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Trade Recommendation: Gold/NZD

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The Gold/New Zealand Dollar pair (XAU/NZD) lost all bullishness in October 2012 when it posted a lower high of 2,193.494. The pair then took a turn for the worse as it broke support of 1,900 in April 2013. This triggered the rounding top reversal pattern on the monthly chart.

The breakout ignited a selling frenzy that drove the pair to as low as 1,439.25 in December 2013 (A-wave). In a little over a year, Gold lost almost 35% of its value against the New Zealand Dollar.

At this price level, bulls began to emerge. They protected the 1,460 support until December 2014. With a solid base established, the market began to rally. It went as high as 1,944.854 in June 2016 (B-wave). While bears managed to defend the 1,900 resistance, bulls responded by generating a higher low at 1,594.445 in December 2016 (C-wave).

With a higher low in place, the pair rallied to 1,904.098 in November 2017 (D-wave). The pair has been pulling back since. This could be your opportunity to buy the next higher low.

Technical analysis show that the Gold/New Zealand Dollar pair is creating an ascending triangle pattern. It appears to be at the early stages of an E-wave down. We have several reasons to support this view.

First, we can see that the market retested the 1,900 resistance in May 2018. This serves as a confirmation that bears still control that price level. In addition, the 9-day and 21-day moving averages are detached from the monthly candle. This suggests a potential move down.

The strategy is to buy the dip as close to 1,800 as possible. If bulls stay above this level, they will gather the momentum required to break out of the formation and move to our target of 2,300.

The process may take more than six months.

Monthly Chart of Gold/New Zealand Dollar on OANDA

As of this writing, the Gold/New Zealand Dollar pair (XAU/NZD) is trading at 1,848.413 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 1,800 as possible.

Target: 2,300

Stop: 1,760

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 179 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: Short NZD/JPY

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The New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen pair (NZD/JPY) started its downtrend in June 2015 when it broke below support of 83.60. This activated the head and shoulders reversal pattern on the weekly chart. The breakout started a waterfall event that saw the pair plummet to as low as 69.211 in June 2016. In one year, the New Zealand Dollar lost over 17% of its value against the Japanese Yen.

With a bottom in place, NZD/JPY began to rally. It went as high as 83.806 in January 2017. Bears, however, defended the resistance and sent the market down to 75.80 support in April 2017. Bulls managed to defend the support and this inspired another rally to resistance of 83.80 in July 2017. Unfortunately for buyers at this level, bears are still in control of the market.

Technical analysis reveal that the New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen is taking out support of 75.80. This would trigger the large double top continuation pattern on the weekly chart. The bearish view is supported by four consecutive lower highs on the weekly chart. While 75.80 still holds, the pressure from the lower highs will most likely breach the support.

The strategy is to short the market once the pair takes out support of 75.80. A breakout would likely inspire a selling frenzy that would take the market to our target of 68.

The process may take more than three months.

Weekly Chart of New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen on OANDA

As of this writing, the New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen pair (NZD/JPY) is trading at 75.703 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: Short as close to 75.80 as possible.

Target: 68

Stop: Move above 77.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 179 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: ETHLend

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The ETHLend/Bitcoin pair (LEND/BTC) started its bull run on December 23, 2017 when it took out resistance of 0.000004. The break above the resistance ignited a parabolic run that saw the pair climb as high as 0.00002829 on January 7, 2018. In two weeks, the pair rose by over 600%.

At this price level, LEND/BTC was in extreme overbought territory. In addition, a bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart. Those who noticed these signals began to take profits. The heavy selling drove the pair to 0.0000095 on January 16. While bottom pickers bought the dip, they could only muster a rally to 0.0000195 on January 23.

With a lower high in place, the LEND/BTC unravelled. The pair has been generating a series of lower highs and lower lows. However, recent events hint at a reversal. This could be your chance to buy the pair’s firmest support.

Technical analysis reveal that ETHLend/Bitcoin may be carving a bottom at 0.0000048 support. This view comes after the pair has managed to stay above this level for about a week now. Keep in mind, 0.0000048 is the market’s last support level. Therefore, we expect bulls to defend it.

In addition, a bullish divergence can be spotted on the daily RSI. This tells us that the market is slowly gathering momentum. Plus, volume has been below average since June 11. This suggests that participants are slowly losing interest to sell at this level.

The strategy is to buy as close to 0.0000048 support as possible. If bulls can preserve the support, they will attract the momentum they need to move to our target of 0.000008.

The process may take a month.

Daily Chart of ETHLend/Bitcoin on Binance


As of this writing, the ETHELend/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.00000483 on Binance.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 0.0000048 as possible.

Target: 0.000008

Stop: 0.0000047

 

Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

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3.7 stars on average, based on 179 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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Trade Recommendation: GBP/NZD

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The British Pound/New Zealand Dollar pair (GBP/NZD) has been in a downtrend since May 2009 when it broke below support of 2.60. This triggered the double top reversal pattern on the monthly chart. The breakout from the bearish pattern inspired a selling frenzy. The pair then generated a series of lower highs and lower lows until it showed some signs of stability at 1.62266 in October 2016. In over seven years, the British Pound lost more than 60% of its value against the New Zealand Dollar.

At this price level, GBP/NZD flashed reversal signals. First, the monthly candle was a hammer. This suggested the presence of buyers below 1.70. Second, the pair was in extreme oversold conditions on the weekly chart. Lastly, there was an exponential increase in volume when the pair dropped to this level.

With the pair showing bullish signs, more and more bottom pickers entered the buying scene. GBP/NZD rallied to as high as 1.89631 in May 2017. While bears managed to resist the advance, bulls eventually claimed the territory.

Technical analysis reveal that the British Pound/New Zealand Dollar pair has taken out resistance of 1.90. This triggered the cup and handle reversal structure on the weekly chart. The breakout was affirmed by a strong rally to 1.98396 in December 2017. The market has been consolidating since. This is your chance to buy the breakout.

The strategy is to buy as close to 1.90 as possible. As long as bulls stay above this support, they have all the momentum they need to rally to our target of 2.10.

The process may take more than three months.

Weekly Chart of British Pound/New Zealand Dollar on OANDA

As of this writing, the British Pound/New Zealand Dollar pair (GBP/NZD) is trading at 1.91059 on OANDA.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 1.90 as possible.

Target: 2.10

Stop: Close below 1.89.

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

Important: Never invest (trade with) money you can't afford to comfortably lose. Always do your own research and due diligence before placing a trade. Read our Terms & Conditions here. Trade recommendations and analysis are written by our analysts which might have different opinions. Read my 6 Golden Steps to Financial Freedom here. Best regards, Jonas Borchgrevink.

Rate this post:

Important for improving the service. Please add a comment in the comment field below explaining what you rated and why you gave it that rate. Failed Trade Recommendations should not be rated as that is considered a failure either way.
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3.7 stars on average, based on 179 rated postsKiril is a financial professional with 4+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis and product ownership. He has passed all three CFA exams on first attempt and has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance. Kiril’s current focus is on cryptocurrencies and ETFs, as he does his own crypto research and is the subject matter expert at ETFdb.com. He also has his personal website, InvestorAcademy.org where he teaches people about the basics of investing. His ultimate goal is to help people with limited knowledge of finance and investments to create investment portfolios easily, and in line with their unique circumstances.




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