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Trade Recommendation: Buy BBY, ZNH, CLX, and USCR

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The S&P 500 made a new intraday lifetime high on Monday of last week, but it could not sustain the gains. Over the next two days, the index declined, however, the bulls stepped in at 2624.75 levels, as the news flow turned positive. The index gained ground in the last two days of the week and made a new lifetime high on a closing basis.

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Important points

  1. Bulls continue to buy the dips, which suggests further upside to the US markets
  2. We want to ride the move higher through our trading positions
  3. Buy BBY, ZNH, CLX, and USCR

We believe that the bulls will want to end the year on a strong note, hence, the rally is likely to continue in the remaining few days of the year. After all, the index has closed positively in all the first eleven months of the year.

We, therefore, continue to look for trading opportunities on the long side. Notwithstanding, at the current levels, any adverse news, especially on the tax front can start a sharp fall. Therefore, please use a trailing stop loss to protect the position once it moves in our favor.

BBY – Buy 64.2, SL 60, Target 71

Weekly chart

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The stock had risen to a high of $59.5 in April 2006, following which it plunged to $12 by end-2012. Since then, the stock has been on a path to recovery. In May of this year, the stock made a new lifetime high, however, it could not sustain the levels. The bears again pushed the stock lower. In the last few months, the stock made a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart.

However, last week, the stock broke out to new highs, thereby invalidating the bearish pattern. This is a bullish development, which suggests further upside. Let’s see the critical levels on it.

Daily chart

On the daily chart, we find that the stock had been range bound since end-May of this year, between $53 on the lower end and $61.95 on the upper end. A couple of attempts to break out of the range faced stiff resistance from the bears. However, on Friday, the stock broke out to new highs with force. This is a bullish sign. We expect the stock to now move towards its pattern target of $71. Hence, we suggest buying it at $64.2, above Friday’s intraday highs with a SL of $60.

ZNH – Buy 46.5, SL 42, Target 53, 59

Weekly chart

The stock has not done much in the past decade. After rallying to dizzying heights a decade earlier, the stock plunged during the global financial crisis. Thereafter, it has been in recovery mode, but it has not been able to make new lifetime highs. Nevertheless, the pattern suggests that a retest of the highs is possible. Therefore, we want to enter this trade.

Daily chart

The stock had been range-bound between $25.6 and $42.6 for about two years. It broke out of the range on November 20. Thereafter, the bulls successfully held on to the $42.6 levels during the pullback. This shows demand for the stock at higher levels. The pattern target following the breakout of the range is $59. Therefore, we propose buying the stock at the current levels of $46.5 with a stop loss of $42.

There is a small resistance at the $53 mark, where traders can book partial profits if the stock struggles to break out of it.

CLX – Buy 146, SL 138, Target 168

Weekly chart

The stock has been in a long-term uptrend since 2009. It entered a period of consolidation/correction in July of last year. Since then, $140.5 had been acting as a stiff resistance. Three attempts to break out of the overhead resistance failed. The stock formed a bullish ascending triangle pattern and the bulls broke out above the overhead resistance last week. Hence, we want to buy the stock, as we expect it to move higher.

Daily chart

The bulls managed to breakout of the ascending triangle pattern on December 04 and have managed to sustain above $140.5 levels for a week, which is a bullish sign. The stock now has a pattern target of $168. Therefore, we want to buy 50% of the allocation at $146 and the rest on a successful retest of the $141 levels. Our stop loss for the trade can be kept at $138. We don’t want to hang on to the stock if it falls back into the triangle.

USCR – Buy 85.25, SL 80, Target 92

Weekly chart

The stock has been in an uptrend since 2012. It has been rising inside an ascending channel for more than a year. Just two weeks back, it had fallen to the trendline support of the channel, which held. We can now expect the stock to rally towards the resistance line of the channel, which is at the $92 levels.

Daily chart

On the daily chart, we find that the stock had been facing stiff resistance at the $80 mark. It broke out of the overhead resistance in end-August of this year, but could not sustain above it. Subsequently, it declined to the lower end of the range at $70. On November 30, the stock again broke out of $80 levels.

The bears again attempted to stem the rally at the $84 levels. However, the stock found support at $80 and rallied to new highs on Friday of last week. We, now, expect the uptrend to continue. Therefore, we recommend a buy at the current levels of $85.25, with a stop loss of $80 and a target objective of $92.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. 

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.7 stars on average, based on 9 rated postsRakesh Upadhyay is a Technical Analyst and Portfolio Consultant for The Summit Group. He has more than a decade of experience as a private trader. His philosophy is to use technical analysis for momentum trading and fundamental analysis for long-term positions. Rakesh likes to keep himself fit by lifting weights and considers himself to be a spiritual person.




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Stock Picks: Fluor Corporation and F5 Networks Incorporated

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The S&P 500 (SPX) showed indecision yesterday, April 23, as it moved as high as 2,682.86 but closed the day at 2,670.29. If the index once again revisits 2,600, the support may no longer hold. Stay defensive and only invest in stocks that have strong bullish sentiments like the names that we have below.

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FLR – Fluor Corporation

Fluor Corporation (FLR) is a multinational Fortune 500 publicly-traded engineering, procurement, fabrication, construction (EPFC) and maintenance company founded in 1912. It provides engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication and modularization, commissioning and maintenance, and project management services in the following segments: Energy, Chemicals & Mining; Industrial, Infrastructure & Power; Government, and Maintenance, Modification & Asset Integrity (MMAI). The company’s subsidiaries include American Equipment Company, Inc., Otay River Constructions, and ADP Marshall, Inc., among others.

Technical analysis show that FLR has taken out resistance of 60 on April 23, 2018. The price action triggered the large inverse head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart. The breakout was validated by heavy volume as volume rose by over 107% yesterday. In addition, the RSI is not yet in overbought territory. Expect the stock to follow through in today’s trading to further validate the trend reversal.  

Furthermore, fundamental analysis show that the trailing twelve months (TTM) price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of FLR is 45.21. While the PE ratio tells us that the stock is already expensive, its five-year maximum of 58.92 shows that it has some more room for growth.

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The strategy is to buy as close to 60 as possible. If bulls continue to hold this level, they may create a base and move to our target of 80. The process may take more than a year.

Weekly FLR Chart

Monthly FLR Chart

As of this writing, the Fluor Corporation stock is trading at 61.48.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 60 as possible.

Target: 80

Stop: 54

FFIV – F5 Networks Incorporated

F5 Networks Incorporated is an American company that develops, markets, and sells application delivery networking (ADN) for the security, performance, availability of servers, data storage devices, and other network and cloud resources. It offers products based on its Traffic Management Operating System (TMOS) and Access Policy Manager (APM). The company operates primarily in the United States but also in Europe, the Middle East, Africa (EMEA), Japan, and the Asia Pacific region (APAC). F5 Networks was incorporated in 1996.

Technical analysis show that FFIV has taken out 149 resistance on April 13, 2018 and triggered the large cup and handle pattern on the daily chart. The price action was validated by extremely heavy volume and a follow through that saw the stock go as high as 161.58 on April 17. At this point, however, FFIV was already flashing overbought signals. It needs to correct and create a new base to keep its ascent sustainable. That’s where you can come in.

In addition, fundamental analysis show that FFIV’s trailing twelve months (TTM) PE ratio stands at 24.34. It may look like the stock is already fairly valued but it’s five-year maximum of 33.68 indicates that investors believe in the company’s potential for growth.

The strategy is to wait for the dip and buy as close to 149 as possible. As long as FFIV is above 149, it has enough bullish momentum to reach 183.

The process may take more than a year.

Daily FFIV Chart

Weekly FFIV Chart

As of this writing, the F5 Networks Incorporated stock is trading 157.72.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 149 as possible.

Target: 183

Stop: close below 140.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 149 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Stock Picks: General Motors and Everest RE Group

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The S&P 500 (SPX) appears to have filled the gap between 2,695.68 and 2,709.79 on the daily chart as the index went as high as 2,717.49 on April 18. However, it seems that SPX has generated another lower high. Unless the index can move above 2,720 soon, it is in danger of creating a bearish descending triangle pattern.

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With the SPX showing signs of weakness, let’s look at stocks that are near firm support levels.

GM – General Motors Company

General Motors Company (GM) is an American multinational corporation that designs, builds, and sells cars, trucks, crossovers, and automobile parts. Founded in 1908, it now has 180,000 employees across 35 countries worldwide. The company’s operational segments include GM North America (GMNA), GM Europe (GME), GM International Operations (GMIO), GM South America (GMSA) and General Motors Financial Company, Inc. (GM Financial). In General Motors’ portfolio are the brands Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, and Wuling.

Technical analysis show that GM has taken out resistance of 37 on September 8, 2017 and triggered the inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern on the weekly chart. The stock went as high as 46.76 on October 24, 2017 and hit the target of the pattern before it retreated and dipped to 34.50 on March 27, 2018.

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The stock, however, has recently reclaimed 37. As long as that level holds, the large cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart is still in play.

In addition, fundamental analysis show that the trailing twelve months (TTM) price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of GM is 21.35. While the PE ratio looks as if the stock is already fairly valued, its five-year maximum shows that it has still room to grow. GM’s maximum TTM PE ratio in the last five years was 32.18. Based on this number, we can say that GM has some more upside potential.

The strategy is to buy as close to 37 as possible. If bulls continue to hold this level, they may create a base and crawl to our target of 54. The process may take more than a year.

Weekly GM Chart

Monthly GM Chart

As of this writing, the General Motors Company stock is trading at 37.61.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 37 as possible.

Target: 54

Stop: 34.50

RE – Everest RE Group Limited

Everest Re Group (RE) is a company engaged in insurance and reinsurance underwriting. Founded in 1973, its products now range from property and casualty reinsurance to marine, aviation, surety, errors and omissions liability (E&O), directors’ and officers’ liability (D&O), medical malpractice, accident and health (A&H), and workers’ compensation insurance.

Technical analysis show that RE bottomed out in December 2017 when it dropped to 208.81. The stock has been rallying since and has even managed to go as high as 264.88 on March 21, 2018. Bears repelled the advance, but the stock appears to be carving a bullish higher low setup above 240. If this level holds, RE may use it to take out 265 resistance.

Moreover, fundamental analysis show that RE’s trailing twelve months (TTM) PE ratio stands at 22.13. This looks like a reasonable PE ratio but it’s five-year maximum of 38.36 indicates that investors are willing to pay a premium. In other words, RE has some more potential for growth.

The strategy is to buy at current market level. If the stock holds the higher low of 241.80, bulls will likely use it to create a base and breach 265 resistance. Once breakout is complete, the stock may march to our target of 320.

The process may take more than a year.

Daily RE Chart

Weekly RE Chart

As of this writing, the Everest RE Group Limited stock is trading 246.99.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: At current market price of 246.99.

Target: 320

Stop: 241.80

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 149 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Stock Picks

Stock Picks: Essex Property Trust Incorporated and Edison International

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The S&P 500 (SPX) resumed its climb yesterday, April 16, 2018, as it closed at 2,677.84. The price action encourages those who bought around 2,600 to keep holding their positions. This helps ease selling pressure, which may help bulls continue their ascent to the top end of the range at 2,800.

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As the index shows signs of life, let’s look at stocks that are about to breakout.  

ESS – Essex Property Trust Incorporated

Essex Property Trust (ESS) is a publicly-traded real estate investment trust (REIT) company that acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages apartment communities. Founded in 1971, what started from 16 multifamily communities has now grown to 59,645 homes in 250 communities. The company operational segments include Southern California, Northern California, and Seattle Metro.

Technical analysis show that ESS is primed to take out resistance of 244 and trigger the large inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart. To breach the resistance, the stock must print volume of at least 1 million shares on the daily chart. Bottom pickers are likely to dump positions at the resistance. ESS needs breakout buyers to come out and overwhelm sellers.

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In addition, fundamental analysis show that the trailing twelve months (TTM) price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of ESS is 37.33. While the PE ratio looks high, it is still way below the stock’s five-year average of 54.99. Based on these figures, we can say that ESS has some more room to grow.

The strategy is to buy the breakout at 244 after the stock generates volume of 1 million shares. If bulls take out 244, they will gather enough momentum to sustain a climb to our target of 268. The process may take six months.

Daily ESS Chart

Weekly ESS Chart

As of this writing, the Essex Property Trust Incorporated stock is trading at 245.30.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 244 as long as the stock prints over 1 million in volume on the daily chart.

Target: 268

Stop: Close below 240 after the breakout.

EIX – Edison International

Edison International (EIX) is a public utility holding company. Founded in 1886, it is the parent company of Southern California Edison Company (SCE) and Edison Energy Group Incorporated (Edison Energy Group). SCE supplies and delivers electricity to Southern California, while Edison Energy Group is a holding company for subsidiaries focused on finding business opportunities across energy services.

Technical analysis show that EIX is poised to take out resistance of 65 and trigger an inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern on the daily chart. This comes after the stock generated a higher low of 61.47 on March 26, 2018.

To complete the breakout, bulls must generate volume of at least six million shares on the daily chart. Those who bought the bottom and those who bought the higher low are likely to take profits at the resistance. The market needs buyers to absorb the selling pressure.

Moreover, fundamental analysis show that EIX’s trailing twelve months (TTM) PE ratio stands at 38. This looks like a high PE ratio but it is still low in relation to its five-year PE ratio range which is 10.57 – 225.55. With such a wide range, EIX has a lot of upside potential.

The strategy is to buy the breakout at 65 as long as the volume requirement is met. If bulls complete the breakout, they will gather enough momentum to push EIX to our target of 72. The process may take more than a month.

Daily EIX Chart

Weekly EIX Chart

As of this writing, the Edison International stock is trading 64.64.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 65 as long as the stock prints over 6 million in volume on the daily chart.

Target: 72

Stop: Close below 63 after the breakout.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 149 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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