Analysis Trade Recommendation: Short Bitcoin (?) Published 1 year ago on July 23, 2017 By Jonas Borchgrevink I usually do not trade with cryptocurrencies any more, but this might be a golden opportunity arising. Bitcoin has bounced back to 2800 USD per bitcoin (ish..). The uptrend the last couple of days may be caused by the BIP91 agreement: https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/bitcoin-bounces-back-as-bip-91-restores-confidence/ However, I’m still bearish for Bitcoin for the coming months and possibly years, as I’ve written here: Top 10 Cryptocurrencies are Tanking – Prediction of the Bitcoin Price in 2017 and 2018 I’ve put a sell order at 2793 and 2759 USD per bitcoin. The current stop loss I’m dealing with is 2821 and 2823 USD per bitcoin. As you can see from the timeframe graph below, MACD isn’t showing much, the RSI is quite neutral and the Stoch is heading upwards. These instruments does not give any good indication of what might happen in the coming days, or hours. The bitcoin price might bounce up, and I might lose it all. But when I get the “Big Short” correct, I know I’ll keep my position as long as I can. I am still very bearish for Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies for the coming months. When that is said: I might be totally wrong! Remember, you are responsible for your own trades. You cannot hold me responsible if you copy my trades and they go totally wrong. Have a nice evening all! I also want to throw in this chart by DLavrov from Tradingview: Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Jonas Borchgrevink 4.2 stars on average, based on 56 rated postsFounder of Hacked.com and CryptoCoinsNews Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Related Topics: Up Next Bitcoin Hovers Near Six-Week High as 99% of Computing Power Backs SegWit Don't Miss 5 Things to Watch Next Week: The Fed, Bitcoin, the Euro, Key Earnings, and Gold You may like 15 Comments 15 Comments Mauro July 23, 2017 at 9:21 pm Whats your maximum downtarget? Log in to Reply Jonas Borchgrevink July 23, 2017 at 9:22 pm I think it’s around $2400. But I’ll monitor the situation, I might try to hold on even longer. Maybe below $2000. Log in to Reply aliakhtar July 23, 2017 at 9:41 pm what is your rationale for being bearish and especially long term bearish….i think 3k hit will drive it even higher and segwit success eventually will drive even higher. Log in to Reply Jonas Borchgrevink July 23, 2017 at 10:12 pm Don’t you think the market has already priced that in? I do. But I might be wrong.. 🙂 Log in to Reply P. H. Madore July 23, 2017 at 11:53 pm You are. Unfortunately the market will see that $3k and $1.9k before things even out. I think the shake out will result in more eggs in all baskets, particularly more technically adept efforts than Bitcoin. Log in to Reply minusninedioptres July 23, 2017 at 10:21 pm Shouldn’t the idea be to spread knowledge and awareness about use of bitcoin as a decentralized cryptocurrency distributed ledger? Get more people of participate in the market place Instead just using it as an instrument for making money. That seems morally wrong for blockchain. For making money we already have the stock market. What am i missing? Log in to Reply oliviers July 23, 2017 at 11:02 pm Isn’t the double top too obvious ? Double bottom or top didn’t work in the past on BTC. Log in to Reply motboy July 24, 2017 at 6:11 am How will you approach your profit target? Looks like $2,600 would be key lower resistance – low 2k if this breaks? Log in to Reply DeadDuckWalking July 24, 2017 at 2:05 pm I get a bit bored with the personal success stories. Can we please have the ICO analysis back because lately the news on this site is getting uninteresting!! I didnt join for this but luckily I can cancel on a monthly basis. Please get back to the real information and keep the (contradicting) personal gain stories to a minimum. Log in to Reply alexandrathompson314 July 24, 2017 at 10:50 pm I have to agree with DeadDuckWalking. Many of us are fed up with the many self-proclaimed “gurus” online. Please focus on quantifiable, real, actionable information for us traders. Thanks so much! Log in to Reply motboy July 25, 2017 at 7:54 am Looking like a good call this morning (UK time) Jonas. Can’t see any news re what’s spooked the market but looks like a decent correction. Moved my profit stop well below my entry so all upside from here on in. Nice one. Log in to Reply birchreed July 25, 2017 at 9:15 am Friends, I’m looking for some guidance. I have a considerable amount of Bitcoin on COinbase in a wallet. I’m not an experienced Bitcoin trader and need a seasoned person to advise me…..Here’s my question: Coinbase allows me to sell only $15K in US dollars per week. I want to do a sale of 50 Bitcoins. Is there a different wallet to use or service? Does anyone know a consultant who could guide me through this? It;s a serious inquiry and I will pay a fee for help. THANK YOU! Log in to Reply motboy July 25, 2017 at 9:58 pm Tier 3 authenticated users on Kraken can withdraw 25k per day. Otherwise I’m guessing you could flog your coins on local bitcoin or one of the pair to pair sites. Log in to Reply motboy July 25, 2017 at 1:22 pm Jonas, great call re the short. Interested in hearing where you think BTC may bottom out… Log in to Reply Jonas Borchgrevink July 25, 2017 at 7:14 pm It may be at the bottom now.. But for the long term horizon I still feel we are heading down. Log in to Reply You must be logged in to post a comment Login Leave a Reply Cancel replyYou must be logged in to post a comment. Altcoins Cardano Price Analysis: ADA/USDT Smashes Out of Wedge, but Saved by Critical Demand Zone Published 3 hours ago on November 14, 2018 By Ken Chigbo ADA/USDT testing a huge area of demand and a breach by the bears could be catastrophic. Cardano Foundation confirm reshuffle, as Michael Parsons, the former chairman, steps down. ADA/USDT has continued to be victim of downside pressure after its latest bull run. The price had gained a chunky 20%, between 31st October and 6th November. ADA/USDT managed to peak just above $0.08200 territory. This was the highest level seen since 15th October. Shortly after, gradual selling started to take place, to then see all the gains plus much more taken by the heavy bears. It appears current bull runs are not sustainable, very much vulnerable to being sold- particularly as these tend to happen in an explosive manner within a short time frame. Cardano News Flow Cardano this week made an announcement that Michael Parsons, the former chairman, has resigned from his position at the Cardano Foundation. Prior to this rapid departure, there had been much history of community members demanding for him to be removed. The position will be filled by the Council Member Pascal Schmid, a University of St. Gallen graduate and a financial expert. Cardano’s creator, Charles Hoskinson, accused the foundation and Parsons of neglecting their duties, in addition to bringing in close friends and family into top positions within the organization. Technical Review – ADA/USDT ADA/USDT daily chart ADA/USDT is running at three consecutive sessions in the red- a move which is inline with the broader market, a mass cooling across all major cryptocurrencies. The price was forced to drop a hefty 13% in the late part of the session on Wednesday. Price action was initially moving within a wedge pattern. This had been the case since the back end of September. ADA/USDT was contained within this formation. Given the noted heavy selling pressure that was seen across the market late Wednesday, the lower trend line of the wedge was forced to give way to sellers. Looking to the downside, ADA/USDT has been saved from further declines thanks to a critical demand zone. The area is seen tracking from $0.07000 down to $0.06000. It has proven to see strong buyers swoop in. The price last traded down here between 12-18th September. Buyers kicked in to then drive ADA/USDT to the north, seeing gains just shy of some 50%. The bulls were able to run the price up to $0.09500 into a known supply area. A peak was seen, and this rally was then gradually sold. Should the above-mentioned demand area fail to hold and see a daily close below, it could be catastrophic. A development such as described, could leave the door wide open to a fresh wave of heavy selling. Disclaimer: The author owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading. Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Ken Chigbo 4.5 stars on average, based on 50 rated postsKen has over 8 years exposure to the financial markets. During a large part of his career, he worked as an analyst, covering a variety of asset classes; forex, fixed income, commodities, equities and cryptocurrencies. Ken has gone on to become a regular contributor across several large news and analysis outlets. Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Analysis Pre-Market Analysis And Chartbook: Markets Flat Ahead of Key Economic Data Published 6 hours ago on November 14, 2018 By Mate Cser Wednesday Market Snapshot Asset Current Value Daily Change S&P 500 2,729 0.02% DAX 30 11,467 -0.05% WTI Crude Oil 56.16 1.59% GOLD 1,202 -0.03% Bitcoin 6,211 -0.80% EUR/USD 1.1287 -0.01% As traders awaited the key US economic releases of the week, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Retail Sales report, financial markets were relatively quiet and flat before the Wall Street open, but things got volatile since then, despite the muted CPI reading. The progress in the Brexit negotiations and the liquidation event in crude oil were making headlines today, although the advance in the Pound stalled, as equity markets and in general risk assets are still under clear selling pressure following the turmoil in October. The second half of the week will likely see strong moves across asset classes, and given the negative technicals, odds favor a risk-off shift globally. EUR/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis The Dollar is consolidation after its move to new 16-months highs on Monday, and for now, the currency failed to confirm the break-out, at least as measured by the Dollar index. The EUR/USD is showing a slightly different picture compared to the broader measure, and the common currency is still in a steep downtrend, even as it is back near the key 1.13 level, retracing a large chunk of Monday’s move. A durable recovery above 1.13 could signal a failed break-down and another consolidation phase in the pair, with the long-term momentum indicators still being oversold, but the broad downtrend is clearly intact, and long positions should only be considered as short-term trades. Nasdaq 100 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis In equities, we continue to see bearish technicals from a broader perspective, and although the post-Fed selloff halted, for now, the re-test of the October lows still seems likely in the coming weeks. The Nasdaq is still relatively weak compared to the other major US benchmarks, and the tech benchmark is the closest to its lows, even after yesterday’s bounce. The overnight session saw a slight bullish bias in stocks, with the indices holding on to above their weekly lows, but we still view the short-term rally attempts as selling opportunities given the hostile technicals across the globe. Crude Oil in Turmoil as Copper Holds Support, For Now WTI Crude Oil, 4-Hour Chart Analysis The bounce that we have been expecting in crude oil didn’t materialize despite the deeply oversold momentum readings, as the dip below the $58-$60 zone triggered a liquidation event in the commodity. The worst day for oil in 3 years saw the WTI contract falling below $55 per barrel, its lowest level in a year. Today, oil is attempting a recovery, and we continue to expect a rally up to the $63-$65 zone in the coming weeks. Copper Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Elsewhere in the commodity segment, we are seeing further signs of weakness, despite the pullback in the Dollar. Gold is having a flat quiet day, so far, hovering near the $1200 price level, while despite the renewed trade-deal optimism, copper failed to bounce higher substantially amid the slight risk-on shift. The industrial metal is trading just above its recent swing low, and a move below that would be a sign that the lengthy consolidation phase is ending and the broader downtrend is about to resume. ChartBook Major Stock Indices S&P 500 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Dow 30 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis VIX (US Volatility Index), 4-Hour Chart Analysis DAX 30 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis FTSE 100 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis EuroStoxx50 Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Nikkei 225 Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Shanghai Composite Index CFD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis EEM (Emerging Markets ETF), 4-Hour Chart Analysis Forex USD/JPY, 4-Hour Chart Analysis GBP/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis EUR/GBP, 4-Hour Chart Analysis AUD/USD, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Commodities Gold Futures, 4-Hour Chart Analysis Featured image from Shutterstock Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Mate Cser 4.7 stars on average, based on 394 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market. Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Analysis EOS Update: Preparing for a Big Bullish Move Published 7 hours ago on November 14, 2018 By Kiril Nikolaev, CFA EOS has been stuck in a range since August 8, 2018. It’s been trading between $6.65 and $4.50 with a midpoint of $5.30. If you’re a day trader, the range is wide enough to exploit and generate serious profits. However, this is not the case for many retail investors who bought the bottom and are anticipating the next big rally. They’d want to know when EOS (EOS/USD) would make another substantial move. The good news is we are certain that it’s soon, very likely within a month. The next question would be the direction. This is something we’ll never be 100% certain of. However, we looked at the charts and we’re confident that this move will usher in a new higher high. In this article, we reveal how this coin is preparing for a big bullish move. Unnerving Lack of Volatility EOS has been slowly flatlining since September 2018. The trading range has become tighter and tighter with each passing week. You can see the almost non-existent volatility in the weekly RSI. The indicator has moved within a three-point range (42 – 45) in the last two months. Weekly RSI range In addition to the weekly RSI, the daily trading range has been suffocating. The last time Bollinger bands were this tight was about a year ago. It was at the point before EOS launched a massive bull run. Daily Chart Before you get excited, we have to be clear that narrow trading ranges do not necessarily foretell a bull run. However, it is a prelude to a big move. It is the proverbial calm before the storm. The storm, we believe, will nourish the bellies of starving bulls. Alleviating Resistance to Support (RS) Flip EOS has a diagonal trendline that cuts through both the bull and bear runs. The trendline started to exist on January 20, 2018 when it acted as resistance and prevented the market from going above $15.75. The first RS flip happened on April 24 when EOS breached resistance of $12.00. This helped the market climb to $23.029 on April 29. The diagonal trendline continued to serve as a support for EOS until June 22 when the market breached support of $9.50. This effectively flipped the support into resistance. EOS worked very hard to take back the diagonal trendline but to no avail. As a result, the market dropped to lows of $4.1778. Diagonal trendline The price action described above illustrates the impact of this trendline. It provides massive resistance when the market is below it. On the other hand, it offers firm support when EOS traded above it. Thus, the market would have been in a bad shape now if bulls would not have put up a strong fight. Luckily, they did. With a series of higher lows, bulls eventually flipped the resistance into support on September 27. They also completed the retest when EOS dropped to $5.0014 on October 11. This tells us that bulls are mobilizing. It looks like they are quietly and patiently accumulating at these levels. Promising Inverted EOS Chart If you’re having trouble believing that EOS is starting to look bullish, then allow us to present to you the inverted chart. One look and you’ll know that this chart is prime for massive shorting. Inverted weekly chart This inverted chart looks like it already topped out. It tried really hard to take out resistance of $3.50 but it failed again and again. Its inability to breach the resistance led to exhaustion. You can see the rally fading in the declining volume. The market persistently rose even if volume steadily decreased. This is not a sustainable ascent. As a result, the market appears to have broken down of an ascending triangle pattern. It is currently retesting the resistance but without volume, it is likely that the market will resume its descent. When it does, EOS will make its big move. Bottom Line With volatility almost non-existent, EOS appears to be preparing for a massive move. While this is something we are certain of, the direction is still not guaranteed. However, the recent RS flip of the diagonal downtrend and the inverted weekly chart make us believe that EOS is gearing up for a big bullish move. Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink. Rate this post: Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way. (0 votes, average: 0.00 out of 5)You need to be a registered member to rate this. Loading... Kiril Nikolaev, CFA 3.7 stars on average, based on 269 rated postsKiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 5+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances. Follow @HackedCom Feedback or Requests? Continue Reading Ethereum Price Extends Slide as ETH Mining No Long... Update: Crypto Selloff Deepens as Bitcoin Hits New... Etheera (ETA) Hits the Big Time with 82,960% Growt... 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Black Friday: How to Capitalize on It Recent Posts Why Investors Should be Paying Attention to Substratum November 15, 2018 Market Update: U.S. Stocks Plunge; Carnage in Crypto Land November 14, 2018 Cardano Price Analysis: ADA/USDT Smashes Out of Wedge, but Saved by Critical Demand Zone November 14, 2018 Crypto Market Flash-Dips 12%; Bitcoin Price Hits New Yearly Low as ETH, TRX Bleed Out November 14, 2018 Update: Crypto Selloff Deepens as Bitcoin Hits New Yearly Low November 14, 2018 ICO Analysis: CWEX November 14, 2018 Pre-Market Analysis And Chartbook: Markets Flat Ahead of Key Economic Data November 14, 2018 Ethereum Price Extends Slide as ETH Mining No Longer Profitable November 14, 2018 EOS Update: Preparing for a Big Bullish Move November 14, 2018 Bitcoin SV Price Briefly Surpasses Bitcoin ABC Ahead of Hard Fork November 14, 2018 A part of CCN Hacked.com is Neutral and Unbiased Hacked.com and its team members have pledged to reject any form of advertisement or sponsorships from 3rd parties. We will always be neutral and we strive towards a fully unbiased view on all topics. Whenever an author has a conflicting interest, that should be clearly stated in the post itself with a disclaimer. If you suspect that one of our team members are biased, please notify me immediately at jonas.borchgrevink(at)hacked.com. Trending Cryptocurrencies6 days ago Why Investors Should Pay Attention to Electroneum Cryptocurrencies1 week ago Why Investors Should Pay Attention to Pundi X Altcoins1 week ago John McAfee Gets Skycoin (SKY) Tattoo; Coin Price Immediately Jumps 12% Cryptocurrencies6 days ago Why Investors Should Pay Attention to Ravencoin (RVN) Opinion1 week ago The Ripple Debate Continues as Coinbase Considers Listing XRP Analysis5 days ago Bitcoin Update: Transition from Depression to Disbelief Altcoins1 week ago Tron Gets Five Fiat Pairs Amid 260% Volume Boost; TRX Price Waiting to Move Altcoins1 week ago Litecoin Price Analysis: $60 and Beyond?