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Trade Recommendation, June 16th

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DAX: Short-Term Sell

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DAX, 4-Hour Chart Analysis

The weakening momentum, the negative seasonality, and the weak bounce off the Thursday lows justify a short-term short position in the German index, as we expect further correction in global stocks. The strong decline in the leading names of the NASDAQ is still affecting equities globally, and that could fuel a risk-off period with valuations still being elevated.

The 12,800 level is the short-term resistance for the benchmark, while a drop below 12,650 would open up the way towards 12,500 and 12,375, with an expected break below the rising long-term trendline. A re-test of the 12,250 level is also possible in the coming weeks.

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Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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4.5 stars on average, based on 224 rated postsTrader and financial analyst, with 10 years of experience in the field. An expert in technical analysis and risk management, but also an avid practitioner of value investment and passive strategies, with a passion towards anything that is connected to the market.




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Trade Recommendation: EUR/ZAR

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The Euro/South African Rand pair (EUR/ZAR) launched its uptrend in July 2013 when it breached resistance of 13. With a solid base between 8.70 – 13.00, the market soared to as high as 18.91174 in January 2016. In two and half years, the Euro grew by over 45% against the South African Rand. Those who bought the breakout and followed the trend started to take profits. After all, 18 was the target of the rounding bottom reversal pattern on the monthly chart that was triggered when the pair took out resistance of 13.

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Faced with heavy selling pressure, EUR/ZAR fell to 13.37818 in March 2017. The higher low inspired a rally that lifted the market to 17.06768 in November 2017. Unfortunately for buyers at that level, the pair could no longer sustain its ascent. It then resumed its drop but interestingly, it appears to be carving another higher low.

Technical analysis reveal that the EUR/ZAR pair is creating a large symmetrical triangle pattern on the monthly chart. This comes after the market generated another higher low of 14.17454 in February 2018. As long as the pair respects the trendline, it has a very good chance of breaking out of the continuation pattern and mount a significant rally.

The strategy is to buy as close to 14.35 as possible. If bulls continue to move according to the trendline, the market will likely contract before exploding upward to our target of 20.00. The process may take more than a year.

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Monthly Chart of EUR/ZAR on OANDA

As of this writing, the EUR/ZAR pair is trading at 14.78268 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 14.35 as possible.

Target: 20

Stop: 14.17454

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 145 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: ICON/Bitcoin

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The ICON/Bitcoin pair (ICX/BTC) started its bull run on January 1, 2018 when it took out resistance of 0.0004. Even though the pair had no solid base below 0.0004, the breakout was able to generate enough momentum to push the price to as high as 0.0009194 on January 30. In about a month, the market rose by almost 130%. Those who bought the breakout were happy to take profits.

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Without a good base to sustain a long bull run, the market plummeted under increased selling pressure. It fell to as low as 0.0003799 on February 5 before it rallied. The pair managed to bounce to 0.0006175 on February 6, but the lower high showed that the market has turned extremely bearish. ICX/BTC responded by posting a series of lower highs and lower lows until it found the bottom at 0.0002135 on March 18. The pair has been rallying since, and it seems poised to launch another bull run.

Technical analysis reveal that ICON/Bitcoin is in the process of taking out 0.0004 resistance. To complete the breakout, however, the pair must print volume of about 20 million ICON units. Those who bought the higher low are likely to take profits at the resistance. The pair needs buyers to accommodate the increased selling activity.

The strategy is to buy the breakout at 0.0004 as long as the prescribed volume is met. If bulls breach the resistance, they will ignite a rally that can take the market to our target of 0.00056. The process may take less than a month.

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Daily Chart of ICX/BTC on Binance

As of this writing, the ICON/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.000401 on Binance.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Breakout at 0.0004 with 20 million ICON volume.

Target: 0.00056

Stop: 0.00036 after the breakout.

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.6 stars on average, based on 145 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: OmiseGo

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This trade recommendation is setting up quickly and requires prompt attention

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There is key support with the Daily Pivot Range, 3 Day and 6 Day Rolling Pivot Range as well as the Weekly Pivot Range, including the Monthly Pivot Range. This setup cannot be more supportive. With the price trading in breakout mode at the moment of writing the need to act is now to go long the market.

The action to take is to place a buy order to enter the market long within the buy zone area but with a limit of 15.65 or close to this. This gives us a good risk reward ratio within a high probability setup with all this support. With the breakout this will confirm the market wants to move higher. Place the stop loss at the Opening Range low and the profit targets stated below.

Entry Price: 15.65
Stop Loss: 14.89
Profit Targets: First profit target 17.95. Second profit target 20.40. Once price reaches the first profit target raise the stop loss to breakeven. Then if the market follows through to higher levels manage the trade by trailing a stop loss 1.00 points behind until second profit target is reached or stopped out.

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Disclaimer: The writer owns Litecoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.8 stars on average, based on 41 rated postsI am the founder of VirtuesTrading.com, where traders can learn to use my Virtues Trading System. Formerly a Commodity Trading Advisor, I got my start in the Energy and Precious Metals Options & Futures pits of the New York Mercantile Exchange. I operate on the premise of efficient markets, the management of risk through the analyzation of price action and technical indicators. I have a BA in International Relations from the University of Southern California.




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