Incorporated

People’s United Financial Incorporated (PBCT) is the bank holding company for People’s United Bank. The company was founded in 1842 and has 4,729 employees. PBCT operates in the commercial and retail banking segments, serving individual, municipal, and corporate clients.  

The stock has been in a downtrend since it generated a lower high of 21.76 in September 2008. It plunged to one lower low after another until it found support at 11 in August 2011. After going through a long accumulation period, it came back to life in November 2016 when the stock went from 16.48 to 18.43 in a week. More than one year later, it appears that PBCT is ready for its next big move.

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Technical analysis show that the stock has created an immense bullish reversal pattern that started way back in 2008. Resistance at 20 was created when the market failed to close above that level almost a decade ago. Fast-forward to 2018, the stock gets another chance to reclaim that level. The stock needed close to ten years to get to the verge of taking out resistance at 20.

These multi-year consolidation periods sometimes yield tremendous gains in the short term. The key for PBCT is to break resistance of 20. To do so, the market needs 10 million in volume on the daily chart. Those who bought at immediate support of 17.50 are likely to sell some of their positions. The stock needs a fresh set of investors who can absorb the selling pressure.

The strategy is to buy breakout at 20 with the required volume. Take out that resistance level, and we have a target of 29.

Weekly PBCT Chart

Monthly PBCT Chart

As of January 12, the stock of People’s United Financial Incorporated closed at 19.48.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 20 with 10 million in volume in the daily chart.

Target: 29

Stop: After breakout at 20, a close below $18.75 negates this trade call.

OKE – ONEOK Incorporated

ONEOK Incorporated (OKE) is a diversified energy company that owns and operates one of the country’s modern natural gas liquid systems. It is also involved in collecting, processing, storing, and transporting natural gas. The company was founded in 1906 to provide safe and reliable energy and services to its customers.

OKE went into a downtrend in October 2014 when the stock registered a lower high of 61.56. It tumbled to one lower low after another until it established support at 20 in December 2015. The stock consolidated at that level until April 2016 when it made a big push up. OKE went from 30.57 to 36.03 in one week. Since then, the stock has been gradually rising, and it is currently threatening to take out resistance at 60.

Technical analysis show that OKE has created a large bullish reversal pattern that started in 2014 when the stock posted a lower high at 61.56. Breach of resistance at 60 will attract momentum traders, and could push the stock up to 100.

The strategy is to wait for breakout at 60 with volume of 10 million in the daily chart. Those who bought at immediate support at 55 are likely to dump some of their shares at 60 to lock in gains. OKE needs a new batch of investors who would most likely sell above 60.

Otherwise, wait for the market to take a slight dip so you can buy as close to 55 as possible. The market is currently in overbought territory, which increases the likelihood of a pullback.

Weekly ONEOK Chart

Monthly ONEOK Chart

As of January 12, the ONEOK Incorporated stock closed at 58.67.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: breakout at 60 with 10 million volume or as close to 55 as possible.

Target: 100

Stop: A close below 52 invalidates this trade call.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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Trade Recommendation: Bottom Pick MOS and NWL

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The S&P 500 Index (SPX) hit another fresh high of 2748.51 points yesterday. This is the fifth fresh high of the index in the last five trading days. Yesterday’s volume is still above the 20-day average, which means that market participants are willing to buy at this level, expecting that the index will climb higher. All of this is happening while the index is in extreme overbought territory in the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. As an experienced trader, I would take this opportunity to sell the greed. The best time to sell is when you don’t have to.

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While selling the greed, use your capital and earnings to buy the fear. Let’s look at stocks that have fallen, but have managed to bounce back.

MOS – The Mosaic Company

The Mosaic Company (MOS) is a Fortune 500 firm and one of the world’s largest producers of two key crop nutrients: potash and phosphate. In mining those minerals, the company is able to produce high-quality fertilizer and animal feed. Half of which is sold to customers in North America while the other half is sold to customers around the globe.

MOS has been in a downtrend for over six years after generating a lower high of 74.31 on the weekly chart in July 2011. Things went from bad to worse when the stock broke critical support of 50 in July 2013. MOS then created one lower low after another until it tumbled down to 19 which is a support level that hasn’t been taken out since 2006.

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Technical analysis show that MOS continues to respect the 12-year old support level. The stock has bounced from 19 with significant volume on the weekly charts in September 2017. This indicates that market participants are investing because they believe the stock is cheap. However, RSI shows that the stock is also respecting immediate resistance of 67. MOS may take a slight dip, which is a good opportunity for you to buy. The strategy is to buy as close to support of 23 as possible.

Take note: the stock is still in a downtrend, but there’s an opportunity to generate profits by buying the bounce. Consider selling positions at 34 to lock in gains. If the market breaches that resistance level, the next target is 50.

Weekly MOS Chart

Monthly MOS Chart

As of January 8, The Mosaic Company closed at 26.29.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: as close to support at 23 as possible

Target: 34 and 50

Stop: A close below 19 negates this trade call.

 

NWL – Newell Brands Incorporated

Newell Brands Incorporated (NWL) is a global leader in marketing commercial and consumer merchandise such as food storage, home organization products, reusable containers, and office supply products. The company’s portfolio includes popular brands such as Coleman, PaperMate, Elmer’s, Rubbermaid, and Parker Pens.   

NWL has been in a downtrend since it created a bearish double top at 55 in June 2017. The stock lost almost half of its value when it plunged to just below 28, which is a very important support level. Since 1996, the stock surged whenever it went above this level. On the other hand, NWL tends to nosedive if that support level is breached.

So far, the stock appears to respect this support level. Massive increase in volume levels from end of October to end of November indicate capitulation. The significant drop in volume last week may suggest exhaustion. This is a good opportunity to bottom pick.

The strategy is to buy at current price level. Initial resistance is 35. Take out this level, and we have a target of 44.

Weekly NWL Chart

Monthly NWL Chart

As of January 8, the Newell Brands Incorporated stock closed at 32.08.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: 32.08

Target: 44

Stop: A close below 28 invalidates this trade call.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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